中辉有色观点 | 200 | 111 | 197 | 1 | I | 1 | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | N | C | 1 | E | | | | 金银：关税谈判情绪和通胀降温影响，黄金震荡 表 1：产业高频数据 | 盘面信息 | 最新 | 最新 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 上周 | 周变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄金 | SHFE黄金 | 767.68 | 772.28 | -0. 60% | 804 | -4. 46% | | | COMEX黄金 | 3255 | 3242 | 0. 39% | 3310 | -1.69% | | 白银 | SHFE 白 银 | 8245 | 8232 | 0. 16% | 8235 | 0. 12% | | | COMEX白银 | 33 | 33 | 0. 90% | 33 | 1.47% | | | 上海金银比 | 93. 40 | 93.81 | -0. 44% | 97.37 | -4. 07% | | 比价 | COME ...

Group 1 - The US stock market has turned positive for the year, driven by a rebound led by tech giants amid easing inflation and a pause in the global trade war [1][3] - The S&P 500 index rose 0.7% and the Nasdaq 100 index surged 1.6%, with both indices achieving positive cumulative gains for 2025 [1] - The "seven giants" including Nvidia, Apple, and Meta saw an 8% increase this week, marking the largest two-day gain since early April [1] Group 2 - The release of the US April CPI data, which was lower than expected, ignited market optimism, leading to full pricing of a potential Fed rate cut in September [1] - JPMorgan has lifted its US economic growth forecast and removed recession warnings following the improved inflation data [1] - The semiconductor sector performed strongly, with Nvidia announcing a partnership with AMD for a project in Saudi Arabia, resulting in a 3% rise in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index [3] Group 3 - UnitedHealth's stock plummeted 18% after a sudden leadership change, dragging down the healthcare sector within the S&P 500 [4] - The company suspended its full-year earnings guidance due to higher-than-expected medical spending, affecting peers like Elevance Health and CVS [4] Group 4 - Hertz faced its largest single-day drop in over a year, with a 17% decline due to worse-than-expected first-quarter losses [6] - 3D Systems' stock fell 27% after reporting first-quarter product revenue below analyst expectations [6] - First Solar's stock surged 23% following a favorable tax proposal for the solar industry, while Plug Power dropped 10% due to a proposal to eliminate hydrogen production tax credits [6]

有色金属日报 基本金属 ◆ 铜： 截至 5 月 12 日收盘，沪铜主力 06 合约上涨 0.77%至 78260 元/吨。中 美在经贸领域达成一系列重要共识及相关贸易协议，结果超出市场预期， 全球贸易紧张局势进一步缓解，美元指数隔夜大涨，压制了隔夜有色金 属表现，钱铜价维持高位小幅震荡。现货市场，高月差、高铜价背景下， 下游企业入市采购情绪低迷，大多维持刚需采购为主，静待交割换月， 现货成交氛围较为清淡。全球贸易紧张局势进一步缓解，铜价继续回归 基本面逻辑。目前铜精矿 TC 继续下移，冶炼厂产出后续存在下滑趋势， 不过冶炼端的原料压力虽然较大，但近期实际对产出的影响相对较小， 消费表现依然稳中有进，但高月差抑制了近期消费表现，铜价或继续维 持高 位震荡 。技 术上看 ，沪铜 短期维 持偏 强震荡 ，整体 运行于 74500-80000 之间，近期关注 78500 一线压力，建议区间谨慎交易。 ◆ 镍： 截至 5 月 12 日收盘，沪镍主力 06 合约上涨 2%至 126130 元/吨。宏观 面，美国 4 月谘商会消费者信心指数下降，核心 PCE 同环比回落，通胀 降温。外部环境影响下国内制造业 PMI 回落。 ...