现货黄金涨破4650美元关口，创历史新高。现货白银涨超2%。此前特朗普就格陵兰岛问题发出关税威 胁。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM.US) reported a record revenue of approximately $126.1 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, marking a 51% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Company Summary - Silvercorp focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of non-ferrous and precious metal mines, including silver, gold, lead, and zinc [1] - The company's stock price has increased over 22% this year, continuing a strong upward trend from last year, which saw an increase of nearly 180% [1] Industry Summary - Precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver, have been reaching historical highs, with silver prices increasing approximately 27% this year, following a nearly 150% rise last year [1] - Silver prices have surpassed $90 per ounce, contributing to the overall positive performance of companies in the precious metals sector [1]

1月14日周三，现货白银开盘强势拉升，盘中一度涨3.55%，首次站上90美元关口，再创历史新高。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 花旗预测，在基础情景下的0-3个月黄金目标价现为每盎司5000美元，白银目标价为每盎司100美元。若 按此计算，白银价格或仍有超10%的涨幅。 受银价提振，白银总市值首次站上5万亿美元大关，已超越英伟达成为全球第二大资产。 根据市值数据平台CompaniesMarketCap的数据，目前白银市值为5.039万亿美元；黄金以32.162万亿美元 的市值位居榜首，芯片巨头英伟达以4.523万亿美元的市值滑落至第三。 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Mint announced a reevaluation of pricing for all silver coin collectibles due to rising metal costs and may suspend sales of certain products [1] - The surge in gold and silver prices, driven by geopolitical uncertainties, has led to a significant increase in precious metal prices, with gold rising over 60% and silver nearly 150% since last year [1] - As of January 13, 2026, silver prices reached a historical high of $89.19 per ounce, while gold prices peaked at $4,633.99 per ounce [1] Group 2 - There is a price discrepancy between the U.S. Mint's official pricing and the secondary market, with dealers pricing the one-ounce American Eagle silver coin between $98 and $100, while the Mint's proof version is still priced at $95 [1] - The U.S. Mint does not sell the standard American Eagle silver coins directly to the public but distributes them through authorized dealers, who typically resell at a premium above the spot metal value [1] - The current situation is unusual as the cost for ordinary investors to purchase a basic investment silver coin from dealers exceeds the cost of a collectible silver coin from the Mint, creating a significant arbitrage opportunity [2]

2）影响因素分析: 一方面，特朗普发表关于伊朗局势的较为激进言论、令市场对美伊局势或进一步升级的担忧加剂，超险需求升温推开贵金属价格，另一方面, 同帮班，美联储主席鲍威尔遭刑事调查加剧市场对美联储独立性的担忧，同时在政治施压下市场或提前博弈降息加码预期，也对责金属价格构成利好。其次，从基本面上来 取提微微青，白银现货维持升水，现货偏紧格局不改、加上光伏出口退税政策短期或改善自银需求预期，都进一步助力报价弹性释放。综上、展望后市，短期在宏观和基本 赌《个》面支撑的双重利好下，预计贵金属价格科维持筛强运行，但在上期所、芝商所均领赛出台风控指施以利制投机亲度和贵金属市场获利了结压力仍较大等背景下、其 ■39. 以 价格波动幅度或仍会较为剧烈、建议控制仓位。后续，需继续密切关注伊朗局势进展、美联储主席鲍威尔调查和新任主席人选、特朗普夫税期决、美国2030直结果 供参考) 、美国CPI 等一系列事件。长期来看，贵金属的上涨逻辑并未逆转，策略上仍以逢低做多或卖浅虚看跌期权为主。 3）中长期现点：中长期来看，美联储仍处于宽松周期、大国博弈加剧和进全球化趋势将令全球地缘不确定性持续、美国巨额债务承美联储独立性削弱将进一步增 ...

Core Viewpoint - The potential criminal investigation of Powell has led to a significant rise in precious metals, with both gold and silver reaching historical highs, driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence and uncertainty in monetary policy [1] Group 1: Impact of Powell's Investigation - Powell's investigation is unprecedented and threatens the traditional independence of the Federal Reserve, which could undermine confidence in the dollar and indirectly boost precious metal prices [1] - The investigation creates decision-making pressure for Powell, as lowering interest rates may confirm political pressure, while maintaining high rates could escalate the investigation [1] - The upcoming end of Powell's term in May and the selection of a new chair could influence the future independence of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [1] Group 2: Market Reactions and Expectations - Expectations of monetary easing are expected to lower U.S. Treasury yields and market interest rates, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and increasing its investment demand [2] - The weakening of the dollar due to reduced confidence and the potential for inflation driven by loose monetary policy could further enhance gold's appeal as an inflation hedge [2] - Regardless of who becomes the next Federal Reserve chair, the market anticipates multiple rate cuts and balance sheet expansion to ensure liquidity, with expectations of 2-3 rate cuts by 2026 unless economic data improves significantly [2] Group 3: Long-term Considerations for Precious Metals - The erosion of the Federal Reserve's independence is linked to broader issues such as U.S. debt sustainability and increasing political divisions, suggesting a strong and lasting support for precious metal prices [3] - Key signals to monitor include the new Federal Reserve chair's stance, the progress of the 2026 midterm elections, and policy statements from Federal Reserve meetings [3] - A potential decline in the "political premium" for precious metals could occur if the investigation concludes without substantial evidence, or if the new chair signals a commitment to policy independence [3] Group 4: Technical Analysis - Rapid price increases may lead to overbought conditions, prompting either side to exit positions, which could result in significant price adjustments [4]

