Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing complex fluctuations, with various sectors under scrutiny and expectations for recovery, driven by government policies and economic conditions [1][2]. Market Trends - Since September 24, 2022, there has been a significant policy shift in China from "tight fiscal + loose monetary" to "both monetary and fiscal easing," which has positively impacted market sentiment [1]. - The long-term outlook for A-shares is optimistic, with reasonable valuations and expected annualized growth for the CSI 300 index, despite some sectors showing high valuations and market fragmentation [2]. Investment Strategies - The company employs a diversified macro strategy across various asset classes (stocks, commodities, bonds) to manage risks effectively and control drawdowns [3]. - Advanced systematic risk control mechanisms are in place, including pre-warning and stop-loss indicators, ensuring timely risk management during market volatility [3]. Economic Recovery - There are notable signs of recovery in certain sectors post-pandemic, with strong export performance and increasing contributions from emerging industries like semiconductors and new energy vehicles [4]. - Consumer policies are being implemented to boost spending, although the impact may lag behind compared to developed countries [4]. Sector Focus - The semiconductor and biopharmaceutical sectors have seen significant price increases due to factors such as lower financing costs from interest rate cuts and strong innovation [4]. - The company plans to focus on the non-ferrous metals sector, anticipating increased demand and potential price rises if a global easing cycle occurs [5][6]. Interest Rate Impact - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to have already been partially priced into the A-share market, with ongoing attention on future rate adjustments [6]. - The decline in risk-free asset yields presents opportunities for equities, as the current yield on China's ten-year government bonds is around 1.8%, indicating room for adjustment [6]. Investor Guidance - New investors are advised to temper their return expectations, adopt a systematic asset allocation approach, and continuously learn to develop a suitable investment methodology [6].

证券研究报告 | 2025年09月10日 自营轮动加快，海外谋扩张机遇 证券行业 2025 年中报综述暨券业战略转型总结 优于大市 轻资本业务：经纪业务为增长主力，佣金率延续下滑。2025 上半年，A 股日 均交易额为 12,317 亿元，较去年同期+60%；股基交易额达 188.78 万亿（单 边），较去年同期+61%，市场活跃度提升。我们根据中证协的全行业经纪收 入对交易佣金率进行测算，2025 年上半年证券行业佣金率为 0.0182%，较 2024 年上半年有所降低，经纪业务竞争持续激烈。投行业务，境内股承同比 有所改善，境外股承实现高增。资管业务，伴随行情复苏，公募基金对母公 司业绩贡献逐步增加，私募资管受益于银行理财委外规模增长。 国际业务：加快海外业务及数字资产等创新业务布局。一方面，中资券商加 速海外布局，持续提升国际竞争力。头部券商综合实力强劲，国际业务处领 先地位。另一方面，RWA 等创新业务为中资券商展业提供机遇。当前，部分 券商积极申请相关牌照，也将传统业务向数字资产、虚拟资产领域深度拓展。 投资建议：当前，中证证券全指 PB 估值为 1.56 倍，略高于近 5 年均值，我 们维持行业" ...

整体而言，全球流动性环境的变化催化了黄金的防御逻辑再度回归。对于希望在复杂市场条件下保持资 产组合韧性的投资者，黄金能够提供跨周期的安全边际。Doo Financial为投资者提供跨市场研究与配置工 具，帮助他们更理性地评估黄金的配置价值，并在全球流动性切换的关键时刻做出更加稳健的投资决 策。 黄金作为无息资产，其估值逻辑与流动性松紧息息相关。在宽松环境下，黄金的吸引力来自于充裕资金 的推动和通胀对冲需求；而在流动性收紧期，虽然金价短期会受到抑制，但当市场逐渐消化高利率冲 击，实际利率回落之际，黄金往往获得新一轮资金配置机会。这种周期性特征，使黄金成为跨阶段资产 配置中不可或缺的组成部分。 重要声明：上述内容及观点仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。 随着全球流动性周期逐渐进入拐点阶段，投资者对避险与稳健回报的需求日益提升。无论是主要央行的 货币政策转向，还是国际资本的跨境流动调整，都直接影响着市场风险偏好。在这种环境下，黄金作为 传统的风险对冲工具，其战略性地位再度凸显。 同时，地缘政治不确定性和全球央行增持黄金储备，也为金价提供了长期支撑。在当下经济格局中，黄 金不仅作为通胀预期变化的对冲工具，更能够在信用环境 ...

