大家早上好呀~ 小晚带来 每日新闻速递啦！ ，读深圳晚报 今日天气 | 今天 | 明天 | 周三 | 周四 | 周五 | 周六 | 周日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2月2日 | 2月3日 | 2月4日 | 2月5日 | 2月6日 | 2月7日 | 2月8日 | | 晴天间多云 | 晴天间少云 | 多云,早晚 | 多云,早晚 | 多云间阴 | 多云间阴 | 晴天间多云 | | | | 有轻雾 | 有轻雾 | 天,有零星 | 天, 有零星 | | | | | | | 小雨 | 小雨 | | | | | | | | ← | | | 东北风 | 东风 | 东风 | 东风 | 东转东北风 | 东北风 | 东北风 | | 3 级 | 2-3 级 | 2-3 级 | 2-3 级 | 2-3 级 | 3 级 | 3 级 | | 35-65 % | 50-80 % | 55-85 % | 65-95 % | 65-95 % | 55-85 % | 50-75 % | | | 23 °C | 24 °C | 25 °C | 26 °C | | | | 22 ° ...

1 电网投资迈入新阶段 在能源转型与数字革命交汇的时代，铜、铝的长期需求格局正被重新定义：中国"十五五"规划以特高压与配网智能化为核心的电网结构性投资、全球光伏产 业从高速增长迈向高质量发展平台期的深刻转型，以及由AI引爆的全球数据中心建设与升级浪潮。这三者逻辑各异、节奏不同，却共同构成了研判铜、铝 未来需求的宏观框架。厘清这三大驱动力的内在机制与互动关系，至关重要。 我国电网建设已从规模扩张阶段全面转入以构建新型电力系统为核心的高质量发展阶段。自2025年以来，电网投资总量攀升至历史新高的同时，其结构正经 历从"重电源"到"重消纳与输送"的深刻转型，这为铜、铝消费提供了结构化且持续的核心驱动力。 从投资结构看，重心明确聚焦于三大方向：首先是特高压骨干网架建设，这是保障"沙戈荒"等大型清洁能源基地电力外送的关键。2025年已有陇东—山东、 宁夏—湖南等多个特高压工程投产，蒙西—京津冀等新工程开工。预计"十五五"期间特高压总投资规模有望达到8000亿元以上，年平均投资额1600亿元以 上。其次是配电网智能化升级。为适应海量分布式新能源和充电桩接入，配电网向有源双向交互系统转型。预计"十五五"期间配电网投资CAG ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant rise of Chinese semiconductor manufacturing equipment suppliers in the global market, driven by U.S. export control measures, with three Chinese companies expected to enter the top 20 global semiconductor equipment suppliers by 2025 [1] - According to data from Global Net, in 2022, only one Chinese company was listed among the top semiconductor equipment suppliers, while by 2025, North Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, and Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Company will rank 5th, 13th, and 20th respectively [1] - The report indicates that if the ranking is extended to the top 30, two more Chinese companies, Shengmei Semiconductor and Huahai Qingke, would be included [1] Group 2 - The production of advanced semiconductor equipment involves over a thousand processes, and Chinese companies are now capable of covering all process stages, including deposition, etching, and cleaning [2] - The domestic production rate of semiconductor equipment in China has increased to 20%-30%, up from approximately 10% three years ago, indicating rapid growth [2] - The semiconductor equipment sales in China are projected to grow by 35% year-on-year in 2024, reaching $49.5 billion, making it the largest market globally [2] - The Chinese semiconductor industry is currently experiencing a golden development period driven by policies, market dynamics, technology, and capital, with emerging sectors like AI computing, new energy vehicles, data centers, and industrial internet further enhancing the industry [2]

[Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 事件：公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告 2026 年 1 月 30 日公司发布 2025 年业绩预告。公司预计 2025 年实现归母净 利润 1.65-2.07 亿元，同比+134%~+194%，中值 1.86 亿元，同比+164%；预计 实现扣非归母净利润 1.60-2.02 亿元，同比+152%~+218%，中值 1.81 亿元，同 比+185%。公司全年业绩实现较快增长，主要受益于 AI 算力建设需求爆发， 服务器代工厂 CAPEX 有较大幅度增长，对公司锡膏印刷设备需求快速提升。 2025 年度公司毛利率相对较高的部分产品销售额增加，产品结构有所优化。 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·专用设备 凯格精机（301338） 2025 年业绩预告点评：25 年利润同比高 增，看好产品结构改善带来盈利能力提升 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·专用设备 凯格精机（301338） 2025 年业绩预告点评：25 年利润同比高 增，看好产品结构改善带来盈利能力提升 买入（维持） ◼ 事件：公司发布 2025 年度业绩预告 2026 年 1 月 30 日公司发布 2025 年业绩预告。公司预计 2025 年实现归母净 利润 1.65-2.07 亿元，同比+134%~+194%，中值 1.86 亿元，同比+164%；预计 实现扣非归母净利润 1.60-2.02 亿元，同比+152%~+218%，中值 1.81 亿元，同 比+185%。公司全年业绩实现较快增长，主要受益于 AI 算力建设需求爆发， 服务器代工厂 CAPEX 有较大幅度增长，对公司锡膏印刷设备需求快速提升。 2025 年度公司毛利率相对较高的部分产品销售额增加，产品结构有所优化。 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 740.02 | 856.60 | 1,190.15 | ...

