Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The fundamentals of glass remain weak. With supply declining to a relatively low level and demand in the seasonal off - season, downstream buyers purchase as needed, leading to continuous accumulation of glass factory inventories. It is expected that glass will mainly fluctuate at a low level in the short term [2][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Glass Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract decreased from 1052 yuan/ton to 1039 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.24%. The spot price of Shahe Safety large - board remained unchanged at 1056 yuan/ton. The main basis increased from 4 yuan/ton to 17 yuan/ton, a rise of 325.00% [6]. Glass Spot Market - The market price of 5mm white glass large - board in the spot benchmark area of Hebei Shahe was 1056 yuan/ton, remaining the same as the previous day [11]. Cost - side of Fundamentals - Glass production profit is at a low level, which has led to an increase in cold repairs in the industry, with the number of operating production lines and production volume dropping to historical lows. The national float glass production line has 222 operating lines, with an operating rate of 75.15%, and the daily melting volume is 15.68 tons, at the lowest level in the same period in history [21][23]. Demand - side of Fundamentals - In April 2025, the apparent consumption of float glass was 468.08 tons. The real - estate terminal demand is still weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low in the same period. The capital collection in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly digesting the original glass inventory [27][4]. Inventory - side of Fundamentals - The inventory of national float glass enterprises is 69.085 million weight boxes, a decrease of 0.19% from the previous week, and the inventory is running above the five - year average [42]. Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - From 2017 to 2024E, the production and consumption of float glass have shown different trends. For example, in 2021, production increased by 9.88% and consumption increased by 6.87%, while in 2018, production decreased by 3.50% and consumption decreased by 2.64% [43]. Influencing Factors - **Positive factors**: The negative feedback of production profit is obvious, and glass production has continuously declined to a historical low. The photovoltaic glass industry is expected to implement a production - reduction plan, which boosts the market sentiment [3]. - **Negative factors**: The real - estate terminal demand is weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low in the same period. The capital collection in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly digesting the original glass inventory [4].

Group 1 - The total sales amount of the top 100 real estate companies in the first half of 2025 was 1,836.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.8%, with the decline rate expanding by 1 percentage point compared to the first five months of the year [1] - In June alone, the sales amount of the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 18.5% year-on-year, with the decline rate increasing by 1.2 percentage points compared to May [1] - The top three companies by total sales were Poly Developments, Greentown China, and China Overseas Property, with sales amounts of 145.2 billion yuan, 122.1 billion yuan, and 120.14 billion yuan respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The contribution rate of sales from first-tier cities increased significantly, with 40.0% of sales coming from these cities, a year-on-year increase of 9.0 percentage points [3] - The top three cities contributing to sales in the first half of 2025 were Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangzhou, with contribution rates of 16.9%, 10.6%, and 9.0% respectively [4] - Shanghai's sales contribution rate increased by 4.5 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024, marking the largest increase among the top 10 cities [4] Group 3 - The total land acquisition amount for the top 100 companies in the first half of 2025 was 506.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.3% [5] - The top three companies by new land value added were Poly Developments, Greentown China, and China Jinmao, with new land values of 89.9 billion yuan, 83.1 billion yuan, and 74.9 billion yuan respectively [5] - The average premium rate for land sales in 300 cities exceeded 10%, showing a significant increase compared to the same period last year [6] Group 4 - The main players in land acquisition were state-owned enterprises, with eight out of the top ten land acquirers being state-owned [5][7] - Core cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Chengdu saw intense competition for quality land, while many third and fourth-tier cities continued to see land sold at base prices [6] - The Yangtze River Delta region led the four major city clusters in land acquisition, with the top ten companies in this region acquiring land worth 147 billion yuan [6]

荆门发布19条稳楼市新政 又一地发布楼市新政。 其中，湖北荆门发布19条稳楼市新政，包括购买地下停车位、商业办公用房按契税实缴额 度给予补助，鼓励优先采用房票安置或"以购代建"方式安置，2026年1月1日起新出让土地 开发的商品房原则上实行现房销售等。 根据中指研究院监测，上半年（截至6月25日）全国超160省市（县）出台优化政策超340 条。其中，各地调整公积金政策超150条。 业内人士认为，6月13日国常会为市场释放了政策进一步加力的积极信号，下半年预计将全 力落实已出台政策，推动市场止跌回稳。 日前，荆门市印发《关于持续巩固中心城区房地产市场稳定态势的政策措施》，推出6方面 19条针对性举措，多维度促进房地产市场平稳健康发展。 其中提出，加快地下停车位销售，居民购买地下停车位，网签商品房买卖合同、取得契税完 税凭证的，由所购地下停车位所在区按契税实缴额度给予100%补助。鼓励购买商业办公用 房，在中心城区购买新建商业办公用房用于非经营用途，网签商品房买卖合同、取得契税完 税凭证的个人，由所购商业办公用房所在区按契税实缴额度给予50%补助。 同时，推行房票安置，城市基础设施建设和城市更新过程中涉及到对被征 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Singapore government announced adjustments to the Seller's Stamp Duty (SSD) and holding period for residential real estate to curb speculative behavior [1] Summary by Category Policy Changes - The holding period for the Seller's Stamp Duty will be extended from three years to four years, reverting to the duration prior to the last adjustment in 2017 [1] - The SSD tax rates will increase by four percentage points for each tier, meaning homeowners selling their private residential properties within four years will face higher taxes ranging from 4% to 16% [1] Impact on Market - These adjustments will affect private residential property purchases made on or after July 4, 2025 [1] - The changes do not impact owners of public housing (HDB), as they are required to comply with a minimum occupancy period before selling [1]

