特朗普在社交媒体Truth Social上发帖称，他将于周四举行记者会，宣布"与一个备受尊敬大国代表达成 的重大贸易协议"。新闻发布会定于华盛顿时间周四上午10点(北京时间周四晚间10点)在椭圆形办公室 举行，但没有详细说明是哪个国家，也没有说明任何潜在协议的范围或细节。特朗普补充说，这将 是"众多协议中的第一个"。 《纽约时报》当地时间周三最新报道称，据三位知情人士透露，特朗普总统预计于周四宣布美国将与英 国达成贸易协议。受此报道影响，英镑延续涨势。 本周四（5月7日）欧市盘中，COMEX黄金遭遇抛售，目前最新价格报3348.20美元/盎司，跌幅0.72%， 今日开盘于3373.10美元/盎司，最高上探3422.00美元/盎司，最低触及3325.40美元/盎司。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 本交易，投资者聚焦特朗普贸易谈判方面的"重大消息"，预计将对市场风险情绪产生影响，从而对美 股、美元和黄金等资产走势起到指引作用。 美国总统特朗普当地时间周三表示，他计划周四举行新闻发布会，事关与一个备受尊敬的大国的重大贸 易协议。该消息传出后，美股期货上涨。 英国央行今日将发布最新的经济预测，投资者 ...

止损，永远是对的，错了也对！ 死扛，永远是错的，对了也错！ 横批：止损无条件！ 如果没有交易原则，那么，一切技术等于零！ 凌晨美联储年内第三次维持利率不变，美联储主席鲍威尔继续硬钢特朗普，对黄金而言构成利空！不过，美联储利率决议期间，黄金波动有限，主要因为特 朗普重返白宫后开启的全球"关税大战"成了市场的焦点，同时全球地缘局势云波诡谲，使得美联储影响力大打折扣！ 经过昨天欧美盘折腾后，今天先看区间，重点3360区域支撑，上方重点3400区域压制。向下破位，行情进一步走空，关注回撤3325--3300大关；向上突破， 则看涨3420--3440，甚至冲击历史新高！操作上，3360-3400区间内高抛低吸不追单，打破区间则顺势跟进一波！ 白银，窄幅波动，方向跟着黄金；昨天冲高33.3后大跌，接下来继续关注高空，短线32.2-32区域支撑先看反弹！ 昨天央妈降息降准，以应对当前市场不确定性，似乎影响并不大。当前，市场不缺钱，缺的是信心！消费贷款助力经济也就罢了，连养老都需要贷款了，也 是没法说。 基本面上，地缘局势依然是焦点，印巴冲突牵动全球的神经；俄乌和谈难以达成，冲突随时进一步加剧；美伊谈判各有各的底线，也是死 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% for the third consecutive time, while continuing to reduce its holdings of Treasury and MBS at the current pace [6]. Economic Conditions - The unemployment rate has stabilized, and the labor market remains resilient, but risks of high unemployment and inflation have increased. Economic uncertainty has further risen, although economic activity continues to expand at a "steady pace" despite fluctuations in net exports [7]. Interest Rate Outlook - The current uncertainty requires the Federal Reserve to remain patient, with all members supporting this wait-and-see approach. There is no immediate need to adjust rates, and the Fed can act swiftly if circumstances change [8]. Inflation Outlook - Short-term inflation expectations have risen, while long-term expectations remain aligned with targets. The persistence of inflation will depend on the scale, timing, and expectations surrounding tariffs [9]. Employment Outlook - Wage growth has continued to slow, and the labor market is at or near maximum employment levels. Consideration of the distance and time to bridge any gaps between dual objectives is necessary [10]. Economic Slowdown - There are no signs of economic slowdown in actual data, and the economy remains robust. However, uncertainty is high, and the risks of economic downturn have increased [11]. Tariff Impact - Tariffs have been larger than expected, but no significant economic impact has been observed from tariff data so far. The inflation effects of policies may be temporary, and ongoing trade negotiations could substantially change the situation [12]. Market Reactions - The CME "FedWatch" tool indicates varying probabilities for future interest rate changes, with a notable percentage expecting the Fed to maintain rates or implement a 25 basis point cut [14][15]. Institutional Analysis - Analysts from various institutions suggest that the Federal Reserve is in a wait-and-see mode, with good employment data supporting the current stance. There is a consensus that a more significant rate cut may be necessary if the Fed waits too long [16][19][21].

