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宏观金融数据日报-20250711
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-11 03:07
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, with few domestic and foreign positive factors, the market sentiment and liquidity are fair, and the stock index may show a relatively strong oscillatory pattern. - In the long - term, the Politburo meeting at the end of July will set the policy tone for the second half of the year. Given the possible further deterioration of real estate sales and investment and the overall weakness of consumption, policies are expected to further strengthen to support domestic demand. - The uncertainty of US tariff policies, the approaching Fed rate - cut time, and changes in overseas liquidity and geopolitical patterns will bring periodic trading opportunities for the stock index [4]. 3. Summary by Related Content Money Market - DR001 closed at 1.32 with a 0.58bp increase, DR007 at 1.49 with a 1.78bp increase, GC001 at 1.16 with a 27.50bp decrease, and GC007 at 1.49 with a 2.00bp decrease. SHBOR 3M closed at 1.56 with a 0.30bp decrease, and LPR 5 - year remained at 3.50. - 1 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year treasury bonds closed at 1.37, 1.51, and 1.66 respectively, with increases of 1.25bp, 2.25bp, and 1.35bp. The 10 - year US Treasury bond closed at 4.34 with an 8.00bp decrease. - The central bank conducted 90 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 57.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 32.8 billion yuan. This week, there are 652.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing in the central bank's open - market operations, with 34 billion yuan maturing on Friday. The inter - bank market liquidity has further eased, and major repurchase rates have declined [4]. Stock Index Market - The closing prices of major stock indices on the previous day: CSI 300 at 4010 (up 0.47%), SSE 50 at 2757 (up 0.62%), CSI 500 at 2983 (up 0.50%), and CSI 1000 at 6407 (up 0.25%). The trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased by 18.2%, 32.7%, 3.7%, and 3.6% respectively, and the positions increased by 4.8%, 11.2%, 2.4%, and 3.5% respectively. - The previous day's trading volume in the two stock markets was 1.4942 trillion yuan, a slight reduction of 11 billion yuan. Most industry sectors rose, with real estate development, engineering consulting services, etc. leading the gains, and jewelry, shipbuilding leading the losses. - The expectation of real - estate policies resurfaced yesterday, and the "small essays" on real - estate significantly boosted the real - estate and building - materials sectors. It is rumored that a central urban work conference will be held next week, which may make policy arrangements for restarting the shantytown renovation [4]. Futures Contract Premium and Discount Situation - The premium and discount rates of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts in different periods are provided, with some contracts showing premium and others showing discount [4].
地产金融表现强劲,大盘股指相对偏强
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-07-10 10:31
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - Today, the stock indices closed higher overall, with a slight decline in the late trading session. The "Beijing Special Action Plan for Deepening Reforms to Boost Consumption" issued by the Beijing Municipal Government mentioned optimizing the new supply of housing consumption and relevant policies, which stimulated the real - estate sector to surge significantly after the afternoon opening and led the gains today. Besides the real - estate sector, the financial sector also performed strongly, with the stock prices of the four major banks hitting new historical highs, driving the relatively stronger performance of large - cap stocks. Overseas, there has been a new trade storm recently, as Trump threatened multiple countries with new tariff rates, but the market reaction was relatively desensitized, waiting for subsequent data verification. Although the trading volume of the two markets decreased slightly today, it still approached 1.5 trillion yuan, and there was no obvious change in market sentiment. Therefore, it is expected that the stock indices will continue to fluctuate slightly stronger in the short term [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - Today, the stock indices closed higher. For example, the CSI 300 index closed up 0.47%. In terms of capital flow, the trading volume of the two markets decreased by 11.028 billion yuan. All stock index futures increased in volume and price [4]. Important Information - President Trump posted letters to the leaders of eight countries regarding tariff increases on social media platforms. The new tariff rates will take effect on August 1st. - The Beijing Municipal Government issued the "Beijing Special Action Plan for Deepening Reforms to Boost