产业升级
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2025年上海房地产市场回顾
CBRE· 2026-01-09 11:08
Investment Rating - The report indicates a stable investment outlook for the Shanghai real estate market, with a focus on the resilience of the TMT sector and emerging consumer trends [4][14]. Core Insights - The Shanghai office market saw a net absorption of approximately 390,000 square meters in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 76.6%, driven primarily by the TMT sector, which accounted for 20% of the demand [7][14]. - The retail market experienced a total net absorption of 678,000 square meters, with fashion and outdoor brands leading the growth, while the logistics sector achieved a historical high in net absorption at 1.07 million square meters [17][26]. - The investment market showed signs of recovery with 97 transactions recorded, totaling 47.4 billion RMB, despite a year-on-year decline in transaction volume and value [43][49]. Office Market Summary - In 2025, the Shanghai office market recorded 11 new projects with a total area of 792,000 square meters, but the overall pre-leasing rate was below 10%, leading to a vacancy rate increase of 1.2 percentage points to 23.3% [7][9]. - The TMT sector surpassed the financial industry in demand, with significant contributions from gaming, e-commerce, and AI companies [7][10]. - Major districts such as Lujiazui and Wujiaochang showed strong demand, with Lujiazui accounting for 7.8% of the market share [8][11]. Retail Market Summary - The retail market saw 708,000 square meters of new supply, with fashion apparel driving 43.4% of the demand, particularly from outdoor and Korean brands [17][18]. - The dining sector maintained a steady demand, accounting for 21% of the market, with a notable rise in health-oriented food options [18][19]. - The market is expected to see over 1.29 million square meters of new supply in 2026, driven by policies promoting smart experiences and health consumption [22]. Logistics Market Summary - The logistics market continued its high supply trend with 9 new projects totaling 899,000 square meters, despite a 43% year-on-year decrease in new supply [26]. - Net absorption reached a historical high of 1.07 million square meters, primarily driven by e-commerce and third-party logistics [26][27]. - The average rental price in the logistics sector decreased by 17.3% to 1.19 RMB per square meter per day [28]. Investment Market Summary - The investment market recorded a total of 97 transactions in 2025, with a total value of 47.4 billion RMB, reflecting a 26% year-on-year decline [43][49]. - Institutional investors led the market with a 40% share of transaction value, focusing on both office and rental residential assets [44]. - The market is transitioning towards a more refined focus on asset quality, with the introduction of commercial real estate REITs enhancing liquidity [49].
一边万人大厂停工,一边出口订单暴增:“潮玩之都”东莞,深陷冰火两重天
创业邦· 2026-01-09 10:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the decline of the Dongguan toy industry, exemplified by the closure of the Changrong Dongguan Toy Factory, and highlights the need for transformation from a reliance on OEM production to developing original IP and innovative products [5][10][11]. Industry Overview - Dongguan, known as the "Toy Capital of China," hosts over 4,000 toy manufacturers and 1,500 supporting enterprises, forming a robust industrial cluster [8]. - The city has historically thrived due to its proximity to Hong Kong, low labor and land costs, and an outward-oriented economic strategy, mastering the "OEM" model [8][12]. - However, many factories are now facing closures due to over-reliance on OEM, lack of product innovation, and shrinking orders, leading to a significant shift in the market landscape [8][10]. Market Dynamics - Despite the challenges, the toy export market remains strong, with a reported export value of $60.04 billion in the first 11 months of 2025, marking an 18% year-on-year increase [10]. - Some companies, like "Pinku," have successfully transitioned from OEM to developing their own brands, achieving a 50% increase in overseas e-commerce revenue in 2024 [10][19]. Transformation and Innovation - The decline of traditional manufacturing is seen as a necessary evolution, pushing the industry towards a future characterized by quality and innovation [10][25]. - The rise of "潮玩" (trendy toys) has led to a new focus on original IP development, with local brands increasingly gaining market share over traditional OEM businesses [25][28]. - By 2023, the value of original IP products in Dongguan surpassed that of OEM, accounting for 53% of the market [25]. Success Stories - Companies like "Pinku" and "ToyCity" have emerged as leaders in the original IP space, successfully integrating Chinese cultural elements into their designs and achieving significant sales growth [21][23]. - The trend of "潮玩" has been embraced by various brands, leading to a surge in exports, with a reported 78% increase in潮玩 exports compared to traditional categories [28][30]. Government Support and Future Outlook - The Dongguan government has implemented policies to support the toy industry, focusing on R&D, IP authorization, and market expansion, which are crucial for the industry's evolution [34]. - The future of Dongguan's toy industry is poised for growth, transitioning from a manufacturing hub to a center of creativity and innovation on a global scale [34].