Core Viewpoint - Precious metal prices are on the rise, with silver surpassing $82 per ounce and gold exceeding $4560 per ounce, indicating a bullish trend in the market [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 12, silver prices increased by over 3% within the day, while gold prices rose by more than 1% [2] - The current price levels for silver and gold suggest a significant upward movement, with silver showing a more volatile nature compared to gold [2] Group 2: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs predicts that silver will continue to experience high volatility and uncertainty, lacking the demand support from global central bank reserves that gold enjoys [2] - The forecast indicates that while silver prices are expected to rise, the fluctuations will be significantly higher than those of gold [2] Group 3: Expert Insights - At the 2026 China Chief Economist Forum, Hong Hao, Partner and Chief Investment Officer at Lianhua Asset, expressed that silver prices have not yet reached their peak, suggesting that $80 is not the end point [2] - He noted that if gold maintains a fair price of $4500, the current ratios of gold to silver, gold to copper, and gold to oil are still at historical lows, indicating potential for further increases in other base metals [2] - From an inflation-adjusted perspective, both nominal and real prices of silver have reached new historical highs, reinforcing the notion that "new highs are for buying," which serves as an important reference for investors [2]

【环球网财经综合报道】2026年第一个完整交易周，贵金属继续强势行情，黄金和白银期货价格均实现上 涨，但波动性明显加剧。有多家机构预计，即便面临短期下行压力，2026年贵金属和工业金属价格仍有上涨 空间。 半岛电视台近日发文称，在黄金价格表现最强劲的2025年之后，大规模投资者并未准备放弃对黄金的押注。 彭博社的一份报告和Investing.com平台的分析师表示，推动2025年黄金价格创纪录的因素仍然存在，虽然2026 年可能会更加谨慎，但自1980年以来一直坚挺的通胀数据，对贵金属依旧有支撑。 报道还提到，黄金在2025年飙升了约65%，为近半个世纪以来的最佳表现。对于这种异常表现，大多数基金经 理预计2026年不太可能重现这一行情，但他们也不会预期黄金价格出现大幅度回调。Fideliti International的托 管专员伊恩·萨姆森表示，预计2026年黄金将继续上涨，中央银行的购买、利率下降和财务赤字的增加.，仍然 是推动黄金价格上涨的基本因素。 此外，还投资者认为，主权货币的信心丧失已成为黄金坚挺表现的基石之一，摩根士丹利投资主管迈克·威尔 逊认为，黄金已"成为对抗纸币的更有效的赌注"，他还建议 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Federal Reserve is likely to continue lowering interest rates in January, driven by tightening short-term liquidity in the U.S. and high repo rates exceeding benchmark rates, which will compel the Fed to expand its balance sheet and cut rates [1] - The speaker, Hong Hao, suggests that the long-term inflation expectations in the U.S. are unlikely to decline, and if the Fed persists in lowering rates while inflation expectations remain high, it could weaken the dollar's credibility and drive up precious metal prices [1] - Gold is currently viewed as fairly valued around 4500, and in the new credit system, it serves as an "anchor" for all valuations, with silver also expected to have further upside potential [1] Group 2 - In a recent Bloomberg interview, Hong Hao expressed optimism about asset performance in a liquidity-rich environment, indicating a preference for all asset classes [2] - He previously identified 4000 points as a potential support level for the market, and as of the beginning of the year, the market has quickly risen to 4100 points [2]

一是彭博大宗商品指数本周启动年度再平衡调整，贵金属权重被大幅下调，分析人士称，预计这次再平 衡调整会触发指数追踪型资金被动减仓，使得黄金和白银面对获利了结压力。 二是芝商所集团从周五盘后起，再次上调黄金、白银、铂金和钯金等贵金属期货履约保证金，这是最近 一个月以来，芝商所集团第三次上调贵金属期货保证金。其中，白银保证金本次上调幅度达28.6%。交 易所大幅上调保证金，通常能遏制高杠杆交易和投机交易。不过，多家机构预计，即便面临短期下行压 力，贵金属和工业金属价格今年仍有上涨空间。 来源：央视财经 转自：北京日报客户端 2026年第一个完整交易周，在2025年表现强势的贵金属，继续牛市行情，黄金和白银期货价格均累计上 涨，但波动性明显加剧。华尔街投行高盛指出，预计相较黄金交易来说，白银交易将持续面临高波动性 和不确定性。 综合多家金融机构的分析来看，本周有两个因素加剧了贵金属价格的下行压力。 ...