Group 1 - Supply-side changes are crucial for the photovoltaic industry's capacity clearance, and supply clearance is a decisive factor for the industry to recover in the second half of the year [1] - The photovoltaic sector has seen a collective rise in stock prices, with companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. and Shuangliang Eco-Energy hitting the daily limit on July 2 [1][4] - The cash flow of silicon material manufacturers is under pressure due to continuous losses, with the average asset-liability ratio of photovoltaic companies rising [1][4] Group 2 - Silicon material prices have shown a slight recovery due to stable supply and demand, while silicon wafer prices have declined due to weak terminal demand [2][3] - The average transaction price of multi-crystalline silicon N-type raw materials increased by 0.87% to 34,700 yuan/ton, while N-type granular silicon remained at 33,500 yuan/ton [2] - The production of multi-crystalline silicon in June was approximately 102,000 tons, with a significant year-on-year decrease of 44.1% in the first half of the year [3] Group 3 - The reduction in production capacity is essential for reversing the current difficulties in the multi-crystalline silicon industry [4][5] - The asset-liability ratio of many photovoltaic companies has exceeded 70%, indicating significant financial pressure [4][5] - Companies like Tongwei and Daqo Energy have indicated that the supply-demand imbalance is unlikely to change in the short term, with silicon material prices expected to remain low [5] Group 4 - The global nominal capacity of multi-crystalline silicon is projected to reach approximately 3.04 million tons by May 2025, with domestic capacity accounting for about 97% [6] - The photovoltaic industry's supply-side adjustments are expected to deepen, with the multi-crystalline silicon sector likely to be one of the first to complete adjustments [6]

晨 会 纪 开源晨会 0703 ——晨会纪要 沪深300 及创业板指数近1年走势 -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 64% 沪深300 创业板指 数据来源：聚源 2025 年 07 月 03 日 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 钢铁 | 3.375 | | 煤炭 | 1.985 | | 建筑材料 | 1.421 | | 农林牧渔 | 0.837 | | 银行 | 0.754 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 电子 | -2.011 | | 通信 | -1.963 | | 国防军工 | -1.938 | | 计算机 | -1.640 | | 美容护理 | -1.091 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【金融工程】港股量化：南下资金累计流入达 2024 年 91%，7 月增配成长——金 融工程定期-20250702 港股市场 6 月概览：港股震荡上行，有色、电子涨幅亮眼。 港 ...

光伏设备 2025 年 07 月 02 日 官媒&高层接连发声，供给侧改革有望深化 ——行业点评报告 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 58% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 光伏设备 沪深300 事件：据新华社，中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席、中央财经委员会 主任习近平 7 月 1 日上午主持召开中央财经委员会第六次会议，会议强调： 会议主旨高度契合 6 月 29 日人民日报头版文章 人民日报 6 月 29 日头版推出金社平文章《在破除"内卷式"竞争中实现高质量发 展》指出，"要深化要素市场化配置改革，主动破除地方保护、市场分割和'内卷 式'竞争。"政府有引导、行业有自律、企业有行动，综合整治"内卷式"竞争就能 稳步推进、见到成效。本次中央财经委员会的会议主旨高度契合人民日报文章， 表明高层对光伏困境认知清晰，破除内卷、推动行业健康发展的决心明确，后续 光伏供给侧结构性改革力度有望加强。 光伏供给侧改革有望深化 相关研究报告 《破除光伏"内卷式"竞争，关注行 业贝塔修复 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2025.7.1 殷晟 ...

| 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | | --- | 2025 年 07 月 02 日 他 研 究 开源晨会 0702 ——晨会纪要 沪深300 及创业板指数近1年走势 数据来源：聚源 -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 64% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 综合 | 2.601 | | 医药生物 | 1.804 | | 银行 | 1.535 | | 有色金属 | 1.489 | | 公用事业 | 1.046 | | 数据来源：聚源 | | | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 计算机 | -1.182 | | 商贸零售 | -0.788 | | 通信 | -0.452 | | 传媒 | -0.376 | | 电力设备 | -0.373 | 数据来源：聚源 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【宏观经济】"两重"接力支撑 PMI，预计 Q2 GDP 约 5.2%——兼评 6 月 PM ...

电力设备 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 6 月 29 日 强于大市 电力设备与新能源行业 6月 第 4 周周报 5 月风光装机高增，小米 YU7 订单亮眼 新能源汽车方面，本周小米 YU7 正式上市，1 小时大定突破 28.9 万台，下 半年随着新能源新车型不断推出，新能源汽车产品力不断增强，2025 年国内 新能源汽车销量有望保持高增，带动电池和材料需求增长。动力电池方面， 固态电池催化不断，本周美国 QS 宣布其固态电池生产获里程碑式进展，固 态电池产业化趋势明确，后续关注固态电池相关材料和设备企业验证进展。 光伏方面，中央经济工作会议明确提出综合整治"内卷式"竞争，国家市场监 管总局针对光伏组件进行抽检，光伏供给侧改革力度有望加强；需求侧，我 国 5 月光伏装机高达 92.92GW，装机同比增长 388%，可能一定程度上压制 25H2 光伏装机需求，密切关注供给变化情况，光伏板块重点关注硅料环节 和 BC 以及贱金属降本方向。氢能方面，政策持续推动氢能产业化发展，能 源局开展能源领域氢能试点，地方政策催化不断，建议关注具备成本优势、 技术优势的电解槽生产企业、受益于氢能基础设施建设的燃料 ...

