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关税超预期下调,后续市场怎么看?——中美发布联合关税声明政策点评
华宝财富魔方· 2025-05-12 14:06
Core Viewpoint - The reduction of tariffs between the US and China is expected to significantly improve market sentiment and economic growth expectations, particularly benefiting export-related industries and sectors that have previously undergone substantial adjustments [1][2][4]. Group 1: Tariff Reduction Impact - The US has reduced tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, with specific adjustments made in February, March, and May [4][5]. - China has reciprocated by suspending its 24% tariffs on US goods, lowering the tax rate from 125% to 10% [4][5]. - The tariff reductions exceed market expectations, indicating a potential for improved trade relations [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Beneficiaries - Export-related industries such as new energy, machinery, and home appliances are expected to benefit directly from improved export channels and revised profit expectations [2]. - The TMT sector (telecommunications, media, and technology) is also likely to see a recovery due to improved market sentiment and increased trading activity [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The "see-saw" effect between stocks and bonds may lead some investors to shift funds towards equity markets, increasing pressure on interest rate bonds [2]. - The reduction in tariffs is anticipated to boost China's economic growth expectations, which may result in a phase of adjustment for long-term interest rate bonds [2].
选中国还是美国?韩国表态拒绝站队,话音刚落,文在寅突然发声
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 09:14
Group 1 - South Korea is seeking to engage in "calm and orderly" negotiations with the United States regarding trade issues, aiming to reach an agreement before July to avoid additional tariffs [1] - The South Korean delegation, including the Deputy Prime Minister and the Minister of Trade, met with U.S. officials to discuss the potential agreement, coinciding with the expiration of a 90-day tariff suspension by President Trump [1] - The U.S. has been increasingly exerting control over South Korea, with some commentators suggesting that South Korea is becoming a "puppet" of the U.S. in the context of strategic competition with China [3] Group 2 - The South Korean government is maintaining strategic ambiguity in its foreign policy, particularly regarding its stance towards China and the U.S., as it prepares for upcoming elections [5] - The current administration is cautious about rushing into an agreement with the U.S. due to potential political ramifications and the desire to avoid being seen as choosing sides in the U.S.-China rivalry [7] - Former President Moon Jae-in has publicly criticized the current government's actions, indicating a potential shift in South Korea's political landscape and its approach to international relations [7]