对话泰中罗勇工业园总裁赵斌:中资出海泰国现在是天高海阔
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-09 07:45
Core Insights - The article highlights the increasing interest of Chinese enterprises in Thailand, particularly in the Rayong Industrial Park, which has become a hub for nearly 300 Chinese companies across various sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - The Rayong Industrial Park offers permanent land ownership for industrial use, which is a significant investment opportunity for companies looking to establish a presence in Thailand [1]. - The park's strategic location, being only 100 kilometers from Bangkok and close to major transportation hubs, enhances its attractiveness for Chinese businesses [2]. - In 2022, the park attracted 180 Chinese manufacturing companies and over 30 supporting enterprises, indicating a growing trend of Chinese investment in the region [2]. Group 2: Competitive Advantages - Thailand's favorable trade agreements result in relatively low export tariffs, making it an appealing destination for Chinese manufacturers [3]. - The strong bilateral relationship between China and Thailand, marked by the "China-Thailand family" concept, provides a stable environment for Chinese enterprises [4]. - Thailand's leading business environment in the ASEAN region, including financial services and infrastructure, further enhances its competitiveness compared to neighboring countries [4]. Group 3: Trends in Chinese Enterprises - Recent years have seen a shift in the types of Chinese companies entering the park, with a growing focus on emerging industries such as renewable energy, smart home technology, and semiconductors [6]. - There is a trend towards collective investment, with companies forming clusters to enhance their competitive edge in international markets [8]. - The evolution of Chinese enterprises in Thailand reflects a transition from merely establishing manufacturing bases to developing comprehensive operational systems, including R&D and supply chain management [7][9]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The Rayong Industrial Park plans to expand from 20 square kilometers to 30 square kilometers, aiming to attract 500 to 1,000 companies in the future, indicating confidence in the ongoing wave of Chinese investment [12][13]. - The upcoming 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Thailand is expected to further enhance cooperation and open new opportunities for Chinese enterprises [12].
东莞把“人才评价尺子”立在产业一线 已开发136项市级技能标准
Nan Fang Ri Bao Wang Luo Ban· 2026-01-09 07:44
一系列文件的出台,持续推动高技能人才队伍建设,都指向让技能真正成为人才成长、产业升级的重要 支撑。但在实践中,一个现实问题长期存在:技能如何衡量、能力如何认定、成长路径如何看得见?答 案,正落在"标准"二字上。 作为制造业大市,东莞在夯实规模优势的同时,也面临从"制造"向"智造"、从"数量"向"质量"跃升的现 实压力。最稀缺的资源是与新技术、新工艺相适配的技能人才。 职业技能标准既是评价的"尺子",也是培养的"蓝图"。没有清晰、权威、贴近产业实际的标准,培训容 易空转,评价容易失真,技能价值也难以真正体现。 东莞持续推进"东莞标准"建设,把顶层设计与地方产业需求进行精准对接。此次新增的4项标准,紧扣 新材料、现代物流、人工智能等重点领域,既回应当前制造业转型升级的现实需要,也为未来产业布局 预留空间。 如果标准不明确,产业也难以往"智创优品"的方向发展前行。 近日,东莞市人力资源和社会保障局发布碳纤维制品成型制作工、理货员、纺织品检测、人工智能数据 处理分析等4个职业技能培训评价标准。这些"东莞标准",看似是一次专业技术层面的制度更新,实则 是一座制造业大市对"如何稳住产业、赢得人才竞争"的主动回应。 近年来 ...
钱塘高铁新城首批开工道路竣工验收
Hang Zhou Ri Bao· 2026-01-09 02:32
未来,随着青龙路、冯娄路等一批交通基础设施的陆续建成,钱塘高铁新城将构建起更完善、更高 效的交通网络,为产业升级、人口集聚、民生提升筑牢根基。 钱塘高铁新城建设近日迎来重要里程碑——首批开工的宏图路、义蓬东一路、横二路、纵十路、纵 九路道路工程通过竣工验收。 宏图路西起头蓬快速路、东至义蓬东二路,长约1290米,标准段宽约32米;义蓬东一路北起江东大 道、南至河景路,长约850米,标准段宽32米。这两条城市次干路均为双向四车道,设计时速50公里, 是钱塘高铁站进、出站的重要通道。横二路西起头蓬快速路、东至义蓬东二路,长约1290米,标准段宽 约24米,双向两车道;纵十路北起宏图路、南至青龙路,长约1140米,标准段宽约32米,双向四车道; 纵九路长约490米,双向两车道。这些道路共同构建起钱塘高铁新城内部有序的交通脉络,为区域内居 民出行与物流运输提供有力支撑。 ...
