失业率

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巴西7月失业率降至5.6% 创有记录以来新低
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 14:14
Group 1 - The unemployment rate in Brazil decreased to 5.6% in July, down from 5.8%, marking the lowest level since records began in 2012 [1] - The number of unemployed individuals fell to 6.1 million, the lowest since the end of 2013, while the employment population reached a record 102.4 million [1] - The employment-to-population ratio remained stable at a historical high of 58.8%, indicating consistent labor force participation [1] Group 2 - The agriculture sector added 206,000 jobs, the information and professional services sector added 260,000 jobs, and public administration, education, healthcare, and social services added 522,000 jobs, driving the employment growth [1] - The average real income in July increased by 1.3% year-on-year, reaching 3,484 Brazilian Reais, indicating improvements in the quality of the labor market [1]
香港最新失业率维持3.7%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-16 12:13
香港最新失业率维持3.7% 来源:中国新闻网 编辑:付健青 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有,未经书面授权,任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview"),看更多精彩财经资讯。 中新社香港9月16日电 (记者 魏华都)香港特区政府统计处16日公布,2025年6月至8月经季节性调整的失 业率为3.7%,与上一阶段(2025年5月至7月)相同。就业不足率则由1.4%上升至1.6%。 与上一阶段比较,今年6月至8月各行业的失业率变动不一,餐饮服务活动业及制造业录得上升,建造业 和专业及商用服务业则下降。餐饮服务活动业,以及艺术、娱乐及康乐活动业的就业不足率上升,楼房 装饰、修葺及保养业则下降。 数据显示,今年6月至8月总就业人数增至368.06万人,增加约9300人;总劳动人口增升至383.16万人, 增加约15400人;失业人数升至15.1万人,增加约6000人;就业不足人数升至59400人,增加约4200人。 香港特区政府劳工及福利局局长孙玉菡表示,尽管就业情况会继续受个别行业的经营状况影响, ...
英国央行:失业率持稳或维持利率4%不变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 08:53
Group 1 - The UK ILO unemployment rate for the three months to July remains stable at 4.7%, unchanged from the previous three-month periods ending in May and June [1] - The annual growth rate of wages, excluding bonuses, decreased from 5.0% in June to 4.8% [1] - Investors expect the Bank of England to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4% during the upcoming meeting, following a cautious approach to rate adjustments since August of last year [1] Group 2 - There are indications of a cooling labor market, with preliminary estimates showing a decrease of 8,000 employees from July to August, following a reduction of 6,000 in the previous month [1]
香港6月至8月经季节性调整的失业率为3.7% 就业不足率1.6%
智通财经网· 2025-09-16 08:43
Group 1 - The unemployment rate for June to August 2025 remains unchanged at 3.7%, compared to the previous three months [1] - The total employment increased by approximately 9,300 people, rising from 3,671,300 to 3,680,600 [1] - The total labor force also increased by about 15,400, from 3,816,200 to 3,831,600 [1] Group 2 - The number of unemployed individuals rose by approximately 6,000, from 145,000 to 151,000 [1] - The underemployment rate increased from 1.4% to 1.6% during the same period [1] - The Secretary for Labour and Welfare, Sun Yuhan, noted that the employment situation will continue to be influenced by the operating conditions of individual industries [2]
特朗普一边施压美联储,要求降息,一边在议息前夕安插“自己人”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 07:24
美国联邦储备委员会召开了一场为期两天的议息会议,然而,所有人的目光似乎都已穿透了会议室的门 窗,聚焦于一场超越经济范畴的巨大博弈。 这本应是一次常规的货币政策调整,市场的神经早已被安抚,从芝加哥商品交易所的数据看,高达 96.4%的交易员都笃定,美联储将宣布一次幅度为0.25个百分点的降息,然而,白宫传来的声音却完全 是另一个调子。 美国总统特朗普毫不掩饰地公开喊话,期望的是一次"大幅降息",在市场看来,这无异于要求一步到位 降息50个基点,这种预期上的巨大鸿沟,早已不是简单的政策分歧,它背后,是白宫正通过法律诉讼、 人事任命和舆论施压等多种方式,对这个走过百余年历史的中央银行进行着前所未有的系统性围剿。 换人比吵架更管用 白宫的策略显得异常直接,甚至有些粗暴,它似乎绕开了复杂的政策辩论,转而直捣黄龙,试图通过重 塑美联储理事会的核心人员构成,来一劳永逸地改变其决策天平,这场"人事战争"双管齐下,一边 是"清除异己",另一边则是"安插亲信"。 行动的焦点,直指美联储理事丽莎·库克,特朗普政府试图以库克涉嫌抵押贷款欺诈的陈年旧事为由, 强行将其解雇。这一举动,在美联储一百多年的历史上,是破天荒的头一遭。 动机昭 ...