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in China, particularly in first-tier cities, continues to experience a downward trend in second-hand housing prices, with a lack of market confidence evident across various regions [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - In June, the average price of second-hand homes in 100 cities was 13,691 yuan per square meter, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 0.75% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.26% [1]. - First-tier cities saw an increase in the rate of decline, with prices dropping by 0.56% in June compared to 0.36% in May [1]. - The rebound in prices following the "924 New Policy" from last year is rapidly fading, leading to a depletion of home-buying demand [3]. Group 2: Policy Responses - Local governments have limited policy tools left, primarily relying on housing subsidies and adjustments to public housing fund loan policies [3]. - Several cities have introduced new public housing fund policies aimed at increasing loan limits and easing borrowing conditions to stimulate demand [4]. Group 3: Regional Focus - Xi'an - Xi'an's housing market is experiencing a downward trend, with a significant increase in the number of second-hand homes listed for sale [6]. - The average price of second-hand homes in Xi'an is approximately 12,258.67 yuan per square meter, which is below the national average [6]. - The coverage rate of public housing fund contributions in Xi'an is low, with only about 185,000 contributors, representing less than 20% of the city's permanent population [7]. Group 4: Consumer Behavior and Market Sentiment - The impact of new public housing fund policies on real estate consumption is expected to be limited due to low coverage and insufficient loan amounts to meet the high prices in core areas [8]. - Consumer confidence remains a critical factor, with many potential buyers focusing on job stability and income rather than interest rates or policy details [8]. - The current government strategy aims to stabilize the market and avoid drastic declines, indicating a preference for gradual recovery [11].

7 月利率展望：震荡格局下波段为主，关注大会增量 20250703 摘要 6 月债市整体震荡，实债收益率小幅下降至 1.65%左右。央行超预期买 断式逆回购操作呵护流动性，中美关税谈判及地缘政治冲突影响市场情 绪。月末银行季末考核压力导致债市小幅震荡走弱，但整体略走牛。 央行两次买断式逆回购操作净投放超 2000 亿，一年期国债收益率下降 超 10 个基点至约 1.35%，期限利差扩大至 38 个基点左右，国债收益 率曲线呈现走陡态势。 预计 7 月 CPI 同比增速在 0 附近徘徊，猪肉价格继续下行，原油价格因 地缘冲突有所回升。核心 CPI 温和回升受五一假期影响，消费修复内生 动力有限，对 CPI 拉动作用较弱。 预计政府债将继续成为社融主要支撑力量，6 月政府债净供给超 1.6 万 亿，同比翻倍。企业工业利润 5 月快速回落至负区间，居民部门地产修 复情况不明确，票据利率偏小幅度表现不支持社融大幅提升。 5 月出口保持正增长 4.8%，受抢出口和转出口韧性支撑。若中美关税互 免期内外溢性影响不显著，东盟、印度、欧洲等主要出口国仍会形成支 撑。下半年出口增速可能转负，需关注中美关税互免期结束时美方态度 ...

