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从券商研报看新消费下半场:增长潜力充足
Core Insights - The growth of new consumption sectors is driven by technological advancements and emotional value, with significant retail growth observed in sports goods (22.2% YoY) and gold and jewelry (11.3% YoY) [1] - New consumption trends are characterized by the rise of brands in the tea beverage sector, collectibles, and personalized products, indicating a shift towards consumer-centric offerings [2][3] Group 1: New Consumption Trends - New consumption sectors such as trendy toys, pet products, and new tea beverages are gaining traction, supported by favorable policies and consumer demand for personalized and diverse offerings [1][2] - The emergence of brands like Pop Mart, Lao Pu Gold, and Mixue Group highlights the potential of the trendy toy, gold jewelry, and new tea beverage industries [1] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Demographics - The shift in consumer demographics, particularly the rise of Generation Z and the elderly population, is driving demand for personalized and quality products [3] - The elderly demographic is influencing growth in healthcare, wellness services, and companionship consumption, while the younger generation is increasingly focused on emotional value and self-expression [3] Group 3: Policy Support and Market Dynamics - Government policies, such as the "Consumption Promotion Action Plan," are aimed at supporting new consumption sectors, including digital and AI-driven consumption [3][4] - Continuous policy support is expected to enhance consumer spending power and stimulate demand across various sectors, including traditional categories like gold jewelry and snacks [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the overall consumption growth rate will align with nominal GDP growth in the second half of the year, with emotional value-driven consumption expected to withstand economic fluctuations [4]
【数字营销】每个品牌都在强调的“情绪价值”,到底是什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 04:30
Core Insights - The article discusses the evolving consumer behavior of Generation Z, emphasizing the importance of "emotional value" in their purchasing decisions, which can lead to profitable business opportunities. Group 1: Emotional Value in Consumption - The concept of "emotional value" is becoming increasingly significant across various product categories, including collectibles and everyday items, as consumers seek deeper connections with their purchases [4]. - Consumers exhibit a duality in their spending habits, balancing rational choices with a willingness to pay premiums for items that resonate with their personal preferences, reflecting a regained sense of control over their consumption [5][8]. - The rise of "spiritual consumption" is noted, where young consumers use specific purchases to connect with like-minded individuals rather than to showcase success through expensive items [9]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior Trends - The report highlights that nearly 30% of young consumers engage in spending for emotional healing, indicating a preference for experiences and products that enhance their well-being [23]. - Nostalgia is identified as a powerful emotional driver, with trends showing a resurgence of interest in classic media and products, providing comfort during uncertain times [24]. - The article also points out the significance of "rituals" in consumer behavior, as young people seek small acts that provide a sense of security amidst societal pressures [19].
品类即品牌,一双Crocs卡骆驰洞洞鞋里的商业自在
36氪未来消费· 2025-07-14 04:14
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that Crocs, particularly its iconic "croc" shoes, have transcended their initial perception as unattractive footwear to become a symbol of comfort and self-expression for the Z generation, reflecting a shift in consumer values towards emotional connection and lifestyle choices [3][25][32]. Market Trends - From 2020 to 2024, the demand for crocs has not diminished like many fashion items; instead, it has continued to grow, with reports indicating that 95% of post-95s own at least one pair [5][10]. - The "ugly shoe aesthetic" and the trend of prioritizing comfort have contributed to the sustained popularity of crocs, which serve multiple functions in daily life, appealing to a broader audience beyond traditional users [5][10]. Consumer Demographics - The consumer base for crocs has expanded from primarily young people to include white-collar workers, trendsetters, and urban women, indicating a shift from a home-use product to a fashionable item seen in various social settings [10][11]. - Crocs has successfully attracted non-traditional users, enhancing its market potential and indicating that the category is far from saturated [10][11]. Brand Strategy - Crocs is not merely relying on its status as the original creator of crocs; it is actively evolving its brand strategy to maintain relevance and emotional connection with consumers [11][23]. - The brand has focused on creating a community around emotional value, allowing consumers to express themselves through customizable features like shoe charms, which enhances user engagement and brand loyalty [13][16][21]. Product Innovation - Crocs is redefining the boundaries of its product line, introducing new styles that maintain the comfort of the original design while catering to modern fashion trends [17][21]. - The brand's innovative approach includes collaborations with artists and designers, further embedding itself in cultural conversations and enhancing its appeal to younger consumers [21][22]. Emotional Connection - The relationship between Crocs and its consumers has evolved from functional utility to emotional resonance, with the brand embodying a lifestyle choice that resonates with the desire for authenticity and comfort [25][27]. - Crocs has created a narrative that allows consumers to feel part of a community, transforming them from mere users into "members" of a lifestyle movement [27][28]. Conclusion - Crocs has established itself as more than just a footwear brand; it represents a philosophy of comfort and self-acceptance, allowing individuals to express their true selves without societal pressures [30][32].
