订阅美国CPI +订阅 跟踪中东局势动态 +订阅 摩根大通：对伊朗发动袭击可能会使油价飙升至120美元/桶，并推动美国CPI升至5%。 ...

年率、月率双双低于预期，通胀压力有，但不多……5月CPI能为美联储卸下思想包袱吗？一图读懂美 国2025年5月CPI报告 相关链接 财料 ...

特朗普快速反应小组评美国CPI：5月通胀数据比预期的都低。自从特朗普总统上任以来，通胀率每个 月都低于经济学家的预期。 ...

Core Insights - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May increased by 2.4% year-over-year, meeting expectations, with the previous value at 2.3% [1] - The core CPI for May rose by 2.8% year-over-year, which is below the expected value of 2.9%, and the previous value was also 2.8% [1] - The core CPI has now shown a lower-than-expected increase for four consecutive months, indicating that companies are attempting to limit the transfer of rising costs from tariffs to consumers [1]

机构分析师Curran评美国CPI：核心通胀率低于预期尤其值得注意。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is crucial, with an overall inflation rate expected to rise to 2.5%, which may provide a much-needed boost to the U.S. dollar [1] Group 1 - The market currently holds an optimistic view regarding inflation risks stemming from tariffs, indicating a potential asymmetric reaction to upward surprises in inflation data [1] - A rise in CPI could lead to a stronger performance of the U.S. dollar, particularly against the Swiss franc [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated impact of tariffs on U.S. inflation, particularly highlighting that significant price pressures are expected to manifest in June and July due to tariff-related price increases [1] Group 1: Inflation Expectations - The U.S. core inflation in May is projected to show the largest month-on-month increase since the second quarter of 2023 [1] - Price increases related to tariffs typically appear two to three months after their implementation, indicating a delayed effect on inflation [1] Group 2: Uncertainty Factors - The uncertainty surrounding the timing, form, and duration of tariff policies under the Trump administration may lead companies to adopt a cautious pricing strategy [1] - This strategic wait-and-see approach by businesses could delay the inflationary effects of tariffs, potentially resulting in a more chaotic and prolonged response [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and its potential impact on gold prices and market direction [1] - It emphasizes the importance of futures trading and the opportunities available in the futures market [1] Group 1 - The US CPI report is anticipated to influence market movements, particularly in gold [1] - A seasoned futures researcher, Leo, will analyze popular market trends and provide insights into trading opportunities [1] - The live session will cover order flow, volume-price distribution, and practical case studies related to capital movements in the futures market [1]

·中信证券研报称，美国4月CPI增速大致表现温和且低于预期，但家具、家电、玩具等商品的价格似乎 已开始反映白宫加征关税的影响，本次总体同比2.3%的增速可能已是今年全年的低点。美国关税水平 的"天花板"和"地板"都已依稀可见，贸易政策的能见度正在恢复，这对美股等风险资产而言是件好事， 美元可能也将在近期迎来支撑，对美债的态度依旧较谨慎。 ·中信证券评美国4月CPI：不易持久的"好数据" ·荷兰国际：欧元涨势可能仍然有限 ·欧洲复兴开发银行下调埃及2025和2026年GDP增长预期 ·巴克莱：印度央行可能在6月降息 【机构分析】 ·潘森宏观首席英国经济学家Robert Wood表示，随着就业市场逐渐走弱，英国央行今年可能会再降息两 次。本周公布的数据显示，英国的失业率正在上升，但速度缓慢，而不是急剧上升，同时薪酬增长也在 放缓。英国央行的政策委员会可以放松利率。尽管如此，仍有迹象表明，一些潜在因素在保持薪资快速 增长，并阻止通胀达到央行2%的目标。这意味着英国央行不太可能连续降息，但在2月和5月降息后， 今年有再降息两次的空间。 ·潘森宏观：料英国央行今年将再降息两次 ·荷兰国际集团分析师Francesco P ...

金十数据整理：美国4月CPI报告看点一览 1. 通胀率降至近年新低——整体CPI年率降至2.3%，核心CPI年率持平于2.8%。两项指标均创下2021年 春季通胀全面爆发以来的最低增速。 5. 市场对数据反应温和——CPI数据公布后，现货黄金小幅走高后回落，美债延续涨势但波幅有限；美 股三大股指开盘涨跌不一，此后持续震荡走高，纳指涨逾1%。 2. 月率涨幅低于预期——整体CPI月率及核心CPI月率均上涨0.2%，低于市场预期的0.3%。与往常一 样，居住成本涨幅占整体月率的一半以上；家居用品、医疗护理及车险价格则推动了核心月率上涨。 3. 关税影响初现但尚不明显——家居用品和音响设备价格飙升8.8%（创下有史以来最大单月涨幅）或 初步反映关税影响，但经济学家表示全面影响仍待观察，后续数据或能更明显地反映出关税影响。 4. 食品与能源价格走势分化——美国4月杂货价格下降0.4%，其中鸡蛋价格暴跌12.7%，创1984年以来 最大跌幅。这印证了特朗普的部分说法，但能源成本上涨0.7%与其主张相悖。经季调后汽油价格微 降，而天然气价格大幅跳涨。 ...