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新闻分析丨产量持续下降折射英国汽车产业困局
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:43
虽然英美两国近期达成一项新的贸易协议,但业内人士普遍认为,这难以从根本上缓解英国汽车制 造业面临的外部压力。根据协议,每年从英国出口到美国的前10万辆汽车将按照10%的额外关税税率征 税,超过部分则按25%的额外关税税率征税。 "与原先相比,这仍是一种倒退。"贝利指出,仅捷豹路虎一家企业的出口量就可能超过10万辆的上 限。 新华社伦敦7月9日电 新闻分析|产量持续下降折射英国汽车产业困局 新华社记者赵家淞 赵小娜 英国汽车制造商与贸易商协会日前发布的数据显示,5月英国汽车总产量同比大幅下降32.8%至 49810辆,创下自1949年以来除2020年疫情年份外的同期最低水平。分析人士指出,受美国加征关税、 全球产业链动荡与投资信心不足等多重因素影响,英国汽车制造业正滑向数十年来的发展低谷。 数据显示,英国汽车总产量已经连续5个月下滑。今年前5个月,英国汽车总产量约为34.82万辆, 同比下降12.9%,为1953年以来同期最低水平。 英国伯明翰大学经济学教授戴维·贝利表示,英国汽车业正陷入"低产能危机",工厂普遍生产不饱 和、成本高企,全球竞争力持续下滑。"(全球)汽车产业正被迫重塑结构,英国在其中的位置正变得 ...
不忍了!美国持续打压,中国放下“道德包袱”,雷霆反击让西方胆寒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 02:08
Core Points - The ongoing economic and geopolitical rivalry between the US and China has created significant uncertainty in the global economy, affecting ordinary citizens with high prices and economic instability [1] - The trade conflict is rooted in long-standing tensions that escalated after the Trump administration adopted a comprehensive strategy to pressure China, starting from January 2025 [2] - The US has implemented a series of tariffs and trade restrictions on Chinese goods, significantly increasing the total tariff level and impacting Chinese exports [2] - In response to US actions, China has enacted strong countermeasures, including export bans on critical materials and increased tariffs on US goods, which have disrupted US supply chains [6][10] - The trade war has led to a rise in effective tariff rates in the US, reaching the highest level since 1934, and has resulted in market volatility and negative employment data [12] Trade Policies - The US imposed a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports in March 2025, which escalated to a total tariff level of 54% by April 2025, affecting various sectors from agriculture to electronics [2] - The US further increased tariffs on Chinese goods to 104% and initiated investigations into Chinese maritime logistics and shipbuilding, targeting key industries [2] - China's countermeasures included banning exports of gallium, germanium, and other critical materials to the US, which are essential for various advanced technologies [6] Geopolitical Dynamics - The US has sought to strengthen alliances in the Indo-Pacific region to counter China's influence, criticizing China's actions in the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea [5] - Despite tensions, there remains potential for cooperation between the US and China in areas such as climate change and technology exchange, depending on the US's approach [14] Economic Impact - The trade war has resulted in an additional tax burden of approximately $1,300 per American household due to the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [2] - The escalation of tariffs has led to increased costs for US consumers and businesses, contributing to economic instability and market downturns [12]
国际金价大跌2.80%,但多家券商机构仍看多金价预期
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-12 01:37
Group 1 - The international gold price experienced a significant drop of 2.80%, settling at $3,393.7 per ounce after reaching a record high of $3,534.1 per ounce [1] - Market analysts noted limited reactions to geopolitical events, such as the upcoming video conference on Ukraine, and highlighted increased uncertainty in U.S. monetary policy due to the search for a new Federal Reserve chair [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations, several institutions remain optimistic about gold's long-term performance, citing factors like "rate cut trades" and geopolitical tensions as strong support for gold prices [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. Customs and Border Protection has classified major gold products, including one-kilogram