在服务流程上，万洲金业严格遵循香港金融监管要求，构建了一个规范透明、安全可靠的交易环境。所有交易均通过香港黄金交易所这一权威平台进行，确 保了交易的合规性与资金的安全性，彻底杜绝了任何不规范操作的可能性。此外，公司还不断加大科技投入，优化交易系统，提升稳定性和响应速度，让客 户在享受流畅交易体验的同时，也能感受到科技带来的便捷与安心。 万洲金业的视野并未局限于交易执行本身，而是积极投身于行业共建与投资者能力提升的大潮中。通过线上学院这一知识分享平台，公司免费向投资者开放 丰富的教育资源，传授理性投资观念与技术分析方法。特别是为新手投资者提供的20万美元模拟资金演练服务，更是让他们在零风险的环境中积累实战经 验，快速成长为理性的市场参与者。这一系列举措，充分展现了万洲金业作为行业领军者的责任意识与服务温度。 在香港这座国际金融中心的璀璨星河中，香港黄金交易所犹如一颗耀眼的明珠，汇聚着亚洲黄金市场的活力与信誉。在这片充满机遇与挑战的土地上，万洲 金业作为香港黄金交易所的AA类行员，凭借其稳健的经营策略和始终如一的客户至上服务理念，在众多投资者心中树立了坚实的信任基石。 立足国际金融前沿，万洲金业不仅为投资者搭建起 ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) reported that as of September 5, a total of 12 institutions have applied for 17 ETF-FOF products, with 16 expected to be launched by 2025, indicating a growing interest in these investment vehicles [1] - The recent recovery in market conditions and the ETF market surpassing 5 trillion yuan have contributed to the increased activity from fund companies in the ETF-FOF space [1] - The increasing complexity and diversity of ETF products are raising the bar for fund managers' asset allocation capabilities [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities released a strategy report highlighting three liquidity characteristics in domestic and overseas markets: a clear divergence in ETF fund flows, a decrease in broad-based ETFs while industry/theme-based ETFs are increasing, and a shift from A-shares to Hong Kong stocks [3] - The report suggests that the market may be entering the last round of intensive subscription and redemption for actively managed public funds since 2021 [3] - CITIC Securities noted that the bond ETF market in China, which started relatively late, has seen rapid development, with the market size reaching 564.3 billion yuan by the end of August 2025, where credit bond ETFs account for over 80% of the total [3] - Looking ahead, CITIC Securities believes that the bond ETF market has significant growth potential and recommends focusing on high-quality sci-tech bonds that may be included in indices to capitalize on price appreciation opportunities from incoming incremental funds [3]

基金公司对ETF-FOF的本轮布局，得益于市场行情回暖以及ETF的热度上升。但由于ETF品种日趋多样 复杂，这对基金经理的资产配置能力也提出了更高要求。 证监会官网信息显示，截至9月5日一共有12家机构申报了17只ETF-FOF，其中16只在2025年内申报。包 括9月4日和9月1日申报的两只产品在内，平安基金旗下的ETF-FOF已不少于4只，招商基金、鹏扬基金 等申报的ETF-FOF不少于2只。在基金公司大力布局之下，ETF-FOF逐渐成为FOF中的创新型产品。 人民财讯9月8日电，时隔三年后，ETF-FOF迎来大扩容。 ...

Macro Strategy - The report highlights the need to monitor domestic economic policy changes due to the upcoming Fourth Plenary Session and the focus on countering "involution" [1] Fixed Income - The report discusses why domestic commercial banks are unlikely to reduce their balance sheets, citing factors such as the need to support the economy during a slowdown, the current accommodative monetary policy, and the role of state-owned capital in maintaining financial services to the real economy [2][22] - It emphasizes that the probability of a sector-wide balance sheet reduction is low, despite some smaller banks potentially facing this situation [22] Industry Analysis - The environmental industry report indicates that the waste incineration sector saw a revenue increase of 1% year-on-year in H1 2025, with net profit rising by 8% and an improvement in cash flow [4][6] - The report notes that operational efficiency improvements and reduced financial costs are driving performance growth, with a significant increase in return on equity (ROE) for pure waste operation companies [4][6] - It highlights the importance of enhancing operational efficiency and expanding both B-end and C-end markets to boost profitability and cash flow [6] Food and Beverage Industry - The beer industry report suggests that the sector is expected to benefit from a recovery in consumption, particularly in dining and retail scenarios, with a focus on high-growth companies like Yanjing Beer and Qingdao Beer [7] - The health supplement sector is noted for its potential valuation reconstruction, with a focus on quality stocks [8] Company-Specific Insights - The report on Yingke Recycling indicates strong growth in the decorative building materials business, with a focus on expanding its recycling capabilities and global presence [9] - The analysis of Magmi Te highlights a revenue increase of 16.5% year-on-year in H1 2025, despite a significant drop in net profit due to increased strategic investments [10][11] - The report on Weirgao emphasizes its leadership in the power PCB sector, projecting significant revenue growth driven by AI server demand and production capacity expansion [12] - The analysis of Dacilin shows a revenue increase of 1.33% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a notable profit growth of 21.38% [13] - The report on Dazhu CNC highlights its position as a leader in PCB equipment, benefiting from the demand for high-layer PCB devices driven by AI server needs [14]

