三大指数早盘涨跌不一，截至午盘，沪指涨0.22%，深成指跌0.07%，创业板指跌0.91%，北证50指数跌0.06%，沪深京三 市半日成交额13095亿元，较上日缩量965亿元。全市场超2700只个股上涨。板块题材上，有色金属、稀土永磁、化学纤维、染 料、油气开采及服务、固态电池、算力租赁、钢铁、造纸、电力板块涨幅居前；影视院线、短剧游戏、教育、CPO、铜缆高速 连接、光伏设备板块跌幅居前。盘面上，受涨价催化影响，小金属、稀土、化工等板块集体走强，章源钨业、翔鹭钨业创新 高，北矿科技、格林美、美邦股份、金牛化工涨停。AI应用推动云计算需求增加，算力租赁板块延续活跃，大位科技收获3连 板。此外，固态电池、钢铁、港口航运等板块盘中轮动。另一方面，昨日大涨的影视、短剧游戏板块集体回调，横店影视、浙 文影业封跌停，华谊兄弟、华策影视亦大幅下挫。光伏设备板块延续调整，泽润新能、双良节能领跌。 ...

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices showed mixed performance in the morning session, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.22% to 4137.55 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.07% and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.91% [1] - The North China 50 Index also experienced a slight decline of 0.06% [1] Trading Volume - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 130.95 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 9.65 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 2700 individual stocks in the market saw an increase in their prices [1] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals and chemical sectors collectively experienced gains, primarily driven by news of price increases [1] - AI application concept stocks generally underwent a correction during this period [1]

2月11日早盘，CPO光模块、AI应用等悉数回调，创业板人工智能盘中下探近2%，华策影视领跌超 10%，新易盛、中际旭创等多股下跌逾5%。但值得一提的是，11年前最牛IDC赛道卷土重来，明星股网 宿科技大涨超12%，奥飞数据、首都在线等跟涨超4%。 热门ETF方面，双线布局"算力+AI应用"的创业板人工智能ETF（159363）场内价格一度下探2%，实时 成交超3.5亿元，资金盘中净申购1600万份。 | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 * | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 婴加 九转 画线 工具 (2 > | | | 创业板人工智能ETF华宝 | 159363 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1.146 | | | | 159363[8]业板人工智能ETF华型] 11:07 价 1.108 股跌 -0.016(-1.42%) 均价 1.114 | | | | 1.108 | | -0.016 -1.42% | | | | | | | | | | SZSE CNY 11:07:51 交 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27,027, up 1.76% with a year-to-date increase of 5.45% [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 1.34% to 5,417, but is down 1.78% year-to-date [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.41% to 4,123, with a year-to-date rise of 3.89% [4] - The Dow Jones Index reached a new high, closing at 50,135, up 0.04% year-to-date [4] Currency Trends - The Renminbi Index is at 98.340, up 0.36% over the last month and 1.44% over the last six months [2] - The Euro to USD exchange rate is at 1.187, increasing by 1.98% in one month and 2.17% in six months [2] Commodity Prices - Brent crude oil is priced at $67.63 per barrel, up 7.71% in one month and 4.01% in six months [3] - Gold is priced at $5,022.91 per ounce, with an increase of 11.38% in one month and 50.27% in six months [3] - Silver has seen a significant rise of 117.60% over the last six months, currently priced at $81.85 per ounce [3] Company Financials - Hong Kong Telecom (06823) reported a 4% increase in EBITDA for the year ending December 31, 2025, with total revenue rising by 5% to HKD 36.553 billion [9] - The number of 5G plan users in Hong Kong Telecom's postpaid customer base exceeded 2 million, representing 60% of the total postpaid customers [10] - Local data service revenue grew by 6% to HKD 14.31 billion, contributing to a 3% increase in overall local telecom service revenue [10] Mortgage Insurance Trends - In January, new mortgage insurance applications in Hong Kong fell by 8.7% to 460 cases, the lowest since November 2018 [11] - The total amount of new mortgage insurance also decreased by 7.1% to HKD 2.36 billion [11] - The usage ratio of mortgage insurance has dropped to 12.1%, the lowest level since November 2019 [12] Economic Indicators - The New York Federal Reserve reported a decrease in one-year inflation expectations to 3.1% in January, down from 3.4% in December [13][14] - The Federal Reserve's outlook on the U.S. fiscal situation and economic growth remains optimistic, with expectations of a significant GDP growth boost due to tax policy changes [15]