and 100-ounce gold bars, as import items subject to tariffs, which initially caused gold prices to spike above $3,500 per ounce [1] - The Trump administration is expected to clarify that gold bars should not be subject to tariffs, with an executive order anticipated to address misinformation regarding tariffs on gold and other specialty products [1] - China's central bank reported purchasing 1.86 tons of gold in July, marking nine consecutive months of gold purchases, which aligns with market expectations of three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, indicating potential for further increases in precious metal prices [5]
苹果正将供应链搬回美国,这边特斯拉美国供应链天塌了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 12:16
Group 1: Apple's Investment and Manufacturing Strategy - Apple announced a significant investment plan, committing an additional $100 billion to the U.S., bringing its total investment commitment to $600 billion over the next four years [2][3] - The "American Manufacturing Program" (AMP) aims to localize more supply chain processes and advanced manufacturing capabilities in the U.S., enhancing Apple's investment footprint and encouraging global partners to expand production in the U.S. [2][3] - Apple plans to create 20,000 jobs in the U.S. over the next four years, focusing on R&D, chip engineering, software development, and advanced technologies like AI and machine learning [2][3] Group 2: Specific Investment Allocations - Of the additional $100 billion, $2.5 billion will be allocated to establish the world's largest smartphone glass production line in Kentucky in collaboration with Corning, enhancing iPhone durability [4] - Apple aims to establish a complete end-to-end silicon chip supply chain in the U.S., involving multiple partners for various stages of production, marking a first in the U.S. tech industry [4][6] Group 3: Supply Chain Strategy and Control - Apple's vertical integration strategy will increase its control over core components from 34% to an estimated 52%, significantly enhancing supply chain security and responsiveness [6] - Apple signed a $500 million agreement with Mountain Pass Materials to produce rare earth magnets in Texas and California, indicating a strategic move towards localizing critical raw materials [6] Group 4: Tesla's Supply Chain Crisis - Tesla faces a supply chain crisis due to long-standing issues with delayed payments to suppliers, leading to the bankruptcy of over 37 secondary suppliers [8][12] - The average payment cycle for Tesla's small and medium suppliers has extended to 97 days, far exceeding the industry standard of 45 days [8][12] - Tesla's payment delays are not due to a lack of funds, as the company reported cash reserves of $28.9 billion, indicating a potential cash flow management strategy rather than financial distress [12] Group 5: Comparative Analysis of Apple and Tesla - The contrasting approaches of Apple and Tesla highlight a shift in global supply chains from prioritizing efficiency to emphasizing security and resilience [12] - Apple's investment strategy reflects a long-term vision for supply chain collaboration, while Tesla's short-term focus on cash flow management has led to operational challenges [12]
美方换新招,威胁印度不成,掉头针对中国,万斯:正考虑对华加税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 08:10
据俄媒8月10日报道,美国副总统万斯在接受美媒福克斯新闻采访时表示, 特朗普正在考虑是否对中方进口俄罗斯石油一事加征关税,但还没有作出最终决 定。 类似威胁的话语,早在中美斯德哥尔摩会谈期间,美财长贝森特就已向中方提及。当时中方态度明确,购买哪国石油是根据自身能源安全需求自主决定的, 中俄之间的合作不会受第三方干扰。此后美方消停了一阵,转而将目标对准印度。 美国近年来在国际事务中频繁挥舞"关税大棒",其背后有着复杂的政治与经济动机。在政治层面,美国试图通过这种方式巩固其全球霸权地位,对其他国家 的外交政策进行干涉。 在经济方面,美国国内部分产业面临竞争压力,通过加征关税可以在一定程度上保护本土产业,同时也希望借此改变国际贸易格局,使其更有利于美国。 此次美国考虑对中方进口俄罗斯石油加征关税,显然与美俄近期互动密切相关。 美俄之间长期存在地缘政治博弈,在乌克兰问题等诸多国际事务上矛盾不断。美国试图通过限制俄罗斯石油出口来打击俄罗斯经济,削弱其在国际舞台上的 影响力。 在将目标对准中国之前,美国首先拿印度"开刀"。连日来,美方多次在经贸问题上向印度施压。 美国总统特朗普7月30日在社交媒体上发文称,将对印度输美商 ...