Consumption". The overall requirement is to combine market and government forces, promote both supply and demand, support both enterprises and scenarios, and integrate international and domestic resources. By 2030, the city aims to achieve an average annual growth of about 5% in total market consumption, create 2 - 3 new consumption landmarks with a scale of 100 billion yuan integrating culture, business, tourism, and sports, and further enhance its radiation, resource allocation, and innovation - leading capabilities in the global consumption market, making new breakthroughs in building an international consumption center city [5]. Strategy Recommendation - Hold long positions and wait and see [7]. Futures Market Observation | | IF | IH | IC | IM | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Main contract intraday change (%) | 0.38 | 0.49 | 0.36 | 0.19 | | Trading volume (10,000 lots) | 9.7027 | 5.6248 | 7.3407 | 16.8165 | | Trading volume change (10,000 lots) | 1.4938 | 1.3869 | 0.2623 | 0.5777 | | Open interest (10,000 lots) | 25.802 | 9.5486 | 22.7469 | 33.3057 | | Open interest change (10,000 lots) | 1.1835 | 0.9632 | 0.5291 | 1.1313 | [7][8] Spot Market Observation | Name | Value | | --- | --- | | Shanghai Composite Index change (%) | 0.48 | | Shenzhen Component Index change (%) | 0.47 | | Ratio of rising to falling stocks | 1.29 | | Trading volume of the two markets (billion yuan) | 1494.148 | | Trading volume change (billion yuan) | - 11.028 | [8]
宏观金融数据日报-20250708
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 07:42
Group 1: Market Interest Rates and Central Bank Operations - DROO1 closed at 1.31 with a 0.05bp increase, DR007 at 1.47 with a 4.37bp increase, GC001 at 1.49 with a 5.50bp increase, and GC007 at 1.51 with a 2.00bp increase [3] - SHBOR 3M closed at 1.58 with a 1.80bp decrease, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.34 with a 0.40bp increase, 5 - year treasury at 1.47 with a 0.15bp increase, 10 - year treasury at 1.64 with a 0.10bp decrease, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.35 with a 5.00bp increase [3] - The central bank conducted 1065 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 3315 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 2250 billion yuan [3] - This week, 6522 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market, with 1310 billion, 985 billion, 572 billion, and 340 billion maturing from Tuesday to Friday respectively [4] Group 2: Stock Index Performance - The CSI 300 closed at 3965, down 0.43%; the SSE 50 at 2732, down 0.33%; the CSI 500 at 5900, down 0.19%; and the CSI 1000 at 6327, up 0.24% [5] - The trading volume of the CSI 300 futures (IF) was 67470, down 46.5, and the open interest was 243305, down 8.5; for the SSE 50 futures (IH), the trading volume was 32788, down 50.5, and the open interest was 85845, down 12.2; for the CSI 500 futures (IC), the trading volume was 55201, down 44.4, and the open interest was 220939, down 6.6; for the CSI 1000 futures (IM), the trading volume was 136314, down 45.5, and the open interest was 320782, down 8.7 [5] - The trading volume of the two stock markets was 12087 billion yuan, a decrease of 2199 billion yuan from last Friday. Most industry sectors rose, with the power, grid equipment, household light industry, power supply equipment, diversified finance, real estate development, packaging materials, and public utility sectors leading the gains, while the biological products and medical service sectors leading the losses [5] Group 3: Stock Index Outlook - In the short term, with few domestic and foreign positive factors, there is resistance for the stock index to break through further and it may show a volatile pattern [6] - In the long term, the Politburo meeting at the end of July will set the policy tone for the second half of the year. Given the possible further deterioration of real - estate sales and investment and the overall weakness of consumption, policies are expected to further support domestic demand. Meanwhile, the US tariff policy is yet to be finalized, and with the approaching Fed rate - cut time, overseas liquidity easing expectations and changes in the geopolitical situation will bring phased trading opportunities for the stock index [6] Group 4: Futures Premium and Discount - The IF premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 16.88%, 8.92%, 5.87%, and 4.58% respectively [7] - The IH premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 21.78%, 7.93%, 4.25%, and 1.92% respectively [7] - The IC premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 23.17%, 15.23%, 12.77%, and 10.37% respectively [7] - The IM premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 31.43%, 20.58%, 16.80%, and 14.00% respectively [7]
大类资产早报-20250702
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-02 01:51