Core Insights - The transformer industry is experiencing a significant surge in demand, with a notable increase in exports by nearly 36% last year, reaching 64.6 billion yuan, and a factory in Jiangsu having orders booked until the end of 2027 [1][4] Group 1: Industry Drivers - The internal driver for this demand surge is the rapid development of AI computing infrastructure in China, particularly the "East Data West Computing" initiative, which requires advanced transformers to support the high power demands of AI data centers and supercomputing centers [3][4] - Externally, there is a global need for energy transition and grid upgrades, with developed countries facing urgent demands to modernize aging power grids and integrate renewable energy sources, which also require robust transformers [4] Group 2: Competitive Advantage - China's transformer industry has developed a comprehensive global advantage in technology, cost, and delivery capabilities, as evidenced by the export of a fully insulated ultra-high voltage transformer to North America, marking a shift from low-end to high-end product exports [4] - The industry's evolution reflects a broader trend in Chinese manufacturing, transitioning from a cost-based competitive edge to a systemic advantage based on technology, supply chain efficiency, and timely delivery [4] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investors are encouraged to identify infrastructure opportunities that support emerging technologies, such as transformers, which are essential for AI and computing advancements [5] - There is a strong emphasis on the potential of manufacturing sectors that can leverage China's industrial advantages while meeting overseas demand, as demonstrated by the 36% growth in transformer exports [5] - The visibility of orders extending to 2027 serves as a strong indicator of sustained demand and profitability for companies in this sector, providing a more reliable metric than short-term stock price fluctuations [5] Group 4: Future Considerations - The industry raises questions about which high-end manufacturing sectors may exhibit similar systemic advantages and export potential in the future, such as industrial robots or CNC machine tools, warranting ongoing observation [6]

中国电力企业联合会电力装备分会秘书长 蔡义清：我国已经成为世界第一大变压器生产国， 建成了全球最完备的变压器生产体系，具有全产业链自主可控的硬实力，产能约占全球60%。 来源丨央视财经 编辑丨刘雪莹 卤味三巨头半年闭店超5300家 工行紧急提示风险，有品牌金饰克价大跌160元 深圳首个安居房项目开盘当天售罄 SFC 21君荐读 当前，全球AI算力建设进入爆发期，高功率、高稳定的供电成为算力集群的"生命线"，电力设 备变压器正升级为算力基础设施的核心。记者在我国广东、江苏等地调研发现， 大量变压器 工厂已经处于满产的状态，其中部分面向数据中心的业务订单都排到了2027年。 全球AI算力中心的爆发式增长，让变压器成为稀缺资源，美国市场交付周期已经从50周延长至 127周。 广东佛山某电气设备有限公司营销负责人李霞表示，相对欧美的交付周期，我们大约 不到它们的五分之一。目前订单比较充沛，我们希望将海外的营收占比达到50%及以上。 满产的情况也出现在长三角，在江苏的一家变压器工厂，产品订单已经排到2027年底。 变压器订单激增的背后，是算力用电的大幅增长。作为"电力心脏"的变压器肩负重任。在广 东，2025年全省数据 ...

Group 1 - The global AI computing power construction is entering an explosive growth phase, with transformers becoming a core component of computing infrastructure due to their role in providing high-power and stable electricity [2] - In Guangdong and Jiangsu, transformer factories are operating at full capacity, with some orders for data center transformers scheduled for delivery as late as 2027 [2][7] - A transformer manufacturing company in Foshan reported an increase in orders by 70-80% year-on-year, with delivery times for the U.S. market extending from 50 weeks to 127 weeks due to the surge in demand [5] Group 2 - China's transformer industry consists of approximately 3,000 companies, with an expected export value of 64.6 billion yuan by 2025, representing a nearly 36% increase from 2024 [9] - China has become the world's largest transformer producer, accounting for about 60% of global production capacity, and has established a complete transformer production system with independent control over the entire industry chain [11]

