Important News - The Director of the National Economic Council, Hassett, indicated that tariffs on certain countries may be reduced to 10% or lower, applicable to countries providing favorable conditions [1] Individual Stock News - Pinduoduo (PDD.O) reported Q1 2025 revenue of 95.67 billion yuan, up from 86.81 billion yuan in the same period last year; adjusted net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders was 16.916 billion yuan, a 45% decrease year-over-year [2] - Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT.O) saw a pre-market surge of over 10% after denying reports of plans to raise $3 billion for cryptocurrency investments [2] - Pony.ai (PONY.O) has reached a strategic cooperation agreement with the Dubai Roads and Transport Authority [2] - The acquisition case of Nippon Steel is expected to be issued, with Trump emphasizing that the U.S. still holds control over U.S. Steel (X.N) [2] - Miniso (MNSO.N) experienced a pre-market drop of over 3% after several major banks lowered earnings forecasts following its earnings report [2] - Zhihu (ZH.N) reported a net loss of 10.1 million yuan for Q1 2025, narrowing by 93.9% compared to the same period in 2024 [2] - Yum China (YUMC.N) plans to invest $2 billion in the UK and Ireland for KFC over the next five years [2] - Huya (YY.O) reported Q1 revenue of $490 million, with non-live streaming revenue accounting for 24.9% [2]

美股三大股指期货波动不大，白宫经济委员会主任Hassett表示，部分国家的关税可能降至10%或更低。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The sales of the Model X have significantly declined, with no current orders being accepted and limited inventory available for customers [2][4]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Daily customer visits to the store range from 5 to 10 on weekdays and double on weekends, but interest in the Model X is notably low [2]. - The Model X is currently not available for pre-order, and existing inventory is nearly sold out across the country [2]. Group 2: Customer Preferences and Purchase Behavior - Customers purchasing the Model X are primarily business owners, with comparisons often made to vehicles like the BMW X5, Mercedes GLE, and NIO ES8 [5]. - Buyers tend to have specific preferences for configurations, often influenced by tax needs at year-end, leading to compromises on desired features [3][7]. Group 3: Sales Challenges - The Model X has never offered interest-free loans, and recent tariff increases have halted pre-orders [4]. - There is anticipation for a new model release at the end of the year, which may stimulate sales [4]. Group 4: Customer Complaints - Common complaints from customers include issues with noise, particularly from the falcon-wing doors and the central console, as well as dissatisfaction with the size of the third-row seating [11]. - Initial production batches faced quality control issues, such as water leakage [12]. Group 5: Sales Experience - Sales personnel often face challenges in closing deals, as potential buyers may hesitate or compare with other models, leading to lost sales opportunities [9]. - The current frequency of customer interest in the Model X is low, impacting the availability of demonstration vehicles [12].

Core Insights - The recent tariff adjustment between China and the U.S. has led to a significant surge in container shipping bookings, with a nearly 300% increase in bookings from China to the U.S. [7] - The 90-day tariff window has sparked a "stockpiling wave" among U.S. buyers, with a 40% year-on-year increase in inquiries from American buyers on cross-border e-commerce platforms [1][3] - Various industries, particularly machinery, textiles, and consumer goods, are poised to benefit from the reduced tariffs, while high-tech products like chips remain constrained due to retained tariffs [1][13] Industry and Company Summaries - The 90-day tariff window is providing a valuable adjustment period for industries with significant tariff reductions, such as machinery, textiles, and consumer goods, enhancing their market competitiveness [1][13] - On May 14, the day the tariff adjustments took effect, Alibaba's international platform saw a double-digit increase in order volume across various categories, with automotive parts up 62% and machinery up 46% [2] - The demand for shipping has surged, leading to a shortage of shipping containers, with many shipping companies announcing price increases due to the high demand [7][8] - The new T86 customs policy has reduced the tax rate on small packages under $800, easing price pressures for Chinese online retail giants like Shein and Temu [6] - Companies are actively preparing for the upcoming holiday season, with many manufacturers ramping up production to meet the anticipated demand during the 90-day window [12][9] - The textile and consumer goods sectors are expected to see a rebound in orders, with companies like Midea reporting significant cost savings due to reduced tariffs [13][14] - Long-term risks remain as companies are advised to diversify their market strategies and reduce reliance on single markets due to potential future tariff changes [14][15]