“短剧热”后,年轻人为何又迷上“团播”
Core Insights - The article discusses the rise of "group broadcasting" as a new trend among young audiences, highlighting its interactive nature and emotional value [1][2][3] Group Broadcasting Overview - "Group broadcasting" involves multiple hosts performing together, creating a dynamic and engaging environment that captivates viewers [1] - This format allows viewers to interact directly, influencing performances and outcomes, similar to voting in talent shows [2] Emotional Value and Audience Engagement - The emotional value provided by "group broadcasting" is more personalized and immediate compared to traditional entertainment formats, allowing viewers to feel a sense of control and influence [2][3] - The diverse styles and personas of hosts cater to various audience preferences, making it easier for fans to connect with their favorite performers [3] Accessibility and Participation - "Group broadcasting" lowers the barriers for audience participation, enabling fans to support their favorite hosts with minimal financial commitment, thus creating a lighter form of fandom [3] - The decentralized nature of this model emphasizes the role of audience support in a host's success, contrasting with traditional entertainment industry practices [3] Challenges for Hosts - Despite the emotional rewards for viewers, hosts often face significant challenges, including long working hours, physical strain, and an unstable career trajectory [4] - The pursuit of fame through "group broadcasting" can lead to feelings of emptiness and confusion for hosts after the performance ends [4] Future Considerations - The article raises concerns about the sustainability of "group broadcasting" as a trend, questioning whether the emotional value will continue to attract young audiences in the long term [5]
中金:解码新消费
中金点睛· 2025-07-13 23:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution and current state of "new consumption" in China, emphasizing the need for innovation and adaptation to changing consumer demands in a rapidly evolving market [3][4]. Group 1: Definition and Characteristics of New Consumption - New consumption represents a deepening evolution of consumption upgrade trends and an upgrade in the operational philosophy of the large consumption industry [4]. - Key characteristics of new consumption include product and service innovation, new operational models, and a focus on consumer experience [5]. - The emergence of new consumption brands is primarily driven by diverse consumer demands, with significant growth observed in sectors like IP toys, jewelry, outdoor sports, and beauty products [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The Chinese consumption market is transitioning from an incremental to a stock market, with retail sales growth stabilizing at a compound annual growth rate of 3.6% from 2019 to 2024 [9]. - Consumer confidence is gradually recovering, supported by improved housing price-to-income ratios and policies encouraging consumption [12]. - Different consumer groups exhibit varied spending behaviors, with younger generations (Z and Alpha) showing a strong inclination towards personalized and experiential consumption [20][24]. Group 3: Supply-Side Strategies for Growth - Companies should focus on innovation, optimizing channels, expanding product categories, and enhancing brand positioning to maintain consumer loyalty and achieve sustainable growth [7][74]. - The importance of transitioning from a focus on traffic acquisition to long-term brand loyalty is emphasized, particularly for traditional consumption companies [7][74]. Group 4: Infrastructure and Technological Support - The rise of new consumption is supported by improved infrastructure, including the development of mobile internet, logistics, and digital payment systems, which enhance consumer experience [31][34]. - The increasing strength of intellectual property protection is fostering a more vibrant environment for new consumption creators [31]. Group 5: Consumer Demand Trends - The demand for practical value (cost-performance ratio, functionality) and emotional value (cultural identity, companionship) is driving the success of new consumption brands [44][47]. - Consumers are increasingly seeking products that offer both practical benefits and emotional satisfaction, reflecting a shift from material needs to emotional fulfillment [46][49]. Group 6: Challenges and Market Competition - New consumption categories face inevitable iterations and challenges, including intensified competition and the need for continuous innovation to avoid market obsolescence [66]. - The article highlights the dual-edged nature of social media and secondary market speculation, which can both enhance and undermine brand value [68]. Group 7: Future Outlook - The article concludes that the future of new consumption in China is promising, driven by government policies and the evolving landscape of consumer preferences [4][6].