Core Viewpoint - The ETF-FOF market is experiencing significant expansion after three years, with 12 institutions filing for 17 ETF-FOF products, driven by a recovering market and increasing popularity of ETFs [1][3][5] Group 1: Market Overview - As of September 5, 2025, there are 17 ETF-FOF products filed by 12 institutions, with 16 expected to be launched within the year [1][3] - The current market for ETFs has surpassed 5 trillion yuan, with over 1,200 products available, providing a diverse range of low-cost and efficient underlying assets for FOFs [7] Group 2: Product Characteristics - ETF-FOF products are defined as public FOFs that allocate over 80% of their non-cash underlying assets to ETFs, marking a shift from traditional active management FOFs [2] - Recent ETF-FOF products include the Xingzheng Global Yingfeng Multi-Asset Allocation and others, with a significant portion of their assets allocated to equity [2][4] Group 3: Industry Trends - The rise of ETF-FOF is attributed to the recovery of market conditions and the growth of the ETF market, which has prompted fund companies to restart their ETF-FOF strategies [5][6] - The first ETF-FOF products were established in 2021, but the expansion was limited until the recent favorable market conditions [5][6] Group 4: Managerial Challenges - The increasing complexity and diversity of ETFs require fund managers to enhance their asset allocation capabilities, focusing on multi-asset strategies rather than just stock selection [8] - Fund managers need strong macroeconomic analysis skills, market insight, and the ability to adapt their strategies to optimize risk-return profiles [8][9]

Group 1 - The total scale of ETFs in China has historically surpassed 5 trillion yuan, achieving this milestone in just four months, indicating a significant acceleration in ETF growth [1] - ETFs are reshaping the A-share ecosystem, acting as a stabilizing force in the market while also facilitating the rise of AI computing power leading stocks [1][2] - The shift from individual stock trading to index-based investing marks the emergence of a new investment era defined by ETFs [2] Group 2 - ETFs have played a crucial role in the current bull market, providing foundational support for market development, with significant inflows from state-owned entities like Central Huijin [3] - As of June 2023, Central Huijin's ETF holdings reached a market value of 1.28 trillion yuan, a 22.7% increase from the previous year, reflecting a strategic focus on broad-based ETFs [3] - The inclusion of leading tech stocks in major indices has led to passive buying from ETFs, providing stable funding support for these stocks [4] Group 3 - The rise of index investing has driven the appreciation of AI-related stocks, with ETFs creating a strong demand for these assets, thereby reducing market volatility [5] - The shift in investor behavior towards ETFs is evident, with a notable increase in net inflows into non-broad-based ETFs, indicating a change in market entry strategies [6][7] - ETFs offer advantages such as lower costs and diversified investment, making them an attractive option for investors seeking to mitigate individual stock risks [7][8] Group 4 - The dual nature of ETFs can amplify market volatility, as seen in the case of AI chipmaker Cambrian, where index adjustments led to significant passive selling pressure [9][10] - The upcoming quarterly adjustments in various indices may lead to substantial passive selling of stocks like Cambrian, potentially impacting their market prices significantly [10] - The volatility associated with ETF holdings suggests that stocks with higher ETF ownership may experience greater price fluctuations [11] Group 5 - The expansion of ETFs in China necessitates a focus on ecosystem improvement to mitigate risks associated with valuation bubbles and stock price volatility [12] - Recommendations for enhancing the ETF framework include raising entry thresholds and introducing industry-specific ETF options to stabilize market dynamics [12][13] - The future of China's ETF market is expected to evolve with more diverse product offerings, including leveraged and actively managed ETFs, enhancing investor engagement [13]

Group 1 - The international gold market has entered a new upward trend, with spot gold prices rising significantly to $3586 per ounce on September 6, marking a 1.15% increase and reaching a historical high of $3600 during the day [1] - COMEX gold futures also showed strong performance, increasing by 0.92% to $3639.8 per ounce on the same day [1] Group 2 - The rising gold prices have directly impacted the retail market, with major domestic gold brands seeing retail prices exceed 1000 yuan per gram, such as Chow Tai Fook at 1060 yuan/gram and Chow Sang Sang at 1059 yuan/gram [3] - Consumer behavior has shown a clear divide, with some opting to hold cash due to price pressures, while others are purchasing smaller weight products or continue buying based on style preferences [3] - The World Gold Council's latest report indicates a structural change in the Chinese gold market, predicting a 20% year-on-year decrease in gold jewelry consumption to 69 tons by Q2 2025, while gold bar and coin investment demand is expected to surge by 44% to 115 tons, the highest level since 2013 [3] Group 3 - The fluctuations in the gold market have had ripple effects on other financial sectors, with the offshore RMB exchange rate strengthening alongside rising gold prices, reaching a high of 7.1155, the strongest since November 6, 2024 [4] - The A-share gold sector has performed well, with companies like Zhongjin Gold and Western Gold seeing significant stock price increases of 3.18% and 10% respectively [4] - Experts suggest that rising gold prices may indicate an increased probability of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could improve market liquidity and positively impact the stock market [4] Group 4 - Despite the strong performance of gold-related assets, experts advise a rational approach to investment risks, emphasizing that gold primarily serves as a risk hedge and a means of value preservation rather than a high-return investment [4] - Current high gold prices may reduce the cost-effectiveness of entry, with increased volatility risks anticipated in the future [4] - It is recommended that ordinary investors limit their gold allocation to 5%-10% of their total assets to avoid over-concentration in investments [4]