中银证券认为，海外波动加剧，市场震荡分化。上周A股市场总体呈现指数高位震荡、内部剧烈分化的 格局。科技（半导体、AI算力）与资源（有色、化工）成为双主线，贵金属、商业航天等题材波动剧 烈，板块轮动加快。资金面上，两融余额持续活跃并处于高位，但宽基ETF本周依旧出现显著资金净流 出，沪深300ETF净流出规模依旧居前。上周初格陵兰岛、美欧地缘问题以及日本国债收益率上升引发 全球避险情绪，加剧了海外市场波动，贵金属价格加速冲高。周五（1月30日）特朗普提名凯文·沃什出 任下一任美联储主席，其政策主张偏鹰，主张缩表+谨慎降息的政策组合，这扭转了市场对流动性持续 宽松的预期，推动美元走强，大宗商品出现较大幅度调整，全球性的美元流动性预期收紧引发资产价格 重估。短期来看，市场在强劲的"春季躁动"后，因政策主动引导、海外扰动加大或进入节奏调整期，此 前低位滞涨的板块或迎来轮动机会。 中信建投认为，短期面临回调压力，春季行情未完。1月30日，由于国际贵金属价格剧烈波动和A股宽 基ETF近期大规模的抛售导致的流动性压力，情绪指数出现明显下滑，发出右侧卖出信号且面临跌出亢 奋区考验。考虑到春节前避险情绪升温，情绪指数回落的季节 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The China Securities REITs Total Return Index closed at 1052 points this week, up 0.47% week - on - week, but the market trading activity declined marginally. The total market capitalization of 78 listed REITs reached 228.7 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 124.7 billion yuan. The Huaxia Zhonghe Clean Energy REIT will be listed on February 2, 2026 [1][11]. - The first batch of 8 commercial real - estate REITs were accepted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange. With excellent occupancy rates and good locations, they are worthy of attention for their application progress and new - share subscription opportunities [2][20][21]. - In the secondary market, new - type facilities declined by 1.19%, while energy facilities led the gain by 1.54%. It is advisable to focus on hydropower assets with high stability or projects with high guarantee of distributable amounts [5][6][26]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Primary Market: The First Batch of 8 Commercial Real - Estate REITs Accepted - In late 2025, the CSRC officially launched commercial real - estate REITs, focusing on commercial complexes, commercial retail, office, hotels and other commercial assets with clear ownership, mature operation models, and stable cash flows [2][17]. - From January 29 - 30, 2026, the first batch of 8 commercial real - estate REITs were accepted by the SSE. The total proposed fundraising scale is about 31.475 billion yuan, with the largest being CICC Vipshop Commercial Real - Estate REIT (7.47 billion yuan) and the smallest being Huaan Jinjiang Commercial Real - Estate REIT (1.703 billion yuan). The original equity holders include private enterprises, foreign - funded enterprises, Shanghai state - owned enterprises, and central enterprises [2][20]. - The occupancy rates of the first batch of 8 commercial real - estate REITs are excellent, and some are fully occupied. The average occupancy rate of 21 "Jinjiang Metropolo" hotels is about 61.58%. They are mainly located in core cities [3][21]. 3.2 Secondary Market: New - Type Facilities Corrected, Energy Facilities Led the Gain - Except for a 1.19% decline in new - type facilities, other asset types rose slightly, with energy facilities leading the gain at 1.54%, followed by municipal environmental protection (+0.52%) and transportation facilities (+0.41%) [5][26]. - The data center (IDC) sector had a significant pull - back this week. Runze Technology and万国 Data Center declined by 0.40% and 2.67% respectively. The two IDC REITs' dynamic distribution rates are close to the reference value, and opportunities from subsequent asset fluctuations can be monitored [5][29]. - Energy facilities had the largest increase this week. ICBC Inner Mongolia Energy Clean Energy REIT performed well, but it is recommended to give priority to hydropower assets with high stability or projects with high guarantee of distributable amounts due to the large performance fluctuations of energy - related projects in Q4 2025 [6][32][34]. - The industrial park sector rose 0.34% this week. It is recommended to pay attention to park REITs with stable fundamentals, income distribution adjustment mechanisms, and high distribution rates [37]. - The consumption infrastructure sector rose 0.22% this week. With the late Spring Festival this year, the consumption boom continues to support the Q1 performance of each project. Some projects with relatively high distribution rates are worth attention [39][40]. - The trading activity of REITs weakened marginally this week. In terms of sectors, except for municipal environmental protection, the turnover rates of each asset sector declined. Attention can be paid to the trading situation of the consumption sector [42][45][46].

