中经记者 索寒雪 北京报道 京东方面表示，目前已做好全面承接准备，将第一时间上线"国补"活动会场。同时，为更好支持国家补 贴政策进乡村、落实政策普惠性，京东2025年已投入近300亿元支持"国补"进乡村，促进乡村消费提振 和经济高质量发展；2026年，京东将继续加大"国补"进乡村的投入力度。 2025年12月30日，国家发展改革委、财政部印发的《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新 政策的通知》（以下简称"《通知》"）对外发布，明确了2026年"两新"政策的支持范围、补贴标准和工 作要求。 挖掘农村消费潜力 《中国经营报》记者了解到，在设备更新方面，在总体延续2025年支持范围的基础上，2026年政策重点 新增三类更新补贴：在民生领域，增加老旧小区加装电梯、养老机构设备更新；在安全领域，增加消防 救援、检验检测设备更新；在消费基础设施领域，增加商业综合体、购物中心、百货店、大型超市等线 下消费商业设施的设备更新。 在消费品以旧换新方面，政策进一步集中资源，着力提升覆盖人群广、带动效应强的重点消费品"得补 率"。 2026年，农村消费者也将更多享受到"两新"政策红利。《通知》提出，在完善实施制度方面 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of confidence and determination in advancing China's modernization and economic development, highlighting achievements in 2025 and setting a positive outlook for the future [2][3][4]. Economic Performance - In 2025, China's economic output is expected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan, with significant increases in grain production and technological innovation [2]. - The country has made substantial progress in building a modern industrial system and deepening reforms, contributing to a stable and robust economic foundation [2]. International Engagement - China has expanded its openness to the world, with record high transaction amounts at the China International Import Expo, showcasing the country's market potential [2]. - The successful hosting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit in Tianjin reflects China's commitment to global governance and cooperation [2]. Strategic Focus - The article stresses the need to focus on domestic economic stability and international trade, while effectively managing risks in key sectors [3]. - It highlights the importance of maintaining a long-term perspective and historical patience in pursuing modernization [5]. Future Outlook - The upcoming 14th Five-Year Plan is seen as a blueprint for the next five years, aiming to ensure a strong start and continued economic growth [4]. - The article calls for unity and practical action among the populace to achieve national development goals and enhance the quality of life [6]. Historical Context - The commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War serves as a reminder of the strength derived from historical struggles and achievements [3]. - The article draws parallels between past challenges and current aspirations, emphasizing the need for resilience and collective effort in the face of adversity [6].

Core Viewpoint - The central economic work conference in 2025 emphasizes financial support for key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and micro enterprises, marking a shift from "overall stability" to "structural reshaping" in financial regulation [1][2][3] Financial Support Focus - Financial institutions will focus on enhancing support for the real economy by creating a financial support system that integrates growth momentum, innovation, and market entities [2] - The shift aims to redirect funds from over-concentrated sectors like real estate to areas with higher marginal output, such as domestic demand and technology innovation [3][4] Internal Demand Expansion - The expansion of domestic demand faces structural bottlenecks on both the demand and supply sides, including high thresholds for consumer credit and insufficient financial support for consumption [5][6] - Strategies to enhance domestic demand include customizing financial products for specific consumption scenarios and improving financial infrastructure in rural areas [5][6] Technology Innovation Financing - Financing for technological innovation encounters challenges such as light assets, long cycles, and high risks, necessitating a comprehensive financial service chain that covers all stages of enterprise development [7][8] - Recommendations include establishing risk-sharing mechanisms and promoting the capitalization of intellectual property to facilitate funding for hard technology [7][8] Small and Micro Enterprises Financing - Small and micro enterprises face financing challenges due to credit gaps, information asymmetry, and weak risk resistance [9][10] - Solutions involve enhancing credit evaluation through big data, expanding government guarantee coverage, and simplifying approval processes to make inclusive finance accessible [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes "domestic demand as the main driver" and outlines key tasks that align with the construction materials industry, particularly benefiting the plastic pipe sector, with China Liansu positioned to capture policy dividends [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Implications - The conference