Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen's economy showed steady growth in the first half of 2025, with a GDP of 18,322.26 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.1% at constant prices [2][12]. Group 1: Industrial Production - The industrial added value of large-scale enterprises in Shenzhen increased by 4.3% year-on-year, with a slight acceleration of 0.1 percentage points compared to the first quarter [3]. - The manufacturing sector grew by 4.2%, while the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry saw an increase of 11.8% [3]. - High-tech product output experienced rapid growth, with civil drones, industrial robots, and 3D printing equipment increasing by 59.0%, 38.0%, and 35.8% respectively [3]. Group 2: Service Industry - The added value of the service industry reached 11,806.37 billion yuan, growing by 6.1% year-on-year, with a 0.1 percentage point increase from the first quarter [4]. - Key sectors such as finance, transportation, and information technology services reported growth rates of 10.9%, 9.0%, and 8.1% respectively [4][5]. Group 3: Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment in Shenzhen decreased by 10.9% year-on-year, with real estate development investment dropping by 15.1% [6]. - However, infrastructure investment grew by 7.7%, and industrial technological transformation investment surged by 47.1% [6]. Group 4: Market Sales - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 4,948.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.5%, marking a 0.4 percentage point acceleration from the first quarter [7]. - Significant growth was observed in the sales of home appliances and audio-visual equipment, which increased by 55.7%, and cultural office supplies, which rose by 32.9% [7][19]. Group 5: Trade - The total import and export volume was 21,675.45 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.1%, but the decline was narrower by 1.7 percentage points compared to the first quarter [8]. - Exports amounted to 13,086.81 billion yuan, down by 7.0%, while imports increased by 9.5% to 8,588.64 billion yuan [8]. Group 6: Financial Sector - By the end of June, the balance of deposits in financial institutions (including foreign capital) reached 141,600.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.7% [9]. - The balance of loans in financial institutions (including foreign capital) was 98,469.91 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5% [9].

日本央行副行长内田真一说，除了协议本身仍存在的一些疑问外，美国与其他国家达成贸易协议的速 度、关税对日本国内外经济的影响，以及多久能在硬数据中看到关税的效应，都将在未来左右央行决 策。 在8月1日所谓的特朗普"关税大限"前，美日达成贸易协议，会对今年下半年日本经济产生何种影响？ 综合新华社与央视新闻报道，一周前，美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上发文称，美国与日本达成贸易协 议。特朗普称，根据这项协议，日本将向美国投资5500亿美元，美国将获得投资利润的90%。日本将向 美国开放汽车、卡车、大米及某些其他农产品和商品市场，美国将对日本输美产品征收15%的关税。日 本首相石破茂随后也回应称，日本与美国就关税问题达成一致。 牛津经济研究院（Oxford Economics）日本首席经济学家长井滋人（Nagai Shigeto）也认为，尽管日美 达成贸易协议，但依旧看空日本经济增长的预期，"黯淡的出口前景和全球关税的高度不确定性使我们 维持之前的判断。特别是对日本来说，围绕全球贸易政策的不确定性增加将意味着对资本货物的需求降 低。"牛津经济研究院认为，日本经济今年将保持0.8%的增长，明年为0.4%。 长井表示，作为降低关 ...

Economic Overview - China's GDP exceeded 66 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, growing by 5.3% year-on-year, laying a solid foundation for the annual target of around 5% [1][4] - The economy showed resilience with a 5.2% growth in Q2, supported by unexpected export performance and a series of incremental policies that boosted consumption [1][4] Export Performance - Exports grew by 5.9% year-on-year in the first half, outperforming expectations despite pressures from U.S. tariffs, indicating a shift towards a more competitive and innovative export structure [6][4] - The export sector is expected to face challenges in the second half due to uncertainties in U.S.-China trade negotiations, but the overall impact may be less severe than anticipated [6][4] Investment Trends - Investment growth has slowed, with declines in real estate and infrastructure investments, necessitating stronger policy support to stabilize investment levels [7][4] - Industrial profits and profit margins have decreased compared to the previous year, indicating a need for enhanced investment policies [7][4] Consumption Outlook - Consumption is projected to maintain steady growth, supported by policies such as the 1.38 billion yuan "old-for-new" subsidy and potential increases in social security and income [7][4] - The long-term strategy for boosting consumption involves addressing supply bottlenecks and improving income distribution [15][4] Fiscal and Monetary Policy - A more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy are essential to stimulate demand and support economic recovery [10][4] - The broad fiscal expenditure increased by 8.9% year-on-year in the first half, contributing significantly to economic growth [10][4] Real Estate Market - The real estate market is experiencing increased sales area and sales volume declines, necessitating stronger measures to stabilize the market [16][4] - Policies aimed at improving liquidity for real estate developers and addressing debt issues are expected to be introduced in the second half [17][4] Anti-"Involution" Measures - Efforts to combat "involution" in competitive sectors are crucial for restoring market equilibrium and improving investment returns [18][4] - Regulatory measures are needed to prevent irrational pricing behaviors and ensure fair competition in the market [19][4]