Report Information - Report Date: July 2, 2025 [2] - Report Title: Big - Asset Morning Report [9] Global Asset Market Performance 10 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - As of July 1, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields of the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.243%, 4.453%, 3.250% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.035% (UK) to 0.052% (Japan), weekly changes from - 0.119% (Brazil) to 0.063% (Germany), monthly changes from - 0.213% (US) to 0.183% (Switzerland), and annual changes from - 0.961% (Japan) to 0.371% (UK) [3] 2 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On July 1, 2025, the 2 - year Treasury yields of the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.730%, 3.821%, 1.844% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.013% (Germany) to 0.030% (US), weekly changes from - 0.170% (US) to 0.026% (South Korea), monthly changes from - 0.230% (US) to 0.063% (Germany), and annual changes from - 1.424% (Italy) to 0.438% (Japan) [3] US Dollar Exchange Rates Against Major Emerging - Market Currencies - As of July 1, 2025, the exchange rates of the US dollar against the Brazilian real, Russian ruble, etc. were 5.459, 108.000 respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.65% (South African rand) to 0.50% (Brazilian real), weekly changes from - 1.20% (Malaysian ringgit) to 0.00% (Russian ruble), monthly changes from - 3.19% (Brazilian real) to 0.00% (Russian ruble), and annual changes from - 11.54% (Thai baht) to 0.49% (Brazilian real) [3] Stock Indices of Major Economies - On July 1, 2025, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, etc. were 6198.010, 44494.940 respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 1.24% (Nikkei) to 1.88% (Thai index), weekly changes from - 0.45% (South Korean index) to 3.26% (Dow Jones), monthly changes from - 1.84% (Indian index) to 6.78% (Nikkei), and annual changes from - 15.03% (Thai index) to 33.52% (Hang Seng Index) [3] Credit Bond Indices - As of July 1, 2025, the US investment - grade corporate bond index, euro - area investment - grade corporate bond index, etc. were 3428.740, 263.071 respectively. The latest changes ranged from 0.04% (euro - area high - yield corporate bond index) to 0.28% (emerging - market high - yield corporate bond index), weekly changes from - 0.01% (euro - area high - yield corporate bond index) to 0.95% (emerging - market high - yield corporate bond index), monthly changes from 0.33% (euro - area high - yield corporate bond index) to 2.22% (emerging - market high - yield corporate bond index), and annual changes from 6.12% (euro - area investment - grade corporate bond index) to 14.36% (emerging - market high - yield corporate bond index) [3][4] Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, etc. were 3457.75, 3942.76 respectively. The daily changes were 0.39% (A - shares), 0.17% (CSI 300), etc. [5] Valuation - The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 13.12, 11.26 respectively. The环比 changes were 0.05 (CSI 300), 0.05 (SSE 50), etc. [5] Risk Premium - The risk premiums of CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 3.70, 5.77 respectively. The环比 changes were 0.00 (CSI 300), 0.00 (SSE 50), etc. [5] Fund Flows - The latest values of A - shares, main board, etc. were - 746.29, - 399.28 respectively. The 5 - day average values were - 280.06 (A - shares), - 209.33 (main board), etc. [5] Trading Volume - The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, etc. were 14660.15, 2360.70 respectively. The环比 changes were - 208.42 (Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets), - 527.51 (CSI 300), etc. [5] Main Contract Premiums or Discounts - The basis of IF, IH, IC were - 56.76, - 27.91, - 66.67 respectively. The magnitudes were - 1.44% (IF), - 1.03% (IH), - 1.12% (IC) [5] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of T00, TF00, etc. were 109.005, 106.205 respectively. The daily changes were - 0.14% (T00), - 0.10% (TF00), etc. [6] - The funding rates of R001, R007, SHIBOR - 3M were 1.4493%, 1.6175%, 1.6280% respectively. The daily changes were - 56.00 (R001), - 39.00 (R007), 0.00 (SHIBOR - 3M) [6]
制造业PMI回升,指数上涨
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-01 05:48
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The cancellation of the digital services tax by Canada to promote trade negotiations with the US led to a full - scale increase in the three major US stock indices. China's manufacturing PMI has rebounded for two consecutive months. Affected by pre - export rush, both supply and demand have improved, but it is still below the boom - bust line, and the economy is in the bottom - building stage. Benefiting from the simultaneous improvement of the domestic and overseas environments, the stock index is in the repair period after a short - term sharp rise [1][3]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Macro - economic Charts - In China, in June, the manufacturing, non - manufacturing, and composite PMIs were 49.7%, 50.5%, and 50.7% respectively, up 0.2, 0.2, and 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. The PMIs of the equipment manufacturing, high - tech manufacturing, and consumer goods industries have been in the expansion range for two consecutive months. Overseas, Fed's Bostic still expects the Fed to cut interest rates once this year and three times next year [1]. 