Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 836 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.60% and a net profit of 121 million yuan, up 95.06% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on strategic clients and enhancing its client structure, with significant revenue growth in various sectors [2] - The company is making progress in its innovation and AI initiatives, with successful project implementations and a dedicated AI team [3] - Future revenue projections indicate continued growth, with expected revenues of 1.018 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 21.71% [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the total profit reached 135 million yuan, a substantial increase of 119.78% year-on-year [1] - The company reported a gross margin of 33.23% for the year, a decrease of 5.20 percentage points due to increased market competition and project delays [1] - For Q4 2024, the company recorded a single-quarter revenue of 542 million yuan, up 14.97% year-on-year, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, an increase of 14.29% [1] Client Structure and Revenue Breakdown - The oil and petrochemical sector generated 445 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 15.62%, accounting for 53.18% of total revenue [2] - The construction and real estate sector achieved 153 million yuan in revenue, up 19.67% year-on-year, representing 18.26% of total revenue [2] - The financial and insurance sector saw a revenue of 71 million yuan, down 13.02% year-on-year, making up 8.44% of total revenue [2] - The coal and electricity sector grew by 29.98% year-on-year, generating 89 million yuan, which accounted for 10.70% of total revenue [2] Innovation and AI Development - The company received two Huawei Kunpeng certification certificates and successfully completed several projects in the innovation and AI sectors [3] - The establishment of a dedicated AI team aims to enhance the company's capabilities in intelligent application development and project delivery [3] - The company has made significant advancements in its AI product offerings, including the development of intelligent frameworks and models [3] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 1.018 billion yuan, 1.230 billion yuan, and 1.465 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 21.71%, 20.88%, and 19.13% [4] - The expected net profit for the same years is projected to be 170 million yuan, 233 million yuan, and 288 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.52%, 36.86%, and 23.57% [4] - The company is compared to peers in the digital services sector, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 29, 22, and 17 for 2025 to 2027 [4]

Summary of the Conference Call for Puliang Software Industry and Company Overview - The conference call pertains to Puliang Software, which operates primarily in the software development sector, focusing on digital transformation and intelligent upgrades for large enterprises, particularly in the petrochemical, construction, and financial industries [3][5][19]. Key Financial Performance - In 2024, Puliang Software achieved a net profit attributable to the parent company of 121 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 95.06% [3]. - The company's operating revenue reached 836 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [3]. - The revenue composition includes: - Petrochemical industry: 445 million yuan, accounting for 53.18% of total revenue [3]. - Construction and real estate: 153 million yuan, with a growth of 19.67%, representing 18.26% of total revenue [3]. - Coal and electricity: Revenue increased by 29.98% [3][4]. Strategic Focus and Market Opportunities - Puliang Software is focusing on strategic clients and core business areas, particularly in the digital transformation of large group enterprises [5]. - The company is expanding its client base in the construction and coal power sectors while maintaining a strong position in the petrochemical industry [5]. - The company has successfully implemented AI applications in shared services and think tank areas, enhancing the feasibility of AI applications [11]. Research and Development (R&D) Investments - R&D expenses totaled 46.99 million yuan in 2024, with a total investment of 108 million yuan after capitalizing R&D costs, aimed at improving competitiveness and operational efficiency [6]. - The company plans to maintain R&D investment at 14% to 15% of revenue over the next three years [18]. Challenges and Responses - The company faces challenges with declining gross margins due to extended project delivery cycles and increased market competition [7][17]. - Measures to counteract these challenges include the application of new technologies, development of competitive products, and optimization of organizational structure [7]. Future Outlook - For 2025, Puliang Software anticipates a clearer demand for its innovative business (信创) and intelligent solutions, with a focus on maintaining steady growth [9][10]. - The company aims to enhance cash flow management and reduce accounts receivable, which increased from 510 million yuan in 2023 to 580 million yuan in 2024 [12]. Sector-Specific Insights - The construction and real estate sector is expected to remain stable, with no significant growth or decline anticipated in 2025 [20]. - The financial sector, impacted by regulatory policies, is expected to recover and grow in 2025, with ongoing efforts to optimize business models [21][22]. Strategic Client Development - Puliang Software has expanded its strategic client base from four to eight major clients, focusing on long-term partnerships and stability in existing relationships [23]. Conclusion - Puliang Software is positioned to leverage its strengths in digital transformation and AI applications while navigating challenges in gross margins and sector-specific dynamics. The company's strategic focus on R&D and client relationships is expected to drive future growth and stability.