10座3万亿超级城市来了?你的工作、房子正在被重新定价!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 01:44
如果我现在就告诉你,五年之后,中国将会有10座城市的经济体量达到3万亿,每一个拿出来都相当于一个欧洲中等的发达国家。你相信吗?此时你肯定会 说了,别再吹啦! 那么今天我就带你来一探中国未来5年发展之大变革。收藏转发,因为这关乎到我们所有人的房子、票子,甚至是未来的工作机会,未来我们的财富也将被 重新分配。接下来不吹捧,不打压,用事实说话。 首先,我们来看看现在都有哪些城市已经达到3万亿的目标了? 五座城市,它们分别是上海、北京、深圳、重庆、广州!其中上海GDP就首次突破了5万亿元,已经稳居全国第一了!说到这,你最起码相信一半了吧。别 着急,我们接着往下看。 2024年,香港的GDP已经达到2.93万亿元,预计2025年就能够达到目标了。这是第六个了吧。那么还有四个是谁呢?苏州作为最强的地级市,2024年其GDP 已经达到2.67万亿了,预计到2026年就能够突破3万亿的大关!这个基本上是没有什么悬念的。这是第七个了吧。 去年,成都的GDP是2.35万亿,武汉是2.11万亿,如果按照3万亿的目标,那么每年经济增长需要达到1500亿元。这个是有一点难度的。但是作为西部的成都 和长江中游的武汉,现在这两个城市都已经 ...
原材料涨价潮催生锂电池产业变革
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2026-01-09 01:05
来源:科技日报 科技日报记者 王禹涵 苏州德加能源科技有限公司日前宣布,其电池系列产品售价上调15%,理由是"受锂电池原材料价格大 幅上涨的影响"。 这并非孤例。2025年末,一场由锂电池核心原材料价格飙升引发的连锁反应,正从产业链上游向下游蔓 延,在电池行业激起千层浪。作为锂电池的重要原材料,六氟磷酸锂价格从2025年7月的每吨4.93万元 飙升至近日的每吨17万元左右,市场一度呈现"一天一价"的态势。与此同时,宁德时代新能源科技股份 有限公司(以下简称"宁德时代")、惠州亿纬锂能股份有限公司等头部锂电池企业集体按下扩产"加速 键"。 原材料涨价与锂电池扩产并行,这看似矛盾的现象背后,实则蕴含着我国锂电池产业转型的深层逻辑 ——从"规模扩张"转向"质量突围"。 供需错配导致价格上涨 "涨得太快了,猝不及防。"多位锂电池产业链中下游从业者向科技日报记者坦言,六氟磷酸锂等核心原 材料价格的飙升,让整个行业措手不及。 中关村新型电池技术创新联盟理事长、电池百人会理事长于清教分析说,原材料涨价的根源,在于储能 与新能源汽车两大领域持续超预期的需求,特别是海外储能市场出现的"爆单"现象,加剧了这一趋势。 市场数据印证 ...