每日复盘（2/10）：美股科技股反弹，标普逼近历史高位，美元跌破97关口，金属延续回升；A股单边上行，光 伏、算力硬件、AI应用领涨 【海外】科技股力撑美股走高，三大股指均两连阳，道指两日收创历史新高。 微软涨超3%，英伟达涨2.5%，苹果回落逾1%；芯片涨超1%、AMD和博通涨超3%。 得到质疑其洗钱的机构CapitalWatch致歉后，AppLovin涨13%；甲骨文涨近9.7%；被诺 每日复盘（2/10）：美股科技股反弹，标普逼近历史高位，美元跌破97关口，金属延续回升；A股单边上行，光 伏、算力硬件、AI应用领涨 【海外】科技股力撑美股走高，三大股指均两连阳，道指两日收创历史新高。 微软涨超3%，英伟达涨2.5%，苹果回落逾1%；芯片涨超1%、AMD和博通涨超3%。 A股单边大涨，万得全A涨1.89%。 成交放量至2.27万亿，上日为2.16万亿。 10Y美债收益率回落1.2BP至4.2%。 美元两连跌失守97关口。 离岸人民币将近三年来首次涨破6.92。 比特币跌破6.9万美元后降幅收窄。 原油跌1.5%后转涨；黄金涨超2%，重上5000美元，期金创逾一周新高，期银盘中涨近9%；伦锡涨超5%，伦铜涨 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View - The news in the stock index futures market has become relatively quiet, and the market is in a pattern of oscillating with a slightly upward trend [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - On February 10, the closing prices and price changes of the four major stock index futures contracts varied: IF2602 rose 0.20%, IH2602 rose 0.40%, IC2602 fell 0.08%, and IM2602 rose 0.14%. The base spreads, trading volumes, and open interests of different contracts also showed different changes [1] - On the trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures declined, indicating a decrease in investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF decreased by 25,264 lots, IH by 11,858 lots, IC by 42,219 lots, and IM by 53,668 lots. In terms of open interest, the total open interest of IF decreased by 5,989 lots, IH by 2,409 lots, IC by 10,803 lots, and IM by 10,481 lots [1][2] 3.2. Position Changes of the Top 20 Members in Stock Index Futures - For different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM, the long - and short - position changes of the top 20 members showed different trends. For example, in the IF2602 contract, the long - position decreased by 4,945 lots and the short - position decreased by 3,944 lots [5] 3.3. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The market showed a narrow - range consolidation throughout the day, the Shanghai Composite Index recorded six consecutive positive days, the AI application sector had a wave of daily limit, while the photovoltaic and large - consumption sectors were weak. A - share trading volume decreased from 2.27 trillion yuan the previous day to 2.12 trillion yuan [6] - The Hong Kong stock market oscillated and strengthened, with the biotechnology and cultural media sectors being active. The Hang Seng Index rose 0.58%, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.62%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 0.81%. The market turnover decreased from HK$255.142 billion the previous day to HK$234.04 billion [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened slightly lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.1%, Shenzhen Component down 0.17%, ChiNext down 0.24%, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Index down 0.33% [2][3] - Over 3,100 stocks in the market experienced declines [2] Stock Performance - *ST Lifan resumed trading with a low opening, down 2.88% [5] - The stock has faced significant price volatility, triggering multiple alerts from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange regarding abnormal trading behavior [5] - Semiconductor company SMIC opened nearly 2% lower, with a projected net profit of 1.223 billion yuan for Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.2% [6] Sector Movements - The market saw adjustments in sectors such as CPO, space photovoltaic, AI computing power, deep-sea technology, consumer electronics, and semiconductor concept stocks [5] - AI application themes showed localized activity despite the overall market decline [5] Hong Kong Market - The Hang Seng Index opened up 0.23%, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising 0.21% [8] - Notable gainers included Tencent Music and WuXi Biologics, both up over 3%, while SMIC fell over 2% [8]

