Group 1 - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) signaled a more hawkish stance than expected, with two committee members voting against maintaining the current interest rate, indicating a potential faster exit from monetary easing policies [1][2] - The BOJ decided to sell its ETF holdings at an annual rate of approximately 3.3 trillion yen (20 billion USD) and REITs at about 5 billion yen annually, marking a step towards normalizing monetary policy [1][3] - BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that further rate hikes could occur if economic and price forecasts are met, shifting market focus to the timing of the next rate increase [1][2] Group 2 - The internal dissent among BOJ committee members highlights increasing hawkish pressure, with some economists predicting a 25 basis point rate hike by the end of the year, although there is disagreement on the timing [2] - The decision to reduce ETF holdings, which accumulated to 37 trillion yen over 13 years, was announced earlier than market expectations, with a focus on avoiding excessive market disruption [3] - Political uncertainty surrounding the upcoming party leadership election may complicate the BOJ's ability to implement rate hikes, as the new leader's stance on monetary policy will be closely monitored [4][5]

新华社东京9月19日电（记者刘春燕）日本央行19日在结束为期两天的货币政策会议后宣布，维持现行 利率水平不变，未来将择机出售其持有的金融资产，缩减宽松规模，推动货币政策正常化。 公告显示，日本央行继续将政策利率保持在0.5%左右。此外，央行未来将择机在市场上出售其持有的 交易型开放式指数基金（ETF）及房地产投资信托基金（REIT）等资产。 日本央行行长植田和男在记者会上表示，日本央行目前计划每年出售账面金额约3300亿日元的ETF及账 面金额约50亿日元的REIT，具体出售时机待定。 据《日本经济新闻》网站报道，账面金额3300亿日元的ETF目前市场价值约6200亿日元。截至今年3月 底，日本央行持有的ETF账面价值总计37万亿日元，市价约70万亿日元。 新冠疫情期间，为应对疫情对日本经济及市场造成的严重冲击，日本央行通过扩大资产购买计划等手段 持续加大货币政策宽松力度。去年3月，日本央行宣布结束负利率政策、开启首次加息，停止购买ETF 及REIT，此后一直在寻找时机出售持有的资产。（完） ...

新华社东京9月19日电（记者刘春燕）日本央行19日在结束为期两天的货币政策会议后宣布，维持 现行利率水平不变，未来将择机出售其持有的金融资产，缩减宽松规模，推动货币政策正常化。 【纠错】 【责任编辑:邱丽芳】 日本央行行长植田和男在记者会上表示，日本央行目前计划每年出售账面金额约3300亿日元的ETF 及账面金额约50亿日元的REIT，具体出售时机待定。 据《日本经济新闻》网站报道，账面金额3300亿日元的ETF目前市场价值约6200亿日元。截至今年 3月底，日本央行持有的ETF账面价值总计37万亿日元，市价约70万亿日元。 新冠疫情期间，为应对疫情对日本经济及市场造成的严重冲击，日本央行通过扩大资产购买计划等 手段持续加大货币政策宽松力度。去年3月，日本央行宣布结束负利率政策、开启首次加息，停止购买 ETF及REIT，此后一直在寻找时机出售持有的资产。 公告显示，日本央行继续将政策利率保持在0.5%左右。此外，央行未来将择机在市场上出售其持 有的交易型开放式指数基金（ETF）及房地产投资信托基金（REIT）等资产。 ...

