在《26年牛市的变与不变-20260103》中我们指出，随着基本面的修复由点至面扩散，配合居民资金进 一步入市，A股牛市将在2026年走向后半场。对此，我们围绕2026年牛市的驱动力及重点关注领域分别 展开系列深度研究。本篇是系列报告的第一篇，我们重点聚焦于本轮A股上行的重要动力之一：微观资 金面。 2024年924牛市启动后，投资者的信心及风险偏好持续得到修复，2025年A股赚钱效应进一步加强，上 证指数时隔逾十年时间再次站上4000点。回过头来看，2025年的牛市背后的重要驱动力之一是投资者微 观资金的持续入市。回顾2025年，究竟哪类资金推动市场走高？展望2026年，A股市场还有多少增量资 金可以期待？我们将在下文展开分析。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 荀玉根思考 核心结论：①25年A股增量资金市场特征明显，杠杆资金、私募资金等活跃资金成为主要入市力量，险 资亦有较大入市体量，主动偏股公募整体净赎回。②当前入市资金或主要来源于高净值人群，随着大部 分居民风险偏好自低位逐渐修复，26年普通居民资金有望成为主力入市资金。③25年宏微观背景与20年 均具有一定相似 ...

在A股市场整体行情和成交趋向活跃的同时，作为A股市场的一股重要力量，两融资金的规模和参与度也正在快速提 升。 数据显示，截至2026年1月7日，A股市场两融余额达26047亿元，首次突破2.6万亿元大关，并进一步创出历史新高，单 日增长约248亿元。 值得注意的是，近段时间以来，两融余额规模的增长再次加速，自2025年12月22日以来，短短11个交易日，两融余额 累计已经增长超过1000亿元。 两融交易的活跃度也在提升。2026年1月7日当天，A股市场两融交易额达3312亿元，创出自2025年10月9日之后最近3 个月新高，较2025年12月份的日均两融交易额大幅提升了近七成，且已连续两个交易日超过3000亿元大关。 包括两融资金在内，近日各类资金的积极参与也明显提升了市场整体成交。 就在2026年1月7日，A股市场成交额达2.88万亿元，连续2个交易日成交额超过2.8万亿元。当天多只热门A股的成交额 也创历史天量。 比如，雷科防务当日成交额首次突破百亿元，达到132.3亿元，创出该股上市以来的历史新高，其全天成交8.42亿股， 创出历史新高。 当天海格通信成交额也历史性地首次突破百亿元，达到121.6亿元， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977), which saw a turnover of 5.03% and a transaction volume of 441 million yuan, with the ChiNext Index (399006) rising by 2.85% [1] - The constituent stocks of the ChiNext ETF, such as Lepu Medical (300003) and BlueFocus Communication Group (300058), experienced significant gains, with increases of 19.99% and 19.97% respectively [1] - The ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) received substantial capital inflow, with a net subscription of nearly 50 million shares throughout the day [1] Group 2 - Over the past two weeks, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) has seen a growth in scale of 339 million yuan and an increase of 58 million shares [2] - In the last five days, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) has experienced continuous net inflows totaling 270 million yuan [2] - The fund has a low management fee rate of 0.15% and a custody fee rate of 0.05%, making it one of the lowest in the market for index funds [2] Group 3 - Recent stock buybacks by major companies like CATL and Kweichow Moutai reflect confidence in their development, with CATL repurchasing approximately 15.99 million shares for about 4.39 billion yuan [2] - Kweichow Moutai announced a buyback of 87,059 shares for a total of 120 million yuan, indicating a strategic move to enhance shareholder value [3] - Institutional views suggest that the current market risk appetite remains high, providing room for high-growth technology themes to continue rising [3] Group 4 - The report mentions various related products, including the Sci-Tech Innovation Board ETF Tianhong and the A500 ETF Tianhong, which cater to different investment strategies [4]

