Core Insights - The global asset allocation trend is shifting towards increasing allocation in RMB assets, driven by China's economic recovery and technological innovations like AI, with A-shares expected to continue rising and sectors like new energy and consumption showing investment value [1][2][4] Global Asset Allocation Trends - Two main themes have emerged in global asset allocation: the first is risk aversion, with gold prices rising significantly as central banks increase their gold holdings, indicating strong market demand for safe-haven assets [4] - The second theme is the "valuation gap effect" in risk assets, where funds are moving towards undervalued assets, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, as the dollar's strength diminishes [4] - The increasing convertibility and liquidity of RMB assets are enhancing their appeal to international capital [4] A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market has shown resilience, with the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing a maximum increase of over 20% this year, maintaining a volatile yet upward trend after surpassing the 4000-point mark [7] - The current 4000-point level in A-shares differs fundamentally from previous bull markets, with a shift from retail and leveraged funds to institutional capital driving the market [9] - A-shares are expected to have a 20%-30% upside potential, supported by improving valuation and earnings [11] Investment Focus Areas - Three key investment directions are identified: technology sector opportunities, new energy sector expected to lead in the cross-year market, and precious metals as safe-haven assets [11] - The energy sector, including both new and traditional energy, is seen as a core driver of technological development, with innovative pharmaceuticals also gaining attention [11] - There is a noted overheating in AI hardware, with a potential shift of funds towards software and application sectors, emphasizing the importance of application services [11] Cross-Year Market Expectations - The A-share market is poised for a cross-year rally, supported by stable trading volumes and the absence of earnings burdens during the reporting gap [12] - New energy is expected to be the leading sector in the upcoming cross-year market, with regional sectors benefiting from policy expectations also gaining traction [13] - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is anticipated to provide clear policy signals that could further energize the market [13]

11月20日，以"立足湾区投资全球"为主题的2025湾区财富大会在深圳会展中心举行。当天下午举行的主 题为"湾区金融大咖会：谈市场--湾区跨境财富管理需求渐起"上，与会嘉宾围绕湾区跨境财富管理需求 的崛起展开深入探讨。 香港是海内外投资的"超级连接器" 在全球资产配置的版图中，香港作为连接中国内地与国际市场的"超级连接器"作用日益凸显。未来资产 中国业务发展总监张皓在会上指出，近年来互联互通机制，特别是ETF通的政策演进，为内地投资者开 辟了新的出海路径。 他提到，目前港股ETF通将包含40%非港股资产的ETF纳入南向通范围，这为内地投资者提供了一个无 需消耗QDII额度即可配置海外资产的有效出口。在中国的资管规模中，通过现有渠道配置海外的比例 尚不足1%，因此在ETF互联互通框架下提供差异化资产，对于满足高净值客户的全球配置需求"大有可 为"。 安本投资管理中国区销售及市场负责人郑东指出，境外市场在产品创新方面发展更为成熟，产品选择也 更为多元化。在当前内地面临资产荒、利率持续走低的背景下，通过互联互通、QDLP等机制，能够为 投资者提供多样化的替代解决方案。以香港市场为例，其拥有成熟的高派息产品，借助股债 ...

Market Overview - The global markets experienced a general decline, with major indices such as the Nasdaq down by 3.17% and the Shanghai Composite down by 2.07% [1] - Only the Indian Sensex and the Ho Chi Minh Index saw slight increases of 1.69% and 4.95% respectively, while gold prices also fell [1] Investment Strategies - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio showed a year-to-date return of 16.79%, despite a recent minor decline due to short-term corrections in the US stock market [6] - Over the past three years, the portfolio's returns were 13.13% for 2023, 7.87% for 2024, and higher for the current year, highlighting the benefits of global diversification [6] - The "Lazy Balanced" portfolio, which includes bonds, experienced a smaller drawdown with a return of approximately 12.46% this year, indicating strong volatility resistance [10] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The current market downturn is viewed as a technical correction following a strong performance, rather than a sign of systemic weakness [2] - The focus for the upcoming period should be on the earnings performance of leading companies, as this will drive market momentum [14][21] - The valuation of US stocks has decreased to below 60%, suggesting potential for further declines if the market continues to adjust [14] Portfolio Performance Metrics - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio has a cumulative return of +439.72% since inception, with a maximum drawdown of -35.21% and an annualized volatility of 18.18% [12] - The "Lazy Balanced" portfolio has a cumulative return of +8.50% since inception, with a maximum drawdown of -27.45% and an annualized volatility of 10.96% [14] - The "Small Helper Dividend" portfolio focuses on high-dividend funds, achieving a cumulative return of +366.07% [17] Investment Recommendations - The current market conditions suggest that it is a suitable time for regular investment in diversified portfolios, particularly those with a focus on dividend-paying assets [18][21] - The "Small Helper Hang Seng Stock Connect" portfolio remains resilient despite external market pressures, indicating a stable investment opportunity [20]