Group 1 - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has decided to gradually start selling its holdings of domestic exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating a tightening of monetary policy despite maintaining the policy interest rate at 0.5% for the fifth consecutive meeting [3][6] - Following the BOJ's announcement, the Japanese yen strengthened significantly, leading to a drop in the Nikkei index by 1.6% and causing a ripple effect across Asian markets, including declines in the Hang Seng Tech Index and South Korean stock indices [1][3][4] - Analysts suggest that the BOJ's move marks a significant step away from the ultra-loose monetary policies of the Abe administration, potentially signaling an interest rate hike in October [6][8] Group 2 - The BOJ's hawkish stance has led to expectations of a potential interest rate increase, with a survey indicating that most observers anticipate a rate hike before January next year, and market expectations of a 58% chance of a rate increase by the end of the year [6][9] - The normalization of monetary policy, including interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction, is expected to exert upward pressure on the yen, which could lead to the unwinding of carry trade positions [8][9] - Historical data shows that past reversals of yen-funded carry trades have led to yen appreciation, declines in U.S. Treasury yields, and upward pressure on gold prices, while putting pressure on equity and commodity markets [8][9]

日本央行行长植田和男在记者会上表示，央行目前计划每年出售账面金额约为3300亿日元的ETF及账面 金额约为50亿日元的REIT，具体出售时机待定，尚需一定准备时间。他同时表示，具体出售额度有可 能在未来的货币政策会议上进行调整，也可能根据市场情况叫停。 新冠疫情期间，为应对疫情对经济及市场造成的严重冲击，日本央行通过扩大资产购买计划等手段持续 加大货币政策宽松力度。自去年3月日本央行宣布结束负利率政策、开启首次加息，央行就停止了ETF 及REIT购买并一直寻找时机出售持有的资产。 新华财经东京9月19日电 日本央行当天在结束为期两天的货币政策会议后宣布，维持现行利率水平不 变，未来将择机在市场上出售其持有金融资产。通过出售资产日本央行将进一步缩减宽松规模，推动货 币政策正常化。 公告显示，日本央行继续将政策利率（无担保隔夜拆借利率）保持在0.5%左右。此外，央行未来将择 机在市场上出售其持有的交易所交易基金（ETF）及房地产投资信托（REIT）等资产。 据《日本经济新闻》网站报道，账面金额3300亿日元的ETF目前的市场价值约为6200亿日元。截至今年 3月底，日本央行持有的ETF账面价值总计达37万亿日元， ...

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Japan's decision to gradually sell its holdings of domestic exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has led to significant market volatility, with the Nikkei index dropping 1.6% and impacting other Asian markets [3][4][6]. Group 1: Bank of Japan's Policy Changes - The Bank of Japan maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.5%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without changes, which was in line with market expectations [3]. - The announcement of selling domestic ETFs indicates a shift from the ultra-loose monetary policy era initiated during Abe's administration, suggesting a potential tightening of monetary policy [6]. - Analysts predict a 58% chance that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by the end of the year, with many expecting a rate hike before January [6][9]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance, the Japanese yen strengthened significantly, contributing to declines in equity markets across Asia [4][6]. - The dollar-yen exchange rate fell sharply, which was a major factor in the market turmoil [4]. - The Nikkei index's drop was mirrored by declines in other indices, including a 0.4% decrease in India's Nifty 50 and widespread losses in Southeast Asian markets [3]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - Despite some signs of weakness, the Japanese economy is on a path of moderate recovery, with stable trends in exports and production, and moderate growth in capital expenditure [6]. - There are concerns that trade policies may slow Japan's economic growth, but a rebound is expected thereafter [6]. - Historical data indicates that the reversal of carry trades involving the yen has occurred in the past, which could lead to further market pressures if similar conditions arise [8].

周五（9月19日）亚洲时段，日元强势反弹，美元兑日元短线下跌约40点，刷新日内低点至147.1800， 截止发稿前美元/日元报147.4400，跌幅0.37%，因两位日本央行官员提议加息25个基点。 两人均认为，应该加息25个基点至0.75%，因为随着价格上涨风险更加偏向于上行，央行应将政策利率 略微向中性利率靠近。 与此同时，日本央行还宣布开始出售其持有的ETF和REITs资产。受此鹰派意外刺激，日元汇率短线走 强超50点，日股涨幅回落，日本10年期国债延续跌势，收益率走高。 美元兑日元汇率昨日亚市开盘后延续上行，盘中收复第一阻力后续创日内新高，日线报收中阳线，收盘 位置触及前阻力区，突破后方可打开上升空间，从4H来看，布林中轨拐头向上，MACD零轴附近运 行，日内下方首要支撑147.60，第二支撑147.10，上方阻力148.50,149.00，保持在第一支撑上方短线有 望测试第一阻力。 日本央行在周五结束的为期两天的政策会议后，连续第五次会议将基准利率维持在约0.5%不变，此前 在1月份将利率上调至当前水平，作为在十年非常规宽松政策后努力恢复正常货币政策的举措。 日本央行此次决议公布时间较往常大幅延迟， ...

