Core Viewpoint - The market opened high but closed lower on November 11, with the three major indices collectively declining. In contrast, the Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) rose by 0.33%, closing at 1.231 yuan, indicating strong investor interest in this ETF despite broader market trends [1]. Fund Performance - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) achieved a price of 1.231 yuan with a 0.33% increase and a turnover rate of 1.16%, leading its category in trading volume with a half-day transaction amount of 3.01 billion yuan [2][3]. - The ETF has seen significant capital inflows, with a total circulating scale reaching 26.073 billion yuan as of November 10, 2025. Over the past 5, 10, 20, and 60 days, it recorded net capital inflows of 580 million yuan, 910 million yuan, 3.37 billion yuan, and 3.39 billion yuan, respectively, indicating strong medium to long-term investment interest [2][3]. Holdings and Market Sentiment - The top ten holdings of the ETF showed mixed performance, with COFCO Sugar reaching a daily limit up of 9.99%, while other banks experienced slight increases or declines. The overall market sentiment reflects a cautious but optimistic outlook on dividend-paying stocks [3][4]. - The total market value of the top ten holdings amounts to approximately 5.50 billion yuan, representing 27.47% of the ETF's total market value [4]. Industry Insights - Analysts from Huatai Securities express a positive outlook on the allocation value of dividend assets, noting that insurance capital is accelerating its allocation to dividend stocks, with the potential allocation demand for dividend assets estimated between 0.8 trillion to 1.6 trillion yuan over the next two to three years [4]. - The core of dividend investment lies in obtaining stable cash flows, with high-dividend assets typically associated with mature and stable profit-generating companies, offering both defensive and cyclical profit-driving characteristics [4]. Investment Strategy - The Dividend Low Volatility ETF (512890) was established in December 2018 and has shown stable historical performance. It is recommended for investors seeking steady returns through methods like dollar-cost averaging. Investors without stock accounts can also access it through its off-market linked funds [5].

Market Review - The equity market saw most major indices rise last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index leading at an increase of 1.08% [4][5] - The bond market experienced a slight increase in long and short-term interest rates, with the 10-year government bond rising by 1.88 basis points to 1.814% [8][10] - The fund market showed mixed results, with the equity fund index rising by 0.06% and the secondary bond fund index increasing by 0.12% [15][16] Equity Product Allocation Strategy - Event-driven strategies include focusing on funds related to carbon neutrality initiatives, such as Industrial Bank Eco-Environment A and Harvest New Energy Vehicle Leaders A [18] - The central bank's continuous gold purchases over the past 12 months suggest a favorable environment for gold-related investments, with funds like Huaan Gold ETF and Harvest Gold [18][20] - The overall asset allocation strategy emphasizes a balanced core and a barbell strategy, focusing on dividend and technology sectors [21][22] Stable Product Allocation Strategy - Recent market analysis indicates a net withdrawal of 15,722 billion yuan by the central bank, maintaining a balanced funding environment [25] - October export data showed a year-on-year decline of 1.1%, while CPI turned positive for the first time this year, indicating potential effects of domestic demand policies [26] - Key products to focus on include short-term bond funds like Nord Short Bond A and Guotai Li'an Medium and Short Bond A [31]

Group 1 - The market is expected to maintain a stable risk appetite and profit expectations as it enters a macroeconomic event and corporate financial data vacuum period from the end of this year to early next year [1] - The technology sector led the gains in Q3, while the dividend sector experienced an overall pullback; the combination of stable risk appetite, balanced market style, and medium to long-term capital allocation demand is likely to enhance the value of dividend asset allocation [1] Group 2 - In the oil and petrochemical sector, global crude oil supply and demand expectations are stable, with oil prices fluctuating within a range; leading companies possess high dividend yield advantages [1] - In the aviation sector, high passenger load factors, market-driven ticket pricing, and a slowdown in fleet growth are expected to support the continuous rise of industry profitability [1] - Hong Kong bank stocks have recently performed well, with higher dividend yields compared to A-shares; state-owned banks have an overall yield above 5%, making them more attractive to institutions seeking stable cash flow [1] - Tax advantages for insurance companies holding H-shares for over 12 months allow them to exempt corporate income tax on dividend income, further amplifying the appeal of high dividend characteristics [1] - Among A/H listed banks, except for China Merchants Bank, A-shares generally trade at a premium to H-shares, with the premium rate for the four major banks ranging from 23% to 35%, allowing for lower funding costs when allocating to Hong Kong bank stocks [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159117) rose by 1.15%, with the latest price at 1.06 yuan as of November 10, 2025 [1]

