ink 系饮上市公司2025年门店数量变化及闭店率 1. 1301+2++ 4.85%A8108888 中华门出版 中华国际城 中国国际 RSS 1935 H 目 南方都市報 11 2011/04/2 te 奥一网(Heececon 125 7 详细推荐榜 60000 53014 品牌机构 40000 n a g a g it = 11:00:00 and 100 100 100 6914 11179 E E E E ill 20000 = = 10000 illi = 4.09% 1038 � R 20 Fra 南方都和報 奥一阿OCECCcul 茶饮上市公司2025年上半年数据对比 收入增长最快 最高收入 蜜雪冰城:148.75亿元 古茗:+41.2% 最高净利润 净亏损减少幅度最高 蜜雪冰城:26.93亿元 奈雪的茶:+73.1% 收入下滑最多 最低收入 沪上阿姨:18.18亿元 奈雪的茶 :- 14.4% 最低净利润 经调整净利润下滑最多 奈雪的茶 :- 1.18亿元 茶百道 :- 13.92% 茶饮上市公司2025上半年收入情况 单位:亿元 148.75 160 140 120 100 80 67. ...

Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.663 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.625 billion yuan, up 121.5% year-on-year [1] - The company has accelerated its store opening pace, surpassing 10,000 stores, with a total of 11,179 stores by the end of H1 2025, netting an increase of 1,265 stores [2] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 31.5%, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.1 percentage points, influenced by increased sales of low-margin coffee machines [3] - The company benefited from a "takeout war" initiated by major e-commerce platforms, significantly boosting demand for its tea products [4] - The company is actively expanding its coffee product line, leveraging its supply chain and operational capabilities to introduce high-value coffee products [4] Financial Performance - H1 2025 total GMV reached 14.094 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.3%, with a cup sales volume of 817 million cups, up 30.1% year-on-year [1] - The average GMV per store was 1.37 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.6% [1] - The operating profit margin improved by 1.6 percentage points to 23.7% due to enhanced cost efficiency [3] Store Expansion and Franchise Growth - The company opened 1,570 new stores and closed 305, resulting in a net increase of 1,265 stores in H1 2025 [2] - The number of franchisees reached 5,875, with a net increase of 1,007 franchisees in H1 2025 [2] Market Trends and Strategic Initiatives - The company is experiencing a strong recovery in the ready-to-drink tea market, which has contributed to its rapid store expansion [2] - The introduction of promotional activities and new coffee products is expected to enhance customer engagement and drive sales growth [4] - The company plans to consider overseas expansion in the future, indicating a long-term growth strategy [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.663 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.2%, and a net profit of 1.625 billion CNY, up 121.5% year-on-year [5] - The company has accelerated its store opening pace, with a total of 11,179 stores as of the end of the first half of 2025, netting an increase of 1,265 stores [6] - The gross merchandise volume (GMV) reached 14.094 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 34.3%, with a cup sales volume of 817 million cups, up 30.1% year-on-year [5][6] Revenue Performance - The company’s revenue from sales of goods and equipment, franchise management services, and direct store sales for the first half of 2025 were 4.496 billion CNY, 1.159 billion CNY, and 0.08 billion CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.8%, 39.2%, and 14.0% [5] Store Expansion - The company opened 1,570 new stores and closed 305, resulting in a net increase of 1,265 stores in the first half of 2025, with a faster expansion rate compared to the first half of 2024 [6] Profitability Improvement - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 31.5%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the operating profit margin increased by 1.6 percentage points to 23.7% [7] - The net profit margin increased by 10.4 percentage points year-on-year to 28.7% [7] Market Trends - The company benefited from a surge in demand in the tea beverage industry due to promotional activities from major e-commerce platforms, which significantly boosted order volumes [8] - The company is actively expanding its coffee product line, leveraging its supply chain and operational capabilities to introduce high-value coffee products [8] Financial Forecasts - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.660 billion CNY, 2.588 billion CNY, and 3.067 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.12 CNY, 1.09 CNY, and 1.29 CNY [9][10]

