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林天顺:7.1非农前夜黄金如何布阵?ADP数据联动交易法
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-01 06:24
Economic Data and Events - Investors should closely monitor key economic data and events this week, including speeches from Federal Reserve officials, ISM manufacturing data, ADP employment report, and non-farm payroll data, as these will provide insights into the Fed's monetary policy path and influence gold prices [1] Gold Market Analysis - The international gold market experienced a downward trend last week due to a rapid decline in risk aversion, breaking below the critical level of 3300, resulting in a small bearish candle [1] - The weekly chart indicates that gold has fallen below the MA10 support, with the MACD indicator forming a death cross at high levels, suggesting potential further decline towards the MA20 [1] - The daily chart shows that bullish momentum has halted, with the moving averages in a tight range, and although the MACD has formed a death cross, it is near the zero line, indicating limited downside potential before a breakout [1] - Short-term trading strategy for gold suggests focusing on buying on dips around 3290, with a stop loss at 3282 and a target of 3320-3340 [1] Silver Market Analysis - The daily chart for silver shows a small candlestick with a notably low wick, resembling a potential doji pattern, indicating market indecision between buyers and sellers [3] - The support level at 35.12, corresponding to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from April to June, provides a solid technical base, while resistance above may limit short-term gains [3] - Domestic silver futures are trading above 8765, with a slight increase of 0.09%, indicating a bullish short-term outlook [4]
欧洲央行管委Nagel:鉴于高度不确定性 欧洲央行无法就特定利率路径做出承诺
news flash· 2025-06-23 16:14
Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) is unable to commit to a specific interest rate path due to high uncertainty stemming from U.S. trade policies and the situation in the Middle East [1] Group 1: Economic Uncertainty - Joachim Nagel, a member of the ECB, highlighted that the most significant uncertainty for future monetary policy is the unpredictable U.S. trade policies [1] - The impact of U.S. tariffs, implemented under Trump's administration, remains unclear, particularly whether they will lead to inflation or deflation [1] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - The situation in the Middle East is also a critical factor contributing to the uncertainty surrounding the ECB's monetary policy decisions [1]
英国央行利率决议看点前瞻
news flash· 2025-06-19 10:09
Group 1 - The market widely expects the Bank of England to maintain interest rates at 4.25% [1] - Attention is on the voting situation regarding the interest rate decision by the Bank of England [2] - Focus is on the Bank of England's statements regarding the future monetary policy path [3] Group 2 - The Bank of England's views on inflation expectations and the slowdown in the labor market are of interest [4] - The Bank of England's stance on the decisions made by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank is also being monitored [5]
翁富豪:5.10黄金暴跌后酝酿新趋势!下周黄金操作策略分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-10 07:10
Group 1 - The US dollar index showed a narrow fluctuation around 100.65, while spot gold experienced a technical rebound after a significant drop, currently trading around $3325 per ounce [1] - The dollar index rose by 0.73% to close at 100.64, driven by the announcement of a historic trade agreement between the US and the UK, which maintains a 10% baseline tariff on UK imports [1] - Spot gold fell sharply by $58.25, or 1.73%, closing at $3305.89 per ounce due to increased risk appetite and the strengthening of the dollar index and US Treasury yields [1] Group 2 - The gold market is currently in a range-bound oscillation, with key support at the $3270 level and significant resistance at the $3450 level, indicating a downward trend [2] - Recent price action shows a deep retracement from the $3500 level, with the daily K-line forming a pattern of alternating bullish and bearish movements, consistent with technical correction characteristics [2] - The 50-period moving average continues to show a clear downward trajectory, reinforcing the resistance at the $3450 level [2] Group 3 - The short-term price trend for gold displays a clear descending channel, with selling pressure dominating the market [4] - The first target for downward movement is the $3300 area, and if this support level fails, further declines to the $3320 level may occur [4] - A new trend is being anticipated, with a focus on the breakout direction within the $3300-$3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend [4]