Group 1 - The demand for dividend asset allocation by insurance capital is increasing as of Q4 2025, with a record 31 instances of insurance capital stake acquisitions this year, marking a more than 50% year-on-year increase and surpassing the previous high in 2020, reaching the highest level since records began in 2015 [1][2] - Insurance capital has focused on dividend assets, particularly in the financial and public utility sectors, due to their high dividend yields and relatively low valuations, aligning well with the preferences of long-term funds [2][3] - The Hong Kong dividend ETFs, such as the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (513530) and the Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890), have shown significant performance, with one-year cumulative returns of 30.38% and 32.27% respectively, outperforming several mainstream dividend indices [4][5] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (513530) is the first ETF in the A-share market that can invest in the China Securities Index Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment Index through the QDII model, potentially reducing dividend tax costs for long-term holders [3][5] - The management of the Hong Kong Dividend ETFs is handled by Huatai-PB Fund, which has over 18 years of experience in index investment and has established a comprehensive range of dividend-themed ETFs [5][6] - The high dividend characteristics of Hong Kong dividend assets remain attractive as domestic interest rates are at historically low levels, with the one-year dividend yields of the tracked indices being 5.73% and 5.87%, which are notably higher than some A-share and Hong Kong mainstream dividend indices [2][3]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that during the balance sheet reduction cycle, the cost-effectiveness of stocks versus bonds is limited, with a higher probability favoring value-oriented styles [1] - Dividend stocks should exhibit three main characteristics: no balance sheet expansion, strong profitability, and sustainability [1] - The focus for dividend combinations is on industries such as banking, telecommunications, oil and petrochemicals, and transportation, which have stable dividend characteristics and currently low valuations relative to historical levels [1] Industry Analysis - The large-scale debt issuance has reduced local government financing costs and default risks, enhancing overall societal expectations [1] - The central bank's policy to prevent fund idling has strengthened the allocation value of dividend assets [1] ETF Insights - The Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720) tracks the State-Owned Dividend Index (000151), which selects stocks with high dividend characteristics, stable dividends, and good liquidity, primarily covering traditional sectors like finance, energy, and industry [1] - Notably, the Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720) has achieved monthly dividends since its listing, maintaining this for 18 consecutive months, making it one of the few ETFs to consistently distribute dividends since inception [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance and outlook of the AI Fund Shangyin State-owned Enterprise Dividend Mixed Initiation A, which reported a profit of 51.1 thousand yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net value growth rate of 2.61% [3] - As of September 3, 2025, the fund's unit net value was 1.075 yuan, and the fund manager, Chen Bo, has managed six funds with positive returns over the past year [3][5] - The fund's net asset value growth rates over different periods are as follows: -0.99% over the last three months, 6.87% over the last six months, and 10.03% over the last year, ranking 75/82, 67/82, and 74/80 among comparable funds respectively [5] Group 2 - The fund's weighted average price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is approximately 6.81 times, while the industry average is -1056.23 times; the weighted price-to-book ratio (LF) is about 0.66 times compared to the industry average of 1.55 times [9] - The weighted average revenue growth rate (TTM) for the stocks held by the fund is -0.03%, and the weighted average net profit growth rate (TTM) is 0.04% [15] - As of June 30, 2025, the fund's maximum drawdown since inception is 8.58%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q1 2025 at 4.41% [27] Group 3 - The fund's total assets amounted to 16.82 million yuan as of the end of the first half of 2025 [32] - The fund's top ten holdings include major companies such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and China Mobile [40] - The fund has a turnover rate of approximately 50.78% over the last six months, which is consistently lower than the industry average [38]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - Layout of the bottom - position is as important as flexible offense. A basket of "high - dividend × low - volatility" dividend assets can provide a natural "shock absorber" for the portfolio, and the combination can withstand extreme market conditions by suppressing volatility with stable cash flows and low β and then capturing market mismatches with the remaining positions [3]. - To amplify returns in the dividend pool, a dual - screening approach is more reliable than relying solely on the "high - dividend" indicator. Adding a second filter such as low - volatility, earnings quality, or institutional holdings can eliminate potential risks and