欧美贸易谈判进展甚微，特朗普贸易团队向欧盟施压：要么单方面降低关税，要么面对20%惩罚性关 税。 周五，据媒体援引知情人士消息，美国贸易代表Jamieson Greer准备告知欧盟贸易官员Maroš Šefčovič， 欧盟最近分享的"解释性说明"远未达到美方期望。 具体来看，美国对欧盟仅提供相互关税削减而非单方面降低关税感到不满，尤其是在其他一些贸易伙伴 已向华盛顿提出类似单方面让步的背景下。更令美方不悦的是，欧盟未将其提议的数字税作为谈判要 点，而这正是美国的明确要求。 Greer和Šefčovič计划下月在巴黎会面，这被视为双方能否避免贸易争端升级的关键。尽管欧美已开始 交换谈判文件，但双方在实质问题上进展甚微。据央视新闻此前报道，欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩当地时 间9日在布鲁塞尔表示，在欧美能够进行具体的贸易谈判之前，她不会前往华盛顿会见美国总统特朗 普。 一位了解谈判情况的第三方官员对达成避免达成协议并不乐观，直言： 交换信函不是真正的进展，我们仍然没有真正取得任何进展。 英国模式难以复制，欧盟谈判面临更大压力 欧盟作为美国最大的贸易伙伴之一，目前面临艰难抉择：要么接受美方单方面降低关税的要求，要么拒 ...

Group 1 - Trump's recent Middle East trip resulted in significant investment commitments, including $600 billion from Saudi Arabia and $243 billion from Qatar, totaling $2 trillion in orders [1][5] - Trump expressed a desire to visit China, indicating the importance of U.S.-China relations amidst ongoing trade tensions [5][7] - The U.S. plans to communicate new tariff rates to around 150 countries through letters, rather than individual negotiations, reflecting a shift in trade strategy [3][5] Group 2 - The current state of U.S.-China relations is described as a "beginning" of a trade war, with ongoing tariffs affecting U.S. agricultural exports, particularly soybeans [7][8] - Trump's administration is facing pressure to address the impact of tariffs on American consumers, as indicated by his request to Walmart not to pass on tariff costs [5][7] - The fragility of global supply chains has been highlighted as a consequence of Trump's political maneuvers, suggesting potential vulnerabilities for industries reliant on international trade [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - The central bank conducted a 500 billion yuan MLF operation on May 23, resulting in a net injection of 375 billion yuan, which will increase banks' credit - lending ability [8]. - The US soybean market is in a range - bound state, with factors on both the supply and demand sides that could break the current range [9]. - Manganese silicon showed a short - term upward trend driven by sentiment but is under long - term pressure from fundamentals [11]. - Asphalt is at a high cracking level, and it is advisable to wait and see for the moment [12]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Monetary Policy - On May 23, the central bank carried out a 500 billion yuan MLF operation with a 1 - year term. After this operation, the MLF achieved a net injection of 375 billion yuan, as the maturity volume this month was 125 billion yuan. This is the third consecutive month of increased MLF roll - overs, with net injections of 63 billion yuan and 500 billion yuan in March and April respectively [8]. 3.2 Commodity Markets 3.2.1 US Soybeans - The US soybean market is in a range of 950 - 1150 cents per bushel. On the supply side, factors such as a reduction in planting area or a decline in yield could push prices above 1200 cents per bushel. On the demand side, a clear Sino - US trade outlook and a large - scale return of Chinese purchases could also lead to a significant price increase. If Chinese demand does not return and shifts entirely to South America, US soybean prices may fall to around 950 cents per bushel [9][10]. 3.2.2 Manganese Silicon - Manganese silicon rose by 3.84% to close at 5998 yuan per ton, driven by information from the South African ore end. However, the fundamentals are relatively weak. The manganese ore port inventory is gradually accumulating, and Australian ore is expected to resume shipments in June, which may squeeze the current manganese ore market. On the supply - demand side, the main production areas have no production - cut plans, and inventory and warehouse - receipt inventory are at relatively high levels. In the long - term, it may continue a weak trend [11]. 3.2.3 Asphalt - The release of asphalt demand is not ideal. Refineries' production control has kept northern inventories at a low level, while southern inventories are gradually increasing, with the greatest pressure in South China. In the short - term, low production may support northern inventories, but the rainy season may increase southern inventory pressure. It is advisable to pay attention to trade logistics changes in South China and regional price - difference rebalancing [12][13]. 3.2.4 Other Commodities - Gold is expected to oscillate and decline, while silver will follow gold's upward movement [16][19]. - Copper prices are supported by inventory reduction [25]. - Aluminum is in a range - bound state, and alumina is expected to decline slightly [28]. - Zinc is under pressure, and lead is in a supply - demand double - weak state with range adjustment [31][34]. - Tin is in a narrow - range oscillation [37]. - Stainless steel has a clear cost bottom but lacks upward - driving force [42]. - Lithium carbonate is affected by non - ore policy risks, and its fundamentals restrict upward movement [48]. - Industrial silicon shows a weak overall trend, while polysilicon's market sentiment is fermenting, and attention should be paid to its upward space [51][52]. - Iron ore's short - term upward drivers have slowed down [55]. - Rebar and hot - rolled coil are in wide - range oscillations [57][58]. - Coke and coking coal are in bottom - range oscillations [66]. - Steam coal is in a weak - oscillation state due to increased coal - mine inventory [69]. - Logs are in a weak - oscillation state [72].

