[证券分析师： Table_Authors] 商俭 S0630525060002 shangjian@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 李嘉豪 S0630525100001 lijiah@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20251222 [Table_Reportdate] 2025年12月22日 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 [table_summary] ➢ 1.商品走势分化，中美的高科技投资持续增长——资产配置周报（2025/12/15-2025/12/19） ➢ 2.美国11月通胀意外放缓，但参考性降低——海外观察：美国2025年11月CPI数据 ➢ 3.杰克科技（603337）：启航新程，科技引领，与客户共谋全球化新篇——公司简评报告 ➢ 1.日本央行宣布加息25个基点 ➢ 2.三部门发布《互联网平台价格行为规则》 ➢ 3.李强主持召开国务院常务会议，对贯彻落实中央经济工作会议决策部署作出安排 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 | 1. 重点推荐 | | | 3 | | - ...

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the divergence in commodity trends and the continuous growth of high-tech investments in China and the US, with significant performance variations in global stock markets and commodities [8][11]. Global Asset Review - As of December 19, global stock markets showed mixed results, with European markets performing better; major commodities like gold, copper, and aluminum saw price increases, while oil prices declined [11][12]. - The report notes that the UK FTSE 100 outperformed other indices, while the Hang Seng Tech Index and Nikkei 225 faced pressure [11]. - The report indicates that gold prices rose slightly due to expectations of interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks, while oil prices fell due to concerns over oversupply [12]. Domestic Equity Market Review - In the domestic equity market, financials outperformed other sectors, with an average daily trading volume of 17,410 billion yuan, down from 19,359 billion yuan [18]. - Among the 31 sectors tracked, 19 sectors saw gains, with retail trade (+6.66%), non-bank financials (+2.90%), and beauty care (+2.87%) leading the way, while electronics (-3.28%) and power equipment (-3.12%) lagged [18][19]. Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Tracking - The report notes a continued loose monetary environment, with the central bank conducting reverse repos to maintain liquidity, while the bond market is expected to remain stable amid weak recovery signals [20][22]. - The US bond market showed a cautious decline in yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.16%, reflecting mixed signals from employment and inflation data [26][28]. - The report highlights the strong performance of the renminbi, supported by domestic economic resilience and favorable external conditions, with the currency appreciating against the US dollar [30][31]. Commodity Tracking - The report tracks energy commodities, noting that WTI crude oil prices fluctuated around $56.52 per barrel, with US crude oil production increasing year-on-year [32]. - It also highlights the significant drop in liquefied natural gas prices in China, attributed to high inventory levels and weak demand [36].

Group 1 - Liu Jipeng, a professor at China University of Political Science and Law, emphasizes the need for China to focus on high-tech investments rather than traditional sectors like liquor, questioning the sustainability of relying on alcohol for economic growth [1] - The liquor sector has dominated the market in the past five years, but Liu argues that it cannot be the sole driver for revitalizing China's economy, drawing a comparison to the absence of liquor in the "Seven Sisters" of the U.S. [1] - Liu acknowledges that investing in high-tech comes with high risks, stating that capital markets are characterized by a pursuit of high risk and high returns, and investors must be prepared for potential losses [1] Group 2 - Recent market data shows fluctuations in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3853.30, down 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.67% to 13445.90 [2] - The ChiNext Index rose by 1.58% to 3235.76, indicating a positive trend in growth-oriented sectors [2] - The hardware and communication equipment sectors have shown notable gains, with increases of 3.59% and 2.35% respectively, reflecting investor interest in technology-related stocks [3]

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Xian Dao Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (Xian Dao Dian Ke) by Quzhou Development (600208) marks a significant step towards its "curve" listing, with plans to purchase 95.4559% of Xian Dao Dian Ke's shares from over 40 companies and raise up to 3 billion yuan in supporting funds [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Quzhou Development plans to acquire Xian Dao Dian Ke for an estimated total of 11.455 billion yuan, based on a valuation of the target company's 100% equity not exceeding 12 billion yuan [2]. - Xian Dao Dian Ke, established in 2017 with a registered capital of 477.90 million yuan, holds over 30% of the global market share in ITO targets, ranking first in the industry [2]. - The acquisition is seen as more favorable compared to previous attempts, as Quzhou Development has a stronger financial position and operational performance than the previous buyer, Guangzhi Technology [3][7]. Group 2: Financial Performance - As of the first quarter of 2025, Quzhou Development reported total assets of 966.41 billion yuan and net assets of 421 billion yuan, with cash reserves of 60.81 billion yuan [8]. - Xian Dao Dian Ke's revenue for 2024 was 3.43088 billion yuan, with a net profit of 443.72 million yuan, while for the first quarter of 2025, revenue was 1.02140 billion yuan and net profit was 103.24 million yuan [9]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The acquisition aligns with Quzhou Development's strategy to transform into a high-tech investment platform, as its real estate business faces challenges [11][12]. - The deal is expected to enhance Quzhou Development's business structure by integrating advanced new materials manufacturing, thus supporting its transition towards a more sustainable growth model [14]. - Quzhou Development aims to establish itself as a benchmark for mergers and acquisitions in the region, contributing to the local economy's high-quality development [10][13].

