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2026年新年献词:不确定的年代,做确定的你
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-30 15:57
2025年应该用什么标注? 这是在历史留下浓墨重彩的一年。无论是宏大叙事,还是情绪幽微,或如雷霆,或如雨露,氤氲着变 化,积蓄着能量。从"十五五"规划建议、九三阅兵、关税博弈、顺差万亿,到DeepSeek横空出世、 LABUBU火遍全球、人形机器人"爆单"、芯片国产替代浪潮,再到黄金狂飙、外卖大战、哪吒"封神"、 短剧崛起……它们形成历史的合力,裹着无数的人们,奔流激荡,冲向历史的峡口。 无论月薪多少,国家大事与每个个体同气连枝,结成命运共同体。于国是数字经济,于人是数字生活, 赛博朋克,殊途同归。 新世纪过去四分之一,恰好在2025年,AI照耀蓝星。穹顶之下,我们要思考如何与AI相处。科技至 此,退无可退,卢比孔河边的骰子已经掷下。 这是从来没有过的"惊险一跳",兴奋迷惘、跃跃欲试与焦虑恐惧,每一种情绪都是真实的,也是缠绕 的。国家衔枚疾走,只争朝夕,两个大国在AI、算法和算力上趸积起天文数字的基础设施投资,点亮 不同的科技树。个体在享受AI便利的同时,会担心自己被AI替代,担心未来被AI支配。"百万漕工衣食 所系",从来都不是轻描淡写的适者生存。 世界处于巨变前夜,断层线肉眼可见,君子不立危墙之下。承载着 ...
锐石创芯科创板IPO获受理 拟募资8.09亿加码高端射频前端国产化
Ju Chao Zi Xun· 2025-12-30 15:41
Core Viewpoint - Ruishi Chuangxin (Chongqing) Technology Co., Ltd. has officially submitted its application for listing on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, aiming to raise 809 million yuan for expanding its MEMS device production base, R&D center, and working capital, thereby enhancing its competitiveness in the high-end RF front-end sector [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Ruishi Chuangxin specializes in RF front-end chips and modules, being one of the few domestic manufacturers with independent production capabilities for RF filters [1] - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix covering high-integration modules and discrete components, supporting communication standards from 2G to 5G, and expanding into emerging fields like drones and satellite communications [2] Group 2: Technological Capabilities - The company has mastered core technologies across the entire industry chain, including RF front-end core component design, filter wafer manufacturing, and advanced packaging and testing of high-performance modules [2] - Ruishi Chuangxin has developed the Phase 8L L-PAMiD product, achieving full domestic production from chip to module, with key performance indicators reaching international first-tier standards [2] Group 3: Research and Development - The company has a research team of 222 members, with nearly half holding master's or doctoral degrees, and has been recognized as a national-level "little giant" enterprise [3] - Ruishi Chuangxin holds 330 authorized patents, including 144 invention patents, and is involved in several major provincial and municipal scientific research projects [3] Group 4: Strategic Focus - The company aims to accelerate the maturity of the domestic supply chain through mid-to-low integration products while concentrating resources on high-value L-PAMiD modules and emerging markets [3] - The second phase of the MEMS device production base project is crucial for expanding the production capacity of high-end filters, which is essential for meeting the increasing demand from high-end modules [3] Group 5: Future Outlook - Ruishi Chuangxin plans to continue its "technology innovation + domestic substitution" strategy, deepening technological collaboration across the industry chain to become a global leader in the RF front-end field [3]
韬盛科技科创板IPO获受理 拟募资10.58亿加码半导体测试接口国产化
Ju Chao Zi Xun· 2025-12-30 15:33
展望未来,韬盛科技表示将聚焦国家战略需求,坚持高端化、规模化发展。公司将以客户需求与技术趋 势为导向,持续加大研发投入,致力于攻克高端测试接口核心关键技术,打破海外垄断,加快国产替代 进程,进一步扩大市场份额,巩固行业领先地位,致力于成为全球半导体测试接口领域的领先品牌。 在技术层面,韬盛科技已累计开发超过4,000种芯片测试接口技术方案,并具备高速高频测试探针的自 主研发与制造能力,能够满足从研发到量产阶段高低温、大电流、高功耗等严苛测试需求。公司已成功 突破微纳精密制造等关键技术瓶颈,形成了一系列自主工艺。 市场方面,公司已构建了覆盖半导体全产业链的广泛客户生态。报告期内,公司服务客户超700家,其 中包括在AI芯片领域深度服务的沐曦、摩尔线程等头部企业,在自动驾驶领域成为地平线第一大测试 接口供应商,并覆盖理想、蔚来等知名车企。在存储领域,公司为长江存储开发了首个支持512颗芯片 并行测试的国产DSA测试接口,助力存储产业链关键环节自主化。 依托在测试接口领域的技术积累,公司正向技术壁垒更高的晶圆测试探针卡领域纵深拓展。目前,其 MEMS探针卡已在AI芯片客户实现商业化落地,并在存储领域取得突破:2D ...