Core Insights - The article discusses the increasing interest of foreign institutional investors, particularly Barclays Bank, in Chinese public funds and their global asset allocation strategies [2][4][8]. Group 1: Investment Trends - Barclays Bank has become the largest foreign institutional buyer in the Chinese public fund market, holding over 200 products and creating a vast investment portfolio across four continents [2][4]. - The issuance of two Brazil ETFs by Chinese fund companies marks the first time domestic funds have entered the South American capital market, indicating an expansion of public fund cross-border ETF offerings [3][4]. - Foreign capital is continuously flowing into Chinese public products, with UBS increasing its holdings in Chinese ETFs from 57 to 141 within a year [2][4]. Group 2: Barclays' Investment Strategy - Barclays invested approximately 1.4 billion yuan in the two Brazil ETFs, becoming the largest holder with over 30% of the shares in one fund and nearly 25% in the other [4][6]. - The bank's investment strategy reflects a diversified approach, utilizing Chinese public funds to access global markets, including significant holdings in Hong Kong and U.S. ETFs [6][10]. - Barclays' asset allocation framework consists of 45% in Hong Kong stocks, 27% in U.S. stocks, and smaller allocations in other regions, showcasing a balanced global investment strategy [13]. Group 3: Market Performance and Risks - The Brazil IBOVESPA index, which the ETFs track, has shown a 10-year annualized return of over 12% and a current P/E ratio of 10.37, indicating potential investment value despite some risks associated with domestic political and currency fluctuations [4][5]. - Barclays has demonstrated a proactive investment approach, increasing holdings in key ETFs during market downturns, which has led to significant valuation recovery [14]. - Despite a diversified strategy, Barclays has faced challenges with individual stock selections, highlighting the complexities of investing in emerging markets [15].

Core Insights - The trend of foreign investors reducing their holdings in Chinese bonds while increasing their investments in U.S. Treasuries is noteworthy and reflects underlying economic factors [1][3][10] Group 1: Data Analysis - As of October 2025, foreign institutions held approximately 3.2 trillion yuan in Chinese bonds, a decrease of about 11.1% from 3.6 trillion yuan in the same period of 2024 [1] - In contrast, foreign investors net increased their holdings of U.S. Treasuries by approximately 280 billion dollars in the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant portion coming from Asia [1][3] Group 2: Economic Factors - The divergence in interest rate policies between China and the U.S. is a primary factor influencing this trend, with U.S. 10-year Treasury yields around 4.2% compared to China's 2.8%, creating a yield spread of 1.4 percentage points [3] - Currency fluctuations also play a critical role, as the Chinese yuan has depreciated by about 3.5% against the dollar since the beginning of 2025, impacting the total returns for foreign investors [3][10] Group 3: Investor Behavior - The reduction in Chinese bond holdings is primarily driven by hedge funds and short-term investment funds, which are more sensitive to yield changes [4] - Approximately 60% of the foreign investors reducing their Chinese bond holdings are private investment institutions, while 40% are official institutions, indicating that market-driven factors are predominant [4] Group 4: Market Fundamentals - The fundamentals of the Chinese bond market remain robust, with stable economic growth, sound fiscal conditions, and low default risk supporting the attractiveness of Chinese bonds [5][10] - The ongoing improvement of market access mechanisms, such as Bond Connect and QFII, is expected to enhance the investment environment for foreign investors [6][7] Group 5: Long-term Outlook - Historical trends suggest that the current adjustments may be temporary fluctuations within a longer-term upward trajectory of foreign participation in the Chinese bond market [4][10] - The internationalization of the yuan and its increasing use in global trade may enhance the demand for Chinese assets in the future [9] Group 6: Market Dynamics - The competition and cooperation between the Chinese and U.S. bond markets are likely to persist, fostering improvements in both markets [8] - The stability and predictability of regulatory policies are crucial for maintaining investor confidence in the Chinese bond market [8][10]

凌子敬表示，整体来看，香港ETF市场在资金流入、品种创新上呈现良好发展态势，随着互联互通渠道的完善，为内地投资者 提供了低门槛、低成本的参与路径。未来，随着品种持续丰富，香港ETF有望成为内地投资者全球资产配置的重要抓手。 2025湾区财富大会由21世纪经济报道、深圳金博会运营发展有限公司联合主办，广东粤港澳大湾区研究院、湾区金融大咖会提 供智库支持。 据凌子敬介绍，目前香港市场共有约200多只ETF，品种覆盖广泛，不仅包含港股、A股相关标的，还有恒生科技、港股红利等 风格类产品，同时涵盖美股、日本股票、亚洲地区股票组合等跨境标的，能满足不同投资者的配置需求。 凌子敬从资金流入的角度，分析了近年香港ETF市场结构变化。其中，一大变化是整体资金流入大幅提升；另一大变化则是品 种偏好从宽基转向科技与红利，特别是今年恒生科技相关ETF表现更为突出，年初至今资金流入超300亿港币，成为最热门的品 种之一，红利相关的ETF亦有超过160亿港元流入。 21世纪经济报道记者庞成深圳报道 今年以来，港股市场表现强势，大量投资者希望通过多元方式参与港股投资，香港ETF市场因此迎来显著的资金流入，成为市 场关注的焦点。 11月2 ...

