专题：国新办举行新闻发布会 潘功胜、李云泽、吴清重磅发声 对于长端资产来说，目前长端利率的估值偏贵，期限利差处于历史极低水平，已隐含了较多降息预期， 后续长端收益率的进一步下行或面临掣肘：（1）外部经贸环境有所缓和，中美高层开始接触并启动会 谈，贸易局势逐步度过对等关税出台之初预期最差的阶段；（2）政策层对稳市场稳预期的支持强度较 大，有助于提振市场信心和风险偏好；（3）调降政策利率和房贷利率、增设结构性再贷款等宽货币举 措有望对信用扩张构成支撑，促进经济平稳回升。综合而言，在估值偏贵、基本面预期改善和风险偏好 回升的影响下，长端利率的下行空间可能相对有限，或将延续震荡格局。 此外，中国债券市场"科技板"准备工作已基本就绪。央行会同证监会将创设科技创新债券风险分担工 具，提供低成本的再贷款资金购买科技创新债券，促进更多民间资本、政府基金等社会投资进入科技创 新领域，对科创债市场活跃度提升带来的相关投资机会需保持关注。 风险提示：本材料由工银瑞信基金管理有限公司提供，为客户服务资料，并非基金宣传推介资料，观点 仅供参考，具有时效性，不构成投资建议或收益承诺，投资者不应以该等信息取代其独立判断或仅依据 该等信息做 ...

Monetary Policy - The recent financial policy package is a response to the April Politburo meeting's directive for a more proactive macroeconomic policy, emphasizing timely reductions in reserve requirements and interest rates to maintain ample liquidity[3] - Starting May 15, the reserve requirement ratio will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points, releasing approximately CNY 1 trillion in long-term liquidity, bringing the average reserve requirement ratio to 6.2%[4] - The interest rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase operation will be reduced by 0.1 percentage points, expected to lead to a similar decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by about 0.1 percentage points[4] Support for Key Sectors - An additional CNY 300 billion will be allocated for technology innovation and technical transformation loans, alongside the establishment of risk-sharing tools for technology innovation bonds[5] - A CNY 500 billion service consumption and elderly care loan facility will be set up to enhance service consumption supply[5] - The total quota for capital market support tools will be merged to CNY 800 billion, with CNY 3 trillion in stock repurchase loans announced[6] Real Estate Market Stability - The LPR will be lowered by 10 basis points, reducing the 5-year LPR from 4.2% to 3.6%, with a further expected drop to 3.5%[8] - The personal housing provident fund loan interest rate will decrease by 25 basis points, bringing the rate for first-time homebuyers down from 2.85% to 2.6%[8] - The total amount of loans approved for real estate development has reached CNY 6.7 trillion, supporting the construction and delivery of over 16 million residential units[9] Corporate Support Measures - The People's Bank of China has set a total quota of CNY 3 trillion for loans supporting agriculture and small enterprises, enhancing financing for small and medium-sized private enterprises[11] - Regulatory adjustments will be made to improve financing convenience for companies impacted by U.S. tariff policies, including support for direct financing through various instruments[11] - A comprehensive policy package will be introduced to further support financing for small and private enterprises, focusing on increasing supply, reducing costs, improving efficiency, and optimizing the environment[11]