国产SoC测试设备商辰卓科技启动IPO辅导
Ju Chao Zi Xun· 2025-12-30 14:55
国内半导体测试设备领域迎来一家新的上市后备军。12月30日,证监会官网披露,深圳市辰卓科技有限公司(以下简称"辰卓科 技")已在深圳证监局办理上市辅导备案登记,正式启动A股IPO进程,辅导机构为中信建投证券。 辰卓科技成立于2013年5月,是一家专注于以SoC(系统级芯片)测试机为核心的半导体测试设备供应商。公司主营业务包括 CIS(图像传感器)测试机、通用数字测试机、DDIC(显示驱动芯片)测试机等设备的研发、生产、销售与技术服务。2024 年,公司凭借其技术实力和市场表现,成功获评国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业。 成立至今,辰卓科技已累计服务超过200家国内外芯片客户,其中包括多家行业龙头企业。2024年,其SoC测试机在客户端实现 稳定量产运行超过400台,在半导体测试领域积累的知识产权已超过100项,展现出扎实的技术功底与市场竞争力。 目前,公司已实现CIS测试机与通用数字测试机的规模量产与商用,并推出了应用于显示驱动芯片测试的高性能DDIC测试机。 面向未来,辰卓科技计划进一步推出适用于AI、CPU、GPU、FPGA及通信等复杂SoC芯片测试的高端测试设备,持续拓展产品 线。 公开信息显示,辰卓科技已 ...
行业景气度超预期,AI与国产化双主线凸显
Datong Securities· 2025-12-30 14:05
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing structural prosperity, with strong demand for mature processes and specialty technologies. Domestic wafer manufacturing leaders, represented by SMIC, are operating at full capacity and have implemented price increases, indicating robust performance in a tight supply-demand environment [3][34] - The demand for AI computing continues to drive upgrades in high-end storage, with HBM prices rising and major players competing for next-generation technologies, highlighting a high prosperity trend in advanced storage and packaging testing [4][36] - The overall focus should be on domestic wafer manufacturing leaders and their upstream and downstream supply chains, as well as the AI-driven high-end hardware industry chain, which are currently key areas of interest [4][36] Industry Data Tracking Semiconductor Industry - In October 2025, global semiconductor sales reached $72.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, while China's semiconductor sales were $19.5 billion, up 18.5% year-on-year, indicating sustained strong demand in the semiconductor sector [24][29] - The domestic semiconductor equipment demand remains strong as the push for domestic substitution continues [24] Storage Chip Industry - Recent trends show a strong upward movement in DRAM prices, reflecting robust demand for high-performance memory from AI servers and next-generation PCs. NAND Flash prices are stable, with a gradual increase, while the overall storage chip industry is entering a new prosperity cycle [29][33] Consumer Electronics - The smartphone market is increasingly reliant on technological innovation and stimulus policies, with a significant increase in smartphone shipments in October 2025, driven by promotional events and new product launches [18][19]
2026:26个关键词里的未来(二)
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 13:14
Group 1: Domestic Chip Replacement - The rise of domestic AI chip manufacturers is marked by significant stock price increases, with companies like Cambrian Technology surpassing major brands like Kweichow Moutai [1] - The market anticipates more AI chip companies to go public, with notable performances from companies like Moer Thread and Muxi, indicating strong investor interest in domestic chip alternatives [1] - The domestic market share for smart computing chips is projected to grow from approximately 20% in 2024 to about 60% by 2029, reflecting a shift towards local production [2] Group 2: AI Edge Computing - The emergence of AI in hardware is expected to redefine traditional devices, with predictions that mobile phones and apps may become obsolete in favor of AI-driven edge devices [3] - The global edge AI market is forecasted to grow from 321.9 billion yuan to 1.22 trillion yuan between 2025 and 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 40% [4] - The focus of competition is shifting from hardware specifications to AI experience and ecosystem collaboration, indicating a transformation in the value chain [5] Group 