3.2 Spot Market Tracking Charts - A - share three major indices fluctuated and rebounded. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.59% to close at 3444.43 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.35%. In the industry, most sector indices rose, with national defense and military industry, media, communication, and electronics industries leading the gains. Only the banking, non - banking finance, and transportation industries closed down. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets decreased slightly to 1.5 trillion yuan. The three major US stock indices closed up, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.63% to 44094.77 points [1]. 3.3 Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - In the futures market, the basis trend was differentiated, and the discount of the near - month contracts of IC and IM deepened. In terms of trading volume and open interest, the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures decreased simultaneously [2].
宏观金融数据日报-20250701
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-01 05:42
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, after a strong breakthrough, the stock index is more likely to strengthen and fluctuate under the drive of sentiment and liquidity. Attention should be paid to macro incremental information for guidance on the stock index direction. In the long - term, the Politburo meeting at the end of July will set the policy tone for the second half of the year. Given the possible further deterioration of real estate sales and investment and the overall weakness of consumption, policies are expected to further support domestic demand. Overseas, the uncertainty of US tariff policies, the approaching Fed rate - cut time, and changes in geopolitical patterns will bring phased trading opportunities for the stock index [6]. - In the future, the central bank may continue to reasonably supplement liquidity through over - renewal of MLF or in combination with reverse repurchase tools in the second half of the year [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DRO01 closed at 1.51 with a 14.09bp increase, DR007 at 1.91 with a 20.92bp increase, GC001 at 2.14 with a 175.00bp decrease, GC007 at 1.69 with a 34.50bp decrease, SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with no change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.34 with a 0.50bp decrease, 5 - year treasury at 1.49 with a 0.50bp increase, 10 - year treasury at 1.65 with a 0.10bp increase, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.29 with a 3.00bp increase [3]. - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 3315 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 2205 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 1110 billion yuan. This week, 20275 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature. The central bank will conduct 3000 billion yuan of 1 - year MLF operations on the 25th, with 1820 billion yuan maturing, achieving a net injection of 1180 billion yuan for the fourth consecutive month. Combining with reverse repurchase operations, the net injection of medium - term liquidity is 3180 billion yuan [3][4]. 3.2 Stock Index Market - **Index Performance**: Yesterday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 rose 0.37% to 3936.1, the Shanghai 50 rose 0.16% to 2712, the CSI 500 rose 0.88% to 5915.4, and the CSI 1000 rose 1.26% to 6356.2. The trading volume of the two markets was 14869 billion yuan, a decrease of 542 billion yuan from last Friday. Industries such as aerospace, gaming, shipbuilding, photovoltaic equipment, medical services, electronic chemicals, jewelry, small metals, and communication equipment led the gains, while only the securities, banking, cement building materials, and airport sectors declined [5]. - **Futures Contracts**: IF当月 rose 0.4%, IH当月 rose 0.3%, IC当月 rose 0.6%, and IM当月 rose 0.8%. The trading volume and positions of all four futures contracts decreased, with IF trading volume down 26.4%, IH trading volume down 31.3%, IC trading volume down 13.7%, and IM trading volume down 11.4%. IF positions decreased by 3.8%, IH positions by 9.1%, IC positions by 3.4%, and IM positions by 5.7% [5]. - **Premium and Discount**: IF premium/discount rates for the current, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 15.29%, 8.64%, 5.76%, and 4.34% respectively; IH are 14.20%, 6.73%, 3.82%, and 1.72% respectively; IC are 17.96%, 12.96%, 11.17%, and 9.52% respectively; IM are 23.35%, 16.93%, 14.72%, and 12.79% respectively [7].