智通财经APP获悉，鉴于全球经济与日本国内的政治不确定性挥之不去，日本央行在寻求前景明朗度之际，维持基准利率不变，并宣布将开始抛售交易型开 放式指数基金(即ETF产品)。此外，这次利率决议非常重要的细节在于，日本央行此次决议公布时间较往常大幅延迟，因内部投票出现分歧。日本央行以7比 2的投票结果维持利率不变，货币政策委员会成员高田创、田村直树对该决定持异议。两位委员会成员均认为，应该加息25个基点至0.75%，因为随着价格 上涨风险更加偏向于上行，央行应将政策利率略微向中性利率靠近。 根据其利率决议声明，日本央行在周五于东京结束的两日货币政策会议上，将政策利率维持在0.5%不变。机构所调查的50位经济学家全部预期此次利率决 议结果维持基准利率不变。此次利率表决为7票对2票，这也是日本央行行长植田和男自上任以来首次在维持利率不变的问题上面对两名持异议者，这也被市 场视为日本央行货币政策委员会中"重启加息派"势力崛起的重要标志。 日本央行表示，将开始以大致相当于其在2000年前后从银行手中购入股票后再行出售的规模，出售其所持ETF产品以及日本市场的房地产投资信托(J- REITs)。日本央行表示，在完成必要的操作 ...

南方财经21世纪经济报道记者胡慧茵 美国东部时间9月17日，美国联邦储备委员会结束为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点到4.00%至4.25%之 间。这是美联储2025年第一次降息，也是继2024年三次降息后再次降息。 受美联储降息消息影响，亚太股市呈现分化走势，日韩股市一路上扬，并创出新高，而东南亚股市则以下跌为主。 渣打中国财富管理部首席投资策略师王昕杰向21世纪经济报道记者表示，美联储此次降息后，日韩股市上涨，可能源于利差缩小，资本有望回 流，从而推高这两国股市。另外，美联储在最新《经济预测摘要》中，相对于6月调高了美国经济预测，预计今年GDP将增长1.6%，明年GDP 将增长1.8%，预示着美国将在经济软着陆的情境下降低利率，从而利好经济，支撑需求，这对于以美国为重要出口市场的日韩经济体意义重 大。 王昕杰进一步表示，美联储降息路径明确，为包括日韩等在内的亚太主要经济体央行提供了更大的货币政策空间，从而维持较低利率水平支持 经济，同时利好股市。美联储鹰派降息刺激亚太股市分化 亚太股市盘初，美股三大指数期货集体上涨。另一边，亚太股中，日、韩股市一路上涨。 日经225指数开盘即 ...

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup indicates that the appointment of a pro-reflation figure as Japan's next Prime Minister will not hinder the normalization of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy [1] Group 1: Currency Exchange Rate Expectations - Analysts, including Osamu Takashima, predict that the narrowing of the interest rate differential between the US and Japan may exert downward pressure on the USD/JPY exchange rate over time [1] - The USD/JPY exchange rate is expected to peak around 150 this summer before retreating to approximately 140 in the fourth quarter [1] - In a risk-on environment, the downward pressure on the yen is increasing, as the Fed's potential rate cuts could boost the US stock market [1] Group 2: Key Levels for USD/JPY - The current outlook suggests limited downside for the USD/JPY exchange rate, with a potential bottom around 145 [1] - The key resistance level for the USD/JPY exchange rate remains at 148 [1]