3: Quantum Computing Advances - Quantum technology is recognized as a strategic frontier for technological revolution, with significant breakthroughs expected in the coming years [6] - China's advancements in quantum communication and computing are positioning it alongside global leaders, with the "Zu Chongzhi No. 3" quantum computer expected to maintain a competitive edge [7] - The practical application of quantum computing in fields like finance and protein simulation is anticipated to grow, marking a critical step towards commercialization [6] Group 4: Commercial Space Acceleration - The commercial space sector is entering a new phase of rapid evolution, supported by government policies and increased capital investment [8] - The global commercial space market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 10.5% over the next five years [8] - The demand for satellite launches is expected to surge, with significant increases in the number of satellites being deployed [9] Group 5: Solid-State Battery Development - Solid-state batteries are gaining attention as a transformative technology for electric vehicles, with major manufacturers announcing plans for testing and production [10] - The timeline for mass production is set for 2027, with initial production expected to be in small batches [11] - The industry faces challenges in cost and manufacturing processes, with a consensus that semi-solid batteries will precede full solid-state solutions [10] Group 6: L3 Autonomous Driving - The introduction of L3 autonomous driving is accelerating due to supportive policies and decreasing costs in the supply chain [12] - The commercial application of L3 technology is expected to expand significantly in 2026, with several manufacturers already in the approval process [13] - The transition from assisted to fully automated driving represents a critical milestone for the industry, with ongoing improvements in technology and data accumulation [13] Group 7: Real Estate Debt Restructuring - Major real estate companies like Country Garden and Sunac have successfully completed debt restructuring, indicating a shift in the industry’s approach to financial challenges [14] - The total scale of debt restructuring in 2025 reached approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, significantly alleviating short-term repayment pressures for affected companies [14] - The focus for 2026 will be on balancing risk management and transformation within the real estate sector, with expectations for continued progress in debt resolution [15] Group 8: "15th Five-Year Plan" Initiatives - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-quality development and technological self-reliance as key objectives for the next five years [16] - The plan outlines initiatives to enhance the modern industrial system and promote strategic emerging industries, including quantum technology and renewable energy [17] - Increasing the resident consumption rate is highlighted as a crucial goal, with measures aimed at boosting consumer spending and improving living standards [18]
新宙邦(300037)公司动态研究报告:受益于六氟价格弹性 氟化液竞争力凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 12:56
伴随储能等下游需求爆发,推动锂电产业链进入景气阶段,自25 年10 月起,六氟磷酸锂价格飙升,截 至12 月29 日六氟磷酸锂价格已达到约18 万元/吨,与10 月1 日相比价格涨幅高达195%。公司六氟磷酸 锂产能2.4 万吨/年,预计25 年底技改完成后产能可达3.6 万吨/年,且存在10%-20%的产能弹性空间,受 益于价格上行。 六氟涨价逐步向下游电解液传导,截至12 月29 日电解液价格为约2.6 万元/吨,同期涨幅亦达到约 64%。随着六氟磷酸锂价格抬升,公司将持续受益。 氟化液赛道长坡厚雪,竞争力凸显 六氟及电解液价格上行,盈利进入上行通道 伴随3M 退出,公司迎来国产替代良机,叠加数据中心液冷及半导体等下游行业的增量需求,国内氟化 液市场增长正步入国产替代+需求扩张的双重驱动阶段。公司已建成氢氟醚3000 吨/年、全氟聚醚2500 吨/年产能,此外年产3 万吨高端氟精细化学品项目正稳步推进。 公司有望深度受益于氟化液国产替代及行业扩容机会,随着中长期产能逐步释放,打开天花板。 深化布局新型材料,拓展成长空间 公司前瞻性布局固态电池电解质,公司参股的新源邦已实现氧化物电解质量产,硫化物及聚合物电 ...