Group 1 - The incident involving a customer at a Mixue Ice Cream store highlights potential service quality issues within the company, as the customer reported negative interactions with staff when attempting to pick up 30 ice creams [1] - The store's response indicates a recognition of the situation, with an apology issued to the customer and a commitment to enhance employee training [1] Group 2 - The coffee market in China is experiencing significant growth, with a 19.54% year-on-year increase in the registration of coffee-related enterprises in the first half of the year, indicating a strong trend towards coffee consumption [2] - Major tea beverage companies, including Mixue Group, are expanding into the fresh coffee sector, leveraging existing resources to reduce operational costs and enhance product offerings [2] - The compound annual growth rate for the fresh coffee market in China is projected to be 19.8% from 2023 to 2028, making it the fastest-growing segment in the ready-to-drink beverage market [2] Group 3 - Five coffee industry projects with a total signed amount of approximately 400 million yuan have been established in Changsha County, focusing on key areas such as coffee equipment research and development, roasting, product processing, and green bean trade [3] - The construction of the largest and most comprehensive coffee industry complex in Central and Southern China is underway in Hunan (Changsha) [3] Group 4 - The first industry standard for the new tea beverage sector has been officially released, addressing quality requirements for raw materials, inspection methods, packaging, transportation, and storage [4] - This standard, effective from January 1, 2026, aims to regulate various components used in the production of fresh tea beverages, including tea leaves, fruits, dairy products, and sweeteners [4]

Group 1: Lemon Price Surge - The price of lemons has surged significantly, with yellow lemons priced between 7.5-10 yuan per jin, nearly tripling from the previous low of 3-4 yuan per jin [1] - The increase in lemon prices has directly impacted downstream tea beverage franchisees, with varying effects depending on the size of the franchise [1] - Larger brands like Mixue Ice City and Gu Ming have their own lemon production bases, mitigating the impact of price increases, while smaller brands face significant cost pressures [1] Group 2: Milk Tea Industry Growth - The number of milk tea-related enterprises in China has surged by 140% over the past five years, nearing 400,000, contributing to a market exceeding 350 billion yuan [2] - The primary consumer demographic for milk tea is the post-95 and post-00 generations, accounting for over 60% of market share, with 20-30 year-olds making up 59% [2] - Shenzhen leads in the number of milk tea shops, with 13,804 locations, followed by Guangzhou and Chongqing [2] Group 3: Nestlé and Eastern Airlines Collaboration - Nestlé and China Eastern Airlines have launched a co-branded "Yunnan Single Origin Drip Coffee" as part of their 15-year partnership [3] - The collaboration coincides with the launch of a new direct flight route from Shanghai to Geneva, enhancing cultural trade and cooperation [3] - Nestlé has been involved in the Yunnan coffee industry since 1988, supporting local farmers and achieving 100% 4C certification for its coffee beans [3] Group 4: IFBH Limited's IPO Progress - IFBH Limited, the parent company of the coconut water brand "if," has passed the listing hearing with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange just two months after submitting its prospectus [4] - IFBH has dominated the coconut water market in China since 2020, holding a market share of approximately 34% in 2024 [5] - The company's revenue for 2023 and 2024 is projected at $87.44 million and $158 million, respectively, with net profits of $16.75 million and $33.32 million [5] Group 5: Gu Ming's Market Position - Gu Ming is recognized as a leading brand in the ready-to-drink tea market, with a market share of 17.7% in 2023 [6] - The company employs a regional expansion strategy and a franchise system to capture the lower-tier market, with 78.8% of its stores located in second-tier cities and below [6] - Gu Ming's self-built supply chain and product innovation are expected to create competitive advantages, with projected net profits of 2 billion yuan in 2025 [6]

Group 1 - The number of public REITs in China reached 66, with a total issuance scale of 174.39 billion yuan as of May 31, 2025 [4] - The weighted REITs index closed at 139.99 with a monthly return rate of 3.71%, outperforming A-shares, gold, pure bonds, and crude oil [4] - The return rates of major asset classes are ranked as follows: US stocks > convertible bonds > REITs > A-shares > gold > pure bonds > crude oil [4] Group 2 - The SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) policy in Europe is set to require a mandatory 2% addition, which is expected to drive price increases in related products [5] - Domestic channels for exporting bio-aviation fuel have been successfully established, indicating promising future development [5] Group 3 - The company Guming has expanded its presence to over 200 cities across 17 provinces in China, with a total of 9,914 stores, making it the largest mass-market fresh tea drink brand in the country [6] - Guming has achieved an average quarterly repurchase rate of 53% and a store operating profit margin of approximately 20%, both leading the industry [6] Group 4 - NIO reported a total revenue of 12.04 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38.9% [8] - The gross margin for NIO was 7.6%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.1 percentage points [8] - The Non-GAAP net loss for NIO expanded by 28.2% year-on-year to 6.28 billion yuan, although it narrowed by 4.2% quarter-on-quarter [8]