Group 1 - The Spring Festival travel rush in 2026 will start on February 2 and end on March 13 [2] - The AWE Asia 2026 will be held in Singapore from February 2 to 4 [3] - Fenglong Co. and Jiamei Packaging will resume trading on February 2 after completing their verification work [4] - Minexplosion Optoelectronics will resume trading on February 2, planning to acquire a PCB drilling needle target [5] - Yisiwei will issue shares on February 2 with a price of 55.95 yuan and a P/E ratio of 90.39 times, focusing on automotive manufacturing machine vision equipment [5] Group 2 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is improving the strategic investor system for listed companies, expanding the types of strategic investors and clarifying minimum shareholding requirements [7] - Public fund information disclosure rules are undergoing significant revisions, requiring the disclosure of long-term performance over the past 7 and 10 years [8] - The manufacturing PMI for January is 49.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating ongoing optimization in the manufacturing industry structure [8] - The draft of the Cybercrime Prevention Law has been released for public consultation, aiming to clarify real-name system requirements to curb online crime [8] - Gold futures prices on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell below $4,800 per ounce, marking a drop of over 10%, the largest single-day decline since the 1980s [8] Group 3 - The capacity price mechanism for electricity has been established, which is expected to accelerate the development of new energy storage [13] - The new policy will promote the development of the storage sector, addressing bottlenecks in the current power system [13] - Domestic new energy storage's flexible adjustment capabilities are increasingly prominent, enhancing the stability and safety of the power system [13] - Yangguang Power's storage shipments are expected to grow by 70% year-on-year by Q3 2025, with overseas shipments increasing from 63% to 83% [13] Group 4 - The global demand for transformers is surging, with orders for some factories extending to 2027 due to the rapid growth of AI computing power [15] - The supply gap for power transformers in North America has reached 30%, with imports expected to account for 80% of the supply [15] - The average export price of transformers from China has risen from $12,000 per unit in 2020 to $20,800 by 2025, indicating a potential increase in both volume and price [15] Group 5 - Yuanbao has launched a 1 billion yuan cash red envelope campaign, intensifying competition in the AI application market [17] - Major AI assistant apps from Tencent and ByteDance are leading the free app rankings, indicating strong market competition [17] - Companies like Runjian Co. and iFLYTEK are advancing their AI models and services, aiming for significant growth in user scale and commercialization [18] Group 6 - Zhongji Xuchuang expects a net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 89.5% to 128.2% [20] - New Yiseng anticipates a net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 231.2% to 248.9% [20] - Runze Technology forecasts a net profit of 5 billion to 5.3 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 179.3% to 196.0% [20] - Jerey Co. signed a gas turbine generator sales contract worth $182 million (approximately 1.265 billion yuan) for data center power supply [21]

每经记者｜彭斐 每经编辑｜董兴生 在全球能源结构转型与算力爆发的浪潮中，中国民营油服龙头——杰瑞股份（002353.SZ，股价88.25 元，市值903.55亿元）的"第二增长曲线"正在加速兑现。 2月1日晚间，杰瑞股份发布公告称，全资子公司GenSystems Power Solutions LLC（以下简称"GPS"）与 美国某客户成功签署了一份金额达1.815亿美元（约合人民币12.65亿元）的燃气轮机发电机组销售合 同。 《每日经济新闻》记者注意到，这是该公司自2025年11月以来在北美市场拿下的第4份燃气轮机大单， 标志着其在北美高端电力市场的"朋友圈"持续扩容。 从最初的试水到如今的订单井喷，杰瑞股份正凭借"快速拆装、灵活转场"的模块化设计精准击中数据中 心供电痛点，迅速在全球电力缺口中"撕开"一道口子。但同时，杰瑞股份也面临着订单交付压力以及汇 率波动风险。 签下去年11月以来第4份合同，北美高端"朋友圈"扩容 根据最新公告，此次签署的1.815亿美元合同，是自2025年11月以来，公司与美国客户签署的第4份燃气 轮机发电机组销售合同，交易对手方为公司近期在美国合作的第3家客户。 此外，杰瑞股份 ...