further increase the returns of general dividend assets [3]. - On top of the dividend bottom - position, there are systematic excess opportunities from the left - to - right shift of the industrial cycle. Priority should be given to companies with stable cash flows despite pressured profits. Industries such as cement, silicone, and phosphate chemicals are currently in the preferred range, while the photovoltaic chain is still in a state of "double losses in profit and cash flow". The overall allocation strategy involves initially establishing an observation position, increasing the position after confirming the leading indicators of the profit inflection point, and exiting when profits weaken again or the gross margin is inverted [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Bottom - Position Allocation Necessity: "Pure Left" and "Pure Right" Are Not Desirable - In a market with an increasing industry rotation center, it is crucial to build a long - term core position first. A 15 - year quarterly rotation experiment on 31 Shenwan primary industries shows that both extreme left - side bottom - fishing and extreme right - side chasing result in single - digit annualized returns and significant drawdowns. In contrast, a dividend portfolio characterized by "high - dividend × low - volatility" can provide double - digit annualized returns and keep drawdowns within an acceptable range. Therefore, increasing the exposure of "high - dividend + low - β" in the bottom - position can provide a safety cushion for the portfolio [7]. - Dividend assets are the optimal core bottom - position in terms of return - to - drawdown. Historical stress tests show that the dividend index has shallower drawdowns, a stable 3 - year rolling Sharpe ratio, and does not require market timing in the long - term perspective. It also has higher probabilities of achieving positive returns in different holding periods compared to most broad - based and style indices [10][12][21]. 3.2 Dividend Yield Single - Factor Trap - Selecting stocks based solely on the "high - dividend" factor often leads to choosing high - volatility stocks with limited return increases and large drawdowns. Adding a second filter such as low - volatility or earnings quality can improve the overall cost - effectiveness. Statistical regression shows that the dividend yield alone has a weak explanatory power for future returns [29]. - Several case studies illustrate different types of "false high - dividend" traps. For example, some companies rely on one - time gains to support high dividends, some have high dividends due to falling stock prices rather than improved profitability, and some have high dividends at the peak of the business cycle or due to high leverage. To avoid these traps, specific financial and operational criteria need to be set [37][40][44]. 3.3 High - Dividend Smart - Beta's Distortion Risk - Modified dividend indices such as "Dividend Quality" and "Dividend Potential" have larger fluctuations and deeper drawdowns than the CSI Dividend Index. Their style drift and uncontrolled risk exposure lead to higher volatility, especially in bear markets. The main reasons are their high - concentration weighting, high - valuation requirements, and frequent chasing of market highs [60][64]. - The CSI Dividend Index selects 100 stocks based on a three - year dividend yield with a diversified weighting, while the Dividend Quality and Dividend Potential indices select 50 stocks by adding factors such as ROE and EPS growth, with a more concentrated and high - chasing weighting. As a result, they are more likely to suffer from double - kills of earnings and valuation when the market weakens [64]. 3.4 Potential Ways to Enhance Dividend Low - Volatility - **Dividend + Pricing Power Approach**: Traditional high - dividend indices have several drawbacks, including style drift, inclusion of high - risk high - dividend stocks, and right - side trading characteristics. A comprehensive scoring system based on pricing power, price - to - earnings ratio, and stability can be used to select the top 20 stocks for a portfolio. A ten - year back - test shows that this combination has better performance in terms of cumulative return, annualized return, and drawdown control compared to the CSI Dividend Index [83][84]. - **Considering Institutional Participation Rate**: Incorporating institutional holdings into high - dividend screening reveals that stocks with high institutional participation (≥20%) from stable - cash - flow industries have better risk - return profiles, including higher cumulative returns, greater upside potential, and controlled drawdowns. In contrast, stocks with low institutional participation (<20%) from cyclical industries perform less well. Therefore, combining high - dividends with institutional recognition can build a safer and more sustainable dividend portfolio [89]. 