Group 1 - The report highlights a significant market adjustment in April 2025, with equity markets experiencing a downturn due to external shocks, while the bond market saw a rapid increase in value following tariff impacts [5][12][13] - The report emphasizes a shift towards industry trend investments and thematic investments in the equity sector, particularly focusing on technology assets, domestic demand, and stable high-dividend sectors [5][20] - The report notes that the bond market is expected to maintain a loose monetary environment following interest rate cuts, with a potential for further growth policies to be introduced to support economic recovery [7][29] Group 2 - The report outlines a strategic focus on three key areas for equity investments: technology assets, domestic demand, and dividend-focused investments, which are expected to perform well in the current market environment [20][21] - The report provides a detailed analysis of the performance of various fund indices, indicating that the agricultural and pharmaceutical sectors showed resilience, while sectors like new energy and technology faced challenges [16][19] - The report discusses the construction of fund portfolios, recommending a mix of low, medium, and high volatility fixed-income funds to balance risk and return, with a focus on maintaining liquidity and managing credit risk [39][40][41]

Group 1 - The issuance of funds remains strong, with 51 funds scheduled for release in May, including 28 equity funds, 12 bond funds, 8 mixed funds, and 3 funds of funds (FOF) [1] - Equity products account for over 70% of the total issuance, with passive index funds and thematic ETFs being the main drivers [1][2] - There is a notable increase in demand for low-risk asset allocation, as evidenced by the concentrated launch of mid-to-long-term pure bond funds [1][3] Group 2 - Among the 36 planned equity products, 21 are passive index funds, with major fund managers focusing on broad-based products covering key indices like the Sci-Tech 50 and CSI A50 [2] - Thematic ETFs are also actively being issued, with a focus on policy-supported sectors such as digital economy and aerospace [2][3] - Fund companies are shortening issuance cycles to capture emerging sectors, while cautioning against the risks of blindly chasing high valuations in thematic ETFs [3][4] Group 3 - The appeal of mid-to-long-term pure bond funds is attributed to their stable returns, ability to hedge equity volatility, and favorable liquidity management [4] - These funds are positioned as a preferred choice during periods of declining risk appetite, with a focus on long-duration bonds for higher yield potential [4][5] - The competitive landscape for ETFs is intensifying, with first-mover advantages and operational capabilities becoming critical for success [4]

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to show a pattern of "weight index rebound and active technology growth" in May, with a focus on investing in industries with improved performance after the earnings disclosure period [1][2]. Market Outlook - After the earnings disclosure period, the market will actively invest in industries with improved performance, and as it enters a performance vacuum, new industry trends are emerging, making thematic investments likely to return [2][3]. - The market's downward adjustment space is limited due to the stabilizing effect of the central bank, which is expected to enhance risk appetite and lead to a return of financing balances [2][4]. Style and Industry Configuration - A-shares are expected to shift towards small-cap growth styles as seasonal effects weaken, driven by improved earnings growth and easing trade tensions [3]. - Key industries to focus on include computing, automotive, machinery (automation and general equipment), non-ferrous metals, social services, and agriculture, with an emphasis on sectors recovering from tariff impacts and those experiencing local economic improvements [3][6]. Liquidity and Capital Supply-Demand - The market's risk appetite is anticipated to recover in May, with financing funds likely to flow back into the market [4]. - The stock market saw net inflows in April, with ETFs becoming the main source of incremental capital, while financing funds experienced net outflows due to decreased risk appetite [4]. Mid-Cycle Prosperity and Industry Recommendations - The focus is on sectors that are recovering from tariff impacts and showing signs of economic improvement, particularly in consumer services, high-tech manufacturing, and real estate [5][6]. - Recommended sectors include consumer services (home appliances, furniture, jewelry), new energy vehicles, and high-tech manufacturing, with a focus on areas with high or improving prosperity [6]. Track and Industry Trend Investment - The 2025 Shanghai Auto Show highlighted the debut of humanoid robots, showcasing advancements in automotive technology and AI applications [7].