美国通货膨胀失控,失业率飙升,双重打击下美联储是该加还是降
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 06:50
Economic Overview - The U.S. is experiencing an unprecedented economic storm characterized by uncontrolled inflation and rising living costs, while the job market shows signs of weakness with record unemployment rates and initial jobless claims [1][3][5] Inflation and Employment Data - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) annualized growth rate reached 2.9% in August, up from 2.7% in July, marking the highest level since January [3] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in August, with the broader U6 unemployment rate climbing to 8.1%. Initial jobless claims surged to 263,000 in the first week of September, the highest level in 2023 and since October 2021 [3][9] Factors Driving Inflation - Food and energy prices are significant contributors to inflation, with food prices increasing by 0.6% in August, the largest monthly increase in nearly three years, and gasoline prices rebounding by 1.9% [7] - Housing costs and everyday consumer goods are the primary drivers of sustained inflation, exacerbated by policy factors such as immigration reforms and high tariffs implemented during the Trump administration [9][10] Wage Growth and Consumer Sentiment - Despite nominal wage increases, real wage growth adjusted for inflation was only 0.7% in August, the lowest in over a year, leading to consumer dissatisfaction as they feel the pinch of rising prices [9][10] - Consumers are more concerned about job security and rising grocery prices than macroeconomic indicators, indicating a disconnect between economic policy and everyday realities [13] Federal Reserve's Dilemma - The Federal Reserve faces a challenging situation, needing to balance rising inflation with a weakening job market, leading to speculation about potential interest rate cuts to stabilize market confidence [11][20] - Global monetary policy divergence adds to economic uncertainty, with different central banks taking varied approaches to interest rates [15] Market Reactions - Global markets are closely monitoring U.S. economic signals, with stock markets generally rising due to expectations of economic stimulus, while safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasury yields reflect increased risk aversion [16][18] - Emerging market stocks outperformed developed markets, indicating a shift in investor sentiment amid economic concerns [16] Future Outlook - Predictions suggest that inflation may continue to escalate in the coming months, indicating that the apparent stability of the U.S. economy does not translate to relief for consumers facing financial pressures [19][20]
特朗普动作频频,降息前夜的博弈!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 05:49
"懂王"又开始搞事情了。 事实上,这一想法早在特朗普第一任期内就曾提出,近期再度旧事重提,引发市场广泛关注。特朗普认 为"这可以节省开支,让管理者专注于企业的正常运营"。 这一举措预计将遭遇很多反对的声音。季度财报不仅披露企业经营情况,还通常伴随业绩说明会,分析 师可借此向公司高管提问。 部分投资者警告称,若财务信息披露周期延长,透明度将下降,市场波动性或加剧,从而削弱美股吸引 力。 不过,特朗普的这一提议也不乏很多支持者。有专家认为,从优化上市公司资本配置的角度看,过于关 注季度盈利目标可能导致基于短期影响的决策,希望管理层将目光放在长期发展上。 被誉为"华尔街一哥"、摩根大通CEO杰米·戴蒙和"股神"巴菲特曾发表联合评论文章,呼吁企业不要过 于强调季度盈利预测。虽然他们并未反对季度财报本身,但认为企业往往为了满足季度预期而压缩投资 与招聘。 不管怎样,上述政策调整需要经过SEC的一系列流程。业内人士预计,最快也要2026年之后才能落地。 特朗普动作频频,降息前夜的博弈! 除了上述提议之外,近期最受资本市场关注的,自然还是美联储即将召开(9月16日至17日)的议息会 议。 当地时间周一,美国总统特朗普呼吁美 ...