据人民日报2月1日报道，当前全球AI算力建设进入爆发期，高功率、高稳定供电成为算力集群"生命 线"，电力设备变压器升级为算力基础设施核心。记者在广东、江苏等地调研发现，大量变压器工厂处 于满产状态，部分面向数据中心的业务订单排到2027年。 保变电气：公司主导产品为110kV-1000kV超高压、大容量变压器，尤其在高电压、大容量变压器以及 特高压交、直流变压器制造领域具有较强的市场竞争力。 全球AI算力中心爆发式增长使变压器成稀缺资源，美国市场交付周期从50周延长至127周。佛山某电气 设备企业营销负责人李霞表示，相对欧美的交付周期，该企业不到五分之一，目前订单充沛，希望将海 外营收占比提升至50%及以上。长三角的江苏某变压器工厂订单同样排至2027年底，国内首台全绝缘超 高压大容量变压器近日发往北美市场。 *免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 中信建投证券表示，全球电力设备已进入漫长景气上行周期，IEA预测到2035年电网相关投资将增至约 6500亿美元。需求高景气下输配电设备供应总体紧张，中国电力设备制造商迎来黄金窗口，2025年1-11 月电力变压器出口同比增速约45%以上，延续高增趋势。 * ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianrun Industrial is positioned to capitalize on the booming demand for large engine generator sets driven by the explosive growth of self-supplied power sources in North America, leveraging its extensive experience and technological expertise in engine components [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The self-supplied power market is experiencing rigid demand due to the dual challenges of high energy consumption from AI computing and aging North American power grid infrastructure, leading to a golden period for large engine generator sets [2]. - The global data center generator set market is projected to double from $6 billion in 2023 to $12 billion by 2030, indicating a sustained increase in industry prosperity [2]. - Major foreign brands like Cummins and Caterpillar have order backlogs extending to 2028, creating significant opportunities for domestic manufacturers to fill the supply chain gaps [2]. Group 2: Production Capacity and Technology - Tianrun Industrial has established five large crankshaft production lines and is building two more, aiming for an annual production capacity of 30,000 large crankshafts by the end of the year [3]. - The company has nine production lines for large connecting rods, with plans to reach an annual capacity of 700,000 units by October 2026 [3]. - A new forging line is being developed, expected to be the largest and most technologically advanced globally, with an investment of nearly 300 million yuan [3][4]. Group 3: Global Expansion and Client Relationships - The establishment of a factory in Thailand enhances the company's global reach, allowing it to serve clients in high-demand regions like Southeast Asia, North America, and Africa while mitigating geopolitical risks [6]. - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of international firms such as Liebherr and MWM, which dominate the global generator set market [6]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives and Future Outlook - The company is committed to upgrading its traditional business while simultaneously expanding into emerging sectors like electric steering and air suspension, creating a dual-path strategy to mitigate industry cyclicality [8]. - The electric steering system, developed in partnership with a South Korean firm, is expected to achieve significant market penetration by 2026, complementing the engine component business [8]. - The air suspension business is anticipated to unlock a potential market space of 30 billion to 40 billion yuan as new emission standards are implemented [9]. - The acquisition of a company specializing in aluminum alloy products will enhance the company's material supply capabilities, expanding its customer base across the automotive industry [10].

