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美国农业贸易“关税之痛”有多深?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-31 06:09
美国农业贸易"关税之痛"有多深? "今年种的大豆可能亏本,我得拼命找销路。"美国内布拉斯加州农民库尔特·奥努特卡的一声叹息,揭 开了美国农业被关税政策刺痛的一角。从大豆田到农机厂,从化肥企业到普通农户,这场由关税引发的 连锁反应,正以肉眼可见的速度啃噬着美国农业经济的根基。 "种大豆的成本几乎和售价持平,甚至更高。"艾奥瓦州农民奥斯汀·查尔森的无奈,道出了无数美国农 民的生存困境——一边是出口受阻导致的农产品价格低迷,一边是农机、化肥等生产成本攀升,利润空 间被挤压到"肉眼可见的薄"。 长期隐患:贸易信任崩塌,美国农业恐失"黄金窗口期" 出口市场"塌方":中国转向南美,美农产品销路骤缩 作为美国农业的"黄金搭档",中国市场曾是美国农产品的重要出口支柱。2024年,美国对华大豆出口额 超过128亿美元,占对华农产品贸易的核心份额。然而,随着关税政策的升级,这一关系迅速降温—— 截至2025年5月1日当周,中国对美国大豆的购买量从4月初的34万吨暴跌至6.8万吨,随后一周直接归 零。 中国市场的"急刹车"并非偶然。为降低对单一来源的依赖,中国已转向南美、欧洲等地区寻找替代供 应:巴西大豆进口量大幅增加,与阿根廷签 ...
133.59亿,群创公布2025年第一季度业绩
WitsView睿智显示· 2025-05-19 09:25
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed financial performance for Q1 2025, with a slight increase in revenue but a net loss, indicating challenges in the market despite some positive factors [1][3]. Financial Performance - The consolidated revenue for Q1 2025 was NT$ 559 billion (approximately RMB 133.59 billion) [1]. - The operating net loss was NT$ 12 billion (approximately RMB 2.87 billion), while the net profit after tax was NT$ 11 billion (approximately RMB 2.63 billion) [1]. - Depreciation and amortization for the quarter amounted to NT$ 75 billion (approximately RMB 17.92 billion), and capital expenditures were NT$ 35 billion (approximately RMB 8.36 billion) [1]. Revenue Composition - The revenue composition for Q1 2025 was as follows: TV products accounted for 34%, automotive products 24%, portable computers 17%, mobile and commercial products 21%, and desktop screens 4% [1]. - The revenue split by business area showed that the display business contributed 75% while non-display business contributed 25% [1]. Market Factors and Outlook - The company benefited from the "trade-in" consumer policy subsidies and customers' preemptive stocking, which helped mitigate trade barrier impacts, leading to an increase in consumer product revenue [3]. - Overall revenue increased by 4.2% quarter-on-quarter, with gross margin and EBITDA margin at 7.6% and 11.1%, respectively [3]. - Looking ahead to Q2 2025, the company anticipates uncertainties in the consumer electronics market due to trade barriers, but the impact on automotive and non-display sectors is expected to be less significant [3]. - The company plans to continuously adjust its product mix and promote high-margin products to enhance competitiveness and maintain stable operations [3].
24Q4及25Q1公募基金化工重仓股分析:24Q4及25Q1公募基金化工重仓股配置环比下降,原油标的及传统白马配置下滑,制冷剂、新材料提升
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the chemical industry, indicating a "Look Favorably" investment rating for the public fund's heavy positions in the chemical sector for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 [2]. Core Insights - The overall allocation of public funds in the chemical sector has seen a continuous decline, with the proportion of heavy chemical positions dropping from 2.50% in Q4 2024 to 1.99% in Q1 2025, indicating a position below historical averages [4][10]. - The top ten heavy positions in the chemical sector have experienced a significant decrease in market value share, influenced by fluctuating oil prices and trade barrier concerns, while certain high-certainty price elastic chemicals and new materials have seen an increase in their allocation [4][16]. - The total market value of chemical holdings by public funds has consistently declined, with the top 30 funds' heavy chemical stock market value falling by 20.2% to 66.312 billion yuan in Q4 2024 and by 20.4% to 52.816 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [32][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Public Fund Holdings in the Chemical Sector - The national heavy chemical allocation has decreased, with regional allocations in East China dropping from 3.03% to 2.05%, South China from 2.92% to 2.32%, and North China from 2.37% to 1.40% [10]. - The number of funds holding major chemical stocks has decreased, with notable declines in traditional blue-chip stocks due to trade barrier concerns, while some high-dividend stocks have seen an increase in fund holdings [22][27]. 2. Market Value and Concentration of Chemical Holdings - The market value of the top 30 funds' heavy chemical stocks has decreased significantly, with a drop in concentration from 90.36% to 87.39% of total heavy chemical stock market value [32][34]. - The top holdings include WanHua Chemical, SaiLun Tire, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, with WanHua Chemical's market value share decreasing from 14.03% to 12.72% [32][34].
美国商会希望越南-美国贸易谈判消除非税收障碍
news flash· 2025-05-08 14:38
美国商会希望越南-美国贸易谈判消除非税收障碍 金十数据5月8日讯,美国商会在周三发给美国贸易代表的一份文件中表示,特朗普政府和越南之间的贸 易谈判应该集中在阻碍美国对这个东南亚国家出口的繁文缛节上。这份名为《越南的贸易、投资和市场 准入壁垒》的文件列出了该组织认为不符合国际规范的一系列国内政策,以及政府官员阻碍美国进口的 行为。例子包括"繁琐"的产品安全要求、冗长的医疗器械注册、越南国内公司没有的零售店许可义务以 及海关规则的误用。美国商会胡志明市分会主席Mark Gillin表示:"这些壁垒给企业带来了成本。"Gillin 经营着一家进口美国建筑和健身产品的企业。"如果这些问题得到解决,越南将成为一个更友好的经商 之地。我们相信美国对该国的出口可能会增加,"Gillin称。 ...