■■ 回顾：亚太股市重拾外资关注 在特朗普新政与美国经济走弱的预期影响下，逆向投资成为了2025年一季度最有效的投资策略。过去两年大 幅上涨的美日股市收跌，而恒生指数领跑亚太。欧洲国家在财政赤字扩大和俄乌冲突停火可能性上升的背景 下领跑发达国家股市。此外Deepseek等AI agent获得了更广泛的市场关注，并带动全球科技投资者进行国别 资产再平衡，这成为了推动中国科技股表现的另外一个因素。 基于美国经济走弱、美联储政策摇摆以及特朗普政府带动地缘风险升温这三点因素，我们认为国际资金将持 续出现交易一致性的松动，国际投资者将开始尝试寻求美国资产以外的备选投资方案。我们认为国际资本流 出美股所面临的"资产荒"将成为影响二季度全球股市最重要的驱动因素，面对诸多不确定性，具备资金规模 容量优势的中国股市（A股及港股）有望成为外资全球配置的重要选项。此外，当前基本面的改善趋势仍未 成为市场共识，且市场仍需要更充分的数据验证经济的复苏趋势，因此我们认为资金面的变化在二季度将较 基本面有更强的定价权。虽然海外地缘不确定性将加剧市场的波动率水平，但资金面改善将有望通过估值扩 张带动A股市场走强。 下调对沪深300的净利润增 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights that the TMT sector has collectively shown "bottoming" signals, with 256 indices indicating a bottoming pattern, primarily within the TMT sector, while 19 indices have broken out, mainly in the downstream consumption sector, particularly in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery [3][12]. - The report emphasizes the establishment of a thematic investment database aimed at identifying high-potential opportunities and warning of peak signals, focusing on quantitative screening of four patterns and constructing trading heat indicators to track popular themes [9][12]. - The trading heat for humanoid robots has decreased to 45%, with the closing price of Changsheng Bearing being 9.4% below its 60-day moving average, while the trading heat for Deepseek has dropped to 46%, with Daily Interaction's closing price being 17.6% below its 60-day moving average [4][20]. Group 2 - The report indicates that the thematic investment data tracking system will be regularly updated to provide investors with objective references for capturing market trends [3][9]. - The report notes that the majority of the 256 indices showing a bottoming pattern are concentrated in the TMT sector, suggesting potential recovery opportunities in this area [12]. - The report provides insights into the adjustment levels of leading stocks corresponding to the themes being monitored, indicating a need for caution as trading heat declines [20].

E s s e n t i a l s | 08 Apr 2025 08:46:22 ET │ 22 pages Global Theme Machine Theme Investing Weathers Volatile Markets CITI'S TAKE Using the Citi Global Theme Machine, we analyse the dynamic attractiveness of 93 global themes mapped across nearly 5000 listed companies by 200+ Citi Fundamental Analysts. Last month we undertook our annual theme review and stock remapping in order to update the model: Global Theme Machine: Remapping Themes for 2025. If interested in the full dataset, please contact us – we wi ...

Core Viewpoint - The article reviews the transition patterns of six cyclical growth industries: new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, semiconductors, smartphones, mobile internet, and optical modules, proposing an investment framework of "cash flow improvement → capacity construction → profit release" to identify the conversion nodes from thematic consensus to performance realization [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Framework - Thematic investment focuses on the period from "concept germination" to "narrative consensus," relying on market imagination of long-term prospects to drive valuation increases, emphasizing unrefuted growth expectations [2]. - Cyclical growth investment captures "industry transition momentum" by identifying mismatches between cash flow improvement and low ROE during periods of unclear narrative consensus, establishing an odds advantage [2]. - The article utilizes the Geske option model to quantify the non-linear value of technological generational differences, anchoring the pricing boundaries of thematic investments [2]. Group 2: Industry Review - New Energy Vehicles: The evolution of China's new energy vehicle industry shows a clear three-stage path: feasibility verification starting in 2008, product breakthrough with mass production and battery technology iteration, and penetration explosion leading to a valuation system reconstruction [5][6]. - Photovoltaics: The Chinese photovoltaic industry has experienced three cycles characterized by policy-driven global installation surges, domestic policy support leading to grid parity, and a current phase of high growth driven by carbon neutrality and structural overcapacity [12][19]. - Semiconductors: The Chinese semiconductor industry has undergone three transitions, starting with basic production line construction, followed by accelerated policy-driven autonomy, and currently focusing on advanced process research and development amid US-China tensions [23][24]. Group 3: Future Investment Opportunities - The article suggests focusing on long-term investment opportunities in technology manufacturing fields such as AI+, intelligent driving, humanoid robots, low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, biomanufacturing, future energy, and advanced semiconductor processes [1][2].

