Group 1 - The market experienced a painful decline of 10% in the first three weeks of November, followed by a rebound of 3% in the last week, indicating a potential recovery phase [1] - A-shares saw a trading volume of 1.5977 trillion, which is half of the previously mentioned highest trading volume and the lowest since August 4 [1] - Market sentiment reached a low point on Friday, yet the market closed in the green, suggesting a weakening of short-selling pressure [1] Group 2 - There is a noticeable accumulation in AI technology stocks, particularly those starting with 688, as the market shifts its focus from AI bubble concerns to early-stage internet bubble discussions [1] - The anticipation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is contributing to a return of market confidence [1] - The upcoming events in December, particularly the market's expectations surrounding the ZC event, are raising optimism for potential market performance [1] Group 3 - Silver is facing a significant issue with global inventories at a ten-year low, combined with increased demand from AI and new energy sectors, leading to a forced buying situation in the futures market [3] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on December 11 is expected to heighten market activity, particularly in A-share related sectors [3] - Recent negative news regarding brokerage firms, including issues with a brokerage starting with "T" and a reduction in holdings by "Oriental," may exert pressure on the brokerage sector [3][4] Group 4 - The success of the upcoming market rally in December hinges on the participation of brokerages, increased trading volume, and the strength of the technology sector [5] - The market is currently showing strong performance through a consolidation phase, with a potential breakout expected next week [8]

总结来看，广发基金投顾团队认为，现在谈美股的AI科技泡沫破裂或许为时过早，但可能也已进入"半 场"时刻。在这种市场环境下，需要提防结构的变化，上半场领跑的龙头公司在下半场或许会被其他公 司超越。对于美股以外的其他市场科技股，虽然核心驱动因素仍是美股的那些龙头公司带来的产业浪 潮，走势方向上或许不会有太大背离，但也不能忽视各个市场都受到不同的宏观经济、金融环境、市场 情绪、公司结构等因素的影响。 对于担心科技股波动太大的投资者而言，可考虑从资产配置的角度对仓位进行适当的分散，通过不同资 产之间的负相关性，来达到降低组合波动和回撤的效果，从而实现更好的持有体验。广发基金多年来坚 持打造多资产、多市场、多策略的全能资管能力，现已形成了全面完备的产品体系，可以为投资者提供 全天候的投资工具，适应不同经济周期和市场环境下的投资需求。如果投资者没有时间和精力关注市 场，也可以考虑关注广发基金的投顾组合，投顾团队的研究覆盖A股、A债、美股、美债、黄金等大类 资产，致力于为投资者提供"从投到顾"的全方位服务，努力让大家拥有更轻松的投资体验。 风险提示：广发基金本着勤勉尽责、诚实守信、投资者利益优先的原则开展基金投顾业务，但并 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index ended a four-day rally with a slight decline, closing down 0.34% at 25,858.89 points, while the Hang Seng Index for November recorded a cumulative drop of 0.18% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index saw a more significant decline of 5.23% for the month, although it rose slightly by 0.02% on the last trading day, closing at 5,599.11 points [1][3] - Market turnover continued to shrink, with a total trading volume of only 1,462 million HKD [1] Notable Stock Movements - GAC Group (HK02238), Yuejiang (HK02432), and Dongfang Electric (HK01072) were among the top gainers, with increases of 16.62%, 9.75%, and 6.89% respectively [4] - GAC Group's recent launch of the "National Good Car" Aion UT Super has led to a satisfactory order volume since its listing on November 9 [4] - Conversely, stocks such as Zhou Sifu (HK06168), Lion Holding (HK02562), and Canggang Railway (HK02169) experienced notable declines, with drops of 5.01%, 4.42%, and 4% respectively [6] Sector Performance - Solid-state batteries and semiconductor sectors led the market, with Tianqi Lithium (HK09696) and Ganfeng Lithium (HK01772) rising by 3.57% and 2.13% respectively [6] - Newly listed Haiwei Co. (HK09609) saw a significant drop of 22.97%, closing at 11 HKD, below its initial offering price of 14.28 HKD [6] Capital Flow - The net inflow of funds through the Hong Kong Stock Connect increased to 2.727 billion HKD, up from 1.3 billion HKD the previous day [7] Future Outlook - According to Guotai Junan International, uncertainty in the macro environment and regulations has led some funds to withdraw from previously rebounding tech stocks, shifting towards relatively undervalued sectors with clearer policy support, such as consumption and high-end manufacturing [9] - Zheshang Securities highlighted that future policies will focus on technological innovation and expanding domestic demand, with a continued net inflow of southbound funds amid rising expectations for US interest rate cuts [9] - The firm is optimistic about sectors benefiting from policy support, including new energy, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI technology, as well as undervalued state-owned enterprises and local Hong Kong banks, telecommunications, and utility stocks [9]

每经编辑｜袁东 今日（11月28日）恒生指数微跌结束了此前的"四连涨"，同时港股11月也平稳收官。本月恒生指数累计下跌 0.18%，恒生科技指数累计下跌达5.23%。 截至收盘，恒生指数下跌0.34%，报25858.89点，全天市场成交额继续萎缩，仅为1462亿港元。 恒生科技指数上涨0.02%，报5599.11点。 周六福（HK06168）、狮腾控股（HK02562）、沧港铁路（HK02169）跌幅靠前，分别下跌5.01%、4.42%和 4%。 热门板块方面，固态电池、半导体板块领涨市场，其中天齐锂业（HK09696）、赣锋锂业（HK01772）分别上 涨3.57%和2.13%。 新股方面，今日上市的海伟股份（HK09609）下跌22.97%，以每股11港元的价格报收，跌破了14.28港元的发售 价。该公司是中国第二大电容器薄膜制造商。 资金方面，今日港股通净买入额为27.27亿港元，较昨日的13亿港元有所增加。 知名港股中，广汽集团（HK02238）、越疆（HK02432）、东方电气（HK01072）涨幅靠前，分别上涨 16.62%、9.75%和6.89%。其中，广汽集团A股盘中涨停，据媒体报道，11月2 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed results on November 27, with the Hang Seng Technology Index down by 0.36%, while the Hang Seng Index and the National Enterprises Index saw slight increases of 0.07% and 0.03% respectively [1][2]. Technology Sector - Major technology stocks exhibited divergent trends, with Xiaomi rising over 2% and JD.com increasing by over 1%, while Alibaba fell nearly 3% and Tencent and Baidu dropped more than 1% [2][3]. Consumer Goods - The consumer goods sector saw a boost, particularly in toys and leisure products, with companies like Blucor rising over 7%. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments introduced new policies to promote consumption, which positively impacted this sector [5][6]. Electronics - The consumer electronics segment strengthened, with TCL Electronics increasing by over 6%. Other companies such as XinJia International and Skyworth also saw gains [6][7]. Gold Stocks - Gold stocks were active, with companies like Zhenfeng Gold rising over 5%. Analysts predict significant increases in gold prices, with estimates suggesting a rise to $5,000 per ounce next year, representing an approximate 20% increase from current levels [8][9]. New Energy Vehicles - Stocks in the new energy vehicle sector performed well, with companies like Leap Motor and Chery Automobile rising over 4%. The Ministry of Commerce announced plans to expand automotive consumption, which is expected to benefit this sector [10][11]. Apple-related Stocks - Apple-related stocks saw an uptick, with companies like GoerTek rising over 4%. The demand for new iPhone models is driving growth, with expectations of Apple regaining its position as the world's largest smartphone manufacturer [12][13]. Pharmaceutical Outsourcing - Pharmaceutical outsourcing stocks faced declines, with WuXi AppTec dropping over 3%. Other companies in this sector also experienced downturns [14]. Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector remained sluggish, with Vanke Enterprises falling over 7%. National statistics indicated a significant decline in real estate investment and new housing sales [15]. Individual Stock Highlights - Lai Kai Pharmaceutical saw a substantial increase of over 16% following the announcement of a significant licensing deal for a breast cancer drug, which could yield substantial revenue [16][18]. Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong stock market may benefit from the anticipated soft landing of the U.S. economy and the potential for interest rate cuts, particularly favoring growth stocks and AI technology sectors [20].

Group 1: Conference Overview - The 2026 Strategy Conference by CITIC Futures was successfully held on November 26, 2025, in Shanghai, focusing on the theme "Sailing Forward" [1] - The conference featured one main forum and eight sub-forums, discussing macroeconomic trends, equity, bonds, commodities, exchange rates, and overseas markets [1] - The event gathered investors from various sectors, promoting an exchange of ideas and insights [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The Vice President of the China Macroeconomic Society, Zhu Baoliang, projected a 5% economic growth for China in 2025, supported by growth policies and export activities [2] - Challenges such as insufficient domestic demand, a sluggish real estate market, and increasing local government debt were highlighted, indicating potential overcapacity in the economy [2] - Recommendations for 2026 include maintaining a stable economic growth target of around 5%, implementing proactive fiscal policies, and enhancing market confidence [2] Group 3: Global Economic Insights - CITIC Securities' Chief Macro Analyst, Cui Rong, noted that 2025's tariff disruptions would lead to a clearer global economic environment in 2026, with reduced uncertainties in geopolitics and monetary policies [3] - The forecast includes a cautious outlook on global financial market liquidity and lower returns on risk assets compared to 2025, despite a continued boom in AI technology [3] - Concerns regarding the fragility of AI financing cycles and potential economic risks related to the U.S. midterm elections were also mentioned [3] Group 4: Market and Asset Allocation - CITIC Futures' Deputy Director, Zeng Ning, expressed an optimistic macro outlook for 2026, driven by a sustained easing of global liquidity and fiscal expansions in the U.S. and Europe [4] - The asset allocation strategy suggests a balanced approach, with an emphasis on precious metals and commodities, while adjusting positions based on supply and demand dynamics [4] - Expectations for oil prices indicate a potential downward pressure on price levels, suggesting a cautious approach to oil investments [4]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market has shown strong performance in 2023, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 29.09% and 25.60% respectively as of November 25 [1] - The performance in 2025 is expected to be driven by liquidity and sentiment, characterized by a chase for "scarce return assets" due to "excess liquidity" [2][6] - Despite the market's strong performance, overall earnings of listed companies in Hong Kong are slightly below initial expectations for 2025, with sectors like biopharmaceuticals and technology hardware showing resilience, while e-commerce and real estate face pressure [3] Group 2 - The liquidity environment is expected to remain accommodative in the first half of 2026, with potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, although long-term rates may stay high [3][4] - Southbound capital is projected to continue flowing into the Hong Kong market, with an estimated inflow of 600 billion HKD from public funds and insurance capital, alongside a potential 500 billion HKD from individual investors [3][4] - Investment preferences are shifting, with Southbound funds diversifying from high-dividend stocks to growth sectors, focusing on AI technology and structural recovery opportunities [4] Group 3 - The core macro theme for 2026 is expected to revolve around "excess liquidity chasing scarce return assets," with limited expansion of "scarce assets" [6] - Investment opportunities are identified in three main areas: AI-driven industry trends, cyclical recovery in production capacity, and export and commodity sectors related to global uncertainties [6] - Investors are advised to maintain flexibility in their strategies, balancing between chasing structural growth and managing market volatility [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has shown strong performance in 2023, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 29.09% and 25.60% respectively, driven by liquidity and sentiment, and this trend is expected to continue into 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance and Drivers - The Hong Kong stock market has outperformed globally in 2025, supported by trends in the AI industry and improvements in the domestic economic fundamentals [2]. - The core narrative for 2025 is the pursuit of "scarce return assets" driven by "excess liquidity," with funds flowing towards assets that can provide fixed returns during credit cycle contractions [2][3]. - Despite the strong market performance, the overall profitability of listed companies in Hong Kong is slightly below initial expectations for 2025, with sectors like biopharmaceuticals and technology hardware showing resilience, while e-commerce and real estate face significant pressure [3]. Group 2: Liquidity Outlook - The global liquidity environment is expected to remain loose in the first half of 2026, with potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, although long-term rates are projected to stay high at 3.8% to 4% [3]. - Southbound capital is anticipated to continue flowing into the Hong Kong market, with an expected inflow of 600 billion HKD from public funds and insurance capital, alongside a potential 500 billion HKD from individual investors [3][4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in 2026 are expected to focus on three main areas: AI-driven industry trends, cyclical recovery in production capacity, and sectors related to overseas uncertainties such as exports and commodities [5]. - The potential rise in China's PPI towards the end of 2023 and into early 2024 may trigger a market shift towards cyclical sectors [5]. - Investors are advised to maintain flexibility in their strategies, balancing between chasing structural growth and taking profits when market conditions become overheated [5].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed positive momentum with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.42%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.65%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up by 1.22% on November 24, with a half-day trading volume of HKD 130.588 billion [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The technology sector saw significant gains, with NIO-SW up by 3.77%, Tencent Music-SW rising by 3.54%, NetEase-S increasing by 5.67%, Kuaishou-W up by 5.16%, and Alibaba-W climbing by 4.13% [1] - Kuaishou-W repurchased 750,000 shares on November 21, totaling 1.65 million shares repurchased in the last 30 days, with a total repurchase amount of HKD 106 million [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - According to China Merchants Securities, the Hong Kong stock market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations, with a potential slowdown in upward momentum due to a lack of favorable macro policies and weak capital offensive willingness. However, better-than-expected price data may support a temporary market rebound [1] - CICC believes that in the current environment of increasing structural divergence and the small cycle of asset revaluation in China, Hong Kong's unique positioning can strengthen the intersection of capital and assets, benefiting the long-term outlook of the Hong Kong stock market [1]

Core Viewpoint - XPeng Inc. reported significant growth in key financial metrics for Q3 2025, including revenue, delivery volume, and gross margin, while narrowing its losses, moving closer to its profitability target [1][4][12]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 reached RMB 20.38 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5%, marking a record high for a single quarter [1][10]. - The automotive sales revenue was RMB 18.05 billion, up 105.3% year-on-year [1][10]. - Gross margin for the quarter was 20.1%, an increase of 4.8 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [10][12]. Delivery Metrics - Total delivery volume for Q3 2025 was 116,007 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 149.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.4%, setting a new record for single-quarter deliveries [1][5][9]. Loss Reduction - The net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB 380 million, a reduction of 79% year-on-year and a decrease from RMB 480 million in the previous quarter [12]. Future Outlook - XPeng anticipates Q4 2025 delivery volume to be between 125,000 and 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.6% to 44.3% [12]. - Total revenue for Q4 2025 is expected to be between RMB 21.5 billion and RMB 23 billion, reflecting an annual increase of approximately 33.5% to 42.8% [12]. Product Development - The company has recently launched several AI technology products, including the second-generation VLA physical world model, self-developed Robotaxi, flying car "A868," and the new generation IRON humanoid robot, which may drive future growth [12].