泰国财政部：第一季度GDP同比增长预计接近3%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the Vietnamese economy, with a projected GDP growth target of 8% for 2025, supported by increased public investment and domestic consumption [4][27]. Core Insights - Vietnam's GDP growth accelerated to 6.9% in Q1 2025, up from 5.9% in Q1 2024, driven by increases in domestic consumption and investment [2][11]. - Retail sales saw a significant increase of 10.8% year-on-year in March 2025, marking the highest monthly growth in nearly two years, attributed to rising wages and improved purchasing power [20][21]. - Industrial production improved with a year-on-year growth of 8.6% in March 2025, compared to 4.8% in March 2024, driven by sectors such as apparel, electronics, and machinery [13][31]. - Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) commitments decreased by 9.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid global trade uncertainties, although FDI disbursements remained resilient [17][18]. Economic Performance - The average monthly income in the first three months of 2025 rose by 9.5% compared to the same period in 2024, leading to a real wage growth of 6% [20]. - The inflation rate in March 2025 increased to 3.1%, driven by rising food and housing prices, but remained below the State Bank of Vietnam's target of 4.5-5% for 2025 [22][23]. - The trade surplus decreased to $3.2 billion in Q1 2025, down from $7.7 billion in Q1 2024, due to a slowdown in export growth to 10.6% from 16.8% [11][12]. Fiscal Overview - Fiscal revenue in the first quarter of 2025 reached 36.7% of the annual budget, up from 31.7% in the same period of 2024, primarily due to increased VAT and corporate income tax collections [3][27]. - Public investment disbursement rates slowed to 9.5% of the annual plan by the end of March 2025, compared to 12.3% in the previous year, posing challenges for achieving the GDP growth target [27].

俄罗斯经济部：俄罗斯一季度GDP增长1.7%。 ...

俄罗斯经济部：俄罗斯一季度GDP同比增长1.7%，3月GDP同比增长1.4%。（国际文传通讯社） ...

西班牙预计2025年GDP增长2.6%，预计2026年GDP增长2.2%。 ...

泰国央行：在基准情景下，预计2026年GDP增长1.8%。 ...

智通财经4月30日电，法国第一季度GDP同比增长0.8%，预估为0.7%。法国第一季度GDP环比增长 0.1%，预测为0.1%。 ...

Core Insights - The U.S. trade deficit in March increased by 9.6% month-over-month, reaching $162 billion, significantly exceeding market expectations [1][3]. Import Analysis - In March, U.S. imports rose by 5% to $342.7 billion, primarily driven by consumer goods such as phones, computers, pharmaceuticals, and clothing [3]. - The surge in imports may be attributed to companies accelerating imports ahead of large-scale tariff policies in the U.S. [3]. - Non-monetary gold imports also contributed to the overall increase in imports, marking the fourth consecutive month of record-high import levels [3]. - Year-over-year, U.S. imports in March increased by 31%, with consumer goods imports rising by 27.5% [3]. Export Analysis - U.S. exports of manufactured goods grew by 1.2% in March, but analysts warn that reciprocal tariff measures from other countries could exert downward pressure on exports [4]. - Retail inventories decreased by 0.1%, while wholesale inventories saw a slight increase of 0.5% [4]. Economic Impact - The significant trade deficit increase may negatively impact the upcoming first-quarter GDP data, with some analysts predicting a contraction of 1.1% [3]. - As companies rush to import goods to avoid tariffs, demand for foreign products may be suppressed in the coming months, as indicated by a decrease in the number of ships scheduled to arrive in the U.S. in May [4].

波兰政府预计，2026年GDP将增长3.5%，2027年增长3.0%，2028年增长2.7%，2029年增长2.6%。 ...

西班牙正受益于强劲的服务业，这超出了疫情后旅游业的提振。不过，该国央行最近提出了一个问题， 即该国能否继续以明显快于其两个主要贸易伙伴法国和德国的速度增长。 欧元区第四大经济体将率先公布第一季GDP，欧元区其他主要成员国将于周三公布数据。法国的经济增 长率预计只有0.1%，而德国、意大利和更广泛的欧元区经济预计将增长0.2%。与此同时，该地区的通 胀正在减速。预计将于周五公布的CPI年率将为2.1%。 智通财经APP获悉，西班牙以消费为主导的经济又一次实现增长，但本周的大规模停电可能会对经济增 长造成影响。周二公布的数据显示，西班牙第一季度季调后GDP环比增长0.6%，同比增长2.8%，不过 均略低于预期和前值。与此同时，西班牙4月CPI同比上升2.2%，高于预期中值，也略高于欧洲央行2% 的目标。不包括能源和部分食品成本的核心CPI，从2%加速至2.5%，也高于预期。 西班牙是欧元区最大的国家中表现突出的国家，上周国际货币基金组织(IMF)上调了西班牙2025年的经 济展望，预计今年GDP将增长2.5%。然而，周一的停电(也影响了葡萄牙)可能会影响这一预测。彭博经 济警告称，潜在的打击"接近季度GDP的0. ...