北摩高科拟定增募资不超19.7亿元 加码起降系统全产业链及民航市场
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-30 12:41
预案指出,此次定增是公司应对航空航天产业升级、抢占市场先机的关键举措。其中,拟投入募集资金 8.88亿元用于"起降系统产能扩建项目"。该项目旨在通过向产业链上游延伸,构建起落架主体结构的高 端锻造与精密加工能力,实现从"原材料处理-精密加工-系统总装"的垂直整合。分析认为,此举将有助 于公司减少中间环节成本,通过全产业链布局实现降本增效,进一步巩固公司在军机起降系统领域的市 场份额与盈利能力。 (文章来源:证券日报) 本报讯 (记者李乔宇)12月29日晚间,北京北摩高科摩擦材料股份有限公司(以下简称"北摩高科") 披露2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票预案。公告显示,公司拟向特定对象发行股票募集资金总额不超 过19.70亿元,扣除发行费用后的净额将重点投向起降系统产能扩建项目、民航产品产业化项目及补充 流动资金。 在民用与新兴领域,北摩高科亦加速布局。随着国产大飞机C919进入商业运营与产能爬坡期,公司拟 投入3.04亿元用于"民航产品产业化项目",意在加速民航刹车制动及起落架产品的适航取证与量产交 付,抢占国产替代机遇。此外,依托公司在碳碳复合材料及耐高温部件领域的技术积淀,本次产能升级 也将为公司未来切入 ...
国信证券助力钢研功能成功发行全国首批科创可转债
券商中国· 2025-12-30 12:20
近日,西安钢研功能材料股份有限公司(以下简称"钢研功能")成功发行2025年面向专业投资者非公开发 行科技创新可转换公司债券,首期发行规模8000万元,期限为6年期,票面利率2.2%。该项目为上交所发布 《关于进一步支持发行科技创新债券服务新质生产力的通知》后全国首批落地的科技创新可转债项目。 本期债券由国信证券担任独立主承销商,首期发行即吸引了专业投资机构参与认购,市场反响积极,充分体现 了投资者对科技创新企业及科创可转债这一创新品种的高度认可,也展现了资本市场服务实体经济、支持科技 创新发展的强烈意愿。据悉,本次钢研功能科创可转债共获批规模3亿元,钢研功能将择机启动后续发行。 国内精密合金龙头亮相资本市场,致力推动国产替代提速 作为国内精密合金材料领域龙头企业,钢研功能定位于先进金属材料的国产化需求,致力于解决先进金属材料 上下游供需矛盾。经过三十余年的行业深耕,钢研功能形成了以因瓦合金4J36(Invar36)、可伐合金4J29 (Kovar)、热双合金主动层4J72、软磁合金1J22四类牌号为核心的产品格局,产品广泛应用于航空航天航 海、高端装备、低空飞行器、人工智能、半导体、氢能源、核电等国家战略重 ...
中航光电(002179):我国连接器领先企业,受益高速互联及液冷趋势
GF SECURITIES· 2025-12-30 12:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of connectors in China, benefiting from trends in high-speed interconnectivity and liquid cooling [2][9]. - The demand for connectors is expected to grow significantly due to the booming data center construction and the increasing penetration of domestic products [9]. - The company has a strong position in the defense sector and is expanding its presence in the high-end manufacturing fields, including new energy vehicles and 5G communications [9]. Financial Forecast - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 20,074 million in 2023 to RMB 35,076 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.2% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from RMB 3,339 million in 2023 to RMB 4,344 million in 2027, with a peak growth rate of 28.8% in 2027 [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from RMB 1.58 in 2023 to RMB 2.05 in 2027 [3]. Company Overview - The company specializes in high-end connectors for aviation, defense, and advanced manufacturing, with over 300 series and 250,000 varieties of products [9][17]. - It has a robust product portfolio that includes electrical connectors, optical devices, cable assemblies, and integrated products, widely used in various high-end manufacturing sectors [9][17]. - The company has been in operation for over 50 years and aims to become a "global first-class interconnection solution provider" [17]. Industry Insights - The connector market is experiencing steady growth, driven by increasing demand in both military and civilian applications, particularly in new energy vehicles and 5G communications [9][62]. - The trend towards high-speed, high-capacity, and low-latency connections is pushing the demand for advanced connectors, with a significant shift from air cooling to liquid cooling solutions anticipated [9][62]. - The Asian connector market, represented by China, is emerging as a key player, with substantial opportunities for domestic replacements in various sectors [9].