Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has faced significant volatility due to political tensions and deteriorating fundamentals, leading to a downgrade in sales expectations from analysts [2][3][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Tesla's stock price dropped 14% in a single day, erasing gains made earlier in the year, and has returned to 2022 levels [2]. - Baird Equity Research downgraded Tesla from "outperform" to "neutral," citing excessive uncertainties across multiple fronts [2][3]. - Among 18 Wall Street analysts, only 10 currently have a buy rating on Tesla, with the stock down 26% year-to-date [3]. Group 2: Sales Expectations and Political Risks - Goldman Sachs significantly lowered Tesla's Q2 delivery forecast from 410,000 to 365,000 units, below the consensus of 417,000 [2][5]. - Analysts express concern over the deteriorating relationship between Elon Musk and former President Trump, which could impact Tesla's operational benefits [3][4]. - Political risks are compounded by potential policy changes that could halve Tesla's operating profits, with estimated losses of $1.2 billion from the end of consumer EV tax credits and $2 billion from the cancellation of carbon tax credits [3][5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Competition - Sales of Tesla vehicles have shown a divergence based on political affiliations, with red counties seeing increased sales while blue counties have declined [5]. - In Europe, Tesla faces weak sales and resistance from buyers due to Musk's political stance, while competition in China intensifies [5][6]. - Baird analysts have also adjusted 2026 delivery forecasts to reflect the impact of canceled EV tax credits, predicting only 6,000 robotaxis will be operational despite Musk's optimistic projections [6]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook and Optimism - Despite the negative outlook, some analysts maintain a relatively optimistic view on Tesla's long-term prospects, citing potential opportunities in robotaxi and robotics technology [8]. - Wolfe Research suggests that the impact of the proposed budget bill may not be as severe as predicted by others, indicating some resilience in Tesla's business model [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The public feud between Elon Musk and Donald Trump has escalated, significantly impacting Tesla's stock price and market perception, highlighting the intersection of politics and business in the electric vehicle industry [3][4][6]. Group 1: Musk and Trump's Feud - The conflict began on June 3, when Musk publicly opposed Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill," which aimed to raise the U.S. debt ceiling by $4 trillion [7][10]. - Musk criticized the bill as a "disgusting abomination" that would increase the national debt by $2.5 trillion, urging his followers to pressure Congress against it [12][13]. - Trump expressed disappointment in Musk, suggesting that Musk's opposition stemmed from self-interest regarding electric vehicle policies [17][18]. Group 2: Impact on Tesla - Tesla's stock experienced significant volatility, with a peak drop of 14.26%, resulting in a market value loss of approximately $150 billion during the feud [19][35]. - The electric vehicle market is projected to grow by 25% in 2024, yet Tesla's market share has declined from 70% in 2021 to below 50% [36]. - Tesla's sales revenue fell by 71% in the first quarter of 2025, marking the lowest level in three years, amid a challenging political environment [36][37]. Group 3: Broader Industry Implications - The feud has led to a rise in anti-Tesla sentiment, with incidents of vandalism against Tesla service centers and charging stations [39]. - The political dynamics have raised concerns about the future of Tesla, as the company warned that changing political sentiments could adversely affect product sales [37][38]. - The ongoing conflict illustrates the risks associated with intertwining business interests with political affiliations, as Musk's political actions have seemingly backfired on Tesla [42][44].

智通财经5月8日电，韩国表示贸易谈判和政治风险带来不确定性，韩国将每周举行会议讨论市场和经 济。 ...