Group 1: Core Views - The valuation of Chinese technology assets has rapidly recovered and then retreated, with the Hang Seng Technology Index reaching a peak increase of 39% this year [1] - The narrative around the rise of AI in China has become a consensus, shifting investor focus to earnings expectations, CAPEX growth, and the efficiency improvements brought by AI applications [1] - The company maintains an optimistic outlook for Chinese technology assets, anticipating technical advancements and application implementations to drive upward revisions in earnings forecasts [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities and Risks - The Hang Seng Technology Index may enter a short-term consolidation phase after a rapid valuation increase, with potential upward drivers including advancements from major model vendors and strong earnings guidance from leading internet and cloud companies [1] - The valuation increase in the Hang Seng Technology Index may spill over into investment opportunities in innovative pharmaceuticals and AI+ healthcare sectors [1] - The recent decline in the Hang Seng Technology Index presents a mid-term buying opportunity [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong stock market has experienced a decline of 11.6% since March 19 due to factors such as stock placements and impending "reciprocal tariffs," but the overall reversal trend for the year remains intact [3] - Historical peaks in stock placements typically occur during periods of ample liquidity and relatively high valuations, suggesting that current market conditions may support stock prices in the medium to long term [3] - The dynamic PE ratios for the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index are currently at 10.3x and 17.5x, respectively, indicating significant value compared to historical levels [3] Group 4: Sector Performance - The healthcare sector is expected to show signs of demand or performance recovery in Q1 2025, driven by policy optimization and AI empowerment, leading to a valuation reassessment [8] - The computer industry is projected to see steady revenue growth in Q1 2025, with particular strength in computing power, AI applications, and related sectors [10] - The agricultural chemicals sector is focusing on global expansion to counteract domestic pressures, with leading companies leveraging their integrated supply chains to enhance overseas market share [15]

Group 1: DeepSeek Model and Factor Optimization - The DeepSeek model optimizes and generates stock selection factors based on the Alpha158 factor integrated with Qlib, covering five categories: intraday, volatility, price, volume, and price-volume correlation [3] - By optimizing these factors, DeepSeek significantly improves the predictive ability of most factors, particularly excelling in RankIC and ICIR metrics [3] - Generating new factors from scratch is challenging, but using existing optimized factor expressions as references allows for the generation of new high ICIR factors with fewer iterations [3] - In portfolio optimization, combining the optimized Alpha158 factors with newly generated factors using the Lasso model effectively enhances stock selection capabilities, especially in the full A-share data and the CSI 800 index combination [3] Group 2: New Incremental Policies and Economic Stimulus - On March 23, the Premier reaffirmed confidence in China's economic operation and macro policy implementation, emphasizing increased counter-cyclical adjustments and the potential introduction of new incremental policies, mainly referring to the possibility of central government leverage [4] - Following the National People's Congress, high-level leaders conducted intensive research in key regions such as Guizhou, Guangdong, and Fujian, focusing on technology, openness, foreign trade, employment, and security [4] - The State Council approved the "2025 Key Work Division Plan" on March 12, stressing the need to strengthen support for local governments, particularly in resource assurance, technological innovation, and reform and opening up, likely favoring major economic provinces like Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Fujian [4] - The central bank and other departments plan to stimulate the economy through policies such as reserve requirement ratio cuts, interest rate reductions, promoting foreign trade growth, and facilitating cross-border trade [4] - The "Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption" was issued on March 16, proposing measures to stimulate consumption through demand reform, supply upgrades, and livelihood guarantees, while also mentioning stabilizing the stock and real estate markets [4] Group 3: Hainan Huatie's Computing Power Leasing Business - Hainan Huatie (Huatie Dahuangfeng) has begun laying out its computing power leasing business and announced an investment plan for intelligent computing centers in 2024 [5] - As of December 2024, the company has signed computing power service orders totaling 2.475 billion yuan, and with a new contract of 3.69 billion yuan, the cumulative order amount has reached 6.165 billion yuan, 1.39 times its 2023 revenue [5] - The company’s former controlling shareholder has transferred its shares to Hainan State-owned Capital Holding Company, becoming the new controlling shareholder [5] - Expected net profits for the company from 2024 to 2026 are projected to be 619 million yuan, 846 million yuan, and 1.065 billion yuan, with EPS of 0.31 yuan, 0.43 yuan, and 0.54 yuan respectively [5] Group 4: Haiguang Information's Development in CPU and AI Computing - Haiguang