highlights "stabilizing investment" as a core strategy to expand domestic demand, with specific measures including increasing central budget investments and promoting urban renewal projects, which will drive demand in the plastic pipe industry [3]. - Urban renewal is identified as a key area for investment, focusing on the renovation of old pipelines and infrastructure, which is expected to create significant demand for plastic pipes [3][4]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to renovate over 70,000 kilometers of underground pipelines, with an investment requirement exceeding 5 trillion yuan, indicating a long-term demand for plastic pipes [3]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - The construction of urban commercial complexes and public service facilities will generate additional demand for plumbing and fire protection systems, which China Liansu can address through customized solutions [4]. - The rural revitalization strategy is expected to spur demand for irrigation and agricultural infrastructure, further expanding the market for plastic pipes in rural areas [5]. - New infrastructure projects, including 5G base stations and energy transition initiatives, will create new application scenarios for plastic pipes, with China Liansu already positioned to benefit from these developments [6]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - China Liansu has established a diverse industrial ecosystem covering pipes, building materials, environmental protection, and modern agriculture, with plastic pipes as a core business [8]. - The company operates over 30 production bases across 19 provinces and international markets, supported by a distribution network of over 3,000 independent distributors, enabling rapid market response [8]. - Automation and intelligent production upgrades, along with optimized logistics, have allowed the company to reduce costs significantly, enhancing its competitive edge [8]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The favorable policy environment is expected to improve domestic investment demand, with the plastic pipe and building materials sectors poised to benefit from policy dividends and exhibit high earnings elasticity [9]. - The ongoing recovery in the plastic pipe industry and improvements in China Liansu's performance are driving investor optimism, reflected in the company's rising stock price since 2025 [10]. - As policies are implemented and industry concentration increases, leading companies like China Liansu are expected to capture quality orders, enhancing their return on equity (ROE) and valuation levels [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that understanding the Chinese economy requires looking beyond GDP growth, focusing on five key themes that will shape the economy leading into 2026 [1][2][3][4][5] Group 2 - Keyword 1: Artificial Intelligence - AI is seen as a transformative technology that will enhance efficiency across various industries, creating a complete industrial ecosystem from computing power to applications [1] - Keyword 2: Expanding Domestic Demand - Policies will focus on improving consumer willingness and capacity by addressing the entire production-distribution-保障 chain, making income stability and comprehensive security a priority [2] - Keyword 3: Investment in People - The shift from "investment in material" to "investment in people" highlights the importance of enhancing income, social security, education, and healthcare, positioning human capital as a critical asset for future growth [3] - Keyword 4: Countering "Involution" Competition - The government aims to eliminate low-level repetitive competition that harms profits and innovation, focusing instead on efficiency and value creation as part of a structural adjustment in supply [4] - Keyword 5: Quality Housing - The focus in real estate is shifting from mere availability to the quality of housing, emphasizing safety, energy efficiency, and livability, thus returning to the fundamental residential attributes of real estate [5]

