文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 2021年2月，美国德克萨斯州一场百年一遇的暴风雪，让全球汽车产业陷入瘫痪。当地三家关 键芯片工厂因停电停工，直接导致远在德国的大众汽车生产线被迫按下暂停键，日本丰田减产 40%。 点击按钮▲ 预约直播 这场"蝴蝶效应"的背后，是高度精密却也极度脆弱的全球供应链网络——一颗芯片的缺席，足 以让价值千亿的产业停摆。 而今天，供应链的震荡已超越偶然的天灾。地缘政治博弈、能源危机、AI技术革命、ESG浪 潮……多重变量交织下，供应链从"效率优先"的精密齿轮，演变为"安全与韧性"为核心的战略 棋盘。 麦肯锡数据显示，全球92%的企业正在重构供应链布局，"中国+1""近岸外包""数字孪生"成为 高频关键词。 当"全球化"与"逆全球化"两股力量激烈碰撞，供应链的生死局，实则是国家竞争力与企业生存 权的终极较量。 5月7日19:00将迎来 吴晓波频道十一周年纪念活动系列直播的第二场， "企业出海·供应链生死 局" 专场。 吴老师邀请了 上海交大质量发展研究院客座研究员林雪萍 ，以及 联想集团全球供应链转型 官、联晟智达CEO徐赫 来直播间做客。 林雪萍作为全球产业观察者，20多年专 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese civil aviation industry is experiencing a historic recovery, with passenger transport volume reaching 730 million in the past year, a year-on-year increase of 18.1%, and international passenger volume increasing by 130% [1] - The transformation towards a smart civil aviation sector is being driven by the dual forces of AI technology revolution and domestic upgrades, emphasizing the importance of database technology [1][3] AI and Domestic Upgrade Challenges - The traditional centralized databases are becoming a bottleneck for AI implementation due to rigid architecture and insufficient scalability, hindering real-time analysis and high concurrency processing [2] - The civil aviation sector has a clear timeline for domestic system upgrades, with a target to complete the operational system's domestic upgrade by June 2024 and achieve comprehensive domestic transformation by 2027 [2] - Current core systems still heavily rely on traditional databases like Oracle and MySQL, posing data security risks and dependency issues [2] Integrated Database for Smart Civil Aviation - The "root self-research" database is essential for avoiding risks associated with foreign open-source technologies, ensuring 100% self-research as a foundational upgrade [3] - The database should allow for smooth migration from existing systems, be easy to manage, and offer low costs, with OceanBase providing high performance and compatibility [3] - Future-oriented databases must support multi-architecture integration to ensure business continuity in critical operations [4] High Availability and Disaster Recovery - Integrated databases can achieve high availability and disaster recovery through various deployment models, ensuring minimal downtime and robust operational continuity [4] - OceanBase has achieved RPO=0 and RTO<8s, providing a strong safety net for complex civil aviation scenarios [4][6] Multi-Workload and Multi-Modal Integration - The ability to handle multiple workloads (TP+AP) is crucial for real-time adjustments during peak booking periods, ensuring rapid response times [5] - The database must support multi-modal data processing to effectively manage semi-structured and unstructured data, enhancing operational efficiency [5] Industry Adoption and Success Stories - China Aviation Information Technology Co. has initiated a pilot upgrade of its core systems based on OceanBase, aiming for full domestic integration by 2024 [6] - China United Airlines has successfully implemented OceanBase, enabling innovative services like the first blind box ticketing system, demonstrating the database's reliability and performance [6] - Changlong Airlines has reported a 70% reduction in storage costs and zero downtime since adopting OceanBase, showcasing its effectiveness in real-time data analysis [6][7] Conclusion - The civil aviation industry is leveraging integrated databases as a pivotal tool for digital transformation, aiming to build a secure, agile, and intelligent data foundation to support the development of smart civil aviation [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth of Shenzhen Baiwei Storage Technology Co., Ltd. in 2024, with a revenue of 6.695 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 86.46%, and a net profit of 161 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses to profits [1][2] Group 2 - The growth in 2024 is attributed to the company's strategic focus on seizing industry opportunities, expanding its customer base both domestically and internationally, and achieving substantial increases in product sales [2] - In the mobile sector, the company achieved a historic breakthrough with first-tier mobile clients, while in the PC sector, it made significant inroads into the global pre-installed market with leading PC clients [2] - The company successfully passed AVAP testing with China Mobile and mutual certification tests with over 20 CPU platforms and OEM manufacturers in the server sector [2] - In emerging AI sectors outside of mobile and PC, the company generated over 1 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of approximately 294%, by collaborating closely with top clients in smart wearables and AI devices [2] - The company has also entered the supply chains of several leading domestic automotive companies, covering areas such as intelligent cockpits and autonomous driving [2] - The ongoing growth in data will drive the expansion of the storage industry, while the increase in domestic production rates will accelerate the development of the domestic storage industry chain [3] - The AI technology revolution is expected to significantly boost demand for high-end storage devices, presenting new development opportunities for integrated semiconductor storage manufacturers like Baiwei Storage [3]

