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福莱特玻璃(06865):2024Q4单平盈利触底,2025Q2迎来量利修复
Changjiang Securities· 2025-04-06 06:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.683 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 13.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.007 billion CNY, down 63.52% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, revenue was 4.079 billion CNY, a decline of 27.67% year-on-year but an increase of 4.37% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q4 was -289 million CNY, a decrease of 136.54% year-on-year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's photovoltaic glass revenue was 16.8 billion CNY, down 14.5% year-on-year, with an estimated sales volume of approximately 1.26 billion square meters, an increase of 3.7% year-on-year. The gross margin for photovoltaic glass was 15.6%, a decrease of 6.8 percentage points year-on-year. North America accounted for 1.1 billion CNY in revenue, a significant increase of 231.6% year-on-year, driven by high demand for photovoltaics in the U.S. and the gradual release of local component capacity [4][7]. Market Outlook - The company expects that Q4 2024 will see a bottoming out of single flat profit margins, with a projected increase in sales volume despite a decline in average selling prices. Cost optimization is expected to mitigate some of the impacts of price reductions, and the company maintains a significant profit advantage over second- and third-tier competitors. The recent trends in photovoltaic glass prices suggest that profitability levels have reached a low point [4][7]. Operational Efficiency - The company reported a significant reduction in sales expenses by 56.6% in 2024, attributed to improved efficiency in the use of scaffolding. Financial expenses also decreased by 15.6%, mainly due to reduced bank interest expenses and increased foreign exchange gains. The company experienced asset impairment losses of 356 million CNY in 2024, with inventory write-down losses of 79 million CNY and fixed asset impairment losses of 277 million CNY, primarily due to kiln maintenance [4][7]. Industry Dynamics - The supply-demand dynamics in the industry are improving, with a clear trend of volume and price recovery expected in Q2 2025. As of the end of March, industry inventory days decreased to 27.44 days, leading to price increases in photovoltaic glass in March and further expected improvements in April. The company, as a leading player in the photovoltaic glass market, is well-positioned to benefit from these trends, with ongoing projects in Anhui and Nantong and orderly progress in overseas capacities in Vietnam and Indonesia [4][7].
【福莱特(601865.SH)】行业竞争加剧致业绩承压,25年盈利能力有望修复——2024年年报点评(殷中枢/郝骞)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-02 09:29
报告摘要 事件: 公司发布 2024 年年报,2024 年实现营业收入 186.83 亿元,同比减少 13.20%,实现归母净利润 10.07 亿 元,同比减少 63.52%;2024Q4 实现营业收 入 40.79 亿元,同比减少 27.67%,实现归母净利润-2.89 亿 元,同比减少 136.54%,环比亏损幅度扩大。 光伏玻璃销量企稳,价格持续探底致盈利能力阶段性承压 光伏玻璃板块:行业竞争加剧背景下公司仍保持光伏玻璃出货量的稳健提升, 2024 年公司光伏玻璃销量 同比提升 3.70%至 12.65 亿平;售价方面,2024 年光 伏玻璃(2.0mm)均价从年初的 17 元/平大幅下滑至 年底的 11.5 元/平,公司 2024 年 ASP(不含税)为 13.30 元/平(同比减少 17.59%)。综合来看,2024 年 公司光伏玻璃营业收入同比减少 14.54%至 168.16 亿元,毛利率同比减少 6.81 个 pct 至 15.64%,盈利能 力阶段性承压。近期光伏玻璃价格有所回暖,叠加新 产能陆续投运后对综合成本的进一步优化,2025 年 公司盈利能力有望得到修复。 特别申明: 本订阅号中所 ...