宏观金融数据日报-20250630
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 06:09
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank's open - market operations last week had a net injection of 126.72 billion yuan, and this week, 202.75 billion yuan of reverse repos will mature. The central bank will conduct a 30 - billion - yuan 1 - year MLF operation on the 25th, with a net injection of 31.8 billion yuan in medium - term liquidity. It is expected that the central bank may continue to supplement liquidity through operations in the second half of the year [4][5] - In the first half of the year, the stock index showed a volatile pattern. Due to insufficient domestic demand support, significant policy support, and frequent overseas disturbances, the upward and downward movement of the stock index was restricted. In the second half of the year, the Politburo meeting in late July will set the policy tone. Policy support for domestic demand is expected to increase, and overseas factors will bring trading opportunities [7] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Interest Rate Market - **Interest Rate Data**: DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a - 0.17bp change, DR007 at 1.70 with a 1.18bp change, GC001 at 3.89 with a 216.50bp change, etc. [4] - **Central Bank Operations**: Last week, the central bank conducted 202.75 billion yuan of reverse repo operations and 30 billion yuan of MLF operations, with a net injection of 126.72 billion yuan. This week, 202.75 billion yuan of reverse repos will mature, and a 30 - billion - yuan 1 - year MLF operation will be carried out on the 25th, with a net injection of 31.8 billion yuan in medium - term liquidity [4][5] 3.2 Stock Index Market - **Stock Index Quotes**: On the last trading day of the week, the CSI 300 fell 0.61% to 3921.8, the SSE 50 fell 1.13% to 2707.6, the CSI 500 rose 0.44% to 5863.7, and the CSI 1000 rose 0.47% to 6276.9. The trading volume of the two markets was 1.5411 trillion yuan, a decrease of 42.1 billion yuan. The industry sectors showed more gains than losses [6] - **Stock Index Analysis**: In the first half of the year, the stock index showed a volatile pattern. In the second half of the year, policy support for domestic demand is expected to increase, and overseas factors will bring trading opportunities [7] - **Stock Index Futures**: The IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts all have different levels of premium or discount rates [8]
宏观金融数据日报-20250626
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 03:30
期货执业证号:F3074875: 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 2025/6/26 | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (bp) | | | (bp) | | | DR001 | 1.37 | 0.11 | DR007 | 1.69 | 2.52 | | | GC001 | 1.81 | 21.00 | GC007 | 1.97 | 7.00 | | 化 贝 | SHBOR 3M | 1.63 | 0.10 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | H | 1年期国债 | 1.37 | 0.28 | 5年期国债 | 1.52 | 0.03 | | 市 | 10年期国债 | 1.65 | 0.40 | 10年期美债 | 4.30 | -4.00 | | 场 | 回顾:央行昨日开展了3653亿元7天期逆回购操作,当日1563亿元逆回购 | | | | | | | 与 | 到期,据此计算,单日净投放2090亿元。 热评:本周央行公开市场有9603亿元 ...
