VTech Holdings Limited FY2025 Annual Results Announcement 14 May 2025 Financial Review 2 Financial Highlights For the year ended 31 March | (US$ M) | 2025 | 2024 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Revenue | 2,177.2 | 2,145.7 | 1.5% | | Gross Profit | 686.8 | 634.9 | 8.2% | | Gross Profit Margin % | 31.5% | 29.6% | 1.9% pts | | Operating Profit | 188.7 | 196.2 | -3.8% | | Operating Profit Margin % | 8.7% | 9.1% | -0.4% pts | | Profit Attributable to Shareholders of the Company | 156.8 | 166.6 | -5.9% | | ...

Group 1 - Huang Zitao's sanitary napkin brand "Duo Wei" officially launched with a total investment of 275 million yuan, offering various product types including mini pads, day use, night use, and sleep pants [1] - The pricing of "Duo Wei" is slightly lower than competitors like Sofy and Hengan, indicating a competitive strategy in a crowded market [1] - The success of "Duo Wei" will depend on converting celebrity influence into consumer trust and repeat purchases based on safety, comfort, and authenticity [1] Group 2 - Anjiu Food has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its IPO, planning to issue up to 59.52 million shares in Hong Kong [2] - The IPO reflects a trend of high-quality Chinese consumer goods companies expanding internationally, aiming to enhance brand influence and optimize capital structure [2] Group 3 - Dick's Sporting Goods announced a $2.4 billion acquisition of North American retailer Foot Locker, with an enterprise value of approximately $2.5 billion [3] - This acquisition highlights the industry's trend towards achieving scale and synergy, allowing Dick's to expand its market share in the athletic footwear and apparel sector [3] - Foot Locker will operate as an independent business unit, preserving its brand and loyal customer base [3] Group 4 - Walmart, as a major retail player, has increased prices on certain products, reflecting a broader trend among U.S. companies responding to tariff pressures [3] - Other companies like Microsoft and Whirlpool have also raised prices, indicating that tariff policies are impacting multiple industries and consumer costs [3] - This price increase trend underscores the significant effects of international trade policy changes on global supply chains and consumer economics [3]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Nickel: Rolling short [1] - Stainless steel: Hold [1] - Zinc: Bearish outlook [3] Core Views of the Reports Nickel and Stainless Steel - The rumor of the Philippines banning nickel exports has been disproven by the market. The market quickly reversed all the gains, and the closing price was basically the same as the starting point of the previous day. The supply of nickel ore is likely to loosen, and there is no sign of production cuts in nickel iron. The overall supply of electrolytic nickel in China has decreased month-on-month, but it remains at the highest level in the same period in history. The cost of electrowinning nickel is expected to decline significantly. The demand for nickel is under pressure, and the profit of stainless steel manufacturers has not improved significantly. The report suggests rolling short nickel in the range of 120,000 - 127,000 [1][2]. Zinc - The profit of zinc mining enterprises has been affected by the tariff policy, but the profit of mining enterprises is still at a relatively high level. The TC price has not declined, indicating that there is no production cut in the mining end, and the import of the mining end has been greatly repaired. The demand peak season is coming to an end, and the demand for zinc is expected to weaken. The report suggests waiting for opportunities to short zinc [3][4]. Summaries Based on Related Catalogs Macro & Industry News Nickel and Stainless Steel - The Philippines plans to ban nickel ore exports from June 2025, which may lead to a shortage of global nickel ore supply and price increases. In 2024, Indonesia imported about 10 million tons of nickel ore from the Philippines, mainly supplying smelters in industrial parks such as Morowali and Weda Bay. The ban may cause supply chain disruptions for these smelters [1]. Zinc - In April 2025, the retail sales of the national passenger car market reached 1.755 million units, a year-on-year increase of 14.5% and a month-on-month decrease of 9.4%. The cumulative retail sales this year reached 6.872 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7.9% [3]. Supply Nickel and Stainless Steel - The rumor of the Philippines banning nickel exports has been disproven by the market. The Philippines is out of the rainy season, and the shipping volume is expected to increase. The supply of nickel ore is likely to loosen. The profit of nickel iron produced from medium-grade nickel ore is close to the break-even point, but the profit of nickel iron produced from low-grade nickel ore is still substantial. The overall supply of electrolytic nickel in China has decreased month-on-month, but it remains at the highest level in the same period in history. The cost of electrowinning nickel is expected to decline significantly [1]. Zinc - The profit of zinc mining enterprises has been affected by the tariff policy, but the profit of mining enterprises is still at a relatively high level. The TC price has not declined, indicating that there is no production cut in the mining end, and the import of the mining end has been greatly repaired. The profit of integrated enterprises has shrunk, but it is still not low. The static profit of pure smelting enterprises has turned negative again, but the profit of smelting enterprises has turned positive