Group 1 - A500 Index ETF (159351) experienced significant net subscriptions, with over 500 million shares net subscribed in a single day, ranking first among similar products in the Shenzhen market [1] - The trading volume of A500 Index ETF reached 3.075 billion yuan, maintaining high investor interest despite a slight market adjustment, with a turnover rate of 20.82%, the highest among similar products with over 10 billion yuan in size [1] - The fund has seen a cumulative net inflow of over 850 million yuan over four consecutive trading days, indicating strong demand [1] Group 2 - Major institutions predict that attention on leading companies will continue to rise as the earnings report disclosure period approaches, with a shift from "liquidity bull" to "fundamental bull" expected in 2025 [2] - The A500 Index ETF is positioned as a tool for investors to capture structural opportunities in the A-share market, focusing on new productivity sectors such as AI, smart transportation, and biomanufacturing [2] - The A500 Index, tracked by the ETF, consists of 500 stocks with large market capitalization and good liquidity, providing a balanced industry distribution and serving as a means for investors to access representative A-share companies [2]

以下文章来源于表外表里 ，作者洞见数据研究院 表外表里 . 洞见数据研究院 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 "纳斯达克固然强，但这轮优势在我。" 作者丨陈梓洁 编辑丨 付晓玲 曹宾玲 来源丨表外表里 "怎么就这么沉不住气呢，明明再多拿几天就回本了。" 盯着已清仓证券页面上刺眼的「-2000」总盈亏额，小羊后悔不已，恨不得穿回当时阻止自己割肉。 作为还在校的00后，打从记事起，他一直接收的舆论就是，"天天保卫3000点的大A，套你没商量； 一路向上的美股，闭眼买就能赚钱。" 怨气当然不是一天积累起来的，从特朗普上台开始，Lana感觉自己的投资运就变"霉"了：加征关税 大招一出，引发美股令人瞠目的跌幅；眼看大盘有了企稳迹象又跳出来"乱说"，股价再次下挫……循 环往复、没完没了。 可没曾想2月份一进来就对上美股大跌的行情，眼看越抄底越没底、损失不断扩大，他心态崩了，急 惶惶割肉跑路。 然而接下来的发展，让这波看起来像是"假摔"：上周底到这周，美股三大指数波动上行，技术面呈现 企稳信号。 市场的口风，一整个大逆转。华尔街集体摇旗呐喊起"美股见底"。国内美股拥趸、夹头大佬但斌，也 盯着K线乐观道："美股的 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the technology sector, suggesting potential weakness in the near term due to declining trading volumes and mixed performance across various sectors [1][14]. Core Insights - The market experienced slight declines with major indices showing a downward trend, particularly in the TMT sector, which is expected to face further weakness [1][2]. - There is a notable shift in capital flows, with significant inflows into power, automotive parts, and general equipment sectors, while communication equipment, components, and semiconductors saw outflows [3]. - The report highlights the government's initiatives to enhance vocational education in healthcare and the development of a humanoid robot innovation center, indicating a focus on technology and healthcare sectors [4][8]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - On March 19, the market showed fluctuations with major indices declining slightly, with the North Stock 50 Index dropping nearly 3% [2]. Capital Flow - On March 19, the Shanghai Stock Exchange saw a net inflow of 1.488 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange experienced a net outflow of 6.550 billion [3]. Industry Dynamics - The Ministry of Education and the National Health Commission are working together to strengthen vocational education in healthcare, aiming to meet the diverse health and elderly care needs [4][7]. - The establishment of a humanoid robot innovation center is set to launch a general embodied intelligence platform, enhancing the robotics sector [8][9]. Fund Dynamics - The rise of index funds is reshaping the public fund distribution landscape, challenging the traditional dominance of banks in fund sales [11]. - Public fund research activities have intensified, with a focus on "double innovation" companies, indicating a trend towards more dynamic investment strategies [12][13]. Buyer Perspectives - Recent trends show increased divergence within the technology sector, with a shift towards value stocks and a focus on upcoming financial reports for investment insights [14].