宏观金融数据日报-20250624
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-24 07:15
热评:本周央行公开市场有9603亿元逆回购到期,其中周二至周五分别到 期1973亿元、1563亿元、2035亿元、1612亿元。一年来,央行坚持支持性 的货币政策立场,从数量、价格、结构等方面,出台了多项货币政策措 施,有效支持了经济持续回升向好和金融市场的稳定。同时,央行完善货 币政策框架,优化货币政策中间变量,培育政策利率,提升货币政策传导 效率,丰富货币政策工具箱,做好政策沟通和预期引导。货币政策框架的 转型是一个渐进、持续的过程,未来央行还将不断地做好评估和完善。 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前一日变动 (%) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 我則一日受 动(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深300 | 3858 | 0.29 | IF当月 | 3823 | 0.5 | | 上证50 | 2685 | 0.41 | IH当月 | 2654 | 0.7 | | 中证500 | 5674 | 0.61 | IC当月 | 5626 | 0.7 | | 中证1000 | 6078 | 1.31 | IM当月 | 6001 | 1.1 | | IF成交量 | ...
股指早报:陆家嘴金融论坛开幕,关注政策层面消息-20250618
Chuang Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 08:14
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints - Overseas data shows the cooling of the US economy, but it's not enough to change the Fed's stance. The Middle - East geopolitical instability has raised market risk - aversion. Domestic A - shares are in a state of stock game, with expectations of index repair and attention to policies from the Lujiazui Financial Forum and foreign capital inflows [1][2][11] Summary by Directory 1.行情观点 1.1 Overseas Overnight - The US May retail sales monthly rate was - 0.9%, lower than expected and the previous value, the largest decline since March 2023, mainly due to the drop in car purchases. The May industrial output monthly rate was - 0.2%, also lower than expected and the previous value. The Fed is more concerned about labor - market data and is delaying interest - rate cuts due to internal contradictions. Overnight, the US dollar index rose, US bond yields increased, gold slightly rose, crude oil rose, US stock indexes fell, and the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index dropped, with the offshore RMB exchange rate depreciating. Middle - East geopolitical fluctuations increased market risk - aversion [1][4] 1.2 Domestic Market Review - On Tuesday, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.12%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.36%. The market showed a volatile correction. Although the index decline was limited, individual - stock declines widened. The market was mainly affected by news and in a state of stock game with sector rotation. Coal, public utilities, etc. rose, while pharmaceutical biology, beauty care, etc. fell. The Lujiazui Forum is being held, and policy news is to be focused on [2][5] 1.3 Important News - The US Senate passed a stablecoin bill. Trump mentioned upcoming drug tariffs. 95% of central banks expect gold reserves to rise in the next 12 months. The "Fed whisperer" said the Fed would have been ready to cut interest rates this week without tariff risks. There are ongoing developments in the Israel - Iran conflict, and China announced evacuating citizens from Iran and Israel. China's new - generation manned spacecraft had a successful test [6][7][9] 1.4 Today's Strategy - Pay attention to whether the US will directly attack Iran and the intensification of great - power games. Domestic A - shares are in a stock game. With the expectation of policies from the Lujiazui Financial Forum, the index is expected to repair. Focus on policy news' impact on index trading volume and foreign capital inflows when gold prices are high [11] 2. Futures Market Tracking - The document presents the performance, trading volume, and positions of futures contracts for the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indexes, including data such as closing prices, settlement prices, trading volume changes, and position changes [13][14] 3. Spot Market Tracking - It shows the current points, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual changes, trading volume, and valuation of major stock indexes and sectors. Market - style contributions to the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indexes are also presented, along with charts on market trading volume, turnover rate, and other indicators [36][37][38] 4. Liquidity Tracking - Charts on central - bank open - market operations and Shibor interest - rate levels are provided [53]