Core Viewpoint - The technology sector indices have experienced declines this week, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Index down by 2.3%, the Sci-Tech 100 Index down by 2.4%, the Sci-Tech 50 Index down by 3.8%, and the Sci-Tech Growth Index down by 3.9%. Despite this, CITIC Securities suggests focusing on sectors with performance elasticity, particularly in AI, new energy, and critical resources [1][3]. Index Performance Summary - The weekly performance of various indices is as follows: - Sci-Tech 50 Index: -3.8% - Sci-Tech 100 Index: -2.4% - Sci-Tech Comprehensive Index: -2.3% - Sci-Tech Growth Index: -3.9% [3] - The rolling price-to-earnings ratios for the indices are: - Sci-Tech 50 Index: 159.6 times - Sci-Tech 100 Index: 214.7 times - Sci-Tech Comprehensive Index: 215.1 times - Sci-Tech Growth Index: 157.2 times [3]. Sector Composition - The Sci-Tech 100 Index consists of 100 stocks from medium-sized companies with good liquidity, focusing on small and medium-sized tech enterprises, with over 80% of its composition in the electronics, pharmaceutical, and computer sectors [5]. - The Sci-Tech Comprehensive Index covers all market securities, focusing on core industries such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, encompassing all 17 primary industries listed on the Sci-Tech board [5]. - The Sci-Tech Growth Index includes 50 stocks with high growth rates in revenue and net profit, with over 95% of its composition in the electronics, power equipment, pharmaceutical, and automotive sectors [5].

Market Strategy - The report suggests a cautious outlook on index movements, emphasizing the potential for mid-cap stocks to uncover real investment opportunities [2][8] - It highlights that while corporate earnings are supported, sustained outperformance is challenging, and market style may shift towards mid-cap blue chips in the consumer, manufacturing, and cyclical sectors [8] Industry Strategy - In the home appliance sector, consumption driven by home scenarios is leading growth, with resilient performance from smart products [3][8] - Data from the "Double 11" shopping festival indicates strong overall performance in the home appliance industry, with significant growth in brands like Midea and Haier, and a notable 12.5% increase in transaction share on Tmall [8] Thematic Strategy - The military industry is highlighted with the commissioning of China's first electromagnetic aircraft carrier, marking a significant advancement in military capabilities and benefiting related enterprises in the new production capacity chain [4][8] - The report identifies specific companies and ETFs related to the defense sector that are expected to benefit from this advancement [8]

Group 1 - The core concept of the report is the establishment of the CICC Wealth Public Fund 50 Selection Pool, which aims to identify approximately 50 outstanding fund managers and around 20 industry-themed funds through a combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis since its launch in July 2021 [2][65] - The selection pool covers various asset classes and investment strategies, including value stock selection, growth stock selection, and industry themes, aiming to provide a diversified investment approach [2] Group 2 - The performance of the Public Fund 50 Selection Pool (equity category) has consistently generated positive alpha, outperforming the average performance of mixed equity funds and ordinary stock funds since its inception [7][65] - The average performance of the Public Fund 50 Selection Pool (equity category) over the past three years is 38.7%, compared to 31.0% for the CSI 300 Index [8][9] - As of the end of October, the year-to-date average return for the Public Fund 50 Selection Pool (equity category) is 29.4%, outperforming the average return of other equity funds [13][14] Group 3 - In October, the market experienced a rotation in style, with traditional defensive assets outperforming previously leading growth sectors, indicating a shift towards value stock selection [18] - The industry theme performance showed a rotation, with previously strong sectors like pharmaceuticals and technology experiencing pullbacks, while cyclical sectors began to see opportunities [24] Group 4 - The top 10 fund managers in the Public Fund 50 Selection Pool achieved an average performance of 67.4% year-to-date, with notable performances from managers focusing on sectors such as coal, non-ferrous metals, and energy [30][33] - The report highlights specific fund managers' strategies, such as focusing on innovative pharmaceuticals and AI-driven technology sectors, indicating a strong belief in the growth potential of these areas [45][51][61] Group 5 - The performance of the Public Fund 50 Selection Pool (debt category) has been influenced by rising risk aversion and declining long-term interest rates, with pure debt funds performing better in the current market environment [37] - The report suggests that for investors seeking stable returns, the value of debt market allocations is increasing, particularly in mixed debt funds and primary and secondary debt funds [37][39]