不许对巴西加税!特朗普不留一条后路,50%关税生效前48小时,中方送去5年大单给巴西托底
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 06:22
Group 1 - The U.S. has imposed a 40% tariff on Brazilian products, raising the total tariff rate to 50%, significantly impacting Brazil's economy [1][3] - Brazil's President Lula has stated that there is no room for direct dialogue with President Trump, indicating a challenging diplomatic situation [1][3] - Approximately 35.9% of Brazilian exports to the U.S. will face a combined tariff of 50%, severely affecting key products like raw coffee beans [3][5] Group 2 - China has approved 183 Brazilian coffee companies to export to China, effective from July 30, 2025, providing crucial support to Brazil's coffee industry [3][5] - Brazil's agricultural sector is facing difficulties, with the coffee export to the U.S. being a significant concern due to the new tariffs [3][5] - The relationship between China and Brazil remains strong, with China being Brazil's largest trading partner for 15 consecutive years, and future investments from China in Brazil are projected to reach 27 billion reais [5][7] Group 3 - Brazil is seeking support from emerging economies and plans to address the tariff issue through the World Trade Organization [5][7] - The unilateral tariff actions by the U.S. are seen as damaging to global trade order and are likely to face resistance from other countries [7]
前7月销量大跌,俄罗斯三大车企计划实行4天工作制
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-11 06:16
Group 1 - In the first seven months of 2025, Russian passenger car sales dropped by 24% year-on-year to 646,700 units, while truck sales plummeted by 55% to 31,400 units, with a significant monthly decline of 61% in July to 4,400 units [1] - Electric vehicle sales in Russia also saw a decline of 51% year-on-year, totaling 6,106 units in the same period [1] - The luxury car market in Russia experienced a 41% drop in sales, with only 47,000 units sold in the first half of the year [1] Group 2 - KAMAZ, Russia's largest truck manufacturer, announced a four-day workweek starting August 1 due to declining market demand, a trend also followed by other major manufacturers like AvtoVAZ and GAZ [1][3] - KAMAZ attributed the sales decline to the "short-sighted policies" of domestic car importers, which led to an oversupply of vehicles [3] - Chinese automotive brands have rapidly increased their market share in Russia, reaching over 55% in recent years, with a peak of over 60% in Q3 2024, while local brands' market share fell from 47.4% in 2023 to 33.3% in 2024 [3] Group 3 - The Russian government has implemented measures to limit the expansion of Chinese cars in the market, including increased taxes on vehicles imported via Central Asia and a significant rise in recycling taxes for imported vehicles [5] - As of 2024, the Russian government has raised recycling taxes by 70%-85% for imported vehicles, with annual increases of 10%-20% [5] - The number of Chinese cars imported into Russia has significantly decreased, with only 180,000 units imported in the first half of the year, a 30% decline compared to the previous year [5] Group 4 - Russian domestic brands have increased their market share, with local electric vehicles accounting for 27% of total electric vehicle sales, up by 9 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The share of Russian and Belarusian brands in dealer contracts rose from 15.6% to 26.3% over the past year, indicating a shift in market dynamics [7] - The Russian government aims to encourage local industrial development through structural measures, including tax incentives for Chinese car manufacturers to establish production facilities in Russia [7][8]
布局30年终亮剑!中国不再克制,发出战争警告,美国:不敢开战
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 02:57