消费动机迭代释放新经济增长潜能 五大新消费赛道活力奔涌
Group 1: Consumption Policies and Market Trends - The "Consumption Promotion Special Action Plan" has effectively stimulated consumption as a core driver of economic growth in the first half of 2025 [1] - Emerging economic forms such as the trendy toy economy, tea beverage consumption, pet economy, outdoor economy, and silver-haired economy are rapidly rising, becoming new engines for market vitality and economic growth [1] Group 2: Trendy Toy Economy - The trendy toy economy is reshaping the offline commercial ecosystem, driven by emotional value and the healing economy, with a market value of approximately 600 billion yuan in 2023, expected to reach 1.101 trillion yuan by 2026, with a growth rate of over 20% [2] - Major brands like Pop Mart are achieving significant revenue growth, with Pop Mart's revenue projected to reach 13.04 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 106.9% [2][3] - The number of trendy toy-related enterprises in China has reached 22,300, with a notable increase in registrations since 2021, indicating a growing market [3] Group 3: Tea Beverage Consumption - The tea beverage industry is experiencing a transformation driven by product innovation and globalization, with several major brands successfully listing on stock exchanges in 2025 [4] - The market for tea beverages is increasingly focusing on health, cross-industry collaborations, and cultural connections, enhancing emotional ties with consumers [4][5] - Tea brands are actively expanding into lower-tier cities, with significant proportions of their stores located in third-tier and below cities, indicating a strategic focus on tapping into domestic demand [5][6] Group 4: Pet Economy - The pet economy is rapidly growing, with a market size of 592.8 billion yuan in 2023, expected to reach 1.15 trillion yuan by 2028, driven by individualization and the single economy [7] - The number of pet-related enterprises has surged, with over 4.5775 million existing companies, reflecting a strong entrepreneurial interest in the sector [7] - During the "618" shopping festival, pet-related sales saw significant growth, with many brands achieving record sales figures [8] Group 5: Outdoor Economy - The outdoor economy is emerging as a new consumption trend, with online consumption expected to reach 300 billion yuan in 2024, driven primarily by the 24 to 34 age group [11] - International outdoor brands are increasingly opening their first stores in China, indicating a growing interest in the outdoor market [11] - The integration of outdoor activities into modern lifestyles is reshaping commercial real estate, with a focus on creating immersive consumer experiences [12] Group 6: Silver-Haired Economy - The silver-haired economy is becoming a significant pillar of the consumption market, with projections indicating that the population aged 60 and above will reach 370 million by 2030 [13] - This sector is expanding beyond traditional elderly care services to encompass a full range of consumer needs, reflecting a shift towards a more quality-oriented consumption mindset among older adults [14] - The travel and care industry for the elderly is experiencing robust growth, with participation numbers expected to rise significantly by 2024 [13][14]
图数室丨成本1块卖5块,冰杯比卖黄金还暴利?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 13:25
Core Viewpoint - The ice cup has transformed from a simple cooling tool into a lifestyle choice, with a significant market shift towards practical and affordable options, overshadowing high-end ice cream products [2][3]. Industry Overview - The number of ice-making companies in China has increased to 10,922, a growth of 3,338 compared to the same period last year [2]. - The ice cup market is projected to reach a scale of 63 billion yuan by 2026, attracting major brands and retailers to enter the market [2]. Product Pricing and Market Dynamics - Ice cup prices are polarized, with pre-packaged options ranging from 2 to 6 yuan for 160g to 220g, while brands like Mixue Ice City and Tea Baidao offer ice cups at a low price of 1 yuan [3]. - The production cost of a 160g ice cup is less than 1 yuan, with packaging accounting for 65% of the cost, while consumers pay five times the price of equivalent pure water [2][18]. Consumer Behavior and Trends - The popularity of ice cups is driven by their convenience and the emotional value they provide, as they are easily accessible and can be paired with various beverages [9][23]. - Social media discussions around ice cups have exceeded 100 million, highlighting their cultural significance and the trend of "DIY" drinks [9][23]. Market Expansion and Usage Scenarios - Ice cups are being utilized in various scenarios, including travel, camping, shopping, and home settings, making them a year-round product rather than just a summer trend [10][14]. - The trend of flavor innovation in ice cups is gaining traction, with brands introducing various flavored options to attract consumers [6][7]. Cost Analysis and Value Proposition - The cost of making ice cups at home is minimal, raising questions about the value of commercially sold ice cups, which are often marked up significantly [18]. - The convenience of ready-to-use ice cups is perceived as a "convenience tax," allowing consumers to enjoy immediate satisfaction without the hassle of preparation [23].