International Market - Economic data from the US in December was significantly affected by the government shutdown, making it less reliable for analysis. The labor market showed weakness with November non-farm payrolls at 64,000, above the expected 50,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.5% [5][8] - Inflation data also lacked reliability due to the government shutdown, with November CPI at 2.7%, below the expected 3.1%, and core CPI at 2.6%, also below expectations. The data collection issues have raised concerns about the comparability of these figures [8][10] - The December FOMC meeting revealed significant internal divisions within the Federal Reserve, with Powell's speech leaning dovish, indicating that "preemptive rate cuts" may be nearing an end. The median forecast for 2026 remains at 3.25%-3.5%, suggesting one more rate cut [10][12] - The US is strengthening its space strategy in response to China's advancements in commercial space, which may lead to a revaluation of related sectors. The Trump administration's recent executive order emphasizes the need for increased R&D and private sector investment in space [15] - The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75%, the highest in 30 years, but the market reaction was muted, indicating that expectations had already been priced in [15][17] - Geopolitically, the US continues to exert pressure on Venezuela, which may affect oil prices and inflation expectations. The overall market saw low volatility in US Treasury yields and a mixed performance in the stock market, with the S&P 500 reaching new highs [19][21] Domestic Market - In November, China's exports turned positive with a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, while domestic demand remains weak, with retail sales growth at 1.3%, down from 2.9% in the previous month. Fixed asset investment also declined by 2.6% year-on-year [29][31] - The December Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of expanding domestic demand, with "domestic demand as the main driver" being the top priority among eight tasks. The meeting highlighted the need for flexible monetary policy to support economic stability [31][32] - The commercial space sector in China is experiencing significant advancements, driven by both policy support and industry developments. Recent launches of reusable rockets indicate progress in this area, which is expected to become a sustainable growth sector following AI [32][34] - The market in December showed overall upward movement, with the ChiNext Index performing the best. Sectors such as defense, communications, and non-ferrous metals saw significant gains, while real estate and food and beverage sectors lagged [34][37] Outlook for January 2026 - The report suggests focusing on three key areas: 1) Opportunities in the aerospace sector and AI industry, which may resonate with movements in the US market; 2) High-growth advanced manufacturing sectors, supported by high investment growth; 3) Resource sectors benefiting from rising non-ferrous commodity prices, which still show upward trends [38]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience moderate growth in 2026, with structural opportunities emerging amidst a stable macroeconomic environment and improving corporate earnings [1][14]. Macroeconomic Environment - The focus for 2026 will be on expanding domestic demand and a reasonable recovery in prices, which are seen as key concerns for the macroeconomy [1][4]. - Investment in domestic demand is anticipated to stabilize and recover, with a greater emphasis on human capital investment compared to material investment [5][6]. - Consumer spending is expected to be boosted by improving corporate profits, which will positively impact residents' income over time [6][7]. Corporate Earnings and Market Valuation - Corporate earnings are projected to grow by 10%-15% in 2026, marking the highest growth rate in three years [10][14]. - Current market valuations are considered reasonable, with significant structural differentiation among sectors, indicating that various industries may benefit from the economic cycle's upward trend [10][11]. Liquidity Environment - The liquidity environment in 2026 is expected to remain relatively loose, with potential monetary policy easing at the beginning of the year [2][11]. - The ongoing global liquidity conditions are likely to support the Chinese asset revaluation narrative, with the RMB expected to appreciate moderately [12][13]. Focus on Technology - The technology sector remains a critical focus for 2026, with attention on the capital expenditure plans of tech giants and the commercial progress of leading AI models [9][14]. - The anticipated advancements in AI and related applications are expected to drive significant changes in the market landscape [9]. Structural Opportunities - The market is expected to present structural opportunities beyond just technology, as various sectors may experience recovery and growth due to improving economic conditions [10][14]. - The potential for a rebound in the inventory cycle and increased capacity utilization in traditional industries is highlighted as a positive sign for corporate profitability and market performance [8][10].

