Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - In October 2025, China's import growth rate declined and exports turned negative year-on-year, indicating that the foundation of China's economic recovery is not solid, domestic demand remains weak, and external demand is under increasing downward pressure. The export will face downward pressure in the future. The stock index should be cautiously viewed for short - term rebounds and the risk of a new decline should be watched out for. Gold may be under short - term pressure and has a risk of deep adjustment in the medium - long term [40]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Macroeconomic Data - In October 2025, China's imports increased by 1% year - on - year, with the growth rate dropping by 6.4 percentage points from the previous month, and exports decreased by 1.1% year - on - year, the first negative growth since March, reflecting weakening domestic demand and increasing downward pressure on external demand [3][4]. 2. Stock Index Fundamental Data - From January to September 2025, the profits of industrial enterprises above a designated size turned positive year - on - year, and the growth rate of finished product inventories rebounded. However, after removing the impact of the low base effect in the previous year, corporate profitability remained weak, and enterprises were still in the stage of active inventory reduction [16]. - The margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rose slightly to 24725.92 billion yuan. The central bank conducted 495.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations this week, achieving a net withdrawal of 1572.2 billion yuan [18]. 3. Gold Fundamental Data - Many Fed officials made hawkish remarks, believing that the US economy is still robust, the inflation risk has not been eliminated, and caution is needed regarding future interest rate cuts. The yield of the 10 - year US Treasury bond has returned above the 4% mark [28]. - The warehouse receipts and inventory of Shanghai gold futures are slowing down, and the inventory of New York COMEX gold is continuously decreasing, reflecting a cooling of the market's bullish sentiment [39]. 4. Strategy Recommendations - Short - term: Due to the marginal weakening of domestic economic data, the stock index should be cautiously viewed for short - term rebounds. Fed officials' hawkish remarks have further dampened the market's expectation of another interest rate cut in December, and gold may continue to adjust after a short - term rebound [40]. - Medium - long term: The valuation of the stock index will still be dragged down by the decline in corporate profit growth at the molecular end, and the support at the denominator end mainly comes from the recovery of risk appetite. Gold has a risk of deep adjustment due to factors such as the cooling of the expectation of another Fed interest rate cut in December [40].

Core Viewpoint - Uni-President China reported a decline in stock price exceeding 6% following the release of its Q3 operational results, despite a year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the net profit reached 2.01 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.1% [1] - The net profit for Q3 alone was 730 million HKD, showing an 8.4% year-on-year increase [1] Revenue Analysis - According to Huatai Securities, the overall revenue for Q3 remained flat year-on-year, with the beverage segment experiencing a low single-digit decline due to price wars on delivery platforms and industry competition [1] - The food segment saw a mid-to-low single-digit year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 [1] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin improved year-on-year, while the expense ratio decreased, indicating a stable increase in profitability [1]

Core Viewpoint - Schroders' investment team indicates that the Federal Reserve's policy stance is more dovish than previously expected, leading to a decline in real yields, which, combined with strong corporate earnings and loose fiscal policy, has resulted in a positive outlook for global equities, particularly favoring U.S. and emerging market stocks [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The investment firm previously held a neutral stance on equities, but recent negative U.S. non-farm payroll data has led to a re-pricing of interest rate cut expectations by the market [1] - U.S. Treasury yields have risen, pushing valuations into a more expensive range [1] Group 2: Asset Preferences - Schroders continues to favor gold due to its benefits from lower real yields and its protective qualities against debt sustainability and concerns over Federal Reserve independence [1] - The firm has downgraded its view on local currency debt in emerging markets after strong performance, while maintaining a bearish outlook on the U.S. dollar [1] Group 3: Regional Focus - The outlook for Chinese and emerging Asian equities has been upgraded, supported by improving economic activity indicators in China and signs of export recovery in South Korea and Taiwan, providing a strong basis for broader allocation in technology export-related sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The new stock market is very active this year, reflecting investors' willingness to take risks and an overall optimistic investment environment, although a potential market correction of 10% to 15% may occur due to high asset prices rather than a macroeconomic downturn [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The current investment environment is optimistic, with active participation in the new stock market [1] - A potential market correction of 10% to 15% is anticipated, driven by high asset prices rather than a significant economic decline [1] Group 2: Regulatory and Economic Factors - Easing financial regulations is beneficial for corporate profit growth, but both equity and debt markets are considered expensive [1] - Precious metals and cryptocurrency markets exhibit speculative behavior, posing short-term valuation challenges [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite risks from policy missteps and geopolitical uncertainties, systemic risks may have decreased compared to earlier in the year [1] - The focus for the upcoming year will shift back to fundamentals, particularly corporate earnings, as the market outlook evolves [1] Group 4: Sector Performance - The market is expected to show differentiation, with companies that can generate good returns without significant investment in artificial intelligence likely to perform well [1]