Market Overview - On November 13, the A-share market opened lower but rose throughout the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 4025 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4029.50 points, up 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.78% to 13476.52 points[7] - Total trading volume for both markets reached 20,658 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3] Sector Performance - Key sectors showing strong performance included batteries, energy metals, chemical products, and semiconductors, while sectors like railroads, banks, and power showed weaker performance[3] - Over 70% of stocks in the two markets experienced gains, with energy metals and batteries leading the rise[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.40 times and 49.22 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3] - The market is at a significant transition point, with the Shanghai Composite Index likely to consolidate around the 4000-point mark[3] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to adopt a balanced allocation strategy focusing on "cyclical + technology growth" to capture structural opportunities[3] - Short-term recommendations include monitoring investment opportunities in batteries, energy metals, chemical products, and semiconductors[3] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy changes, and macroeconomic disturbances that could impact the recovery process[4]

Group 1 - The Shenzhen Growth 40 Index has shown strong performance, with a 2.50% increase, and key stocks such as Upstream Electric and Zhongcai Technology have risen significantly, indicating a robust growth trend in the market [1][3] - The top three industries represented in the Shenzhen Growth 40 Index are Power Equipment and New Energy (31.10%), Basic Chemicals (13.74%), and Communications (12.51%), highlighting the sectors driving growth [1] - Domestic power battery installation volume reached 578 GWh from January to October this year, a year-on-year increase of 42.4%, while global energy storage battery shipments grew by 90.7% in the same period, indicating a strong upward trend in the battery industry [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities predicts that global energy storage installations will reach approximately 290 GWh by 2025 and could reach 1.17 TWh by 2030, showcasing significant growth potential in the energy storage sector [2] - The domestic energy storage industry chain is gaining a competitive edge, with increasing global market share in battery cells and storage systems, supported by favorable policies that are accelerating marketization [2] - The basic chemicals sector is expected to experience a cyclical recovery driven by profit improvements, with factors such as capacity cycle recovery and policy support contributing to this trend [2] Group 3 - The top ten weighted stocks in the Shenzhen Growth 40 Index account for 69.02% of the index, with leading companies including CATL and Xinyu Technology, indicating concentrated investment in key growth firms [3]

Group 1: Investment Strategy Overview - The report indicates a growing divergence in the market, with frequent changes in hot sectors and poor sustainability of these trends. Investors are advised to "accumulate grain" and maintain lighter positions, focusing on dividend stocks while waiting for better buying opportunities in technology after sufficient adjustments [4][18]. - The A-share market is experiencing a decline in trading volume, remaining below 2 trillion, and is precariously holding above the 4000-point mark. The report anticipates a continued shift of funds from technology to dividend stocks [4][18]. - The report highlights that the technology sector's absorption rate has fallen below 25%, indicating a release of crowded positions, but the time for recovery remains insufficient. It predicts a divergence in the performance of technology stocks, with those lacking earnings support likely to see significant corrections [4][18]. Group 2: Market Performance and Trends - The report notes that the quality of the rising sectors is poor, with more sectors declining than rising, and the sustainability of hot sectors is weak. The insurance, pharmaceutical, and oil and gas development sectors are leading gains, while wind power, photovoltaics, and new materials are declining [4][18]. - The report provides insights into the performance of various concepts, with cell immunity and combustible ice concepts leading gains, while previously strong concepts like cultivated diamonds are now declining [4][18][21]. Group 3: Bond Market Insights - The bond market is expected to continue its upward momentum in the short term, with a long-term target set at the low point of September 30, 2024. The report maintains that the trend of "strong stocks and weak bonds" is likely to persist [14][17]. Group 4: Foreign Exchange and Commodity Markets - The report states that the onshore RMB against the USD is at 7.1172, showing a slight increase. Despite recent adjustments in the USD index, it is expected to remain strong due to the stable performance of the US economy [27][29]. - The Wenhua Commodity Index has risen by 0.1%, influenced by the reopening of the US government and steady domestic inflation. However, the report suggests that investors should remain cautious and observe the market [31][33].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the launch of the new floating fee rate product, Zhongyin Quality Emerging Mixed Fund, which aims to align with industry trends through a diversified performance benchmark [2][3] - The performance benchmark consists of 60% CSI 300 Index, 15% Hang Seng Index, 20% China Bond Composite Index, and 5% bank demand deposits, reflecting a comprehensive market trend across stocks and bonds [2][3] - The fund manager, Li Sijia, is noted for her balanced investment approach, focusing on multiple sources of returns to mitigate single beta exposure while aiming for stable risk-adjusted returns [2][3] Group 2 - Li Sijia has managed the Zhongyin Strategic Emerging Industries Stock Fund since October 2023, achieving a 43.92% return over the past year, significantly outperforming the benchmark return of 15.37% [3][5] - The article highlights Li Sijia's long-term optimism towards technology growth assets and cyclical industries, driven by strong industry trends and improving fundamentals [3] - The emergence of AI applications and related sectors, such as humanoid robots and semiconductors, is identified as a key investment opportunity, spurred by structural demand and technological advancements [3]