Group 1: Company Overview - Hu Shang A Yi successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on May 8, with an opening price of 190.6 HKD, significantly above the initial price range of 95.57-113.12 HKD, resulting in a market capitalization of approximately 20 billion HKD [1] - The company has expanded rapidly since its inception, growing from a single store in Shanghai to 9,176 stores nationwide, with a year-on-year increase of 46.8% in store count [6][7] - Hu Shang A Yi's product pricing ranges from 7 to 16 RMB, targeting the mid-range tea drink market and focusing on high cost-performance to capture the vast lower-tier market [7] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - The company has positioned itself strategically in the lower-tier market, leveraging its experience in store operations and consumer preferences to effectively enter these markets [7] - Hu Shang A Yi has undergone significant brand upgrades, including the introduction of fruit tea products, which have become popular among consumers, leading to a monthly sales volume exceeding 1 million cups in 2021 [6][8] - The tea drink market in China is projected to grow from 4.748 trillion RMB in 2019 to 8.189 trillion RMB by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.5%, indicating a robust growth environment for Hu Shang A Yi [9] Group 3: Investment and Financial Backing - Prior to its IPO, Hu Shang A Yi attracted significant investment from notable firms such as Jia Yu Capital and Zhi Yi Investment, which have supported its growth through multiple funding rounds since 2020 [1][8] - The company has successfully integrated capital from cornerstone investors, including Yingfeng Holdings and Huabao Co., which also supplies its key product ingredients [1] - The investment community views Hu Shang A Yi as a leading player in the tea drink sector, with strong product innovation and competitive pricing strategies that align with current consumer demands [8][11] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The current landscape for ready-to-drink tea is competitive, with a notable increase in both new entrants and closures among existing brands, indicating a challenging environment for market players [10] - The number of closures among tea drink brands has risen significantly, with over 20,000 closures reported in 2024, highlighting the intense competition within the sector [10] - As the market matures, brands are increasingly looking to expand internationally, with Hu Shang A Yi opening its first overseas store in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, in February 2024 [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "5.5" for the IPO, based on various criteria [6][7]. Core Insights - The company, Hu Shang A Yi, is a leading chain in the fresh tea beverage market in China, operating through a franchise model with product prices ranging from 7 to 22 RMB [1]. - Revenue projections for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are 2.2 billion, 3.35 billion, and 3.28 billion RMB, with growth rates of 34%, 52%, and -1.9% respectively [1]. - The company has a significant market presence, with a total of 9,176 stores as of December 2024, 50% of which are located in tier-three cities and below [2]. - The fresh tea beverage market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a market size of 258.5 billion RMB and a growth rate of 19% [3]. Company Overview - Hu Shang A Yi has established a robust supply chain network across China, including 12 major logistics warehouses and various cold chain facilities [4]. - The brand has gained national recognition since its inception in 2013, leveraging social media and collaborations to enhance its market presence [4]. - The company has seen significant store growth, with net increases of 1,531, 2,482, and 1,387 stores in 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, indicating a strong expansion strategy [1]. Industry Status and Outlook - The fresh beverage market in China is projected to continue its rapid growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.5% from 2018 to 2023 [3]. - Hu Shang A Yi ranks first in store count in northern China and holds a 4.6% market share by GMV, placing it fifth overall in the industry [3]. Investment Considerations - The IPO price range is set between 95.57 and 113.12 HKD, with a post-IPO market capitalization estimated at 10 to 11.8 billion HKD [6][7]. - The company has secured cornerstone investors, including Yingfeng Holdings and Huabao, which have committed to 24.7% of the total issuance [6].