Core Insights - Major Wall Street investment bank CEOs indicate that investors should prepare for a potential market adjustment of over 10% within the next 12 to 24 months, suggesting that such pullbacks are not necessarily negative [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - Capital Group's CEO Mike Gitlin states that corporate earnings remain strong, but valuation poses a current challenge [1] - Gitlin notes that most investors perceive stocks to be between fair and overvalued, with few considering them to be between cheap and fair [1] - Morgan Stanley's CEO Ted Pick and Goldman Sachs' CEO David Solomon echo similar sentiments, predicting significant pullbacks as a common occurrence in market cycles [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - Solomon highlights that technology stock valuations are quite full, although the overall market is not in the same position [1] - He points out that a 10% to 15% market pullback is typical during upward cycles and does not alter capital flows or long-term allocation strategies [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the short - term, after the meeting between Chinese and US leaders and repeated digestion of domestic policy benefits, the stock index should be cautious about callback risks; the Fed's interest rate decision is hawkish, and the market's expectation of a December interest rate cut has decreased. Gold may continue to adjust after a short - term rebound [29]. - In the medium - to long - term, the valuation of the stock index is mainly dragged down by the decline in corporate profit growth at the molecular end, while the support at the denominator end mainly comes from the recovery of risk appetite. The stock index maintains a wide - range oscillation in the medium term; concerns about the uncertainty of US tariff policies have subsided, and gold may face a deep adjustment due to factors such as the easing of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East and the downward adjustment of the Fed's December interest rate cut expectation [29][30] 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macroeconomic Data - In October this year, the official manufacturing PMI dropped to 49, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, and it has been in the contraction range for 7 consecutive months. Industrial production has slowed down significantly, demand has declined again, external demand pressure has increased, and the business climate of small and medium - sized enterprises has weakened [2] 3.2 Stock Index Fundamental Data 3.2.1 Enterprise Profit - From January to September this year, the profits of industrial enterprises above a designated size increased by 3.2% year - on - year, rebounding for two consecutive months. However, there is a differentiation in business performance among different industries. The profits of high - end and equipment manufacturing industries maintain rapid growth, while the operating pressure on downstream enterprises remains high [11] 3.2.2 Capital Situation - The margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets has risen to 2473.27 billion yuan. The central bank conducted 2068 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations and 900 billion yuan of one - year MLF operations this week, achieving a net injection of 1400.8 billion yuan [15] 3.3 Gold Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Risk - free Rate: Holding Cost and Inflation Level - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected at its October meeting, but the divergence among participants on future interest rate policies has increased. They believe that the lack of economic data may lead to a delay in interest rate cuts, and the 10 - year US Treasury yield has returned above the 4% mark [21] 3.3.2 US Consumer Confidence Index and Employment Situation - No specific data provided 3.3.3 Gold Inventory Situation - The warehouse receipts and inventory of Shanghai gold futures have slowed down, but the inventory of COMEX gold in New York has continued to decline, indicating a decrease in the risk of a short squeeze [28] 3.4 Strategy Recommendations - Short - term: After the end of the meeting between Chinese and US leaders and repeated digestion of domestic policy benefits, pay attention to the callback risk of the stock index in the short - term; the Fed's interest rate decision is hawkish, and the market's expectation of a December interest rate cut has decreased. Gold may continue to adjust after a short - term rebound [29] - Medium - to long - term: The valuation of the stock index is mainly dragged down by the decline in corporate profit growth at the molecular end, while the support at the denominator end mainly comes from the recovery of risk appetite. The stock index maintains a wide - range oscillation in the medium term; concerns about the uncertainty of US tariff policies have subsided, and gold may face a deep adjustment due to factors such as the easing of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East and the downward adjustment of the Fed's December interest rate cut expectation [29][30]

Core Insights - NIO's founder and CEO Li Bin emphasized the importance of balancing long-term goals with short-term operational objectives, stating that responsible management is crucial for user trust and company stability [1][6][7] Delivery Performance - In September, NIO delivered approximately 34,700 new vehicles, marking a 64% year-on-year increase. The breakdown includes around 13,700 vehicles from the NIO brand, 15,200 from the Ladao brand, and 5,775 from the Firefly brand, with Ladao consistently outperforming NIO [6] - Recent data indicates that NIO's weekly deliveries surpassed 10,600 units in the third week of October, suggesting a monthly delivery capacity exceeding 40,000 units [6] - NIO is progressively increasing production capacity, with monthly output for the L90 model rising from 10,000 units in August and September to 15,000 units starting in October. The new ES8 model's production will also gradually reach 15,000 units [6] Financial Goals - Li Bin reiterated the necessity of achieving profitability in the fourth quarter, viewing it as a critical measure of the team's operational efficiency and management capabilities [7]

Market Performance - US stocks ended higher on October 28, supported by upbeat corporate earnings and improved investor sentiment amid easing trade tensions [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.34%, or 161 points, to 47,706, hitting a new record close [1] - The broader S&P 500 gained 0.23%, or 15 points, to 6,890, also ending at a record high after surpassing 6,900 earlier in the session [2] - The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.80%, or 190 points, to 23,827, witnessing a record close as well, boosted by a 4.98% jump in Nvidia shares to $201.03 [3] Company Performance - Wall Street was boosted by a jump in shares of United Parcel Service (UPS) by 8% to $96.36, Wayfair by 23.22% to $106.52, and PayPal by 3.92% to $73 after these companies reported better-than-expected financial results [4]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street experienced a positive opening on Tuesday, continuing its record-setting trend due to strong corporate earnings and optimism surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Major indexes showed an upward trend, reflecting increased investor confidence driven by favorable earnings reports [1] - The overall market sentiment is buoyed by expectations of the Federal Reserve's decisions in its policy meeting [1]

Group 1 - US stock index futures rose in early Asian trading due to positive news regarding a comprehensive trade agreement between the US and China [1][3] - S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures increased by 0.7% and 0.9% respectively, while major Asia-Pacific markets also saw gains [3] - On October 24, US stock markets continued their upward trend, with the S&P 500 closing up 0.8% and the Nasdaq rising 1%, both reaching new closing highs [3] Group 2 - Currency markets showed mixed results, with Australian and New Zealand dollars slightly rising, while the US dollar's performance varied against other major currencies [3] - Analysts remain cautious despite the optimistic market sentiment, with some suggesting that the current situation reflects a cooling rather than a fundamental improvement [3][4] - This week is critical for the market as central bank policies and US corporate earnings season converge, potentially leading to market volatility [4]