Group 1 - The ChiNext index experienced a strong increase in early trading, with a peak rise of 1.59%, driven by sectors such as brain engineering, insurance, and cross-border e-commerce [1] - The ChiNext 50 ETF (159949) rose by 2.05%, with a trading volume nearing 600 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The People's Bank of China announced a package of monetary policy measures, including a 0.1 percentage point reduction in policy rates and a 0.25 percentage point reduction in structural monetary policy rates [1] Group 2 - Open Source Securities noted that the reduction in reserve requirements and interest rates is expected to boost domestic demand, with the central bank's actions aimed at stabilizing liquidity and bank interest margins [2] - Huaxi Securities emphasized the importance of stability, stating that the collaboration between the Central Huijin Investment and the central bank provides robust support for market stabilization efforts [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing a comprehensive set of financial policies to stabilize the market and manage expectations, focusing on monetary policy adjustments and regulatory measures to support economic recovery and growth [1][2][3]. Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is introducing a package of ten monetary policy measures categorized into three types: quantity-based, price-based, and structural policies [3]. - A reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 0.5 percentage points is set to take effect on May 15, 2025, which is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market [4]. - The interest rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase operations will be lowered from 1.50% to 1.40%, likely leading to a corresponding decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by about 0.1 percentage points [4]. - The PBOC will also lower the rates for various structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points, including the re-lending rates for agricultural and small business support [4]. - An increase in the re-lending quota for technological innovation and transformation from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan is planned, along with the establishment of a 500 billion yuan re-lending facility for service consumption and elderly care [4]. Regulatory Measures - The Financial Regulatory Administration is set to introduce eight incremental policies aimed at enhancing the implementation of existing policies and ensuring economic stability [5][6]. - New financing systems compatible with the evolving real estate market will be developed to support stability in the housing sector [8]. - The administration plans to expand the scope of long-term investment trials for insurance funds, with an additional 60 billion yuan to be approved for market injection [9]. - Policies to support small and private enterprises will be expedited, focusing on improving financing coordination mechanisms [8]. Capital Market Support - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is committed to enhancing the stability and vitality of the capital market through various reforms [10][11]. - A new action plan for the high-quality development of public funds has been released, aiming to create a positive cycle of returns and market stability [14]. - The CSRC will introduce measures to deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market, enhancing institutional adaptability and inclusiveness [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The recent press conference by the State Council emphasized a comprehensive financial policy package aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, with a balanced approach between bottom-line support and development initiatives [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a series of interest rate cuts, including a 25 basis points reduction in the housing provident fund loan rate, effective May 8, and a comprehensive reduction in the 7-day reverse repurchase rate [1][2] - The PBOC's proactive measures include a total reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rates, with the RRR cut scheduled for May 15 [1][2] Group 2: Support for Technology and Innovation - The PBOC increased the quota for re-lending for technological innovation and technical transformation from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan, aiming to support tech enterprises [2] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) plans to promote the development of technology innovation bonds and establish risk-sharing tools for these bonds [2] Group 3: Capital Market Stability - The CSRC is focused on encouraging long-term capital inflows into the market, with initiatives such as the "Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Public Funds" [3] - The PBOC supports the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. in increasing its holdings of index funds, providing sufficient re-lending support [3] Group 4: Real Estate Market Support - The PBOC will lower the personal housing provident fund loan rate by 25 basis points, which is expected to save residents over 20 billion yuan annually in interest payments [4] - The financial regulatory authority is expediting the introduction of financing systems that align with new models of real estate development [4] Group 5: Consumer Sector Support - The PBOC will temporarily reduce the reserve requirement ratio for auto finance and financial leasing companies to 0%, facilitating financial support for automotive consumption and equipment upgrades [5] - A new 500 billion yuan "Service Consumption and Elderly Care Re-lending" program will be established to encourage financial institutions to support key service sectors and the elderly care industry [5]

◆央行：下调再贷款利率0.25个百分点。 今日起降息，15日起降准。 公积金贷款利率降至历史新低！100万元贷30年可省利息4.8万元。 三大类共十项具体 政策！央行组合拳发力。 金融重磅"组合拳"坚定稳市场稳预期信心。 ◆山海为赛场，好心迎宾客！十五运会群众赛事首金今天将在茂名诞生。 定向运动有何来头？ ◆重大利好！涉就业、年假、育儿补贴等，广东发布31条措施提振消费。 ◆事关民营经济！今日10时将举行发布会。 ◆今年一季度，新增个人住房贷款创2022年以来单季最大增幅。 广州楼市五一认购超2000套！同比环比大幅增长。 ◆计划招录2577人！"国考"补录今日开始报名。 ◆佛山公积金贷款利率，下调！ ◆广东又一跨海通道获桥梁界"诺贝尔奖"。 ◆"子宫内膜异位症"相关论文男性患者样本超六成？福建省人民医院发布情况说明。 ◆贵州茅台官宣：张艺兴成为茅台文旅代言人。 ◆一包卡牌卖1.7元，一年赚逾44亿元，卡游这张"牌"还能打多久。 1 CN 311 r ■D r start of the 娘 600 i P s i , i t I i ail t and - 1 ◆人人都能做外区生！广州中考再增1万考生，如何填 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing a series of structural monetary policy tools to support economic recovery and stabilize market expectations, with a focus on enhancing financial support for key sectors and improving the overall financial environment [1][2]. Monetary Policy Tools - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has introduced various structural monetary policy tools, with a total of nine tools currently in use, focusing on key areas of the national economy, major strategies, and weak links, with a total balance of approximately 5.9 trillion yuan, accounting for 13% of the PBOC's balance sheet [1][2]. - A reduction in the interest rates of several structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points, lowering rates from 1.75% to 1.5% for specific loans, and from 2.25% to 2% for policy financial institutions' pledged supplementary loans (PSL) [2][3]. - Establishment of a 500 billion yuan service consumption and elderly care re-loan to enhance financial support for key service sectors and the elderly care industry [2]. Support for Key Sectors - The quota for technology innovation and technological transformation re-loans has been increased from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan to support the expansion of the "two new" policies [3]. - An additional 300 billion yuan has been allocated to the agricultural and small business re-loans, bringing the total quota for these loans to 3 trillion yuan [3]. Real Estate and Stock Market Stability - The government is actively working to stabilize the real estate and stock markets, which are crucial for boosting social expectations and facilitating domestic demand [3][4]. - As of now, the approved "white list" loans from commercial banks have increased to 6.7 trillion yuan, supporting the construction and delivery of over 16 million residential units [3]. - In the first quarter of this year, the balance of real estate loans increased by over 750 billion yuan, with new personal housing loans reaching the largest quarterly increase since 2022, and housing rental loans growing by 28% year-on-year [3]. Capital Market Performance - The capital market is showing signs of stability, with the Shanghai Composite Index maintaining around 3,300 points and the bond market self-correcting due to improved economic confidence [4]. - The onshore and offshore RMB has appreciated by approximately 1% against the US dollar since the end of last year, indicating balanced cross-border capital flows [4]. Technological Innovation Financing - The establishment of a technology innovation bond risk-sharing tool is aimed at supporting the issuance of low-cost, long-term bonds for technology innovation enterprises and equity investment institutions [5].

