Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index has surpassed the 100 mark for the first time since August 1, driven by factors such as the tapering of interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve [1][1]. Group 1: Dollar Index Movement - As of November 4, the dollar index reached 100.0351, reflecting a daily increase of 0.16% [1][1]. - The recent rise in the dollar index is attributed to the market's changing expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1][1]. Group 2: Market Analysis - According to a report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the risk of changes in the pace of interest rate cuts is real, contributing to the dollar's rebound towards its high points from the second half of the year [1][1]. - CICC does not anticipate a significant rebound in the dollar due to the lack of supporting economic data, which limits the Federal Reserve's ability to confirm the end of the rate cut cycle [1][1]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The market's shift away from fully pricing in a December rate cut indicates that the dollar's continued rebound may face challenges [1][1]. - Prolonged government shutdowns could have lasting impacts on the US economy and employment, potentially leading to a reevaluation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut timeline [1][1]. - Overall, the dollar's range-bound movement in the second half of the year remains unchanged [1][1].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on report industry investment rating Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - For gold, the short - term and mid - term outlooks are both "oscillation", the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias", and the reference view is "wait and see" due to Sino - US trade easing and the Fed's hawkish stance [1] - For copper, the short - term and mid - term outlooks are both "rising", the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias", and the reference view is "bullish in the long - term" because of macro - economic easing, mine production cuts, and a rapid increase in capital attention [1] Group 3: Summary by Variety Gold (AU) - The intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias", the mid - term view is "oscillation", and the reference view is "wait and see" [3] - After the Fed's interest - rate meeting, the gold price stabilized in oscillation. The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but internal policy differences and Powell's cautious attitude towards future rate cuts were interpreted as hawkish, reducing the market's expectation of a December rate cut. The gold price rebounded despite the Fed's hawkishness and the rising US dollar index, possibly due to short - term market reaction to the exhaustion of negative news. Technically, short - term attention should be paid to the tug - of - war at the $4000 mark [3] Copper (CU) - The intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias", the mid - term view is "rising", and the reference view is "bullish in the long - term" [4] - The copper price weakened in the overnight session, with the main contract price falling below 87,000 and the open interest slightly decreasing. After the October Fed's interest - rate meeting, LME copper dropped significantly. The Fed's hawkish stance cooled the rate - cut expectation, the US dollar index rebounded, which was negative for the copper price. Attention should be paid to the resistance at the 100 mark of the US dollar index. Also, the copper price has risen significantly since late September, facing historical high - level pressure in the short term, and long - position holders have a strong willingness to close positions. Technically, continuous attention should be paid to the support of the 10 - day moving average [4]

#行情 美元指数自8月以来首次重返100关口。10月美联储利率决议，鲍威尔偏派表态浇灭了年末启动宽松周期的预期，同时日本央行植田和男未为12月加息提供指引，保持鸽派观望。 https://t.co/rqmOZalKTJ ...

市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 美元指数突破100大关，为8月1日来首次。 风险提示及免责条款 ...

Group 1 - The US dollar index increased by 0.15% to 99.87, while most non-US currencies declined [1] - The euro fell by 0.14% against the dollar, trading at 1.1520 [1] - The British pound decreased by 0.06% against the dollar, trading at 1.3140 [1] - The Australian dollar dropped by 0.09% against the dollar, trading at 0.6539 [1] Group 2 - The US dollar rose by 0.13% against the Japanese yen, reaching 154.2100 [1] - The US dollar increased by 0.33% against the Canadian dollar, trading at 1.4057 [1] - The US dollar appreciated by 0.44% against the Swiss franc, trading at 0.8081 [1]

Group 1 - The ICE Dollar Index increased by 0.07% to 99.872 points at the end of trading in New York on November 3 [1] - The trading range for the day was between 99.708 and 99.988 points [1]

每经AI快讯，11月3日，美元指数回吐涨幅，最新上涨0.07%，报99.873。 ...

Gold (GC=F) futures opened at $4,013.70 per ounce on Tuesday, up 0.3% from Monday’s close of $4,000.30. The price of gold was down in early trading. A stronger dollar and an uncertain interest-rate outlook are factors in the decline. The U.S. Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB) moved above 100 after dipping as low as 96.22 on Sept. 17. Year-to-date, the greenback is still down 7.7%. On the interest-rate front, CME FedWatch calculates a 71.1% probability the Fed will cut rates by a quarter-point in December. One we ...

美国财长斯科特·贝森特上周日（11月2日）表示，由于高利率，美国部分经济领域（尤其是房地产）可 能已陷入衰退，他再次呼吁美联储应加快降息步伐。 周一（11月3日）亚洲交易时段，美元指数延续前三个交易日涨势，今日美元指数最新报99.75，涨幅 0.04%，上周五美指一度创下99.84的近四个月高点，鲍威尔对12月是否降息的鹰派态度为美元走势提供 坚实支撑。 上周五，由于多名美联储官员公开表态反对美联储12月降息，美元指数持续走强，且录得7月以来最佳 月度表现，最终收涨0.18%，报99.71。基准的10年期美债收益率最终收报4.079%，对美联储政策利率敏 感的2年期美债收益率收报3.582%。 达拉斯联储主席洛根认为美联储上周没必要降息，并反对12月再度降息；堪萨斯城联储主席施密德称上 周投票反对降息是担心经济增长和投资会对通胀形成上行压力；亚特兰大联储博斯蒂克警告市场不要过 度超前解读点阵图，12月降息并非既定事项；克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克称必须维持一定限制性政策力度 以使通胀回归目标；对改革政策利率目标持开放态度。 将于明年1月重返白宫工作岗位的米兰是两位反对美联储上周降息25个基点决定的理事之一，他主张降 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent data from the China Foreign Exchange Trading Center indicates a significant appreciation of the Renminbi (RMB) against various currency indices, marking a trend of independent appreciation that is not solely reliant on the depreciation of the US dollar [1][5][6]. Currency Indices Summary - The CFETS RMB Index reached 97.61, up 0.06 week-on-week, the highest since April 2025 [1][2]. - The BIS currency basket RMB Index reported 103.87, increasing by 0.23 week-on-week, also a peak since April 2025 [1][2]. - The SDR currency basket RMB Index stood at 92.26, with a week-on-week rise of 0.35, marking a new high since April 2025 [1][2]. RMB Exchange Rate Trends - The RMB exchange rate exhibited a mixed trend, with a slight increase of 0.04% for onshore RMB and 0.05% for offshore RMB over the week [5]. - The onshore RMB reached a peak of 7.0955 against the US dollar, the highest since November 2024 [5]. - The RMB's appreciation trend is becoming clearer, with a year-to-date depreciation of the US dollar by 8% and a 2.9% appreciation of the offshore RMB against the US dollar [5][6]. Catalysts for RMB Appreciation - Key factors driving the recent RMB appreciation include positive developments in US-China trade negotiations, narrowing interest rate differentials, and stronger-than-expected export performance [6]. - The effective RMB exchange rate is seen as returning to a "reasonable" range, supported by low inflation and strong nominal exchange rate competitiveness [6]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the RMB may continue to appreciate, with potential targets for the USD/RMB exchange rate at around 7.0 under baseline scenarios and 6.7 in optimistic scenarios [6][8]. - The People's Bank of China is expected to maintain a flexible approach to exchange rate policies, which could further support the RMB's strength [8].