3.5 Bottom - Position Is Not Just Dividends: Quality Low - Volatility and Cash Cows - The "quality + low - volatility" dual - screened bottom - position established in June 2020 can achieve a balance between offense and defense. By filtering out high - leverage and low - resilience companies and compressing risk thresholds, it has achieved a five - year rolling net value increase of about 1.6 times, with stable single - digit annualized returns and significantly reduced volatility and drawdowns compared to ordinary low - volatility strategies [94]. - The long - term returns of dividend assets mainly come from stable dividends and profits rather than valuation increases. From 2014 - 2025, the annualized total returns of Dividend Low - Volatility and CSI Dividend after reinvestment were 13.9% and 13.2% respectively, with dividend contributions exceeding 9 percentage points and accounting for over 70% of the total returns [98]. - The cash - cow enhancement framework uses six dimensions to examine potential risks in high - dividend portfolios and provides corresponding enhancement measures. These measures include equal - weighting industries and quality sorting to address concentration risks, using free - cash - flow and growth thresholds to eliminate "high - dividend traps", and implementing valuation gates and hedging strategies to manage valuation risks [108]. 3.6 Industrial Cycle Reversal: From Left to Right - At the inflection point of the industrial cycle, multi - dimensional indicators such as fundamentals, inventory, price, valuation, and funds often show concurrent inflection points. The consistency in the industry dimension, from raw material prices to mid - stream production and downstream demand, can improve the reliability of inflection - point signals. For example, the anti - involution market rhythm is often in line with this "consistency chain" [111][112]. - At the company level, by dividing samples into leading, mid - stream, and tail companies, monitoring the second - order derivatives of 10 key indicators can help identify the acceleration of marginal improvements in demand, pricing, or cash flows. When at least three indicators in any two of the three sample layers show positive second - order derivatives, it can be regarded as a company - level consistency inflection point [114]. - The industrial cycle reversal framework uses a "three - light" approach to determine investment opportunities. When the three conditions of valuation repair, profit - cash flow resonance improvement, and completion of inventory reduction and demand expansion are met simultaneously, it indicates a three - dimensional resonance of supply - demand, profit, and sentiment, and investors can make aggressive investments. Otherwise, they should continue to hold the dividend bottom - position [115].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Since July, the convertible bond ETFs have significantly expanded. Investors share the returns of the equity market by betting on passive tools. Driven by the equity market and the inflow of fixed - income funds, the convertible bond index has reached a new high. At present, with both high prices and valuations, the anti - decline and protective properties of convertible bonds have weakened significantly. After the convertible bond index reaches new highs, it is recommended to adjust the structure instead of increasing the index position. Potential opportunities can be explored from three aspects: "anti - involution", underlying stock elasticity, and dividend allocation [1][2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 1 转债周度思考 - In the past week, after adjustments, both the equity market and the convertible bond market rose again, and the convertible bond index reached a new high. The Shanghai Composite Index returned above 3600 points, the CSI Convertible Bond Index reached a new high, the Wind Convertible Bond Equal - Weighted Index rose 2.73% in the past week, and the underlying stock equal - weighted index of convertible bonds rose 3.00%. The median price of convertible bonds has exceeded 130 yuan, and the valuations of equity - like and balanced convertible bonds continue to expand [2]. - Since July, the convertible bond ETFs have significantly expanded. The share of two convertible bond ETFs has rapidly increased, with a 27% month - on - month increase compared to the end of June, and the scale has exceeded 5.72 billion yuan. Considering that some active funds are also making index - based layouts, the scale of index - based investment tools is expected to exceed 6.5 billion yuan. The holders of ETFs are mainly absolute - return funds such as banks and insurance companies, which invest in convertible bond ETFs to share the equity market's upward trend since late June and enhance returns by increasing positions in convertible bond indices [2]. - At present, with both high prices and valuations, the anti - decline and protective properties of convertible bonds have weakened significantly. Although the equity market is generally expected to be in a slow - bull state with a relatively low possibility of a large - scale pullback, the high point of the equity market within the year is unclear. After this round of increase, the price center of convertible bonds has generally risen, and the median has exceeded 130 yuan. With the continuous inflow of funds, the valuation has also been stretched. For some individual bonds in the 120 - 130 yuan price range that have risen with the market, the current median conversion premium rate is 40%, and the investment cost - effectiveness is average. Under the condition that the fundamentals of individual bonds cannot change significantly in the short term and the call - at - par - value - at - 130 clause is in place, the anti - decline and protective properties of these convertible bonds with a higher price center and premium rate have weakened significantly [2]. - After the convertible bond index reaches new highs, it is recommended to adjust the structure instead of increasing the index position. The state of convertible bonds in a relatively mild stock - bond market remains