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 360 million yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.1% [1] - The company adheres to a vertically integrated development strategy, expanding copper foil production capacity and enhancing the output of ultra-thin and thick copper foils to strengthen its market share in high-end electronic circuit copper foils [1][2] - The company plans to diversify and innovate its PCB product structure, focusing on applications in industrial automation, smart terminals, Mini LED, smart home, 5G communication, and new energy smart vehicles [1] Group 2 - The company is one of the few in the industry with a vertically integrated PCB supply chain, mastering core technologies in electronic circuit copper foil, aluminum-based copper-clad laminates, and PCB production [2] - Future capacity release from the copper foil fundraising project is expected to improve product structure and increase the proportion of high-value-added copper foil products [2] - The company aims to optimize the structure of single-sided PCB products to enhance their gross margin, while the dual-layer PCB products are expected to see increased capacity utilization and profitability as application areas expand [2]

Financial Performance - The company's 2024 annual revenue reached 143,700.99 million yuan, representing a 12.55% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of 3,886.12 million yuan, with the loss amount increasing by 17.92% year-on-year [2] Industry Context - The domestic electrolytic copper foil production capacity expansion has slowed, but competition remains intense, leading to historically low processing fees [2] - The copper foil industry is experiencing overall losses, with a significant slowdown in capacity expansion and an expected gradual improvement in supply-demand relationships [7] Strategic Development - The company is focusing on vertical integration by expanding copper foil production capacity and enhancing the output of ultra-thin and thick copper foils [3] - Plans to increase production capacity for high-frequency and high-speed copper foils, as well as lithium battery copper foils, are underway [3] - The company aims to improve the utilization rate of PCB production and enhance the diversity and innovation of PCB product structures [3] Future Growth Drivers - The demand for consumer electronics is recovering, driven by the AI technology revolution and the expansion of data centers, leading to increased PCB demand [4] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles continues to rise, increasing the value of PCBs used in vehicles [4] - The company plans to optimize single-sided PCB product structures and improve profitability through customer expansion and application field development [4] R&D Focus - Key R&D areas include ultra-thin and low-peak copper foil development, as well as advanced aluminum-based PCB technologies [5] Profitability Strategies - The company will enhance product quality and yield, adjust product structures to increase the proportion of high-value-added products, and leverage its vertical integration advantages [6] Market Outlook - The global PCB market is projected to reach $94.661 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.8% from 2025 to 2029 [7] - The Chinese PCB market is expected to reach $50.804 billion by 2029 [7]

Group 1 - The Central Committee and State Council of China issued an opinion to strengthen the food safety regulatory system across the entire supply chain, proposing 21 specific measures to address existing issues [2] - The measures include enhancing inspection and quarantine for meat products, establishing a transportation permit system for bulk liquid food, and improving online and offline regulatory integration for food delivery services [2] - The opinion emphasizes the importance of collaboration among regulatory bodies to ensure food safety from production to consumption [2] Group 2 - Multiple fund management companies announced that starting from March 21, the index usage fees for certain index funds will be borne by the fund managers, benefiting investors [3] - This adjustment aligns with the action plan to promote high-quality development of index investment in the capital market [3] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, indicating stable labor market conditions but persistent inflation concerns [4] Group 4 - The Ministry of Transport and other departments released implementation details for subsidies on new energy buses and battery replacements, with an average subsidy of 80,000 yuan per bus, up from 60,000 yuan in 2024 [5] - The