巴西央行：一致决定通过此次利率决议。 ...

美联储FOMC将于十分钟后公布利率决议。 ...

今日重点关注的财经数据与事件：2025年5月8日 周四 ① 02:00 美联储FOMC公布利率决议 ② 02:30 美联储主席鲍威尔召开新闻发布会 ③ 10:00 国新办举行新闻发布会 ④ 14:00 德国3月季调后工业产出月率 ⑤ 14:00 德国3月季调后贸易帐 ⑥ 14:00 英国4月Halifax季调后房价指数月率 ⑦ 15:00 商务部召开5月第1次例行新闻发布会 ⑧ 19:02 英国央行公布利率决议及货币政策报告 ⑨ 20:30 美国至5月3日当周初请失业金人数 ⑩ 22:00 美国3月批发销售月率 相关链接 ⑪ 22:30 美国至5月2日当周EIA天然气库存 ⑫ 23:00 美国4月纽约联储1年通胀预期 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global market is awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which will clarify the impact of U.S. tariffs on inflation and interest rate outlooks [1][4][5]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25% to 4.5%, with a 99% probability of pausing rate cuts [5][6]. - The next anticipated rate cut is pushed to July, with expectations of two to three cuts by the end of the year [6]. - Market participants are particularly interested in how Fed Chair Powell will address tariff policies and their implications for inflation during the upcoming press conference [6][7]. Group 2: Tariff Negotiations and Market Reactions - Ongoing tariff negotiations are causing fluctuations in the U.S. stock market, with Vice President Pence indicating discussions with the EU to open markets for U.S. goods [2][3]. - The EU is prepared to impose 20% tariffs on nearly €100 billion worth of U.S. goods if negotiations fail [3]. - Major U.S. tech stocks showed mixed performance, with notable declines in Google and Microsoft, while Amazon saw a rise of over 2% [2]. Group 3: Economic Indicators and Market Sentiment - Concerns about inflation and the labor market are influencing the Fed's decision-making process, with a focus on employment data as a key reference [6][7]. - The relationship between President Trump and Powell is under scrutiny, as Powell aims to maintain the Fed's independence while addressing market concerns [7].

美联储利率决议来袭，黄金震荡走势不变，今晚能否转风向？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点击进入直 播间观看>> 相关链接 ...

美联储5月利率决议在即，预期按兵不动，市场在期待什么？金十研究员高阳GMA行情分析中，点击进 入直播间 相关链接 ...

上天天基金APP搜索【777】领 98 元券包 ，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 积极的预期正在展现！ 今天早上，美股在隔夜大跌之后，期指迎来了大幅拉升行情。与此同时，人民币亦迎来大幅反弹行情，离岸人民币 兑美元一度大涨近200点，并一举突破7.19，比特币也出现了较为明显的反弹行情。 日经225指数开盘涨0.3%，三菱商事、东京电子涨潮1%。 韩国KOSPI指数涨0.8%。 美国财长贝森特在一份声明中表示："我期待进行富有成效的会谈，我们将努力重新平衡国际经济体系，更好地服务 于美国的利益。" 美国贸易代表格里尔办公室也表示，他在日内瓦期间"还将与中华人民共和国的同行会面，讨论贸易问题"。格里尔 说："根据特朗普总统的指示，我正在与各国进行谈判，重新平衡我们的贸易关系，实现互惠，开拓新市场，并保护 美国的经济和国家安全。" 另外的变量 此外，亦有其他的积极变量出现。 从消息面上看，令到海内外市场集体大涨的主要原因有两个：一是何立峰副总理作为中美经贸中方牵头人，将在访 问瑞士期间，与美方牵头人美国财长贝森特举行会谈。市场倾向于认为，这是一个积极的开始；二是国务院新闻办 公室将于今日上午9时举行新闻发 ...