劳动力市场

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美联储理事沃勒和鲍曼反对美联储不降息 均提及劳动力市场出现疲软
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-01 12:50
SHMET 网讯:美联储理事沃勒和鲍曼表达了他们的担忧,认为决策者在降息问题上的犹豫可能会对劳动力市场造成不必要的损害。在本周美联储连续 第五次维持基准利率不变的决议中,沃勒和鲍曼均投下了反对票。他们倾向于将利率下调25个基点。在周五发布的各自声明中,两人解释了自己反对的理 由,均强调劳动力市场出现疲软迹象。他们的观点与鲍威尔及其他政策制定者不同。鲍威尔等人仍然认为劳动力市场整体稳健,支持在调整利率方面保持耐 心。沃勒表示:"我认为当前这种观望的态度过于谨慎,在我看来,没有正确平衡经济前景的风险,可能导致政策落后于形势变化。"他指出,考虑到未来的 数据修正以及私营部门就业增长停滞,劳动力市场面临的下行风险正在上升。鲍曼则表示,"劳动力市场的活力正在减弱,并呈现出越来越多的脆弱迹象。" 鲍曼发文全文 2025年7月30日(周三),我对联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)维持联邦基金利率目标区间不变的决定投下了反对票。正如会后声明所指出的,我倾向 于将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点。 在剔除关税的暂时性影响后,通胀已明显接近我们的目标,而劳动力市场依然接近充分就业。今年经济增长放缓,就业市场也显现出活力减弱的迹象, ...
美联储理事沃勒:美联储不应等待劳动力市场恶化才降息
news flash· 2025-08-01 12:08
美联储理事沃勒:FOMC应将利率调至更接近中性的水平。 私营部门招聘接近"停滞速度"。 关税将对价格产生一次性影响。 ...
美联储理事沃勒:我认为我们没有理由将政策利率维持在当前水平,并冒着劳动力市场突然下滑的风险。
news flash· 2025-08-01 12:08
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor Waller believes there is no justification for maintaining the current policy interest rate, as it poses a risk of a sudden downturn in the labor market [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - **Monetary Policy** - Waller suggests that the current interest rate policy may not be necessary and could lead to adverse effects on employment [1] - **Labor Market** - There is a concern regarding the potential for a sudden decline in the labor market if the interest rates are kept at their current levels [1]
8月1日电,美联储理事鲍曼表示,劳动力市场显示出日益脆弱的迹象;价格稳定的上行风险已经减弱。
news flash· 2025-08-01 12:05
Core Insights - The labor market is showing increasing signs of weakness according to Federal Reserve Governor Bowman [1] - The upward risks to price stability have diminished [1] Labor Market - Federal Reserve Governor Bowman highlighted that the labor market is exhibiting signs of growing fragility [1] Price Stability - There has been a noted reduction in the upward risks associated with price stability [1]
8月1日电,美联储理事沃勒表示,美联储应将利率调整得更接近中性水平;美联储不应等到劳动力市场恶化才采取行动。
news flash· 2025-08-01 12:05
智通财经8月1日电,美联储理事沃勒表示,美联储应将利率调整得更接近中性水平;美联储不应等到劳 动力市场恶化才采取行动。 ...
美国就业“塌方式”降温?特朗普移民政策副作用炸裂!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-01 11:13
Group 1 - The Trump administration's immigration policies are increasingly straining an already weakening labor market, with July non-farm payrolls expected to show only 110,000 new jobs, down from 147,000 in June and below the average of 130,000 for the year [2] - The demand for labor is decreasing due to uncertainty from Trump's tariff policies, particularly affecting industries reliant on foreign labor such as agriculture, construction, and food manufacturing [2][3] - The U.S. labor force decreased by 130,000 in June, with a total decline of 364,000 since the beginning of the year, and the labor force participation rate fell to 62.3%, the lowest since December 2022 [2] Group 2 - The number of immigrants detained by ICE has increased from an average of 15,000 per month in 2024 to nearly 40,000 by June this year, while deportations have risen from an annualized rate of 400,000 to about 600,000 [2] - The total number of foreign workers in the U.S. has decreased by over 1 million in the past four months, with a record 5.4 million people exiting the labor market in May alone [3][4] - The share of foreign workers in the U.S. labor force fell to 19.1% in June from 19.8% in March, indicating a significant impact on industries struggling to replace lost labor [5] Group 3 - The labor shortage related to immigration could reduce the potential annual economic growth rate in the U.S. from 2% to 1% [6] - The job market is experiencing a split, with labor shortages in construction, hospitality, and agriculture, while white-collar job recruitment is slowing due to economic uncertainty [6] - The stable unemployment rate, which slightly decreased from 4.2% to 4.1%, may lead the Federal Reserve to refrain from interest rate cuts despite a significant slowdown in job growth [6]