截至7月28日，31省份（不含港、澳、台）公布了2025年上半年经济运行情况。经济大省在成功挑起经 济增长大梁的同时，个别省份的经济数据也出现了波动。 前八大经济省份中，除广东外，其余七个省份上半年GDP增速均超过全国平均增速（5.3%），且均在 5.6%及以上。在31省份中，上半年广东GDP增速为4.2%，与海南并列倒数第三。 具体来看，上半年有20个省份的GDP增速超过了全国平均增速。其中，西藏、甘肃、湖北的GDP增速 位居全国前三，且均在6%以上。 上半年，湖北GDP总量位于全国第七，增速达6.2%，较全国高出0.9个百分点，这一增速也超出了湖北 过去三年的全年GDP增速。 湖北统计局在解读上半年经济运行情况时称，上半年湖北交出了一份成色好、分量足的成绩单。这是在 二季度外部压力明显加大的背景下取得的成绩，得来不易，需要倍加珍惜。但也要看到，外部不确定不 稳定因素较多，内部结构性矛盾还没有根本缓解。 GDP总量位居全国第二、第三的江苏和山东，年初将GDP增速目标设定为5%以上。今年上半年江苏的 GDP增速达5.7%，山东达5.6%，彰显出经济大省的增长韧性。 整体而言，不少省份经济增长超出预期。2025 ...

新加坡金融管理局强调，当前的货币政策立场与中期物价稳定的目标相符，因此决定维持现有的货币政 策设置不变，以支持经济平稳过渡并应对可能出现的挑战。 （文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经北京7月30日电新加坡金融管理局（MAS）表示，将继续维持新加坡元名义有效汇率政策区间 的现行升值幅度不变，同时保持货币区间的宽度和中点稳定。 新加坡金融管理局指出，尽管全球和新加坡本地经济展现出一定的韧性，但随着前期投资活动效应的逐 渐消退，预计经济增长势头将在2025年下半年有所放缓。此外，贸易冲突、金融或地缘政治冲击的潜在 升级也可能进一步拖累全球经济，并影响新加坡的增长前景。 对于通胀预期，新加坡金融管理局预测2025年全年核心通胀率和消费者物价指数（CPI）通胀率将平均 保持在0.5%至1.5%之间。短期内，通胀压力应能得到有效控制，然而未来几个季度的通胀前景仍面临 上行和下行风险。 ...

Group 1 - The core report indicates that Jiangsu Province's economic performance in the first half of 2025 is stable and shows progress, achieving a GDP of nearly 6.7 trillion yuan, which accounts for over 10% of the national total, with a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, surpassing the national average by 0.4 percentage points [2] - The "Su Chao" events have significantly contributed to the local economy, with service revenue from five monitored scenarios reaching approximately 380 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 42.7% [1] - The report highlights that out-of-province tourist spending in the travel and dining sectors accounted for 28.8% and 19.7% of the total service revenue, respectively, suggesting a strong impact from external visitors [1] Group 2 - The provincial government has successfully met 22 out of 41 planned economic indicators for the year, with seven indicators, including GDP and revenue from the productive service industry, progressing faster than scheduled [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of creating more integrated experiences around events, such as food and entertainment, to further stimulate economic activity [1]

欧洲央行管委马赫鲁夫：美国对欧盟商品征收15%的关税将抑制经济增长，但不确定性的减少将部分抵 消影响。 ...

欧洲央行管委马赫鲁夫：经济增长广泛发展，符合预期。 ...

匈牙利经济部：下半年经济将按年增长1%至2%。 ...

Economic Overview - The GDP of Tai'an City in Shandong Province grew by 6.2% year-on-year in the first half of the year, reaching 192.34 billion yuan [1] - The total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by 7.6% year-on-year [1] - The total output value of the construction industry rose by 5.7% year-on-year [1] Industry Performance - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector achieved a total output value of 42.08 billion yuan, growing by 4.5% year-on-year [2] - The industrial production value for large-scale enterprises increased by 7.6% year-on-year, with manufacturing leading at 9.3% growth [2] - The construction industry completed a total output value of 61.03 billion yuan, with significant contributions from installation and construction projects [2] Service Sector Growth - The revenue of large-scale service enterprises reached 16.21 billion yuan from January to May, marking an 11.0% year-on-year increase [3] - Among the ten major service sectors, eight experienced positive revenue growth, with seven sectors achieving double-digit growth [3] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment in Tai'an increased by 5.1% year-on-year, with industrial investment rising by 23.3% [4] - Social retail sales of consumer goods grew by 7.6%, with significant contributions from home appliances and food categories [4] Foreign Trade - The total import and export value reached 29.22 billion yuan, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase, with exports growing by 27.9% [5] - New markets in Africa and Latin America contributed significantly to export growth [5] Financial Stability - The general public budget revenue was 16.62 billion yuan, up by 4.2% year-on-year, while expenditures increased by 5.0% [6] - By the end of June, the balance of deposits in financial institutions reached 738.91 billion yuan, growing by 10.5% [7] Energy Consumption - Total electricity consumption was 14.43 billion kWh, with industrial and service sectors showing growth of 2.0% and 4.9% respectively [7]