Core Viewpoint - The recent financial policy package aims to stabilize the market and enhance expectations, reflecting a strong commitment to addressing risks and challenges while injecting momentum into economic recovery and capital market stability [1][5]. Group 1: Policy Measures - Over twenty new policy measures have been announced, with a focus on comprehensive strategies, including ten monetary policy measures such as reserve requirement ratio cuts, interest rate reductions, and structural tool optimizations [1][3]. - The financial regulatory bodies are collaborating more effectively, as evidenced by the coordinated release of policies from various departments, enhancing the overall policy effectiveness [2][3]. Group 2: Targeted Actions - The People's Bank of China has implemented targeted measures such as lowering reserve requirements and interest rates, while also introducing a 500 billion yuan "service consumption and pension re-loan" to support consumer spending and elderly care [4]. - Specific policies have been designed to support technology innovation, including the creation of risk-sharing tools for technology innovation bonds and the development of high-quality technology insurance [4]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - The fundamentals of the Chinese economy remain strong, with high-quality development continuing to progress, indicating a solid foundation for future growth [5]. - The financial policy package is expected to translate into sustained economic improvement and stable capital market operations, reflecting the government's determination and capability [5].

（原标题：重磅政策发布，最新研判来了！） 【导读】"一揽子金融政策"发布，机构最新解读 中国基金报记者 莫琳 5月7日上午，央行行长潘功胜、金融监管总局局长李云泽、中国证监会主席吴清在国新办发布会上介 绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况，并答记者问。发布会上推出多项重磅政策，涉及股 市、楼市、外贸等多项热点内容。 综合多家券商解读，大家普遍认为此次发布会在金融领域清晰传递了短期稳预期和长期调结构的政策逻 辑。"一揽子金融政策"兼具力度与精准度，为应对外部冲击和经济稳中求进奠定了坚实的基础。 与"9·24"国新会有何不同？ 此次国新办再次较为罕见地将新闻发布会时间提前至上午9点。此前在9点召开发布会，分别是2024年9 月24日和2025年1月23日，尤其是去年的"9·24行情"让不少投资者对此次会议充满期待。 国盛证券首席经济学家熊园指出，不同之处是去年"9·24会议"属于大超预期，也是大转向，本次则属于 预期之内、是"4·25"政治局会议精神的落地。往后看，不少增量政策应还在路上，尤其是财政发力、扩 内需、稳外贸等，可能的包括增加预算、增发国债或专项债、"两新""两重"加力扩围、大力发展服务消 费 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the introduction of a comprehensive set of financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and boosting economic growth in response to the current complex economic situation in China [2][4] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has lowered the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points, which is expected to release approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity, thereby increasing market liquidity and reducing financing costs for enterprises [2][4] - A series of support measures for small and micro enterprises have been proposed, including increasing re-lending quotas and optimizing financing coordination mechanisms to alleviate financing difficulties [2][3] Group 2 - The adjustment of the personal housing provident fund loan interest rate by 0.25 percentage points is aimed at enhancing the consumer support function of the provident fund loans, especially in the context of declining commercial loan rates [3] - The National Financial Regulatory Administration has indicated plans to introduce a series of financing systems that align with new models of real estate development, which may lead to increased support for development and mortgage loans [3][4] - The introduction of two monetary policy tools to support the capital market, including securities, fund, and insurance company swap facilities, as well as stock repurchase and increase re-lending, is expected to provide ongoing support for market stability [4]