经历3年4任首相,英国终于与印度达成贸易协议
第一财经· 2025-05-08 13:43
本文字数:1545,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 钱小岩 封图 | 新华社 经历了3年艰难的谈判,英国和印度终于达成了贸易协议。 据新华社报道,根据英国政府网站5月6日公布的消息显示,英国与印度达成双边贸易协议。英国政 府预计,到2040年,协议将使双边贸易额每年增加255亿英镑(约合2463亿元人民币)。 时下,英国和印度都迫切需要这样一份贸易协议。英国曾是印度的宗主国,时至今日两国交往也十分 密切。英国方面认为,这是英国脱欧后达成的最为重要的贸易协议;而对于印度来说,为出口贸易和 经济发展提供了及时的支撑。 2025.05. 08 英国商业及贸易部表示,协议生效可能需时一年,一旦实施,英国消费者也会在服装、鞋类和冷冻虾 等食品上享受到更低价格和更多选择。 谈判难点 在谈判中,印度对英国的威士忌和杜松子酒的关税是一难点。受到英国文化影响,印度如今是世界上 最大的威士忌消费国,每年从英国进口大量的威士忌,在协议前威士忌和杜松子酒的关税为150%。 在协议达成后,150%的关税减半至75%执行,未来数年还会进一步下降。苏格兰威士忌协会首席执 行官肯特(Mark Kent)表示,协议具有"变革性",是一 ...
经历3年4任首相,英国终于与印度达成贸易协议
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 10:41
Core Points - The UK and India have reached a significant bilateral trade agreement after three years of negotiations, which is considered the most important trade deal for the UK post-Brexit [1][2][4] - The agreement is expected to increase the annual bilateral trade volume by £25.5 billion (approximately 246.3 billion RMB) by 2040 [2] - Both countries are eager for this agreement to support their economies, with the UK aiming to reduce trade barriers and India seeking to boost its export trade [2][4] Negotiation Background - Trade negotiations began in January 2022 under former Prime Minister Boris Johnson and continued through various administrations, with a renewed focus under the Labour government [4] - The UK government has emphasized that reaching this trade agreement is a top priority, especially after the elections [4] - The agreement is seen as a major economic milestone for both nations, with UK Prime Minister Starmer and Indian Prime Minister Modi highlighting its ambitious and mutually beneficial nature [4][6] Key Provisions - Under the agreement, 90% of tariffs on Indian exports to the UK will be reduced, with 85% of goods achieving zero tariffs within ten years [4] - Tariffs on various UK exports to India, including high-end cars and whisky, will also see significant reductions, with whisky tariffs dropping from 150% to 75% [6] - The agreement is expected to provide UK consumers with lower prices and more choices in various goods, including clothing and seafood [5] Economic Context - India is currently the world's fifth-largest economy and is projected to become the third-largest in the coming years, making it an attractive partner for the UK [7] - The agreement is seen as a strategic move for both countries to diversify their trade relationships amid global economic uncertainties [7] - The negotiations faced challenges, including India's request for easier immigration access for its citizens to the UK, which was not included in the final agreement [6]
挪威央行:委员会特别注意到贸易壁垒可能会把利率前景拉向不同的方向。
news flash· 2025-05-08 08:07
挪威央行:委员会特别注意到贸易壁垒可能会把利率前景拉向不同的方向。 ...
挪威央行:自三月以来,挪威经济的发展基本符合预期。然而,贸易壁垒变得更加广泛,对未来的贸易政策也存在不确定性。
news flash· 2025-05-08 08:07
挪威央行:自三月以来,挪威经济的发展基本符合预期。然而,贸易壁垒变得更加广泛,对未来的贸易 政策也存在不确定性。 ...
美国副总统万斯:如果欧洲国家能够取消贸易壁垒,我们与欧洲的贸易关系将会更加良好。
news flash· 2025-05-07 13:52
美国副总统万斯:如果欧洲国家能够取消贸易壁垒,我们与欧洲的贸易关系将会更加良好。 ...
四大光伏组件龙头谁在美洲市场表现最好?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 00:08
智通财经记者|马悦然 国内市场"卷",龙头企业争先出海,其中美洲市场的毛利率表现抢眼。除隆基绿能外,其余三家企业在 美洲市场的毛利率均位于各区域之首。 美洲分为北美洲和南美洲,主要国家包括美国、加拿大、巴西、阿根廷等。上述四家公司中,天合光能 明确分出了"美国",其他三家使用的是"美洲"。 根据四家企业2024年年报数据,天合光能的美国市场毛利率最高,达到34.16%,同比增加了0.92个百分 点。 不过,美国占天合光能的营收比重在四家企业中不算高,为12.07%。 | | | | 四大光伏组件龙头2024年美洲营收、毛利率情况 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司 | 美洲营收 单位:亿元 | 美洲营收 增长率 | 美洲占总 营收占比 | 美洲毛利率 | 毛利率同 比增减 | 是否为毛利最 高的区域 | | 天合光能 | 96.88 | -10.58% | 12.07% | 34.16% | 增加0.92 个百分点 | 色是 | | 晶澳科技 | 163.86 | 20.74% | 23.37% | 31.43% | 下滑4.63 ...