2026年,山西忻州、大同、阳泉、临汾、晋城经济工作这样干
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 00:48
Core Points - The central theme of the news is the strategic planning and key tasks for economic development in 2026, emphasizing the importance of aligning with national policies and focusing on high-quality growth [2][5][31] Group 1: Economic Goals and Strategies - The overall requirements for 2026 economic work include implementing Xi Jinping's thoughts, focusing on high-quality development, and enhancing policy foresight and relevance [5][6] - The city aims to expand effective demand, boost consumption and investment, and integrate these efforts with national market strategies [15][20] - Emphasis is placed on energy transformation and building a new energy system to ensure national energy security [15][8] Group 2: Key Tasks for Economic Development - The ten key tasks for 2026 include expanding domestic demand, promoting energy transition, upgrading industries, and enhancing innovation [7][15][20] - Specific actions include implementing consumption stimulus measures, optimizing investment structures, and enhancing the integration of technology and industry [22][28] - The focus on urban-rural integration and improving living standards is highlighted, with initiatives aimed at enhancing public services and social welfare [10][20][25] Group 3: Challenges and Opportunities - The current economic landscape is characterized by imbalances and structural issues, particularly the reliance on traditional industries [4][19] - The city recognizes the potential in addressing these challenges as opportunities for growth and transformation [4][19] - The strategic approach involves leveraging historical strengths and maintaining a focus on innovation and reform to drive economic progress [4][19]
产业升级持续 我国粮食流通进入新阶段
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2026-01-09 00:35
Core Insights - The grain industry in China is entering a new phase characterized by significant market performance and stable production value, with total grain industry output remaining above 4 trillion yuan [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Corn prices are rising, leading to robust purchasing and sales, while soybean production has reached a historical high, and rice is exhibiting premium pricing characteristics [1] - In 2025, various enterprises are expected to purchase a total of 830 billion jin of grain, maintaining a stable level above 800 billion jin for three consecutive years [2] - The prices of major grain varieties are on the rise, with corn prices increasing year-on-year and rice prices remaining stable under policy support [2] Group 2: Industry Development - The core engine for high-quality development in the grain industry lies in deep processing, branding, and technological empowerment [3] - The government is focusing on advancing grain industry projects, promoting new technologies and equipment, and enhancing grain quality management and standards [3] - A modern grain industry system is being established to enhance resilience against risks and shocks, supported by robust reserve and emergency systems [3] Group 3: Governance and Regulation - The modernization of governance capabilities is essential for market regulation, industry upgrading, and system strengthening [4] - Significant progress has been made in legal frameworks for grain safety, including the implementation of the Grain Safety Guarantee Law and revisions to grain circulation management regulations [4] - The enforcement of grain circulation regulations has been strengthened, with a national hotline receiving over 3,227 reports and recovering over 43 million yuan in overdue payments to farmers [5]
德邦基金:深耕长期价值 书写公募高质量发展新篇章
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-08 23:40
Group 1: Core Insights - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session has outlined a clear blueprint for China's economic and social development, emphasizing the importance of building a strong financial nation and highlighting the role of capital markets during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] - The 2025 Central Economic Work Conference has set a strategic framework for macroeconomic policies, focusing on "stability while seeking progress" and "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement," which will guide the financial system in serving the real economy and promoting technological innovation [1] Group 2: Company Strategy - As a state-controlled fund company, Debon Fund is committed to aligning with national strategies and enhancing its core investment research capabilities while ensuring compliance and risk control [2] - The company has integrated national strategic guidance into its investment research and product layout, focusing on sectors such as technology innovation, industrial upgrading, and consumer upgrades to capture structural opportunities [3][4] Group 3: Investment Focus - Debon Fund's equity investments are centered around new productive forces, with a product matrix called "Debon Technology Fleet" that includes investments in artificial intelligence, semiconductors, high-end manufacturing, innovative pharmaceuticals, and solid-state batteries [3] - The "Debon Bond Family" series offers tailored investment tools for different risk preferences, while the company is also expanding its quantitative product line to provide more index-based investment options [4] Group 4: Research and Development - The company is building a modern investment research system that integrates macro, industry, and micro-level analyses, enhancing the efficiency of converting research insights into investment returns [5] - Debon Fund employs a "platform-based, team-oriented" approach to foster specialized investment groups focused on key sectors such as technology growth, healthcare innovation, and quantitative strategies [5] Group 5: Digital Transformation - In response to the digital finance strategy, Debon Fund is increasing its technological investments, developing a proprietary digital platform to enhance its research capabilities and operational efficiency [6] - The company aims to create a new customer experience paradigm by integrating advanced technologies like AI and automation into its investment, sales, and operational processes [6] Group 6: Risk Management - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the importance of risk management, prompting the public fund industry to prioritize compliance and investor protection [7] - Debon Fund views risk control as vital to its development, implementing comprehensive compliance management and internal control systems across all business lines [7] Group 7: Future Commitment - As the 14th Five-Year Plan begins, Debon Fund is committed to continuous learning and adherence to the principles set forth by the Central Committee and the Economic Work Conference, focusing on enhancing research capabilities, maintaining risk controls, and optimizing customer service [8] - The company believes that integrating its development with national goals is essential for contributing to the construction of a strong financial nation and achieving modernization [8]