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孙波:90天关税调整期背后 出海企业有四个转型突围办法
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-05-30 15:33
Core Viewpoint - The recent reduction of tariffs between China and the U.S. is seen as a significant easing of trade tensions, with 91% of tariffs being canceled and 24% suspended for 90 days, which may lead to a rebound in Chinese exports and alleviate cost pressures for global businesses [1] Group 1: Short-term and Long-term Impacts - The tariff adjustments are expected to relieve cost pressures for global enterprises and stabilize supply chains, potentially leading to a "revenge growth" in exports from China in the third quarter [1] - The 90-day period is viewed as a critical opportunity for businesses to navigate the tariff dispute and optimize their supply chains [1] Group 2: Strategies for Overseas Expansion - Companies are advised to diversify markets, decentralize supply chains, and promote localization to mitigate risks associated with tariffs [2] - Emphasis is placed on selecting countries with abundant labor and favorable tariff conditions while avoiding double taxation [2] Group 3: Support for Low-Profit Industries - Recommendations for low-profit sectors like hardware and textiles include technological upgrades, production relocation, and product diversification to mitigate risks [3] - Government support should focus on technological transformation and incentives for overseas expansion to reduce tariff risks [3] Group 4: Addressing "Technological Decoupling" - High-tech companies are encouraged to enhance core technology research and development, reduce reliance on foreign technology, and deepen industry cooperation [4] - Expanding domestic and friendly markets while adjusting supply chain layouts is crucial for long-term sustainability [4] Group 5: International Agreements and Regional Cooperation - High-standard agreements like CPTPP and RCEP are expected to accelerate the internationalization of Guangdong enterprises, particularly in production and service sectors [5] - The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area should leverage its advantages to integrate with ASEAN, enhancing logistics and reducing costs [5] Group 6: Supply Chain Resilience - Companies should focus on expanding domestic consumption, re-evaluating market positioning, and enhancing brand strength to build resilient supply chains [6] - Future trade tensions may center around tariff issues related to re-exported goods and high-tech products, with potential exemptions for certain sectors [6]
2018贸易摩擦后,仪器外企在华营收的“逆势增长”与“拐点”
仪器信息网· 2025-04-22 06:20
导读: 2018年后,科学仪器行业在贸易摩擦中展现了复杂影响,美国企业在华营收曾逆势增长,但2023年后出现下滑,国产替代加速和技术脱钩趋势显现成关键 挑战。 特别提示 微信公众号机制调整,请点击顶部"仪器信息网" → 右上方"…" → 设为 ★ 星标,否则很可能无法看到我们的推送。 科学仪器行业,作为技术密集型产业,其供应链和市场需求往往对国际贸易环境高度敏感。2 0 1 8年的贸易摩擦,曾让行业一度担忧美国仪器企 业的在华业务。但现实的发展却充满了矛盾与意外。基于此,本文深入剖析2 0 1 9 - 2 0 2 3年间科学仪器企业在华营收数据,复盘贸易摩擦对该行 业造成的实际影响。同时,着眼于2 0 2 5年,探寻企业增强发展信心、从容应对复杂贸易形势的有效路径。 一、贸易摩擦下的"逆势增长":2 0 1 9 - 2 0 2 2年多重因素影响 2 0 1 8年贸易形势不稳定性突发,美国对包括质谱仪、色谱仪在内的科学仪器加征2 5%关税。然而,以赛默飞、丹纳赫、安捷伦、沃特世为代表 的美国仪器企业在华营收却 呈现"关税免疫"现象 。2 0 1 9 - 2 0 2 2年,四家企业中国区营收年均复合增长率保持在9 ...