Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show a "two-eight differentiation" trend, with banking and real estate sectors leading, while technology stocks, particularly those related to AI, have shown weakness [1] - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.40% to 3931.05 points, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76% to 12980.82 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.12% to 3042.34 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 170.81 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.7 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 3800 stocks declining [1] Group 2: Banking Sector Performance - Bank stocks have been a key factor in stabilizing the market, with China Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China reaching historical highs, with market capitalizations of over 2 trillion yuan and 2.9475 trillion yuan respectively [1] - The report from Kaiyuan Securities emphasizes the importance of focusing on banks' growth potential and long-term value, suggesting a base allocation in large state-owned banks and flexible allocation in quality regional banks [2] Group 3: Real Estate Sector Insights - The real estate sector showed positive movement, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index rising by 0.33% and the construction materials index increasing by 1.40% [2] - Data from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development indicates that from January to October, the transaction area of second-hand homes increased by 4.7% year-on-year, with second-hand homes accounting for 44.8% of total transactions [2] Group 4: Technology Sector Analysis - Recent fluctuations in the technology sector have raised concerns about valuation bubbles and the sustainability of AI investments, with a focus on valuation corrections rather than fundamental changes [4] - Despite the volatility, leading tech companies' revenue growth has met expectations, and the return on AI investments continues to accelerate, indicating ongoing potential in the underlying technology [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the chemical industry, including Sinopec, Jiangshan Co., and others [9][19]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the significant price increases in products such as toluene (up 25.22%) and liquid chlorine (up 13.73%), while products like butadiene and vinyl acetate saw notable declines [4][5][16]. - It suggests focusing on investment opportunities in areas such as import substitution, domestic demand, and high dividend stocks, particularly in light of the current international oil price fluctuations [6][19]. - The report anticipates that the international oil price will stabilize around $65 per barrel, which could benefit companies with high dividend yields and those that are sensitive to raw material price declines [6][19]. Summary by Sections Chemical Industry Investment Suggestions - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring sectors like glyphosate, fertilizers, and high-dividend assets for potential investment opportunities [19]. - It recommends companies like Jiangshan Co., Xingfa Group, and Yangnong Chemical, which are expected to enter a favorable economic cycle [19]. - The report also highlights the resilience of domestic chemical fertilizer and certain pesticide sectors, suggesting a focus on companies like China Heartland Fertilizer and Hualu Hengsheng [19]. Price Trends and Market Analysis - The report notes that while some chemical products have rebounded in price, the overall industry remains weak, with mixed performance across sub-sectors [17][19]. - It provides detailed price movements for various chemicals, indicating a general trend of price increases for certain products and declines for others [4][5][16]. - The report discusses the impact of OPEC's decisions on oil prices and how this affects the chemical industry, particularly in terms of raw material costs [6][20]. Company Focus and Earnings Forecast - The report includes a detailed earnings forecast for key companies, with a focus on their expected EPS and PE ratios for the coming years [9]. - Companies such as Sinopec, Jiangshan Co., and others are highlighted for their strong market positions and potential for growth [9][19]. - The report suggests that companies with strong asset quality and high dividend yields, like the "three barrels of oil," will benefit from the current market conditions [19].

今日早盘，银行股再度发力，石化、交运等高股息板块也有一定表现，带动红利类指数走强。截至午间收盘，中证红利低波动指数上涨1.3%，中证红 利价值指数上涨0.9%，中证红利指数上涨0.7%，恒生港股通高股息低波动指数上涨0.2%，恒生红利低波ETF（159545）半日净申购约1000万份。 | 恒生红利低波ETF ( √ | | | | 159545 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 跟踪恒生港股通高股息低波动指数 | | | | | | 该指数由港股通范围内50只流动性 较好、连续分红、红利支付率适中 | 截至午间收盘 | 该指数 | 该指数自2017年 | 该指数股息率 | | 且波动率较低的股票组成,反映分 | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 以来估值分位 | | | 红水平高且波动率低的港股通范围 | | | | | | 内上市公司整体表现,金融、工业、 | 0. 2% | 7.8倍 | 89. 8% | 5.8% | | 能源行业占比超65% | | | | | 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈 ...

高股息风格个股今日（11月20日）强势崛起。聚焦"高股息+低估值"大盘蓝筹股的价值ETF（510030） 开盘后单边上行，截至发稿，场内价格涨1.18%。 价值投资，选择"价值"！价值ETF（510030）紧密跟踪上证180价值指数，该指数以上证180指数为样本 空间，从中选取价值因子评分最高的60只股票作为样本股，覆盖20只银行股！上证180价值指数成份股 均为"低估值+高股息"大盘蓝筹股，包括中国平安、招商银行、工商银行等金融板块龙头股，以及基 建、资源等板块龙头股，成份股股息率高，在波动行情中具有较好的防御属性。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等，截至 2025.11.20 。 风险提示：价值 ETF 被动跟踪上证 180 价值指数，该指数基日为 2002.6.28 ，发布于 2009.1.9 ，指数成份股 构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，指数回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中提及个股仅为指数成 份股客观展示列举，不作为任何个股推荐，不代表基金管理人和基金投资方向。任何在本文出现的信息 （包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须 对任何自主决定的投资行为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Pulaide has experienced a decline of 2.02% on November 19, with a current price of 28.15 CNY per share, reflecting a market capitalization of 2.764 billion CNY. The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 34.92% but has faced a recent decline over the past five trading days [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Pulaide achieved a revenue of 697 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.74%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 61.5 million CNY, marking an increase of 11.01% compared to the previous year [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Pulaide was 8,602, a decrease of 2.42% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 2.48% to 3,706 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Pulaide has distributed a total of 59.27 million CNY in dividends [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, notable changes in the top ten circulating shareholders included the exit of several funds such as Nuoan Multi-Strategy Mixed A and Huaxia CSI 500 Index Enhanced A [3].

Macro Strategy - In 2026, the narrow deficit is expected to reach 5.94 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 276.5 billion yuan year-on-year, while the broad deficit is projected to be 14.54 trillion yuan, up about 167 billion yuan year-on-year, with a broad deficit rate of approximately 9.8%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points [1][13] - The total fiscal expenditure in 2026 is anticipated to be 43.54 trillion yuan, growing by 3.2% year-on-year, which is a slowdown compared to the previous year's growth rate [1][13] Foreign Trade - China's exports are expected to maintain strong resilience in 2026, with an annual growth rate of around 3%-4%, compared to an estimated 4.5%-5% in 2025 [2][14][15] - The impact of tariffs on exports is expected to ease, with the likelihood of large-scale tariff increases from the U.S. being relatively low [2][15] Industry Analysis - The 2025 Double Eleven sales event saw total e-commerce sales reach approximately 16,950 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.2%, with comprehensive e-commerce platforms accounting for 16,191 billion yuan, up 12.3% year-on-year [6] - The coal industry is projected to experience a weak equilibrium in supply and demand, leading to fluctuating coal prices in the first half of 2026, with a focus on high-dividend investment logic [7][8] Company Insights - Leap Motor's Q3 performance maintained positive profitability, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 700 million, 3.3 billion, and 6.8 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 103, 21, and 11 times [9] - Geely's Q3 results met expectations, with an upward revision of the 2025 net profit forecast to 18.1 billion yuan, while the 2026 and 2027 forecasts were adjusted downwards to 19.5 billion and 27.2 billion yuan respectively [11] - Tencent's overall performance exceeded expectations, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 255.5 billion, 285.8 billion, and 318.2 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [12]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨建筑与工程 [Table_Title] 重视年底高股息标的的配置价值 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 建筑板块具备估值低、机构持仓少、市值容量大、优质标的展望稳健等核心特性。市场高低切， 建筑行业优选 4 大方向：1）三季报业绩好，具备更强短期业绩确定性。2）股息率高，具备更 强的持股安全垫。3）长期成长性强。4）绝对估值低的大市值权重标的。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520080022 SAC：S0490522060005 SAC：S0490525070008 SAC：S0490525080003 SFC：BUT917 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 龚子逸 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 建筑与工程 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 重视年底高股息标的的配置价值 [Table_Summary2] 2026 年保险业"开门红"启幕，增量资金有望加速入市 从行业惯例来看，每年 10 月到次年 2 月，险企会集中推出高吸引力产品。11 月 9 日，北京商 ...

