【12月8日中央政治局会议召开，明年宏观政策料更灵活】12月8日，中央政治局会议召开，提出明年实 施更积极有为宏观政策。分析称政策框架基本不变，安排会更灵活。保银资本管理公司总裁表示，宏观 政策框架与2025年大体一致，仍是积极财政与适度宽松货币政策。中央工作会议或提供更多细节，政策 将更灵活以应对外部变化。ING大中华区首席学家指出，会议通稿强调核心论点，保持既定方向。重点 包括扩大内需、创新驱动等，还释放或有更多刺激措施信号。2026年开局重要，要加大调节力度应对问 题。学人智库高级学家称，明年宏观形势与今年相似，政策取向变化不大，仍以财政扩张对冲压力，辅 以小幅货币宽松。 本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 和讯财经 FUL hexun.con 和而不同 迅达天下 扫码查看原文 本文由 Al 算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes a stable yet progressive approach to economic work, focusing on quality and efficiency improvements while implementing proactive macro policies [2][3][21] - The meeting highlighted the importance of a multi-dimensional policy system that covers both supply and demand, aiming for a transformation in economic growth dynamics through domestic demand and innovation [14][18] - The report outlines the significance of institutionalizing the leadership of the Communist Party in the rule of law, enhancing the governance system and capacity modernization [18][21] Group 2 - The report suggests that the economic work for the upcoming year will adhere to the principle of "seeking progress while maintaining stability," with a focus on quality enhancement and efficiency [3][21] - It emphasizes the need for a coordinated policy approach that integrates fiscal, monetary, industrial, and technological policies to effectively support the real economy [13][14] - The report identifies key areas for future investment opportunities, including domestic demand-driven sectors, innovation-driven industries, and the financial sector [22]

21世纪经济报道记者 唐婧 北京报道 据新华社报道，中共中央政治局12月8日召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作。会议对当前经济形势作 出判断，我国经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进，新质生产力稳步发展，改革开放迈出新步伐，重点领域风 险化解取得积极进展，民生保障更加有力，社会大局保持稳定。 会议强调，做好明年经济工作，要坚持稳中求进工作总基调，更好统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争， 更好统筹发展和安全，实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性。会议还指出，明 年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策，发挥存 量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，切实提升宏观经济治理效能。 上述表述与10月28日发布的《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》（下称 《建议》）中的表态一脉相承。在"提升宏观经济治理效能"部分，《建议》明确提出，强化逆周期和跨 周期调节，实施更加积极的宏观政策，持续稳增长、稳就业、稳预期。增强宏观政策取向一致性，强化 政策实施效果评价，健全预期管理机制，优化高质量发展综合绩效考核。 对于"继续实施适度宽松的货币政策 ...

【博时市场点评12月8日】沪深两市上涨，创业板指涨2.6% 每日观点 今日沪深三大指数上涨，创业板涨2.6%，两市成交放量并重返2万亿以上。海外方面，市场对美联储12 月降息的预期押注上升，或受下任美联储主席候选人、白宫国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈西特近期发表 的鸽派言论支撑。日央行12月加息预期大幅上升，需关注日元套息交易带来的流动性风险。国内方面， 今日中央政治局会议召开，对明年的经济工作做出部署，会议指出明年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、提质 增效，继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策，发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大 逆周期和跨周期调节力度，切实提升宏观经济治理效能。后续关注中央经济工作会议的召开，市场短期 或维持震荡，配置上建议均衡。 消息面 中共中央政治局12月8日召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作，审议《中国共产党领导全面依法治国工 作条例》。会议指出，明年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度 宽松的货币政策，发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，切实提升宏观经 济治理效能。 简评：会议内容强化了政策托底和经济结构优化信心，对于科技、绿 ...

| 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 项目 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货盘面 | T主力收盘价 | 107.910 | 0.02% T主力成交量 | 98368 | -2961↓ | | | TF主力收盘价 | 105.745 | -0.01% TF主力成交量 | 72291 | -7272↓ | | | TS主力收盘价 | 102.412 | 0% TS主力成交量 | 37890 | 6997↑ | | | TL主力收盘价 | 112.240 | -0.29% TL主力成交量 | 175328 | 11652↑ | | 期货价差 | TL2603-2512价差 | -0.06 | +0.16↑ T03-TL03价差 | -4.33 | 0.31↑ | | | T2603-2512价差 | -0.20 | -0.01↓ TF03-T03价差 | -2.16 | -0.05↓ | | | TF2603-2512价差 | 0.02 | -0.02↓ TS03-T03价差 | -5.50 | -0.05↓ | | | TS26 ...