Core Insights - The Greater Bay Area (GBA) is experiencing accelerated integration and development, with increasing cross-border financial and wealth management service demands driven by the growing movement of people between Hong Kong and mainland China [1][6][12] Group 1: Financial Services Demand - There is a noticeable increase in both "southbound" and "northbound" customers seeking financial services, indicating a diverse demand for banking and wealth management in the GBA [1][6] - HSBC has expanded its personal banking and wealth management services in the region to cater to the evolving needs of residents [1][6] Group 2: Service Enhancements - HSBC is investing in digital channels and enhancing branch service capabilities to improve customer experience and meet the rising cross-border service demands [3][5] - New flagship wealth management branches have been opened in Shenzhen and Guangzhou, featuring innovative service areas and community engagement activities [3][5] Group 3: Wealth Management Opportunities - The GBA is identified as one of China's wealthiest regions, presenting significant growth opportunities in the wealth management market as residents accumulate wealth and seek diversified global asset allocation [6][12] - HSBC offers a variety of products for global asset allocation, including QDII and QDLP funds, to meet the needs of clients in both mainland China and Hong Kong [6][7] Group 4: Comprehensive Financial Services - HSBC is developing a comprehensive financial service system to address the diverse needs of GBA residents, focusing on personal and family health, retirement, wealth management, and insurance [9][10] - The bank has established health management centers and partnerships with medical institutions to enhance the healthcare experience for clients in the GBA [10] Group 5: Future Outlook - The GBA's population exceeds 87 million, leading to a substantial demand for financial services related to retirement and wealth management, with long-term growth potential in these areas [12] - HSBC is committed to expanding its operations in the GBA, viewing it as a strategic priority for business development and investment [12]

申万宏源策略 【申万宏源策略】双宽驭险，中期伏波——申万宏源2026年全球资产配置投资策略 原创 阅读全文 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the technology sector, is attracting foreign investment due to its low valuation compared to historical averages and growth potential amid global market volatility [1][1]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 19, the Hang Seng Index opened up by 0.09%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.37% [1]. - Baidu Group saw an increase of over 2%, and XPeng Motors rose nearly 2%, while Xiaomi Group experienced a decline of nearly 2% [1]. Group 2: Investment Trends - According to a Morgan Stanley report, despite significant gains in the MSCI Hong Kong Index this year, its valuation remains below the ten-year average, making it one of the cheapest stock markets in the Asia-Pacific region, excluding ASEAN [1]. - As of the end of September, passive funds have cumulatively flowed into the Chinese stock market amounting to $18 billion this year [1]. Group 3: Sector Focus - The technology sector in Hong Kong has become a focal point for foreign investment, with institutions viewing it as having both valuation safety margins and industry growth potential [1]. - Analysts suggest that with the stabilization of the local economy, recovery of the IPO market, and improvement in global liquidity due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the tech sector in Hong Kong is likely to continue gaining revaluation momentum [1]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Morgan Stanley anticipates that the upward trend in the Hong Kong tech sector will extend until 2026, providing long-term investment opportunities for investors [1].

Core Insights - The first foreign-funded wholly-owned public offering of a pension target fund (Pension FOF) is set to launch, with Fidelity Fund becoming the first foreign entity to introduce a pension FOF in China [1][3] - As of November 18, 2023, a total of 10 pension FOFs have been established this year, with a combined issuance scale of approximately 3.67 billion [4][5] - The introduction of the pension FOF by Fidelity is seen as a significant step in enhancing the pension financial system in China, aiming to provide a comprehensive pension solution for domestic investors [3][6] Fund Launch Details - Fidelity Fund announced the launch of the Fidelity Renyuan Conservative Pension Target One-Year Holding Mixed Fund (FOF) on November 18, 2023, with public sales scheduled from December 1, 2025, to February 27, 2026, and a minimum issuance of 200 million shares [3] - The fund's performance benchmark includes global assets such as the Hang Seng Index, S&P 500, and gold, marking it as the first pension FOF in the market to incorporate overseas market indices [3] Market Challenges - The average scale of newly launched pension FOFs is relatively small, with the largest fund, Qianhai Kaiyuan Kangyue Stable Pension One-Year Holding Mixed Fund, reaching 2.26 billion, while others fall below 1 billion [5] - A total of 10 pension FOFs have been liquidated this year due to insufficient scale, with many existing products also facing similar challenges [5][6] - The small scale of pension FOFs is attributed to a high number of offerings, varying product quality, and a preference among sales channels for higher-fee products [6] Future Outlook - Experts suggest that enhancing the competitiveness and performance of pension FOFs is crucial for their growth, recommending diversification through the inclusion of assets like gold and overseas investments [6] - The transformation of pension FOFs from niche products to mainstream options is contingent upon policy support and improved institutional performance [6]