subsidy funding will be shared between central and local governments, with varying ratios based on regional classifications [5] Group 5 - Yong'an Xing announced that there are currently no plans for a restructuring involving the acquisition of Hello Group within the next 12 months [7] - Wanma Co. stated that the revenue from humanoid robots and robotic dog cables is currently minimal, and future growth depends on market development and customer capacity [8] - Qijing Machinery warned of potential irrational speculation in its stock, with a significant price increase of 77.18% over six trading days [9] Group 6 - Kingsoft Office reported a 12.4% increase in revenue to 5.121 billion yuan and a 24.84% increase in net profit to 1.645 billion yuan for 2024, proposing a cash dividend of 9 yuan per 10 shares [11] - CITIC Special Steel's revenue decreased by 4.22% to 109.203 billion yuan, with a net profit decline of 10.41% to 5.126 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 5.07 yuan per 10 shares [12] - China National Pharmaceutical Group reported a slight revenue increase of 1.81% to 50.597 billion yuan, but a net profit decline of 6.8% to 2 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 8 yuan per 10 shares [13] - Aimeike reported a revenue increase of 5.45% to 3.026 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 5.33% to 1.958 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 38 yuan per 10 shares [14] - Xingyu Co. reported a revenue increase of 29.32% to 13.253 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 27.78% to 1.408 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 13 yuan per 10 shares [15] - Muyuan Foods reported a revenue increase of 24.43% to 137.947 billion yuan and a net profit of 17.881 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 5.72 yuan per 10 shares [16] - Ping An Insurance reported a net profit of 126.607 billion yuan, a 47.8% increase, with total revenue of 1,141.346 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 1.62 yuan per share [17] Group 7 - Guo'an Da plans to invest up to 200 million yuan in a low-altitude economic industrial park project in Pinghe County [18] - Kid King signed a comprehensive cooperation agreement with Tuya Smart to develop AI products and enhance marketing strategies [19] - Sany Heavy Industry proposed a share buyback plan with a total amount between 1 billion and 2 billion yuan [20] - Guangzhou Restaurant announced a share buyback plan of 100 million to 143 million yuan for employee incentives [21] - Debang Technology announced a plan to reduce its stake by up to 3% [22] - Zhongtai Automobile's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% [23] - Henghui Security adjusted its share buyback price limit from 30 yuan to 43 yuan per share [24] Group 8 - The ethylene industry is facing pressure due to large-scale capacity additions and declining prices, impacting company performance [26] - The software and services industry is expected to see growth driven by increased capital expenditure from major domestic cloud providers [27]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [6] Core Viewpoints - The securities sector is expected to focus on recovery, mergers and acquisitions, and performance growth. The first quarter of 2024 saw a significant decline in net profit for listed brokers, but a rebound is anticipated in the first quarter of 2025 due to improved market conditions and increased trading volume [1][2] - The merger and acquisition theme continues to gain traction, with several significant developments in the industry, including the restructuring of major shareholders and the expansion of the market expectations for mergers among brokerages [1][2] - The financial technology sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with a focus on companies that can leverage AI technology and offer high cost-performance ratios [3] Summary by Sections Securities Sector - The first quarter of 2024 saw a net profit of 29.4 billion yuan for 43 listed brokers, a year-on-year decline of 32%. However, the first quarter of 2025 is expected to show significant growth due to a low base effect and improved market conditions [1] - The brokerage index has underperformed compared to major indices, presenting a potential for recovery as market activity increases [2] Mergers and Acquisitions - There have been numerous merger and acquisition activities in the brokerage sector since the beginning of the year, with notable announcements from various firms indicating a trend towards consolidation [1][8] Financial Technology - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying high-value financial technology stocks that can benefit from the ongoing AI revolution, particularly those with lower valuations compared to their peers [3][4] Investment Recommendations - Specific recommendations include brokers such as China Galaxy, CITIC Securities, and GF Securities, as well as financial technology firms like Tonghuashun and Dingdian Software [4]