Core Viewpoint - Tianrun Industrial is positioned to capitalize on the booming demand for large engine generator sets driven by the explosive growth of self-supplied power sources in North America, leveraging its extensive experience and technological expertise in core engine components [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The self-supplied power market is experiencing rigid demand due to the dual challenges of high energy consumption from AI computing and aging North American power grid infrastructure, leading to a golden period for large engine generator sets [2]. - The global data center generator set market is projected to double from $6 billion in 2023 to $12 billion by 2030, indicating a sustained increase in industry prosperity [2]. - Major foreign brands like Cummins and Caterpillar have order backlogs extending to 2028, creating significant opportunities for domestic manufacturers to fill the supply chain gaps [2]. Group 2: Production Capacity and Technological Advancements - Tianrun Industrial has established five large crankshaft production lines, with two additional top-tier lines under construction, expected to be operational by the end of the year, achieving an annual production capacity of 30,000 large crankshafts [3]. - The company is investing nearly 300 million yuan to introduce advanced forging equipment, including the world's largest 1250KJ impact hammer production line, set to be completed by 2026 [3][4]. - The new production line for impact hammers will achieve precision control within 0.005 mm, matching international standards for high-power diesel generator sets [4]. Group 3: Global Expansion and Client Relationships - Tianrun Industrial's global client base, built over decades, includes partnerships with leading manufacturers such as Weichai, Yuchai, Caterpillar, and Cummins, providing a solid foundation for entering the generator set supply chain [5]. - The establishment of a factory in Thailand allows the company to mitigate geopolitical risks and trade barriers while serving high-demand regions like Southeast Asia, North America, and Africa [6]. - The company aims to increase its overseas revenue share from 20% to 30% by 2027, with engine and generator set businesses driving this growth [6]. Group 4: Strategic Business Development - The company is focusing on upgrading its traditional business while simultaneously expanding into emerging sectors such as electric commercial vehicles, air suspension, electric drive axles, and aluminum lightweighting [8]. - The electric steering system, developed in partnership with a South Korean firm, is expected to enter the domestic market and achieve significant growth by 2026 [8]. - The air suspension business is projected to tap into a potential market space of 30 billion to 40 billion yuan as new emission standards are implemented [9]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The aluminum lightweighting business is set to enhance the company's product offerings, with plans to acquire a 100% stake in a company specializing in aluminum die-casting, expanding its customer base across the automotive industry [10]. - Tianrun Industrial is committed to maintaining a market-oriented approach and enhancing its core competitiveness through continuous investment in both traditional and emerging business sectors [10].

□本报记者 王鹤静 在2025年四季度的结构性行情下，广发碳中和主题、中欧周期优选、泰信发展主题等一批主动权益基 金，凭借对储能、资源品等热门板块机遇的把握，顺利实现从业绩到规模的转化，成功盘活"小微"产 品。此外，鹏华稳健增利、富国盛利增强等二级债基抓住了"固收+"发展风口，通过进一步明确特色化 资产配置策略，资金关注度明显提高，同样顺利走出"小微"困境。 "小微"产品历来是让各家基金公司颇为头疼的"包袱"。此类产品如何把握市场机遇，盘活产品资源，从 而保护持有人利益？业内分析人士认为，基金管理人可以实施差异化战略，找准市场空白或细分领域， 打造特色产品；同时，加强投资者教育，让投资者了解产品的投资理念与优势、增强信任。而盲目跟风 市场热点、过度依赖短期营销手段等方式则不可取。 成功摆脱"小微"困境 2025年四季度的结构性行情，给公募机构提供了抓热点、做业绩的窗口期。其中，广发碳中和主题、中 欧周期优选、泰信发展主题等一批主动权益基金抓住机会，顺利摆脱生存困境。 "固收+"重整获资金认可 过去一年，在利率下行及权益市场走强的背景下，"固收+"基金颇受资金欢迎。