after considering by-product income. The possibility of production cuts for both pure smelting enterprises and integrated enterprises is extremely small, and the overall supply is expected to loosen [3]. Demand Nickel and Stainless Steel - The cost of nickel in the process of producing nickel sulfate from nickel beans is about 127,000 yuan, which is consistent with the technical pressure level. The demand support provided by the cost of downstream nickel sulfate is about 134,000 yuan/ton, and the profit critical point of external procurement manufacturers is about 137,000 yuan/ton, both of which have decreased compared with the previous period. The profit of stainless steel manufacturers has not improved significantly, but the production volume has remained high. The possibility of production cuts in stainless steel is small [2]. Zinc - The demand peak season is coming to an end. The capacity utilization rate and output of galvanizing are not high, and the enthusiasm of manufacturers for production is low. The inventory of steel mills is low, while the social inventory has started to accumulate, indicating that the terminal demand for zinc ingots is starting to decline. The demand for die-casting alloys has not improved significantly, and manufacturers are producing on demand. The supply of zinc oxide is relatively sufficient, and there is no sign of an increase in the operating rate. The overall demand for zinc is expected to weaken [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve, under Jerome Powell, faces a challenging "lose-lose" situation due to the dual mandate of full employment and low inflation being threatened by the Trump administration's tariff policies, leading to a dilemma where any monetary policy action may be deemed "too late" [1][2][3] Group 1: Historical Context and Challenges - Historically, Federal Reserve leaders have been criticized for their indecisiveness in adjusting interest rates, often acting too late in response to economic signals [2] - Examples include Arthur Burns in the 1970s failing to tighten monetary policy during stagflation, Alan Greenspan's delayed response to the internet bubble, and Ben Bernanke's underestimation of the subprime mortgage crisis [2] - Dan North highlights that the Fed tends to wait for overwhelming data before acting, which often results in delayed responses that lead to economic downturns [2][3] Group 2: Current Economic Environment - Powell's current predicament is exacerbated by tariffs that exert downward pressure on economic growth while posing upward risks to inflation, constraining the Fed's policy options [2][3] - Trump has been urging the Fed to lower interest rates, claiming that inflation has been defeated, despite the Fed's decision to maintain rates [4][5] - Recent economic data has not shown significant price increases or a marked slowdown in economic activity, but there are growing concerns among businesses regarding the impact of tariffs [5] Group 3: Labor Market Indicators - The labor market is often the last to signal an impending recession, suggesting that if the Fed relies on labor market performance for policy adjustments, it may act too late [5][6] - Joseph LaVorgna points out that waiting for labor market confirmation could mean the Fed is already behind the curve [6] - Powell's previous reluctance to raise rates in response to rising inflation in 2021 has led to a series of aggressive rate hikes that have yet to bring inflation back to the Fed's 2% target [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50% and continued its balance sheet reduction, reflecting a "wait-and-see" approach amid economic uncertainties [2][3]. Economic Performance - The U.S. economy remains robust with a low unemployment rate of 4.2% and inflation showing signs of improvement, although still above the Fed's long-term target of 2% [3][5]. - GDP growth was 2.5% last year but saw a decline in Q1 this year due to increased imports ahead of tariff policies, impacting net imports significantly [4]. - Domestic private final purchases (PDFP) maintained a steady growth of 3% in Q1, consistent with the previous year, despite a decline in consumer sentiment due to trade policy uncertainties [4]. Employment Market - Job creation remains strong, with the unemployment rate at a relatively low level, and wage growth outpacing inflation, indicating a balanced employment market without significant inflationary pressures [5]. Inflation Trends - Inflation has significantly decreased from mid-2022 highs but remains above the 2% target, with the PCE price index rising 2.3% and core PCE rising 2.6% over the past 12 months [6]. - Recent inflation expectations have shown upward trends, with tariffs identified as a driving factor [6]. Federal Reserve's Stance - The Fed is awaiting more economic evidence to determine whether inflation or employment should be prioritized, influencing future interest rate decisions [8]. - Powell highlighted the significant impact of Trump's policies on trade, immigration, fiscal policy, and regulation, with ongoing uncertainties regarding the effects of announced tariffs [7][8]. Market Reactions - Following the Fed's announcement, markets generally expect three rate cuts this year, with the dollar index fluctuating around 99.6 to 99.7 [9]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority maintained its benchmark rate at 4.75%, with the Hong Kong stock market showing strong performance amid active new listings [11]. - U.S. stocks experienced volatility post-announcement, with investor focus shifting back to company fundamentals amid trade policy uncertainties [11].