Information, established in 2014, obtained AMD technology authorization in 2016 and initiated CPU product development, leveraging AMD's technology and its own R&D capabilities [7] - The company employs a "sell one generation, verify one generation, and develop one generation" strategy to promote continuous iteration of its Haiguang series CPUs and deep computing units (DCUs) [7] - Haiguang has significantly increased R&D investment, with product performance gradually catching up to global leaders while maintaining a leading position in the domestic market [7] - The Haiguang CPU is based on the x86 architecture, featuring a mature ecosystem and strong compatibility, particularly achieving seamless switching at the software and application levels [8] - Haiguang's DCU products, primarily used in supercomputing centers, have become leaders in domestic supercomputing chips, with ongoing development of the next-generation DCU, expected to significantly enhance AI performance [12] - The domestic information technology innovation industry is accelerating, with increasing domestic production rates supported by fiscal policies [10] - Haiguang is positioned to benefit from the rise of the domestic AI computing industry amid increasing U.S. chip export controls [12] Group 5: Investment Strategies During Earnings Season - Stocks disclosing last year's annual reports are suitable for shorter holding periods, while those disclosing quarterly reports are better for longer holding periods [13] - The excess return rate is typically better for shorter holding periods after annual report disclosures, while it improves with longer holding periods after quarterly report disclosures [13] - In the context of technology stocks experiencing box fluctuations, opportunities for low-cost entry in humanoid robots and DeepSeek + AI computing can be considered [13] - Investors should focus on stocks that perform well post-annual report release, keeping holding periods within T+5 for short-term gains [13] - After quarterly report disclosures, excess returns improve with extended holding periods, making it suitable to select stocks with sustained growth potential and consider holding until T+10 [13] - Maintaining dividend stocks as defensive assets is advisable, especially in a market lacking hotspots, with sectors like steel also considered for supplementary allocation [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.121 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.645 billion yuan, up 24.84%, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The company has adopted a new business segmentation for its 2024 annual report, categorizing revenues into WPS personal business, WPS 365 business, WPS software business, and other businesses [2]. - WPS 365 business revenue reached 437 million yuan, reflecting a remarkable year-on-year growth of 149.33%, driven by the integration of document, collaboration, and AI capabilities [3]. - The WPS personal business generated 3.283 billion yuan in revenue, with a 18.00% year-on-year growth, supported by an increase in active users [2]. Revenue Breakdown - WPS personal business revenue was 3.1 billion yuan domestically, with a total of 41.7 million annual paying users, a growth of 17.49% year-on-year [2]. - The WPS software business reported a revenue of 1.268 billion yuan, a decline of 8.56% year-on-year, as the company focuses on enterprise customer needs [4]. Financial Projections - The company expects to achieve revenues of 6.189 billion yuan, 7.532 billion yuan, and 9.214 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 1.953 billion yuan, 2.369 billion yuan, and 2.901 billion yuan [5][7].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The Chinese ETF market is expected to double in size from 20 trillion to 40 trillion yuan between 2024 and 2025, indicating significant capital inflow and favorable conditions for investors [1][5] - The gold ETF has seen a 12% increase this year, driven by factors such as risk aversion, anti-inflation expectations, and declining interest rates [1][14] - The Hong Kong ETF market is thriving, covering sectors like technology, internet, automotive, and consumer goods, benefiting from asset revaluation in China and AI applications [1][11] - The German ETF market has experienced a nearly 24% increase in 2025, supported by fiscal expansion policies, although high premium rates pose potential arbitrage risks [1][13] Core Insights and Arguments - The gaming sector is benefiting from the explosion of AI applications and stable issuance of game licenses, with expectations for AI-driven games boosting market performance [1][18] - The robot industry is projected to have a massive market potential, potentially surpassing the automotive and smartphone sectors, with the companion robot market expected to reach trillions [2][19] - Cloud computing and domestic innovation sectors have outperformed the overall computer sector in 2025, with cloud computing up 24% and domestic innovation up 20% [20] Additional Important Content - The bond ETF market performed well last year due to expectations of interest rate cuts, but has shown weaker performance in 2025, with the 30-year treasury ETF down 3% year-to-date [1][10][16] - The performance of commodity ETFs, particularly gold and soybean meal ETFs, has been notable, with gold ETFs reflecting a 12% increase this year due to geopolitical risks and inflation concerns [1][6][15] - Various ETF investment strategies were discussed, including leveraged strategies, hedging, arbitrage, and event-driven strategies, each with specific risk profiles and market conditions [21][22]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 风险提示： AI落地不及预期，信创进展不及预期。 