2025年四季度，多只"固 收+"产品抓住发展 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the robust growth potential of Tianrun Industrial in the engine generator set industry, driven by the increasing demand for backup power sources in North America due to the rise of AI computing and aging electrical infrastructure [1][2]. Industry Overview - The global data center generator set market is projected to double from $6 billion in 2023 to $12 billion by 2030, indicating a sustained increase in industry prosperity [2]. - The demand for large engine generator sets is experiencing explosive growth as major tech companies invest in self-sufficient power plants to ensure stable computing power output [2]. Company Strategy - Tianrun Industrial is focusing on upgrading its traditional engine component business while expanding into emerging markets, aiming to enhance its global competitiveness and establish itself as a leading, respected, and sustainable automotive parts group [1][5]. - The company plans to increase its overseas revenue share from 20% to 30% by 2027, with engine and generator set businesses being the main drivers of this growth [5]. Production Capacity and Technological Advancements - Tianrun Industrial has established five large crankshaft production lines and is building two more, aiming for an annual production capacity of 30,000 large crankshafts by the end of the year [3]. - The company is investing nearly 300 million yuan to introduce advanced equipment for forging, with plans to build the world's largest 1250KJ forging line by 2026 [3][4]. Global Market Positioning - The establishment of a factory in Thailand is a strategic move to mitigate geopolitical risks and trade barriers, allowing the company to serve clients in high-demand regions like Southeast Asia, North America, and Africa [4]. - Tianrun Industrial has successfully entered the supply chains of major international companies, enhancing its global market presence [4]. Emerging Business Segments - The company is diversifying into electric steering systems, air suspension, electric drive axles, and aluminum lightweight products, creating a dual-path layout of fuel and new energy to counteract industry cyclicality [6][7]. - The electric steering system, developed in partnership with a South Korean firm, is expected to achieve significant market penetration by 2026 [7]. Future Outlook - Tianrun Industrial aims to enhance its core competitiveness through a market-oriented approach and a focus on customer needs, aspiring to become a world-class supplier of power components and automotive core systems [9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that ongoing investments in AI computing infrastructure are driving multiple global supply chains into a demand explosion cycle, with significant activities from companies like Meta and Micron Technology [1] - Meta plans to pay $6 billion to Corning for AI data center fiber optic cables, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure [1] - Domestic fiber optic prices are expected to rise by 2026 as production capacity shifts towards AI-related products, reflecting the growing demand in the sector [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of quantifying institutional trading behavior through "institutional inventory" data, which reflects the active trading levels of large funds rather than their buying or selling direction [3] - The reliance on subjective judgments for market trends can lead to misinterpretations, making it crucial to utilize quantitative data to understand the underlying trading logic [3] Group 3 - The analysis of stock price movements shows that stocks can double in value within a short period, but adjustments after reaching new highs can mislead investors relying solely on price trends [7] - The "institutional inventory" data remains active during price adjustments, indicating that institutional trading enthusiasm has not diminished, which supports the continuation of the market trend [7][11] Group 4 - The article discusses the phenomenon of stocks exhibiting a pattern of "new highs - adjustments - new highs," where quantitative data can provide clearer insights compared to mere price observations [8] - In contrast, stocks that show weak rebounds often mislead investors into a "bottom-fishing" cycle, highlighting the need for a data-driven approach [11] Group 5 - The article warns against misinterpreting rapid price movements, where a stock may rise sharply after a significant drop, but without supportive "institutional inventory" data, such movements may not indicate genuine institutional interest [19] - The core message is that understanding the objective data behind trading behaviors is essential for accurate market assessments [19] Group 6 - The value of quantitative thinking is emphasized as a means to build sustainable investment cognition, replacing subjective judgments with objective trading behavior data [20] - In the context of AI-driven industry developments, the complexity of market messages and price movements necessitates a data-centric decision-making process to mitigate emotional biases [20]