美股三大股指期货周一小幅开跌，纳指期货跌0.2%。 ...

- Model Name: Continuous Hedging Strategy; Model Construction Idea: The strategy is based on the analysis of basis convergence factors and optimization strategies; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves holding the corresponding total return index on the spot side and shorting the corresponding stock index futures contracts on the futures side, with specific parameters and settings for backtesting, including the backtesting period, spot side, futures side, and rebalancing rules[44][45] - Model Name: Minimum Discount Strategy; Model Construction Idea: The strategy selects the futures contract with the smallest annualized basis discount for opening positions; Model Construction Process: The strategy involves holding the corresponding total return index on the spot side and shorting the corresponding stock index futures contracts on the futures side, with specific parameters and settings for backtesting, including the backtesting period, spot side, futures side, and rebalancing rules[44][46] - Factor Name: Cinda-VIX; Factor Construction Idea: The factor reflects the market's expectation of future volatility of the underlying asset; Factor Construction Process: The factor is based on the methodology from the research report series "Exploring Market Sentiment Implied in the Options Market" and reflects the volatility expectations of investors in the options market for different periods[62] - Factor Name: Cinda-SKEW; Factor Construction Idea: The factor captures the skewness of implied volatility (IV) of options with different strike prices; Factor Construction Process: The factor measures the degree of skewness in volatility, providing insights into market expectations of future returns distribution of the underlying asset[70][71] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: -2.73% (monthly), -1.93% (quarterly), -0.95% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.88% (monthly), 4.77% (quarterly), 4.68% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -8.15% (monthly), -8.34% (quarterly), -7.97% (minimum discount); Net Value: 0.9221 (monthly), 0.9446 (quarterly), 0.9725 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 17.40 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -3.24% (monthly), -0.94% (quarterly), -0.63% (minimum discount)[48] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: 0.54% (monthly), 0.80% (quarterly), 1.37% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.02% (monthly), 3.36% (quarterly), 3.15% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -3.95% (monthly), -4.03% (quarterly), -4.06% (minimum discount); Net Value: 1.0159 (monthly), 1.0237 (quarterly), 1.0406 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 15.36 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -0.75% (monthly), 0.39% (quarterly), 0.70% (minimum discount)[53] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: 1.07% (monthly), 2.04% (quarterly), 1.76% (minimum discount); Volatility: 3.13% (monthly), 3.56% (quarterly), 3.15% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -4.22% (monthly), -3.75% (quarterly), -3.91% (minimum discount); Net Value: 1.0316 (monthly), 1.0609 (quarterly), 1.0526 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 16.04 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: 0.08% (monthly), 1.15% (quarterly), 1.14% (minimum discount)[57] - Continuous Hedging Strategy, Annualized Return: -5.96% (monthly), -4.33% (quarterly), -3.76% (minimum discount); Volatility: 4.74% (monthly), 5.79% (quarterly), 5.60% (minimum discount); Maximum Drawdown: -14.00% (monthly), -12.63% (quarterly), -11.11% (minimum discount); Net Value: 0.8521 (monthly), 0.8849 (quarterly), 0.9009 (minimum discount); Annual Turnover: 12 (monthly), 4 (quarterly), 15.96 (minimum discount); 2025 YTD Return: -8.68% (monthly), -3.91% (quarterly), -3.47% (minimum discount)[59] - Cinda-VIX, 30-day VIX values: 17.29 (SSE 50), 15.95 (CSI 300), 23.13 (CSI 500), 21.70 (CSI 1000)[62] - Cinda-SKEW, 30-day SKEW values: 100.62 (SSE 50), 101.40 (CSI 300), 96.04 (CSI 500), 102.73 (CSI 1000)[71]

德国DAX 30指数初步收跌0.48%，报23819.95点，本周累计下跌大约0.9%。 法国股指初步收跌0.65%，意大利股指初步收跌0.69%、银行指数跌0.91%，英国股指初步大致收平。 ...

加拿大多伦多股指开盘下跌22.97点，跌幅0.08%，报27,011.29点。 ...