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Xian Dao Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (Xian Dao Dian Ke) by Quzhou Development marks a significant step in the company's strategy to enter the high-tech sector through mergers and acquisitions, with a total estimated transaction value of approximately 114.55 billion yuan [1][2][3]. Company Overview - Xian Dao Dian Ke, established in 2017, has a registered capital of 477.90 million yuan and holds over 30% of the global market share in ITO target materials, ranking first in the industry [2][4]. - Quzhou Development, previously known as Xinhu Zhongbao, has undergone a transformation since state-owned assets took control, with total assets of 966.41 billion yuan and a market capitalization exceeding 350 billion yuan as of early 2025 [8][12]. Acquisition Details - Quzhou Development plans to acquire 95.4559% of Xian Dao Dian Ke's shares from over 40 companies, raising up to 3 billion yuan in supporting funds [1][2]. - The estimated valuation for 100% equity of Xian Dao Dian Ke is capped at 12 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decrease of over 40% from previous valuations [8][9]. Market Context - The acquisition comes after a failed attempt by another company, Guangzhi Technology, to acquire Xian Dao Dian Ke, which faced challenges due to external conditions and disagreements among stakeholders [5][6]. - The market response to Quzhou Development's acquisition has been positive, with the company's stock experiencing a surge, indicating investor confidence compared to previous attempts [3][7]. Strategic Implications - The acquisition is part of Quzhou Development's broader strategy to establish itself as a benchmark for mergers and acquisitions in the high-tech sector, aligning with local government initiatives to enhance industrial development [10][15]. - Xian Dao Dian Ke's products are crucial for various high-tech applications, including display panels and semiconductors, which will enhance Quzhou Development's business portfolio and support its transition towards high-tech manufacturing [14][16].

Core Viewpoint - The company, formerly known as Xinhuhongbao, has transformed into Quzhou Development (600208) and is benefiting from strategic investments in high-tech sectors, marking a new phase of growth following state-owned capital's entry and a name change [1][8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 16.485 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.007 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.016 billion yuan. The net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 125.91% year-on-year to 1.752 billion yuan [1]. - As of the end of the reporting period, the company's net assets amounted to 41.897 billion yuan, and total assets reached 97.028 billion yuan, indicating a stable asset performance [1]. - The company's debt-to-asset ratio improved to 56.26%, a decrease of 4.34 percentage points year-on-year, while the debt-to-asset ratio excluding advance receipts was 53.81%, maintaining a relatively low level in the industry [1]. Strategic Transformation - The company is transitioning from a real estate-focused business to a high-tech enterprise, leveraging the advantages of a mixed-ownership structure following the entry of Quzhou Industrial Group as the actual controller [3][8]. - The company has made significant investments in high-tech sectors, becoming a key shareholder in several high-tech firms, and is now beginning to realize returns on these investments [3][4]. Real Estate Business - The real estate sector remains a core revenue contributor, generating 16.292 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for over 98.8% of total revenue, with a slight decline of 2.6% year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin for the real estate business was 37.51%, positioning it favorably within the industry [6]. - The company is actively working to optimize its real estate portfolio by accelerating the development of quality projects and focusing on high-energy cities like Shanghai, which contributed 12.305 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13.16% [6]. Investment in High-Tech - The company has received 1.909 billion yuan from dividends and investment realizations from its high-tech investments, which are crucial for its profit and cash flow [4]. - Current investments include companies specializing in wide bandgap semiconductor materials, infrared optical materials, blockchain standards, big data software, and digital human technology, among others [4][5]. - The company plans to accelerate investments in emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and cloud computing, aiming to cultivate new business models and enhance production capabilities [5]. Asset Management and Debt Reduction - The company is focusing on revitalizing existing assets, particularly in the Wenzhou Pingyang and Nantong Qidong coastal reclamation projects, to reduce debt and improve cash flow [7]. - The net debt ratio decreased by 2.46 percentage points to 57.6%, ensuring financial safety and a good credit record amid a challenging industry environment [7]. - As of the end of the reporting period, interest-bearing liabilities totaled 30.899 billion yuan, accounting for 31.85% of total assets, reflecting a reduction in debt levels [7].