Group 1: Economic Trends and Developments - The year 2025 is characterized as "extraordinary" by the Central Economic Work Conference, highlighting significant economic transformations and developments [1] - China’s exports have shown resilience despite a complex external environment, with ASEAN, EU, and Belt and Road countries becoming key growth engines for foreign trade [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is nearing completion, with new development strategies focusing on expanding domestic demand, high-level openness, and innovation-driven growth [2] Group 2: Artificial Intelligence and Innovation - The term "Hangzhou Six Dragons" has emerged as a key phrase in the artificial intelligence sector, marking a significant development in AI applications across various industries [3][4] - The introduction of local regulations for the embodied intelligent robot industry in Hangzhou signifies a growing focus on AI, with predictions indicating that the AI industry will grow from 486.2 billion yuan in 2026 to 1 trillion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 19.8% [4] - The Central Economic Work Conference has emphasized the establishment of international technology innovation centers in major regions, aiming to integrate innovation resources across broader areas [5] Group 3: Investment in Human Capital - The government has explicitly stated the importance of "investing in people," with initiatives such as childcare subsidies and free preschool education reflecting a shift towards prioritizing human development [6][7] - This focus on human capital is seen as a strategic adjustment to stimulate domestic demand and enhance economic growth, especially as the country transitions from a "demographic dividend" to a "talent dividend" [7] Group 4: Trade Connectivity and Foreign Trade - Trade is identified as a crucial mechanism for connecting domestic and international economic cycles, with traditional foreign trade provinces continuing to play a significant role [9] - The central government has initiated measures to enhance the integration of domestic and foreign trade, with a focus on diversifying markets and fostering new competitive advantages [10] Group 5: Infrastructure and Logistics - The revival of inland river shipping is highlighted as a strategic focus, with plans to increase the share of inland cargo transport in the overall transportation system by 2030 [11][12] - The development of inland shipping is seen as a means to lower logistics costs and enhance the efficiency of resource allocation across the country [12] Group 6: Economic Powerhouses - Economic powerhouses such as Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang are expected to contribute significantly to national GDP, with the central government reiterating the importance of these provinces in driving economic growth [13][14] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for these provinces to lead development efforts, with specific targets set for GDP growth and modernization [14] Group 7: Hainan Free Trade Port - The establishment of the Hainan Free Trade Port is marked as a significant step in China's openness, with the port being the largest and most diverse in the world [15] - The operationalization of the free trade port is seen as a systemic experiment in opening up various sectors, including trade, finance, and talent [15][16]

为贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，充分发挥财政资金引导带动作用，加大直达消费者的普惠政策力 度，进一步激发消费需求，释放消费活力，财政部、商务部、税务总局联合印发《关于开展有奖发票试 点工作的通知》(以下简称《通知》)。近日，财政部、商务部、税务总局有关负责人就《通知》有关情 况回答了记者提问。 一、2025年以来，国家连续出台提振消费、扩大内需政策举措，此次开展有奖发票试点工作的主要背景 是什么？ 答：消费是经济增长的重要引擎，是国内大循环的关键环节，是人民对美好生活需要的直接体现，做好 提振消费工作具有重要意义。党中央、国务院高度重视扩消费工作。 2025年以来，随着一系列扩内需、促消费政策措施落地见效，消费市场总体保持平稳发展态势，消费新 亮点新热点不断涌现。2025年1—11月，社会消费品零售总额45.6万亿元，同比增长4.0%，增速比去年 全年加快0.5个百分点；服务零售额同比增长5.4%，继续保持平稳较快增长。2025年前三季度，最终消 费支出对GDP增长的贡献率达53.5%。 为贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，财政部、商务部、税务总局联合开展有奖发票试点工作，通过对 居民消费取得的发票抽奖，激发 ...

站在"十五五"新程待启的关键时点，如何看待2026年的经济形势？2026年经济工作怎么干？新京报贝壳财经推出《看2026：十五五·启新程》专题报道，汇 聚监管部门、知名学者和领军企业家，解读政策脉络，洞察趋势变化。 对于企业而言，针对中央经济工作会议提出的持续扩大内需等议题会有哪些举措？2026年有哪些战略发展目标？新京报贝壳财经记者就此采访了天智航董事 会秘书黄军辉。 新京报贝壳财经：2026年，公司在业绩增长、产品创新、业务线等方面有何战略发展目标？ 黄军辉：业绩增长目标是力争实现营业收入与市场占有率的稳步提升，保持在中国骨科手术机器人市场的领先地位。通过市场下沉与海外探索，寻求新的增 长曲线。同时，持续优化成本结构，提升管理效率，追求高质量、可持续的盈利增长，以更好的业绩回报广大投资者。 产品创新目标是在现有"天玑"平台基础上，推出更具智能化、模块化特点的骨科手术机器人系统。在关键技术上取得突破，提升自主规划能力、集成更先进 的影像融合与实时导航技术，拓展公司的技术边界与应用领域，保持技术领先优势。 业务线发展目标是核心业务线（骨科手术机器人销售与服务）将持续深化，强化从设备到服务的全链条价值。探索基于 ...