美国政府关税政策"恶果"正在美最大、最繁忙集装箱港口洛杉矶港显现。洛杉矶港执行董事吉恩·塞罗 卡当地时间5月6日表示，本周港口货物量已下降约35%。国际码头与仓库工会成员萨尔·迪科斯坦佐直 言，当前形势下，南加州有90万名工人正面临工作机会不断流失的困境。全美范围内，与供应链相关行 业的900万人的命运取决于该港口正在发生的一切。 (央视财经) ...

Group 1 - The "May Day" holiday saw a significant increase in short-distance travel, with an estimated 290 million people expected to move across regions, marking a 3% increase compared to the same day last year [9] - The "old for new" sales strategy has been highly successful during the holiday, stimulating new vitality in the consumer market as various regions innovate consumption scenarios and increase supply [10] - The 137th Canton Fair has attracted 380 large purchasing companies from countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and Brazil, indicating strong international interest in Chinese products [14] Group 2 - The world’s highest dam, the Shuangjiangkou Hydropower Station, completed its first water storage with a volume of 110 million cubic meters, laying the groundwork for the commissioning of its first generating unit by the end of the year [17] - The "May Day" holiday saw a 19.16% year-on-year increase in passenger flow in the Three Gorges area, with a total of 45,100 visitors on the first day of the holiday [16] - The launch of the 2025 International Consumption Season and the 6th Shanghai "Five-Five Shopping Festival" aims to activate consumer potential through new consumption cultivation and diverse consumption scenarios [18]

尽管近期美国经济数据表现尚可，但是高盛警告不要过早放松警惕，美国经济真正的负面冲击可能在5- 6月才会显现。从较长期的角度来看，美元结构性贬值将成为大趋势。 4月27日，高盛分析师Rikin Shah在最新研报中称，目前美国硬数据仍然坚挺，劳动力市场也没有显示迫 在眉睫的危险信号，加上潜在的关税协议可能给市场带来缓解。但市场还远未脱离险境，因为关税政策 给美国经济带来的负面影响，可能要到5月中旬或6月初才会更加明显地显现。高盛给出的理由如下： 美国消费者的提前采购可能会提振3月和部分4月的消费支出数据，这一现象已经开始显现。 同时，疲软招聘比大规模裁员更可能成为就业市场的关键变量，这意味着失业救济申请数据 可能不如往常那样具有指示意义。 报告指出，政策不确定性高企，消费者和企业信心处于低点，高盛仍然认为美国在未来12个月内陷入衰 退的概率为45%。 高盛还认为，考虑到关税的广泛性和单边性，美国企业和消费者将成为价格的接受者，如果供应链或消 费支出短期内相对缺乏弹性，美元还会贬值。 不确定性极高 关税影响挥之不去 高盛认为，目前正处于一个非常困难的时期，不确定性极高：1、不知道关税谈判的最终结果；2、不知 道关 ...

发表日期: 2025.04.21 (单位:美元/片) | 应用别 | प्तचे | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | THE | 를 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | es"..M | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 173 | 182 | 177 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | ER... M | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 122 | 130 | 127 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | રવ | 67 | દર | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 32"W | 1366x768 | Open-Cell | 35.0 | 37.0 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | 桌上显示器 | 27"W (IPS) | 1920x1080 | LED | 57.5 | 65.6 | 62.9 | 0.2 | 0.3% ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Auto Show will be hosted by the Shanghai International Trade Promotion Commission, Shanghai International Exhibition (Group) Co., Ltd., and the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers in 2025, following a final ruling by the Shanghai High Court [1] - The upcoming Shanghai Auto Show is expected to feature over 100 new car debuts, indicating a highly competitive environment in the automotive industry [1] - Various car manufacturers are launching new models with competitive pricing strategies, such as Chery's low-priced vehicles and Leap Motor's B10 laser radar version priced below 120,000 yuan [2][3] Group 2 - NIO's new model, the Firefly, is priced starting at 119,800 yuan, with two versions available, reflecting a strategic pricing approach to attract consumers [5][7] - The AITO M8 has garnered significant attention, with a starting price of 368,000 yuan and over 100,000 orders on its first day, showcasing strong market demand [7] - New regulations from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology restrict the use of terms like "autonomous driving" in marketing, requiring car manufacturers to clarify that such features are merely assistive [10][12] Group 3 - The automotive industry is facing challenges due to tariff issues, with Jaguar Land Rover halting shipments to the U.S. and Stellantis planning layoffs and business suspensions in North America [12] - The announcement of tariff policies has led to a significant drop in the U.S. stock market, with a loss of $6.6 trillion over two days, impacting various industries and raising concerns about increased costs and supply shortages [12]