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宏观策略周报:中美日内瓦达成阶段性协议,释放缓和信号-20250516
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2025-05-16 11:11
Economic Indicators - In the first four months of 2025, China's RMB loans increased by 10.06 trillion yuan, with M2 growing by 8% year-on-year to 325.17 trillion yuan[11] - The total social financing increment for the same period was 16.34 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.61 trillion yuan compared to the previous year[15] - By the end of April 2025, the social financing scale stock was 424.0 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7%[16] Loan and Financing Structure - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 262.27 trillion yuan, up 7.1% year-on-year, accounting for 61.9% of the total social financing stock[17] - Foreign currency loans to the real economy decreased by 33.9% year-on-year, with a balance of 1.18 trillion yuan[16] - Government bond net financing reached 4.85 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.58 trillion yuan[15] Market Reactions and Trade Agreements - The US and China agreed to suspend 24% tariffs on each other's goods for 90 days, retaining a 10% tariff, which may ease cost pressures for businesses[23] - The agreement is expected to boost market sentiment in US stocks and commodities, benefiting China's export sectors significantly[23] - However, the retained tariffs and ongoing technological barriers in sectors like semiconductors and AI remain a concern for long-term trade dynamics[23]
CPI数据略低于预期,黄金小涨后震荡下滑!后市多空持续角逐僵持?TTPS交易学长与神秘嘉宾在线讲解,立即观看!
news flash· 2025-05-14 12:15
黄金趋势分析中 CPI数据略低于预期,黄金小涨后震荡下滑!后市多空持续角逐僵持?TTPS交易学长与神秘嘉宾在线讲 解,立即观看! 相关链接 ...
CPI数据未增加“鹰派”担忧,黄金下行空间有限?今夜多头势力是否入场?日内交易者如何把握时机?TTPS团队卢教练正在分享,立即观看!
news flash· 2025-05-14 11:45
Group 1 - The article discusses the limited downside potential for gold prices due to the CPI data not increasing "hawkish" concerns [1] - It raises questions about whether bullish forces will enter the market tonight [1] - The focus is on how day traders can seize opportunities in the current market conditions [1]
CPI数据温和利多黄金,多头动能不足!再次测试昨天低点?交易学院正在直播,点击立即观看>>>
news flash· 2025-05-14 08:10
CPI数据温和利多黄金,多头动能不足!再次测试昨天低点?交易学院正在直播,点击立即观看>>> 相关链接 黄金基本面讲解中 ...
山海:黄金在低位试探,寻求向上突破空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 02:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is currently testing low levels and seeking upward breakout potential, with recent CPI data not altering its weak trend [1][3] - Gold has been in a low volatility state, with recent fluctuations showing limited upward movement, and the market is advised to observe the continuation of strength or weakness [3][5] - The dollar index has seen a significant drop due to poor CPI data, closing around 100.7, with expectations of further weakness potentially reaching 99.8 [5][6] Group 2 - Key technical levels for gold include maintaining higher lows and breaking the resistance at 3280, which is crucial for establishing bullish momentum [6][7] - Domestic gold futures have shown limited volatility, with the Shanghai gold contract closing around 770, and potential upward movement if it breaks 775 [7] - International silver has provided trading opportunities around the 32 low point, with expectations of reaching 33.5, while domestic silver has also shown profit potential around the 8200 level [8] Group 3 - The international crude oil market has shown a strong upward trend, currently peaking around 64, with expectations of further increases towards 66 [8] - Domestic fuel oil has seen significant profits from previous long positions, with the highest price reaching 2760, and traders are advised to adjust their profit-taking strategies [9]
分析师:4月CPI数据没有改变美联储今年只会在12月降息一次的预期
news flash· 2025-05-13 13:24
分析师:4月CPI数据没有改变美联储今年只会在12月降息一次的预期 金十数据5月13日讯,分析师安娜·王和斯图尔特·保罗表示,4月份的CPI报告显示,受特朗普关税影响 最大的消费领域的通胀呈现加速态势。然而,旅游相关类别和其他娱乐服务的通缩压力抵消了商品价格 的部分涨幅。该报告表明,在评估特朗普关税政策对通胀的影响时,必须同步考量其对服务业的间接冲 击。鉴于服务业在CPI中有着相对较高的重要性,正如4月份的报告所显示的那样,服务业的通缩可能 会抵消商品价格的上涨。尽管如此,美联储可能不会从4月份的CPI报告中得到太多信号,因为他们的 预测表明,未来几个月通胀将会上升。我们维持我们的基准预期,即美联储今年只会降息一次,即在12 月的会议上降息25个基点。 ...
CPI数据落地,黄金日内波动加剧!空头能否延续下跌趋势,后续行情如何演绎?立即观看超V推荐官Jason的讲解,直播间可领取超V9.9元体验包>>>
news flash· 2025-05-13 12:49
Core Insights - The release of CPI data has led to increased volatility in gold prices, raising questions about whether bearish trends can continue and how future market conditions will unfold [1] Group 1 - The CPI data has significant implications for the gold market, influencing investor sentiment and trading strategies [1] - There is a focus on the potential continuation of bearish trends in gold prices, which could affect market dynamics [1] - The market is closely monitoring how the situation will evolve following the CPI release [1]
分析师:CPI公布后美债窄幅震荡 交易员仍押注美联储9月降息
news flash· 2025-05-13 12:45
分析师:CPI公布后美债窄幅震荡 交易员仍押注美联储9月降息 金十数据5月13日讯,分析师迈克尔·麦肯齐表示,美国国债收益率全线下跌约4个基点,CPI数据公布 后,2年期美债收益率维持在4%下方,10年期美债收益率位于4.45%以内。数据公布后市场维持窄幅波 动,因为交易员仍预期美联储将于9月启动降息——届时关税政策对通胀及经济的影响将更为明朗。 ...
美国4月CPI数据公布后,欧洲斯托克600指数涨至盘中高点,上涨0.3%。
news flash· 2025-05-13 12:36
美国4月CPI数据公布后,欧洲斯托克600指数涨至盘中高点,上涨0.3%。 ...
CPI数据即将公布,黄金短线信号出现?立即观看超V推荐官Jason多品种实时分析>>>
news flash· 2025-05-13 12:24
CPI数据即将公布,黄金短线信号出现?立即观看超V推荐官Jason多品种实时分析>>> 相关链接 ...