截至收盘，沪指跌0.46%报3972.03点，深证成指跌0.11%报13202点，创业板指跌0.2%报3105.2点，上证 50指数跌0.87%，北证50指数涨0.81%，沪深北三市合计成交19305亿元。 盘面上看，保险、银行、券商、医药、电力等板块走低，军工、煤炭、地产等板块拉升，锂矿、AI应 用、华为算力概念等活跃。 11月17日，沪指盘中震荡下探，创业板指盘中大幅下行，尾盘跌幅有所收窄；北证50指数逆市上扬。 光大证券表示，市场大方向或仍处在牛市中，不过短期或进入宽幅震荡阶段。与往年牛市相比，当前指 数仍然有相当大的上涨空间，但是在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下，牛市持续的时间或许要比涨幅更 加重要。不过短期来看，市场可能缺乏强力催化，叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于稳健，股市短 期或以震荡蓄势为主。配置方面，短期关注防御及消费板块，中期继续关注TMT和先进制造板块。市 场处于震荡阶段时，前期滞涨方向可能表现会更好，对应于本轮即为高股息及消费板块。中期来看，流 动性驱动行情下，行情中期TMT更容易成为主线，本轮或许也会如此。若行情转向基本面驱动，考虑 到当前行情或正处于中期，先进制造值得重点关注。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary sector, including Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric, Anta Sports, and others [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in mid-to-high-end consumption and increased focus on high-dividend A/H stocks, which has driven attention to sub-sectors within discretionary consumption [1][4]. - Various sub-sectors have shown different performance trends, with overseas sportswear leading the gains, followed by luxury goods and domestic sportswear [4][12]. Performance Review by Sub-Sector - **Weekly Performance**: Overseas sportswear increased by 6.8%, luxury goods by 5.2%, and domestic sportswear by 3.8%. In contrast, the pet sector saw a decline of 5.8% [4][12]. - **Monthly Performance**: The gambling sector led with an 8.4% increase, while domestic cosmetics experienced a significant decline of 14.3% [12]. - **Year-to-Date Performance**: The gold and jewelry sector outperformed with a 137.2% increase, while overseas sportswear saw a decline of 21.5% [12]. Sub-Sector Analysis - **Overseas Sportswear**: Notable gains driven by strong Q3 FY25 earnings, particularly in EMEA and Asia-Pacific regions, alleviating market concerns [6][15]. - **Luxury Goods**: Companies like Samsonite and Burberry reported better-than-expected earnings, boosting market confidence [6][15]. - **Domestic Sportswear**: OEM companies confirmed growth expectations for 2026 orders, contributing to positive stock performance [6][15]. - **Gold and Jewelry**: The sector benefited from rising international gold prices and favorable tax regulations in Hong Kong and Macau [8][15]. - **Pet Sector**: Experienced a decline post Double Eleven sales, with increased competition among brands [15]. Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that most sub-sectors are trading below their historical five-year average P/E ratios, suggesting potential undervaluation [9][16]. - **Projected P/E Ratios for 2025**: - Overseas sportswear: 29.1x (55% of historical average) - Domestic sportswear: 14.8x (78% of historical average) - Gold and jewelry: 23.8x (45% of historical average) - Luxury goods: 27.0x (49% of historical average) [9][16].

Core Insights - The market is currently experiencing fluctuations, with a notable adjustment in the AI sector, particularly in the ChiNext AI index, which saw a decline of over 3% in a single day, indicating a broader market correction [3][4] - The banking sector is showing strong performance, with the China Securities Banking Index rising over 9% since October, significantly outperforming the broader market and the ChiNext index by nearly 13% [4][6] - High dividend yields and low valuations in the banking sector are attracting investor interest, especially in a low-interest-rate environment [4][6] Market Temperature - The market temperature gauge indicates a mixed sentiment, with the Shanghai Composite Index at a 99.09% percentile, Shenzhen Component Index at 84.36%, and ChiNext Index at 43% [1] Sector Performance - The top three sectors with net inflows include Defense and Military (846 million), Real Estate (545 million), and Construction Decoration (471 million) [2] - The sectors with the largest net outflows are Electronics (-14.608 billion), Electric Equipment (-8.542 billion), and Chemical Engineering (-5.713 billion) [2] ETF Performance - The banking ETF (512800) has shown a 0.85% increase on the day and a 4.82% increase over the past six months, indicating strong investor confidence [3][6] - The AI-focused ChiNext ETF (159363) has experienced a significant decline, reflecting the broader market's adjustment in technology stocks [3][4] Investment Strategy - The current investment strategy in the banking sector is supported by its high dividend yield and stable operational characteristics, making it attractive for investors seeking safety and income [4][6] - The AI hardware and computing sectors are expected to remain key market drivers in the upcoming year, despite recent volatility [4]