工业硅周报 2025 年 6 月 23 日 供需弱平衡，工业硅反弹有限 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0297587 投资咨询号：Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0307990 投资咨询号：Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03099478 投资咨询号：Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03084165 投资咨询号：Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03112296 投资咨询号：Z0021040 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 9 ⚫ 上周工业硅反弹有限，主因全球经济增速存在下行预期， 工业品市场情绪偏弱，光伏供给侧改革令行业进入收缩周 期。供应来看，新疆地区开工率恢复至7成左右,川滇地区 丰水期临近开工率回升，内蒙和甘肃产量低位反弹，但供 应端增量有限；从需求侧来看，多晶硅价格持续走跌拉晶 厂库存高压难解，7月初 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1] Core Insights - The solid-state battery industrialization is progressing, with Nissan announcing its first solid-state battery vehicle launch in 2028, indicating a clear trend towards solid-state battery commercialization [1] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles in June are expected to reach 1.1 million units, with a penetration rate of approximately 55%, suggesting strong demand and growth potential in the sector [1] - The report highlights the importance of cost-effective and technologically advanced electrolyzer manufacturers and companies benefiting from hydrogen infrastructure development [1] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electric equipment and new energy sector experienced a decline of 0.79% this week, with the wind power sector increasing by 1.63% and the nuclear power sector decreasing by 2.84% [2][10] - The report notes that the retail market for narrow passenger vehicles is projected to be around 2 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4% and a month-on-month increase of 3.2% [2][25] New Energy Vehicles - Xiaomi's YU7 is set to launch at the end of June, contributing to the growing product lineup in the new energy vehicle market [1][25] - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for batteries and materials driven by the anticipated high growth in domestic new energy vehicle sales in 2025 [1] Battery Technology - Nissan confirmed the launch of its first solid-state battery vehicle in 2028, marking a significant milestone in battery technology [1][25] - The report mentions successful delivery and testing of dry-process core equipment for solid-state batteries by Xianhui Technology in collaboration with leading domestic solid-state battery companies [2][25] Photovoltaics - The report indicates that the central economic work conference has called for comprehensive rectification of "involution" competition in the photovoltaic sector, suggesting a potential increase in supply-side reforms [1] - The price of silicon materials is currently under pressure, with mainstream prices around 30-34 RMB/kg, and the report anticipates further price adjustments in the coming months [15][21] Hydrogen Energy - The report highlights ongoing policy support for the hydrogen energy sector, with the Fujian Provincial Development and Reform Commission outlining plans for hydrogen production capacity and infrastructure development [1][25] - The hydrogen energy industry is expected to achieve a total output value exceeding 60 billion RMB per year by 2030 [25] Company Developments - Xiamen Tungsten's new energy materials sales reached approximately 47,600 tons in the first five months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 20.95% [27] - Hengrun Co., Ltd. plans to invest 1.2 billion RMB in a project to produce 2,000 sets of wind turbine gearbox components, with construction expected to start in July 2025 [27][28]

6月10日，在光伏行业年度盛会SNEC2025光伏展开幕式上，全球绿色能源理事会主席、协鑫集团董事 长朱共山表示，当前，中国光伏产业正处在"四落五起"的临界点。今年下半年到明年一季度是光伏供给 侧改革的关键窗口期。 来源：北京日报客户端 记者：孙杰 如遇作品内容、版权等问题，请在相关文章刊发之日起30日内与本网联系。版权侵权联系电话：010-85202353 在他看来，确定的"双碳"进程，决定了光伏产业仍将保持一定时期内的线性增长。纵观全球，光伏目前 仍是技术与经济优越性最突出的能源形态之一。即便充分考虑政策与融资环境波动、贸易壁垒等因素， 光伏的线性增长乃至指数级爆发，依然是大概率事件。 "光伏的未来一定很美好，但黎明前的黑暗最难熬。"朱共山表示，当前，全环节过剩依然是高悬在头顶 的"达摩克利斯之剑"。从过剩出清到生态重构再到稳定发展，光伏还有一段蜕变之路要走。今年下半年 到明年一季度是光伏供给侧改革的关键窗口期。 他建议，以"市场化兼并重组+技术淘汰机制+政策强制约束"去产能，将光伏产能指标统一纳入国家规 划的大盘子，备案核查、产能监测、违规清退，全链路监管。除颠覆性新技术之外严控新增产能。避免 不合理的 ...

全球绿色能源理事会主席、协鑫集团董事长朱共山在6月10日的SNEC光伏展开幕式上表示，中国光伏 正处"四落五起"的临界点，今年下半年到明年一季度是光伏供给侧改革的关键窗口期。朱共山倡议政企 联动促出清 ，以"市场化兼并重组+技术淘汰机制+政策强制约束"去产能，通过"供给侧自律+需求端刺 激"去库存。 ...

在今日进行的SNEC大会开幕式上，大会执行主席、协鑫集团董事长朱共山提出建议，以"市场化兼并重 组+技术淘汰机制+政策强制约束"去产能，通过"供给侧自律+需求端刺激"去库存。他认为，今年下半 年到明年Q1是光伏供给侧改革的关键窗口期，为推动产业高质量发展，应该将光伏产能指标统一纳入 国家规划的大盘子，备案核查、产能监测、违规清退，全链路监管。除颠覆性新技术之外严控新增产 能。避免不合理的地方保护行为，防止"边清边增"。（记者 刘梦然） ...