unchanged, and there are still opportunities for convertible bonds to perform. Since July, the number of callable convertible bonds has increased, and the supply - demand contradiction of convertible bonds still exists, which supports the valuation and performance of convertible bonds. Absolute - return funds can take partial profits or adjust the structure while keeping the overall position unchanged. It is recommended to explore opportunities along three lines: (1) Pay attention to industries where some backward production capacities are being cleared as "anti - involution" progresses in various industries; (2) Focus on equity - like and balanced convertible bonds with high - volatility and low - premium underlying stocks. Industries such as electronics and semiconductors are expected to experience marginal recovery due to tariff easing, and innovative drug convertible bond targets are scarce; (3) The allocation value of dividend assets remains high, and low - volatility bottom - position convertible bonds are worth attention [2]. 3.2 2 可转债市场跟踪 3.2.1 2.1 可转债行情方面 - The report provides the performance data of various convertible bond indices in different time periods, including the past week, two weeks, since July, one month, two months, half - year, and one year. For example, the Wind Convertible Bond Energy Index rose 2.60% in the past week, 6.81% since July, and 21.79% in the past year [12]. 3.2.2 2.2 转债个券方面 No specific analysis content for this part is provided in the text other than the section title. 3.2.3 2.3 转债估值方面 No specific analysis content for this part is provided in the text other than the section title. 3.2.4 2.4 转债价格方面 No specific analysis content for this part is provided in the text other than the section title.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the power and gas sectors, including China Power, Huaneng International, and Kunlun Energy, among others [49][51]. Core Insights - The adjustment of capacity prices for coal and gas power plants in Guangdong is expected to improve profitability for gas power plants significantly, with capacity prices increasing by 65% to 296% depending on the type of gas plant [4][10]. - The rapid development of renewable energy installations in Guangdong has increased the reliance on coal power for flexible peak regulation, with renewable energy capacity reaching 59.13 million kW by the end of 2024, accounting for 26.6% of the total installed capacity [9][10]. - The report highlights the geopolitical factors affecting natural gas prices, with European gas prices experiencing a slight increase due to renewed geopolitical tensions, while U.S. gas prices remain stable [13][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - Guangdong has raised the capacity price for coal power plants to 165 RMB per kW per year starting January 1, 2026, and for gas power plants, prices will range from 165 to 396 RMB per kW per year starting August 1, 2025 [8][10]. - The increase in capacity prices is expected to provide annual revenue boosts of 1.72 billion RMB for Guangdong Power A and 350 million RMB for Guangzhou Development [11]. 2. Gas Sector - As of August 1, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price is $3.00/mmBtu, while the TTF spot price in Europe is €32.95/MWh, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 2.74% [13][14]. - The report notes that the domestic LNG price is 4388 RMB per ton, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.06% [32]. 3. Market Review - The gas sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, while the public utility, power, and environmental sectors lagged behind [39]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has released guidelines to enhance the management of natural gas pipeline transportation prices, promoting transparency and optimizing resource allocation [37]. - The report discusses the performance of key companies, including Huaneng International and Inner Mongolia Huadian, with varying revenue and profit trends [44].

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing volatility and differentiation, with sectors such as banking, coal, and steel undergoing collective pullbacks. However, the Hang Seng Low Volatility ETF (159545) has seen significant net inflows, indicating strong investor interest in dividend-paying assets amid a low-interest-rate environment [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Low Volatility ETF (159545) has recorded nearly 100 million shares in net subscriptions during intraday trading, reflecting accelerated capital inflow into ETFs [1]. - The ETF has achieved a historical milestone with over 2.6 billion shares and a total scale exceeding 3.8 billion yuan, marking the highest growth rate among all dividend ETFs this year [1]. Group 2: Investment Trends - There is a noticeable trend of capital shifting from bonds to equity assets, driven by improved domestic economic expectations and stable macroeconomic policies [1]. - The decline in risk-free interest rates and favorable equity market performance are prompting investors to adjust their asset allocations towards dividend stocks [1]. Group 3: Dividend Focus - The peak season for annual dividend distributions has begun since June, making dividend yields a focal point for market participants [1]. - The Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index, which comprises 50 liquid stocks with consistent dividends and moderate payout ratios, currently offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.8% [2].