Strategy Overview - The core strategy indicates that Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman suggests a hawkish policy stance, advocating for balance sheet reduction and cautious interest rate cuts, which may reverse market expectations for continued liquidity easing and strengthen the dollar, leading to a global tightening of dollar liquidity expectations and asset price reassessment [4][2] - In the short term, after a strong spring rally, the market may enter a rhythm adjustment period due to proactive policy guidance and increased overseas disturbances, presenting rotation opportunities for previously stagnant sectors [4][2] Real Estate Sector: Poly Real Estate Group - The company experienced a 48.1% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by increased project completions, with a settlement area of 814,000 square meters, up 20.8% year-on-year, and a settlement amount of 17.37 billion yuan, up 52.5% year-on-year [8] - Despite revenue growth, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 44.3%, primarily due to a negative investment income of 950 million yuan and an increase in minority shareholder losses [8] - The company’s gross margin improved to 17.5%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased to 1.3%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [8][9] - The company’s debt structure improved, with interest-bearing debt down 8.6% year-on-year to 68.2 billion yuan, and the average financing cost decreased by 48 basis points to 2.90% [9] - The company’s sales ranking improved to 15th in the industry, with a sales amount of 29.5 billion yuan in the first seven months of 2025, despite a 13.5% year-on-year decline [10] Transportation Sector: CITIC Offshore Helicopter - CITIC Offshore Helicopter is a leading player in China's general aviation sector, operating the largest civil helicopter fleet in Asia with 84 advanced model helicopters [13] - The company has a strong revenue stream from offshore oil services, with nearly 70% of its revenue derived from this segment, and maintains a market share of over 60% in the offshore helicopter service market [14] - The general aviation market in China is expected to grow steadily, supported by policy guidance, with the number of general airports reaching 475 and the number of general aviation enterprises reaching 760 by 2024 [14] Transportation Sector: Air China - Air China is the only flag carrier in China, with passenger transport services accounting for nearly 91% of total revenue in 2024 [16] - The company reported a revenue of 166.7 billion yuan in 2024, up 18.14% year-on-year, with a sales gross margin of 5.11% [16] - The domestic passenger transport volume reached 730 million in 2024, a 17.86% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high [17] Chemical Sector: Zhejiang Longsheng - The company reported a 6.47% year-on-year decline in revenue to 6.505 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a gross margin of 29.80%, up 1.87 percentage points year-on-year [19][20] - The dye business saw a slight revenue decline of 3.17% to 3.632 billion yuan, but the gross margin improved by 4.40 percentage points to 34.17% [19] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements to maintain stable development amid industry challenges [19] Chemical Sector: Yake Technology - The company achieved a revenue growth of 15.37% in the electronic materials segment, with a total revenue of 2.573 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [24] - The company is actively developing new technologies and products in the LNG and electronic materials sectors, with a focus on semiconductor chemical materials [23] New Energy Sector: Foster - Foster is a leading player in the photovoltaic encapsulation materials market, maintaining a market share of around 50% [27] - The company is exploring new solutions for space environment applications, leveraging its existing technology in photovoltaic materials [28] Medical Sector: Mindray Medical - The company faced revenue pressure in the first half of 2025, with a 23.77% year-on-year decline in Q2 revenue to 8.506 billion yuan [29] - International business revenue increased by 5.39%, accounting for about 50% of total revenue, indicating a growing presence in the global market [30] - The company is focusing on building a digital healthcare ecosystem through the integration of devices, IT, and AI technologies [31] Food and Beverage Sector: Kweichow Moutai - The company is navigating a challenging environment in the liquor industry, focusing on quality and long-term value rather than short-term performance metrics [33] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 39.06 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 91.3% [34] Social Services Sector: Lingnan Holdings - The company achieved a revenue of 2.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 8.52% year-on-year, with a net profit of 50 million yuan, up 24.39% [36] - The company is expanding its travel agency and hotel management services, with a focus on enhancing its operational capabilities [38] Electronics Sector: Zhaoyi Innovation - The company expects a revenue of approximately 9.203 billion yuan in 2025, a 25% year-on-year increase, driven by demand from AI computing and the storage industry [39]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 金融市场瞬息万变，投资与经济政策深刻影响全球。我们为您带来昨夜今晨的财经新闻，涵盖股市动 态、经济数据、企业财务和政策更新，帮助您全面把握金融世界。 从狂热到踩踏，贵金属市场的"两脚刹车" 2026年1月底，国际金银价格在创历史新高后突发暴跌，创40年来最大单日跌幅。分析指出，这并非偶 然，而是市场过热后的技术性回撤。第一脚刹车源于极端上涨后的获利了结与杠杆资金平仓引发的踩 踏。第二脚刹车则因美联储鹰派主席提名及核心PPI数据超预期，动摇了市场对提前降息的押注，推高 实际利率与美元，削弱了黄金的吸引力。中长期看，地缘紧张与全球去美元化趋势仍构成结构性支撑， 但短期市场情绪脆弱，高波动风险需警惕。 组件价格跟着金属期货价格走 义乌中小光伏企业：不敢报价接单 新能源出口退税政策调整与银、铜、铝等金属价格大幅上涨形成双重冲击，导致义乌中小光伏企业陷入 经营困境。组件价格随金属期货剧烈波动，企业无法稳定报价，客户观望情绪浓厚，交易频现毁约。成 本结构中，飙升的白银价格使银浆取代硅料成为最大成本项。面对压力，企业纷纷清空库存避险，并尝 试拓展储能、逆变器业务或使用新材料 ...