Group 1 - The core issue of the article revolves around the escalating trade tensions between the US and China, marked by the US imposing tariffs on all Chinese imports and further increasing tariffs on high-tech products [2][3][4] - The US government's justification for these tariffs is framed as a means to protect American manufacturing and jobs, but it is widely viewed as a continuation of trade protectionism [4][11] - China's response to the tariffs has been swift and targeted, implementing retaliatory tariffs on US agricultural products, which significantly impacts US farmers reliant on the Chinese market [4][5] Group 2 - The article highlights a notable shift in China's diplomatic stance, moving from restraint to a more assertive position, indicating readiness to confront unilateral provocations from the US [5][7] - China's military advancements, particularly in hypersonic weapons and naval capabilities, are underscored as factors that have compelled the US to reassess its strategic posture [8][11] - The internal pressures within the US, including the economic impact of tariffs on consumer prices and manufacturing profits, are contributing to a more cautious approach from the US government despite its rhetoric [11][13] Group 3 - The ongoing trade conflict is characterized as a broader struggle over comprehensive national power and strategic resolve, with China effectively countering US pressure through economic and military means [13] - The potential for future cooperation between the US and China hinges on the US's willingness to engage in rational dialogue rather than escalating tensions through tariffs and geopolitical provocations [13]
特朗普终于如愿以偿?全球关税正式落地,美国国内迎来黑暗一天!中国这次也没能置身事外?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 02:00
这份新生效的关税清单影响了全球60多个国家和地区,税率从10%到41%不等。叙利亚的关税被设置为41%,缅甸和老挝为40%,瑞士为39%,而加拿大则 为35%。印度被征收25%的关税,越南为20%。菲律宾、泰国和柬埔寨被定为19%,巴西和英国的税率最低,为10%。对于欧盟、日本、韩国、以色列等 国,美国维持了15%的关税。值得注意的是,虽然中国未在行政令中被特别提及,但根据规则,未提到的国家将适用统一的10%关税。因此,中国表面上看 似受影响最轻,但实际上美国此前已经以芬太尼问题为由,单独对中国的部分商品征收了更高的关税,使得部分产品的税负远远超过10%。 特朗普推行这一全球关税政策,背后有着深刻的政治和经济考量。从政治角度来看,特朗普希望通过提高关税,迫使其他国家在贸易及其他方面对美国作出 让步。例如,他曾要求巴西增加购买美国农产品,要求韩国加大对美国能源的进口,这些都可以视为他在兑现竞选承诺的方式。经济上,特朗普希望通过提 高关税来减少美国的商品贸易逆差。据统计,2024年美国的商品贸易逆差预计将达到9158亿美元,他期望通过这一政策压缩30%以上,为即将到来的2026年 大选积累更多经济成就。此外,特朗 ...
1130亿美元关税午夜生效!特朗普狂喜:美国终于“收割”全球!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 02:00
Group 1 - The new tariff policy by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection affects imports from 67 countries and regions, with rates ranging from 10% to 50%, totaling an estimated $113 billion in new tariffs, marking a historic high since World War II [1][12] - The tariff list includes critical industries such as automotive, steel, aluminum, semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and wood, with semiconductor tariffs reaching as high as 100%, significantly impacting the global chip industry [2][6] - The average tariff level in the U.S. has surged from 2.3% to 15.2%, with the stated goals of reducing reliance on imports and protecting domestic manufacturing, although the actual impact on employment and economic growth remains questionable [4][11] Group 2 - The semiconductor and automotive industries are particularly affected, with the semiconductor tariffs creating immense pressure on global supply chains, while automotive manufacturers face increased costs and reduced profits, leading to potential price hikes [6][8] - Despite claims of job growth, recent labor reports indicate a decline in new job creation, with public opinion showing significant opposition to the tariff policy, highlighting widespread dissatisfaction with the administration's economic management [6][8] - The Swiss President's visit to the U.S. aimed at negotiating tax relief for Swiss goods ended without substantial progress, reflecting the complexities and challenges in international trade negotiations amid rising tariffs [9][12] Group 3 - The long-term negative effects of the tariff policy are becoming evident, with rising consumer prices and increased import costs, prompting trade partners to implement countermeasures and escalating global economic tensions [8][12] - The tariff policy represents a gamble by the Trump administration to address trade deficits and reduce dependency on global supply chains, with the potential for reshaping manufacturing and economic autonomy if combined with effective industrial policies [11][14] - The current situation indicates a significant shift in global economic dynamics, with trade protectionism and globalization increasingly at odds, necessitating strategic adjustments by companies and careful monitoring of supply chain risks [12][14]