2025.12. 08 本文字数：1233，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陈益刊 明年财政政策基调已出。 12月8日，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作。对于备受关注的财政政策，会议 明确"继续实施更加积极的财政政策"。这一政策基调与今年保持一致。 中央首次提出2025年实施更加积极财政政策，当年财政赤字率（赤字占国内生产总值比重）从2024 年的3%大幅提高至4%历史高位，并增加了特别国债和地方政府专项债券发行规模，使得2025年新 增政府债务总额近12万亿元，比2024年增加近3万亿元。此举也使得今年财政支出规模进一步扩 大，推动了今年经济平稳运行。 财政部数据显示，今年前10个月，全国一般公共预算支出约22.6万亿元，同比增长2%。全国政府性 基金预算支出约8.1万亿元，同比增长15.4%。 此次中央再次定调明年继续实施更加积极财政政策，也符合市场预期。 金融危机之后一直采取积极财政政策，但力度有所不同，而"更加积极"的表述，就体现在政策力度更 大。 中诚信国际研究院院长袁海霞告诉第一财经，2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，需要在经济增长目 标上要有积极的定调作用，而在有效需 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China will continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026 to stabilize the economy, maintaining the same approach as in 2025 [1][2] - The fiscal deficit rate is set to increase from 3% in 2024 to a historical high of 4% in 2025, with an additional government debt of nearly 12 trillion yuan, which is an increase of nearly 3 trillion yuan compared to 2024 [1][2] - In the first ten months of this year, the national general public budget expenditure was approximately 22.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2%, while government fund budget expenditure was about 8.1 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4% [1] Group 2 - The proactive fiscal policy aims to stimulate total demand and promote economic recovery through increased spending, expanded deficits, and government bond issuance, especially in the context of insufficient effective demand and complex economic conditions [2] - Experts suggest that maintaining a fiscal deficit rate of no less than 4% in 2026 is necessary to signal the continued expansion of fiscal policy and stabilize social expectations [3] - The reliance on debt financing may deepen due to a low growth rate in fiscal revenue, but the Chinese government has a relatively low debt ratio compared to major economies, indicating room for further borrowing [3]

Group 1 - As of the end of November, China's foreign exchange reserves reached $33,464 billion, an increase of $30 billion from the end of October, marking a rise of 0.09% and the highest level since December 2015 [1] - The National Medical Insurance Administration and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security released the 2025 National Basic Medical Insurance Drug Directory, which emphasizes stricter management of the scope of medical insurance payments [1] - The 2025 National Medical Insurance Drug Directory successfully added 114 new drugs, with 50 being innovative drugs, achieving an overall success rate of 88%, significantly higher than the 76% in 2024 [4] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Legislative Council elections concluded with the selection of 90 members, marking an important election under the improved electoral system and the principle of "patriots governing Hong Kong" [4] - The Ministry of Finance is expected to maintain an expansionary fiscal policy in 2025, with a fiscal deficit rate not lower than 4% and an increase in government debt exceeding approximately 12 trillion yuan, potentially reaching between 13 trillion and 16 trillion yuan [3] - The upcoming week will see the issuance of five new stocks, including one from the main board and one from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [14]

| 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 20251020 | 2025/09 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 4.80 | 5.20 | 4.60 | | 20251130 | 2025/11 | 制造业 PMI | % | 49.20 | 49.00 | 50.30 | | 20251130 | 2025/11 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活 动 | % | 49.50 | 50.10 | 50.00 | | 20251114 | 2025/10 | 社会融资规模增量:当 | 亿元 | 8161.00 | 35299.00 | 14120.00 | | | | 月值 | | | | | | 20251113 | 2025/10 | M0(流通中的现金):同 比 | % | 10.60 | 11.50 | 12.80 | | 20251113 | 2025/10 | M1(货币):同比 | % | 6.20 | 7.20 | -2.30 | | 20251 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 13 consecutive months, with foreign exchange reserves reaching a nearly 10-year high of $33,464 billion as of the end of November, an increase of $30 billion from the end of October, marking a 0.09% rise [2] - The National Healthcare Security Administration and the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security have issued new guidelines to strengthen the management of the medical insurance payment scope, emphasizing that only drugs that align with diagnosis and treatment can be reimbursed [3] - A total of 114 new drugs have been added to the National Medical Insurance Drug List for 2025, with 50 being innovative drugs, achieving an overall success rate of 88%, which is a significant increase from 76% in 2024 [7] Group 2 - Experts predict that China will continue to implement an expansionary fiscal policy in 2025, with a fiscal deficit rate not lower than 4%, and new government debt exceeding 12 trillion yuan, potentially reaching between 13 trillion and 16 trillion yuan [5] - The newly published "Fujian Province Private Economy Promotion Regulations" will take effect on January 1, 2026, encouraging private enterprises to engage in asset revitalization through various means, including mergers and acquisitions [8] - This week, nearly 400 billion yuan worth of locked-up shares will be released, with 40 stocks involved, including 10 companies with a market value of over 1 billion yuan [20]