Group 1: Core Views - Major brokerages are actively preparing for the 2026 strategy meetings, with expectations of a stable macroeconomic environment and a bullish outlook for the A-share market [3][4] - The market's driving force is anticipated to shift from valuation recovery to profit improvement, with a focus on fundamental performance [5][6] Group 2: Macroeconomic Outlook - Institutions predict that the domestic economy will maintain stability in 2026, with policies continuing to provide support [4] - Key indicators such as consumer demand, monetary liquidity, and the RMB's appreciation are expected to drive reasonable price recovery [4] - Expanding domestic demand is identified as a crucial theme, with strategies to balance supply and demand through various measures [4] Group 3: Market Trends - The market is expected to challenge ten-year highs, driven by economic transformation and capital market reforms [6] - Different institutions have varying views on market momentum, with some predicting a slow upward trend after a period of valuation recovery [5][6] Group 4: Investment Strategies - Technology remains a consensus investment direction, but there is a diversification of views on secondary lines and specific sectors [7] - A balanced allocation strategy is recommended to navigate market volatility, with a focus on both "old economy" and resource sectors [8] - Resource products are highlighted as a potential new mainline direction in the A-share market, alongside technology [9]

Group 1: Investment Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes a strategy of "accumulating grain," suggesting that investors should not take heavy positions and should wait for better buying opportunities after a full adjustment in the technology sector [4][19][26] - The A-share market shows resilience in the dividend index, with sectors like photovoltaic and chemicals leading the market, while the "old" forces are expected to continue outperforming through the fourth quarter [4][19] - The report indicates that the technology sector's performance will be differentiated, with stocks lacking earnings support likely to see significant corrections, while those with earnings support, such as storage, will maintain upward momentum [4][19] Group 2: Market Analysis - In the bond market, there is short-term upward momentum, but the long-term trend is expected to be downward, targeting the low point from September 30, 2024 [16][19] - The U.S. stock market has seen a temporary relief from downward risks due to bipartisan agreements, but caution is advised as the VIX index remains low and layoffs are at a recent high [5][26] - The foreign exchange market indicates a strong performance of the U.S. dollar, with expectations of continued strength against the yuan, while the yuan is expected to maintain a wide range of fluctuations [5][29] Group 3: Sector Performance - The report highlights that the photovoltaic equipment and non-metallic materials sectors are leading the market, while components, software development, and insurance sectors are lagging [20][19] - The commodity market is currently in a state of observation, with the Wenhua Commodity Index down by 0.1%, indicating that while some commodities are rising, a bullish trend has not yet been established [33][34] - The report notes that the technology sector's chip congestion has been released, but the time for recovery remains insufficient, suggesting a cautious approach to investments in this area [24][19]

| 序号 代码 | | 名称 | 涨跌幅▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 159707 | 地产ETF | 0.88% | | 2 | 512800 | 银行ETF | 0.48% | | 3 | 562060 | 标普红利ETF | 0.32% | | 4 | 159220 | 港股通红利ETF T+0 | 0.32% | | ર | 516020 | 化工ETF | 0.25% | 展望后市，申万宏源证券指出，牛市还有纵深，随着时间的推移，全面牛市演绎的条件会越来越充分。 A股至少还有三部分中期收益有待实现：一是基本面周期性改善的收益。二是居民资产配置向权益迁 移，带来的估值重估收益。三是中国全球影响力提升，各方面话语权提升确认，带来的景气和估值重估 共振的收益。 配置方面，该机构表示，下一年景气方向在四季度提前轮动行情不断演进，包括，涨价周期交易PPI转 正预期，储能和光伏交易景气拐点提前出现，以及2026年供给出清提供中期基本面支撑。板块轮动还会 继续，短期休整过的海外和国内AI产业链、创新药和国防军工后续可能也有轮动上涨机会。 【ETF全知道热点收评】下面重点聊 ...