Group 1: Consumer Electronics - The report highlights the positive outlook for the consumer electronics sector due to the recent adjustments in US-China trade tariffs, which are expected to improve the export environment for Chinese manufacturers in the Apple supply chain, such as GoerTek and Luxshare Precision [3] - The 3D printing industry is experiencing significant developments, with domestic companies making breakthroughs in key technologies, which may disrupt foreign monopolies [3] - The iPhone 16 series is seeing price differentiation in various sales channels, with innovation being a key driver, including the introduction of Apple's first foldable iPhone [3] Group 2: Home Appliances - The global pool cleaning robot market is projected to grow significantly, with an expected penetration rate of 28% by 2026, driven by the increasing number of pools worldwide [5] - The competitive landscape in the pool cleaning robot industry is concentrated, with a lack of innovation providing opportunities for Chinese brands to gain market share, as evidenced by a significant increase in their presence on platforms like Amazon [5] - The report recommends several companies in the home appliance sector, including Gree Electric, Midea Group, and Ecovacs, as potential investment opportunities [5][43] Group 3: Textile and Building Materials - The report indicates that the company achieved a revenue of 1.9 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a 13% year-on-year increase, driven by increased sales orders [15] - The company is expanding its overseas e-commerce business and has established strategic partnerships to enhance its international presence [15][25] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company, projecting net profits of 1.6 billion, 1.9 billion, and 2.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [15][25]

贝森特担任日美关税谈判的主要负责人。日美两国政府已确定关于汇率在财长之间进行讨论，而日本方 面由加藤负责。5月21日的财长会谈并未围绕关税进行深入的谈判。 出席G7财长和央行行长会议的日本财务相加藤（前排中间）与美国财务部长贝森特（前排最右边）等人（kyodo，5月21日，加拿大班 夫） 日本财务相加藤胜信主张称：对于纠正作为贸易收支不平衡背景的宏观经济的不平衡而言，关税措施并 不一定是合适的手段…… 日本财务相加藤胜信5月21日在加拿大西部的班夫与美国财务部长贝森特举行会谈。加藤再次向美国提 出调整关税措施，还向美方确认了汇率由市场决定的想法。 此次会谈是继4月之后的第二次会谈。在七国集团（G7）财长和央行行长会议间隙进行了约30分钟的对 话。加藤在会后的记者会上透露："与上次一样，没有讨论汇率水平"。 加藤强烈要求美方调整关税措施。他主张称："对于纠正作为贸易收支不平衡背景的宏观经济的不平衡 而言，关税措施并不一定是合适的手段"。他回顾双方的对话表示："关于汇率政策的基本看法，得以进 行深入讨论"。 加藤在4月的会谈中也解释说："美国方面完全没有提及汇率水平的目标或管理框架等"。他否定了美国 要求纠正日元 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (Maintained Rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recovery opportunities in the consumer electronics sector following the phased implementation of tariff agreements [2] - The 3D printing industry is experiencing significant advancements, particularly in collaboration between equipment suppliers and 3C manufacturers, which is becoming a key focus in the consumer goods sector [2][11] - The iPhone 16 series has shown a price stratification across different sales channels, with significant price adjustments made by authorized dealers and e-commerce platforms to meet "trade-in" subsidy thresholds [2][20] - The panel market is characterized by distinct demand variations across applications, with television panel prices stabilizing due to supply adjustments, while monitor panel prices continue to rise [3][24] - Recent adjustments in U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods are expected to improve the outlook for Chinese manufacturers in the Apple supply chain, enhancing their shipment expectations [4][28] Summary by Sections 3D Printing - Recent developments include a joint venture between Huagong Technology and Lika Precision to focus on SLM manufacturing technology [2][11] - The domestic supply chain is witnessing critical breakthroughs in key areas, such as metal materials and laser technology, which may disrupt foreign technology monopolies [2][11][19] Apple Supply Chain - The iPhone 16 series has seen a price reduction strategy that creates a three-tier pricing structure across different sales channels [2][20] - Innovation is emphasized with the upcoming foldable iPhone featuring a book-like design, showcasing Apple's commitment to new product development [2][21] Panel Market - The television panel market is facing increased supply-demand tension, leading to a proactive reduction in production capacity by manufacturers [3][22] - Monitor panel prices have continued to rise due to tariff exemptions and proactive inventory management by brands [3][24] - The notebook panel market remains stable, with manufacturers adopting flexible pricing strategies to secure orders [3][25] Tariff Adjustments - The U.S. has announced adjustments to tariffs on Chinese goods, which is expected to positively impact the Apple supply chain and related manufacturers [4][26][28] - The tariff policy changes are anticipated to drive a recovery in the valuation of Chinese manufacturers, particularly those closely tied to Apple [4][28]