发布日期： 2025- 03-21 免责声明 本订阅号是光大证券股份有限公司研究所（以下简称"光大证券研究所"）依法设立、独立运营 的官方唯一订阅号。其他任何以光大证券研究所名义注册的、或含有"光大证券研究"、与光大 证券研究所品牌名称等相关信息的订阅号均不是光大证券研究所的官方订阅号。 个人业务稳健增长，WPS 365开启增长新引擎 分业务看，2024年，WPS个人业务收入32.83亿元，同比增长18%。截至2024年12月31日，WPS Office全 球月度活跃设备数为6.32亿，同比增长6.22%；其中，WPSOffice PC版月度活跃设备数2.91亿，同比增长 9 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][14]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue acceleration in Q4 2024, with total revenue reaching 5.121 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.645 billion yuan, up 24.84% [1][7]. - The company is increasing its investment in AI research and development, with a research expense ratio of 33.11%, up 0.79 percentage points year-on-year, while controlling sales and management expenses effectively [1][11]. - The WPS 365 business is growing rapidly, with revenue of 437 million yuan, a staggering increase of 149.33%, driven by cloud and AI services [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.494 billion yuan, a 16.21% increase, and a net profit of 605 million yuan, up 42.58% [1][7]. - The total revenue for 2024 was 5.121 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.645 billion yuan, reflecting strong growth in profitability [1][7]. - The company’s gross margin remained stable at 85.14%, with a net margin improvement due to high profit growth [11]. User Growth and Contracts - By the end of 2024, the company had 417 million annual paid users in China, a 17.49% increase, and 6.32 billion monthly active devices globally, up 6.22% [3][4]. - The company’s contract liabilities grew to 2.136 billion yuan, a 12.90% increase, indicating effective long-term membership growth strategies [3][4]. Future Projections - The company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.896 billion, 2.316 billion, and 2.841 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 22%, and 23% respectively [14][16]. - The diluted EPS is projected to be 4.10, 5.01, and 6.14 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 79, 65, and 53 times [14][16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 5.121 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.4%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.645 billion yuan, up 24.8% year-on-year [7] - The WPS 365 product is driving new growth in the B-end market, with its revenue reaching 440 million yuan, a significant increase of 149% year-on-year [7] - The C-end market shows promising growth with nearly 20 million monthly active users and a continuous increase in the payment rate, leading to a domestic personal subscription revenue of 3.1 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the steady recovery of the "Xin Chuang" (信创) initiative, with institutional authorization business revenue of 710 million yuan, up 8% year-on-year [7] - The overseas business is progressing well, with personal business revenue of 180 million yuan and 1.74 million paid personal users, indicating a new growth space for the company [7] - The total contract liabilities increased by over 20%, reaching 3.18 billion yuan, indicating optimistic growth in subscription business [7] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 6.036 billion, 7.210 billion, and 8.699 billion yuan respectively, with net profit forecasts of 1.919 billion, 2.322 billion, and 2.821 billion yuan [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 4.556 billion yuan in 2023 to 8.699 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.7% [6][9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1.318 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.821 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][9] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable, with projections of 85.4% in 2025 and increasing to 86.2% by 2027 [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) with a current price of 339.00 CNY and a fair value of 403.42 CNY [3][26]. Core Insights - The report highlights that AI empowerment has led to steady growth in personal business, with WPS 365 opening a new growth engine. The personal business revenue for 2024 reached 3.283 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 18.0% [7][16]. - The WPS 365 business achieved revenue of 437 million CNY in 2024, a significant year-on-year growth of 149.33%, driven by the integration of AI and increasing collaborative office demands [7][18]. - The overall revenue for 2024 was 5.121 billion CNY, reflecting a 12.4% increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.645 billion CNY, up 24.8% from the previous year [8][20]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Financial Data**: - Revenue: 5.121 billion CNY, up 12.4% from 2023 - Net Profit: 1.645 billion CNY, up 24.8% from 2023 - Basic EPS: 3.56 CNY, compared to 2.86 CNY in 2023 [8][20]. - **Quarterly Performance**: - Q4 2024 revenue was 1.494 billion CNY, a 16.2% increase year-on-year, with net profit of 610 million CNY, up 42.6% [8][12]. Earnings Forecast - The report forecasts the following for Kingsoft Office: - 2025 Revenue: 5.962 billion CNY, growth of 16.4% - 2025 Net Profit: 1.792 billion CNY, growth of 9.0% - 2026 Revenue: 7.332 billion CNY, growth of 23.0% - 2026 Net Profit: 2.128 billion CNY, growth of 18.7% [2][20]. Valuation Methodology - The report employs a segmented valuation approach, applying a PS ratio of 35x for subscription business and a PE ratio of 35x for institutional licensing and other businesses. The estimated fair value per share is approximately 403.42 CNY [21][26].