Group 1 - The AI application-related sectors experienced a significant surge on February 10, with the film ETFs (159855) hitting the daily limit and another film ETF (516620) rising over 9%, collectively attracting more than 1.3 billion yuan in net inflows [1] - In addition to film-themed ETFs, various other thematic ETFs, including those focused on gold, robotics, media, satellites, chemicals, and rare earths, also saw substantial capital allocation, while leading broad-based ETFs like the HuShen 300 ETF (510300) and the CSI 500 ETF (510500) experienced net outflows exceeding 1.4 billion yuan each [1] - The People's Bank of China released its monetary policy execution report for the fourth quarter of 2025, emphasizing the continuation of a moderately accommodative monetary policy aimed at stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery, while carefully managing the implementation of policies based on domestic and international economic conditions [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, and the overall liquidity will remain abundant [7]. - Global asset allocation is expected to gradually shift from a high - concentration allocation of US dollar assets to a more diversified layout in the next 3 - 5 years, and Chinese assets are favored by foreign institutions [8]. - Most commodities in the market are in a state of supply - demand game, with prices mainly in an interval - oscillating pattern, and it is recommended to operate lightly or wait and see before the Spring Festival [12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro News - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, use various policy tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts, and carry out regular treasury bond trading operations [7]. - Ray Dalio warns that the US is on the verge of a "fifth stage" of the imperial cycle, and suggests that gold should account for 5% - 15% of the investment portfolio [7]. - China encourages the cultivation and development of future industries to seize the high - ground of science and technology and industry [7]. - On Tuesday, the A - share market showed a narrow - range consolidation, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.13% and achieving six consecutive positive days. The Hong Kong stock market also rose, and Chinese assets are favored by foreign institutions [8]. - Five departments jointly issued an opinion to strengthen the construction of information and communication capabilities to support the development of low - altitude infrastructure [9]. - Alphabet issued 100 - year bonds for the first time, with over 7 times over - subscription, and its global debt issuance exceeded $30 billion [9]. 3.2 Morning Meeting Views on Main Varieties 3.2.1 Agricultural Products - **Sugar**: The domestic sugar price is expected to maintain an interval - oscillating pattern, with potential for a pre - holiday corrective rebound. The upper pressure is around 5300 yuan, and the lower support is around 5250 yuan [12]. - **Corn**: The corn price has broken through the original prediction range. One can pay attention to the opportunity of lightly testing long positions after the price retraces to the new support level of 2270 yuan [12]. - **Peanuts**: The peanut price is expected to maintain a high - level oscillating pattern in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see or adopt an interval - trading strategy [12]. - **Pigs**: The supply of live pigs is sufficient, and the demand increase is less than expected. The futures market shows a pattern of near - term weakness and long - term strength [12]. - **Eggs**: The spot price of eggs continues to decline, and the futures market maintains an oscillation, with near - term strength and long - term weakness [13]. - **Red dates**: The price of red dates is expected to remain stable in the short term, and the futures market is looking for lower support [13]. - **Cotton**: The cotton price is expected to maintain a wide - range oscillating pattern before the Spring Festival. One can consider laying out long positions at low prices [13]. 3.2.2 Energy and Chemicals - **Caustic soda**: The caustic soda market is in an oversupply situation. One should pay attention to the impact of supply - side disturbances on prices and operate with a light position during the holiday [13]. - **Coking coal and coke**: Before the Spring Festival, the supply and demand of coking coal and coke are both weak, and the price is expected to oscillate weakly in the short term [13]. - **Logs**: The log price is expected to maintain an interval - oscillating pattern, with the upper pressure around 780 yuan and the lower support around 765 yuan [15]. - **Pulp**: The pulp market has a pattern of strong supply and weak demand. It is recommended to adopt a high - selling and low - buying strategy in the 5150 - 5250 yuan/ton interval [15]. - **Offset paper**: The offset paper market is in a weak supply - demand balance. It is recommended to wait and see or try short positions lightly when the price is high [16]. - **Urea**: The domestic urea market price is running strongly. One should pay attention to the changes in the start - up of downstream urea enterprises around the Spring Festival [16]. 3.2.3 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper and aluminum**: The copper price is affected by the weakening US dollar, but the weak domestic demand restricts its upward space. The aluminum market has increasing supply pressure and weakening demand, and it is recommended to operate with a light position during the holiday [17]. - **Alumina**: The alumina market is in an oversupply situation, waiting for new market drivers, and it is recommended to operate with a light position during the holiday [17]. - **Rebar and hot - rolled coil**: Before the Spring Festival, the steel price is expected to be under pressure and run weakly [17]. - **Ferroalloys**: The ferroalloy market is affected by the decline of the black series, but the cost has certain support. It is recommended to operate with a light position during the holiday [17][19]. 3.2.4 Lithium Carbonate The lithium carbonate price shows signs of stabilizing. One can pay attention to the opportunity of laying out long positions after the price confirms stability after the Spring Festival [19]. 3.2.5 Options and Finance - **Stock index futures and options**: The stock index is mainly in an oscillating pattern. One can consider buying a straddle strategy during the holiday. The A - share market is expected to maintain an interval - oscillating pattern before the Spring Festival, and the probability of resuming an upward trend after the holiday is high [19][20].

2026年02月10日 证券研究报告 | 哔哩哔哩（9626.HK)深度 跨越盈利拐点，A I应用与游戏品类扩张加速商业化价值释放 公司研究 · 深度研究 传媒 · 传媒 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 财务越过盈亏平衡线，利润进入加速释放期。1）财务数据的质变是B站重要的拐点时刻。受惠于高毛利广告及游戏业务占比的提升，公司毛利率与净利率自2023年起持续改善， 成功在2024年Q3实现单季利润转正，并预计在2025年实现全年扭亏为盈，开启利润加速释放期 ；2）B站独特的PUGV生态使其在成本端具备天然优势：2024年内容成本仅占营收 的10%，远低于传统长视频平台。同时营销费用率已降至16%，表明平台已脱离"烧钱换增长"阶段，依靠内生社区动力即可实现用户的长效留存 ；3）在现金流方面，公司经营 性现金流于2023年转正，2025年前三季度进一步增长至53.08亿元，健康的自身造血能力结合持续优化的治理结构，正推动B站从流量平台向高利润商业体演进。 投资逻辑：短期具备安全边际，长线成长空间持续打开；1）我们维持盈利预测，维持"优于大市"评级。预计公司2025/26/27年经调后净利润分别为25.48/33.6 ...