鉴于近年来中国房地产市场不景气以及该等物业位于工业园区附近，出售事项为当前情况下出售该等物 业的难得且独特的机会。该等物业于2013年竣工，原计划出售，但由于各种内外原因，该等物业未能出 售，目前仅产生少量的租金收入。由于集团处于困境之中且目前的经营现金流有限，对重组的进展产生 负面影响，而出售事项将改善集团的经营现金流。 智通财经APP讯，天誉置业(00059)发布公告，董事会于2025年7月3日接获卖方江西新好景实业发展有限 公司(公司的拥有65.5%权益的间接附属公司)发出的买卖协议，据此，卖方已同意出售而买方熊诗健已 同意购买该等物业，及卖方已同意转让该等已转让物业的使用权予买方，代价为人民币1600万元。 该等物业及该等已转让物业位于南昌市安义县凤凰社龙津镇凤凰西路凤凰大道88号的综合楼。该等物业 包括75套住宅单位，物业面积为6228.66平方米及11间商铺(商业单位)，物业面积为1283.55平方米，就 出售事项而言，有关物业分为三批：(1)住宅单位301-317及401-414单元(第一批该等物业)；(2)住宅单位 415-417、501-515、601-615及701-703单元(第二批该等 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by popular shopping malls in Shanghai, particularly 恒基·旭辉天地 and 爱琴海购物公园, in maintaining customer traffic after their initial popularity, highlighting the need for strategic adjustments and differentiation in a competitive retail environment [1][6]. Group 1: 恒基·旭辉天地 - 恒基·旭辉天地 has seen a decline in customer traffic and high vacancy rates in its underground levels, with one-third of shops in the first underground level vacant [2]. - The management of 恒基·旭辉天地 is undergoing a strategic upgrade to enhance its brand mix, focusing on introducing outdoor sports, pet-related businesses, and unique dining options, achieving an overall leasing rate of over 90% [2][3]. - The mall aims to differentiate itself by creating immersive lifestyle experiences and hosting engaging events to attract diverse customer groups [3][7]. Group 2: 爱琴海购物公园 - 爱琴海购物公园's outdoor section, known as "新华红星广场," has a lower occupancy rate compared to its indoor section, with many shops on higher floors remaining vacant [4]. - The management of 爱琴海购物公园 has not provided detailed responses regarding its operational status, indicating potential challenges in addressing customer traffic issues [5]. - The competition from nearby shopping centers, such as 凯德晶萃广场 and 中海环宇荟, adds pressure on 爱琴海购物公园 to maintain its customer base [2]. Group 3: Retail Market Competition - The retail property market in Shanghai is highly competitive, with new shopping centers expected to open, adding over 883,000 square meters of supply by 2025, which may intensify market pressure on existing malls [6]. - The emergence of new attractions, such as the LV "路易号," is drawing significant customer interest, further challenging older shopping centers to retain their appeal [6]. - Industry experts emphasize the need for shopping malls to redefine their positioning and enhance their offerings to regain customer traffic in the face of increasing competition [7].

关于业主提出的整改需求，星河湾方面表示，"对于在合同及报建范围内的合理诉求，公司已及时响应并持续优化。对于超出合同约定或报建许可范围的个 别诉求，公司在沟通中亦已予以说明。" "目前，项目整体施工进度平稳，工程质量可控，各项施工均严格按照政府批准图纸和合同约定执行，确保项目如期交付。"星河湾方面补充道。 退房风波 文｜源媒汇 近日，"豪宅一哥"星河湾在西安曲江的楼盘项目，陷入了退房风波。 西安曲江星河湾一期业主，向源媒汇发送了有关项目实际装标存在差异，向开发商提出整改需求和后续会议交流过程的文件。因开发商未能如愿整改，业主 要求退房。 对于上述业主提及情况，源媒汇致电、致函星河湾集团，相关负责人回复称，"曲江星河湾一期项目目前仍处在施工阶段，距离《商品房买卖合同》中约定 的交付时间（2026年5月30日）尚有近一年时间，当前尚未进入交付节点。" 事情要从2023年11月说起。 在西安曲江星河湾一期业主提供的材料中，自2023年年底得知项目某些公区的实际装标以后，业主与星河湾西安项目方经六次正式会谈仍未达成共识，涉及 到入户门交付标准、公区建设标准、小区大门设计等问题。 左：效果图，右：实景图 | 来源：业主供 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the building materials industry [2] Core Views - The real estate policy continues to stabilize, which is expected to support the recovery of leading companies in the consumption building materials sector [14][15] - The cement market is experiencing continued low demand and overall price decline, with a national average shipment rate of 43.4% [11][21] - The float glass market is facing price declines and weak supply-demand support, with a current average price of 1174 RMB/ton [12][21] - The fiberglass market shows stable pricing for alkali-free roving, while electronic yarn prices remain steady [13] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The cement market saw a price drop of 1.1% this week, with significant declines in various regions, while some areas like Jilin and Henan experienced slight price increases [11][21] - The float glass market's average price decreased by 7.14 RMB/ton, with a total production of 1.0909 million tons this week, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.2% [12][21] - The fiberglass market remains stable, with prices for alkali-free roving around 3500-3600 RMB/ton, while electronic yarn prices are expected to remain stable due to tight supply [13] Consumption Building Materials - The real estate policy is expected to drive demand for high-quality building materials, with the "Good House" national standard promoting industry transformation [14][15] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the consumption building materials sector, particularly for leading companies [15] Recommended Stocks - Key recommended stocks include Weixing New Materials, Keda Manufacturing, Mona Lisa, Beixin Building Materials, Keshun Co., Dongpeng Holdings, with a focus on companies like China National Materials and Tianan New Materials [16][18]