证券研究报告 宏观 6月非农再超预期,7月降息概率回落 华泰研究 2025年7月04日|中国内地 动态点评 概览:6月美国新增非农就业 14.7万人,高于彭博一致预期的 11万人,此 前2个月累计小幅上修 1.6万人,虽然 Headline 数据再超预期,但结构偏 弱:私人部门就业明显降温:小时工资增速环比降温至 0.2%。不及预期的 0.3%;人均工作时长进一步下行。失业率虽然超预期下行 0.1pp 至 4.1%. 但可能主要是由于6月新增家庭就业低位反弹(由前月的-69.6万升至 9.3 万),叠加劳动参与率再度回落:后者或是驱逐移民所致。6月非农超预期, 但私人部门就业明显放缓,显示就业市场仍延续逐步降温态势。由于数据超 预期,联储降息预期回撤,美债收益率上行:市场定价2025年累计降息预 期下行 10bp 至 51bp. 2 年期、10 年期美债收益率分别上行 12bp、8bp 至 3.88%、4.34%,美元指数走高,美股三大股指上涨。 6 月新增非农 Headline 数据超预期,但持续性有待观察。结构上,6 月政 府就业特别是州/地方政府新增就业明显加速. 贡献新增就业的一半以上: 而私人部门新 ...

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.7.4」 期货从业资格号F30825507 期货投资咨询证号：Z0020723 联系电话：4008-8787-66 取 更 多 资 讯 关 注 我 们 获 业务咨询 添加客服 「摘要」 • 周度观点：A股主要指数本周普遍上涨，除科创50外均录得上涨。四期指表现分化，大盘蓝 筹股强于中小盘股。本周一，国内6月PMI公布，三大PMI指数均较上月回升，市场情绪受到 推动；周二至周四市场震荡整理；周五午间，商务部发言人表示中美双方将各自解除经贸限 制，带动A股午后拉升。本周，市场成交活跃度较上周小幅回落。 2 来源：瑞达期货研究院 股指期货周报 作者：廖宏斌 目录 1、行情回顾 2、消息面概览 3、周度市场数据 4、行情展望与策略 1、行情回顾 2020.06.30 厦门 「行情回顾」 | 期货 | 合约名称 | 周涨跌幅% | 周五涨跌幅% | 收盘价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | IF2509 | 1.53 | 0.46 | 3936.0 | | | IH2509 | 1.39 | 0.62 | 2717.2 | | | IC2509 | ...

股指期货持仓日度跟踪 投资咨询业务资格： 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88830760 E-Mail：zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录： 股指期货： IF、IH、IC、IM | 品种 | | 主力合 约 | 总持仓点评 | 前二十席位重要变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深 | 300 | IF2509 | 总持仓变化不大 | 国君多空头减仓超 1000 手 | | 上证 | 50 | IH2509 | 总持仓稍有下降 | 前二十席位以减仓为主 | | 中证 | 500 | IC2507 | 总持仓稍有上升 | 前二十席位变化不大 | | 中证 | 1000 | IM2509 | 总持仓稍有上升 | 中信空头减仓超 1000 手 | 股指期货持仓日度变动简评 -663.0 -921.0 -153.0 2,343.0 -481.0 -1,877.0 1,566.0 2,566.0 -2,500 -2,000 -1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 IF IH IC IM 主力合约持 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监证可【2012】31号 股 損 行 情 综 试 宏观金融数据日报 | | 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | | 期货执业证号:F3074875; 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 | | 2025/7/4 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动(bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 (bp) | | | DR001 | 1.51 | -4.43 | DR007 | 1.91 | -3.79 | | | GC001 | 1.15 | -20.00 | GC007 | 1.49 | -1.50 | | ह | | | | | | | | | SHBOR 3M | 1.61 | -1.35 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 而 | 1年期国债 | 1.34 | -0.50 | 5年期国债 | 1.49 | 0.50 | | 市 | | | | | | | | | 10年期国债 | 1.65 | 0.10 | 10年期美债 | 4.30 | 4.00 | | ...

Group 1 - Major European stock indices opened slightly lower, with Germany's DAX30 index down by 0.28% [1] - The UK's FTSE 100 index opened down by 0.36% [1] - The Euro Stoxx 50 index opened down by 0.60% [1] - France's CAC40 index opened down by 0.54% [1]

金十期货7月4日讯，沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约涨0.46%，上证50股指期货（IH）主力合约涨 0.62%，中证500股指期货（IC）主力合约跌0.01%，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力合约跌0.43%。 股指期货午盘收盘 ...