“陪爬”服务何以走红?
Bei Jing Qing Nian Bao· 2025-07-11 11:12
Core Insights - The rise of "accompanying climbing" services reflects a new definition of travel experiences among younger consumers, emphasizing emotional value and personalized support over traditional guiding roles [1][2][3] - The growth in visitor numbers at Wugong Mountain is linked to the younger demographic becoming the main force in the tourism market, seeking both challenge and social companionship [2][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - In June alone, the team led by Zhu Jianfeng completed 29 days of accompanying climbing orders, indicating a surge in demand for this service [1] - Wugong Mountain received 2.6285 million visitors in the first half of the year, with an increasing number of young people opting for emotional support services [1] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The majority of "accompanying climbing" services are currently operated individually, leading to non-standardized transactions that pose various risks [2] - There is a need for improved institutional design to regulate market behavior, including establishing qualifications, service standards, and safety guarantees for practitioners [2] Group 3: Service Evolution - The emergence of "accompanying climbing" services fills a gap between traditional guiding and self-guided experiences, offering a third option that combines exploration freedom with necessary professional support [3] - Understanding the underlying emotional value demands from tourists can lead to a transformation in the tourism industry from merely providing scenery to offering meaningful experiences [3]
亲爱的你需要哭出来,为什么说男性更需要情绪价值
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-11 07:39
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emotional value and its significance in relationships, particularly focusing on the male perspective and the societal expectations that discourage emotional expression [1][15][21]. Group 1: Emotional Value in Relationships - Emotional value is often overlooked by men, who may not see the worth in providing emotional support or connection [10][12]. - The article suggests that men tend to avoid expressing their emotional needs due to societal pressures that equate vulnerability with weakness [13][15]. - Women, in contrast, are portrayed as more adept at expressing their emotional needs and seeking support from friends and family, which contributes to their overall well-being [17][18]. Group 2: Consequences of Ignoring Emotional Needs - Ignoring emotional needs can lead to various physical and mental health issues, such as sleep disorders and emotional numbness [21][24]. - The article highlights that a lack of emotional connection can result in a "robotic" existence, where individuals function without genuine emotional engagement [25][26]. - The importance of maintaining emotional connections is emphasized, as it contributes to a fulfilling life and better relationships with others [27][28].
Z 世代妈妈消费观:为情绪价值买单
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 05:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Generation Z mothers prioritize self-care alongside parenting, breaking traditional norms of self-sacrifice in motherhood [3][12][13] - Generation Z mothers are characterized by a strong individual consciousness, emphasizing the balance between caring for their children and themselves [3][11] - Emotional value is a significant factor in their consumption decisions, with a focus on products that enhance their quality of life and provide emotional satisfaction [4][12][13] Group 2 - Skincare and makeup have become essential parts of daily consumption for Generation Z mothers, with a preference for natural and safe products [4] - When selecting products for their children, these mothers exhibit a detailed approach, prioritizing health and ergonomic designs, such as lightweight backpacks that support spinal health [4][12] - The rise of social media platforms has transformed how Generation Z mothers seek parenting information and share experiences, creating a community for emotional support and product recommendations [11][12] Group 3 - Generation Z mothers are rational consumers who emphasize quality and safety over brand loyalty, often conducting thorough research before making purchases [12][13] - Over 70% of consumers prioritize safety and quality in their purchasing decisions, with significant attention given to product performance and reputation [12] - This unique consumer behavior is influencing the development trends in the maternal and infant market, prompting businesses to innovate and cater to the diverse needs of these mothers [13]