国泰海通宏观:总量需加力,结构有亮点
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 13:23
Economic Overview - The domestic economy continued to slow down in August, with a mix of resilience in production and pressure on demand, leading to increased internal differentiation [2][3] - Industrial value-added growth year-on-year was 5.2% in August, down from 5.7% in July, indicating a slight decline but still at a relatively high level [4][6] - The overall economic trend is expected to maintain a slow and stable trajectory with structural optimization, but demand recovery will take time [2][3] Production Sector - The production growth rate showed a slight decline, primarily due to external demand pressures and some upstream industries experiencing production cuts [4][6] - The production-sales rate decreased from 97.1% to 96.6%, indicating a marginal improvement in domestic consumption capacity [4] - Policy-related industries, such as transportation equipment and non-ferrous metals, showed resilience, while export and consumer-related sectors faced significant pressure [6][7] Service Sector - The service sector's production index grew by 5.6% year-on-year in August, down 0.2 percentage points from July, reflecting a slowdown [7] - High-value-added industries like information technology and finance showed growth, while leasing and business services faced challenges due to weak corporate expansion intentions [7] Employment - The urban survey unemployment rate rose slightly to 5.3% in August, primarily due to seasonal pressures from the influx of recent graduates into the labor market [9] Consumption Sector - Retail sales growth year-on-year was 3.4% in August, down 0.3 percentage points from July, indicating a need for stronger consumption recovery [12][15] - Dining consumption showed signs of recovery, while retail sales growth for goods slowed down, reflecting a mixed performance across different categories [14][15] - Essential consumption categories faced declines, while some upgraded consumption categories showed resilience, supported by seasonal demand and policy measures [15] Investment Sector - Fixed asset investment growth was 0.5% year-on-year for January to August, with August showing a significant decline of 7.1% compared to July [16][19] - Investment in manufacturing, infrastructure, and real estate all experienced negative growth, necessitating policy support to break the downward cycle [16][20] - The real estate sector continued to face fundamental pressures, with sales area and sales value both declining significantly year-on-year [20]
美国:通胀回升,就业市场走弱
Haitong Securities International· 2025-09-15 10:02
美国:通胀回升,就业市场走弱 ——海外经济政策跟踪 本报告导读: 高频数据显示美国 8 月核心 CPI 回升,但就业市场仍在走弱,预计 9 月美联储会如 期降息,对于后续降息节奏,需重点关注关税对通胀的影响,以及就业市场是否能 在减税落地后有所回温。 投资要点: [Table_Summary] 全球大类资产表现。本周(2025.9.5-2025.9.12),大宗商品价格普遍 上涨,其中,IPE 布油期货上涨 1.8%,伦敦金现上涨 1.6%,COMEX 铜上涨 1.4%,标普-高盛商品指数上涨 1.3%。 主要经济体股市普遍 上涨,日经 225 上涨 4.1%,恒生指数上涨 3.8%,标普 500 上涨 1.6%, 上证综指上涨 1.5%,新兴市场股票指数涨幅(3.5%)高于发达市场 股票指数涨幅(1.5%)。债市方面,10 年期美债收益率较前一周小 幅回落至 4.06%,国内 10Y 国债期货价格下跌 0.2%,中债总全价指 数下跌 0.4%。外汇市场方面,美元指数较前一周回落,报收 97.62, 人民币兑美元升值 0.2%,日元兑美元贬值 0.2%。 经济:美国方面:9 月市场交易层面 5 年与 10 年 ...