证券研究报告|投资策略周报 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 04 日 [Table_Title] 春季躁动提前启动，牛市格局依旧未改 [Table_Title2] 投资策略周报 [Table_Summary] ·市场回顾：本周（2025/12/29-2026/1/2）韩国综合指数、港股恒生科技指数、中国台湾加权指数领涨全球，美股 三大股指领跌。A 股方面，周期、成长板块表现较好，一级行业中石油石化、军工、传媒领涨；公用事业跌幅居 前。元旦后首个交易日（1 月 2 日），港股迎来"开门红"，恒生科技指数单日大涨 4%，其中半导体、AI 算力、互 联网巨头方向大涨，显示市场风险偏好回暖。大宗商品方面，本周基本金属、原油上涨，贵金属下跌，其中 COMEX 白银、COMEX 黄金分别下跌 6.39%、4.63%。外汇方面，离岸人民币兑美元汇率继续走强，周五升破 6.97。 ·市场展望：春季躁动提前，牛市格局依旧未改。2026 年是多个正面因素叠加的"大年"，牛市基础仍扎实，且春 季躁动已提前演绎：一是宏观政策周期来看，2026 年作为十五五开局之年，多部门正密集出台配套产业政策和投 资规划，同时财政 ...

2025年12月29日，"筑基强国路——中国制造'十四五'成就展"在京开幕，展期5个月。展览作为中国国 家博物馆2025年度"国家展览"项目之一，通过高端制造、产业基础、智能制造、绿色制造、融合发展、 美好生活等六部分，展示了"十四五"期间中国制造蓬勃发展的历程。展览总面积约4000平方米，展品 300余件（套），其中实物及高精度大型模型占比超过85%，覆盖全国各省（区、市）。 展览开篇明义，视觉风格庄重简洁，一排排数据图表、可视化展板，将抽象的发展理念转化为直观的信 息内容，观众能快速把握展览主旨与制造业发展整体态势。在国博大堂高端制造区域，1000平方米空间 与28米层高，视觉震撼结合实景还原，以微缩模型展示了白鹤滩水电站、深中通道、花江峡谷大桥等十 余项重大工程，体现"大国重器"对重大工程的支撑作用。 展览面向全国各省（区、市）广泛征集优质成果，构建起涵盖链主企业、制造业单项冠军企业、专精特 新"小巨人"企业及消费名品企业的多元展品矩阵。重点纳入拥有全国首台（套）产品、突破关键核心技 术的标杆成果，既兼顾产业梯度与区域特色，又覆盖我国制造业的核心赛道，全方位彰显中国制造的全 域布局优势与澎湃发展动能。 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market in 2026 is expected to face significant challenges, including external uncertainties and uneven recovery in corporate profits, which may hinder a comprehensive market rally [1][9] - The macroeconomic environment in 2025 showed a moderate recovery, with external factors like geopolitical tensions and trade frictions continuing to affect market sentiment [4][8] - The investment landscape is evolving, with institutional investors gaining more influence and a shift towards a focus on fundamentals and long-term logic, leading to a more stable and mature A-share market [7][8] Group 2 - The A-share market in 2025 exhibited a range-bound performance, with structural trends emerging as blue-chip stocks showed resilience supported by valuation recovery and dividend attributes [7] - In 2026, the economic growth "bottom" is likely to be established, with policies aimed at stabilizing growth and promoting reforms expected to gradually improve economic conditions [8] - The market structure in 2026 is anticipated to be characterized by moderate index performance and active sector dynamics, with high-dividend, low-valuation assets remaining attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [8]

12月30日，中天科技涨1.05%，截至发稿，报18.29元/股，成交4.43亿元，换手率0.72%，总市值624.23 亿元。 资料显示，江苏中天科技股份有限公司位于江苏省南通市经济技术开发区齐心路88号，成立日期1996年 2月9日，上市日期2002年10月24日，公司主营业务涉及通信、电力、海洋、新能源、新材料等领域产品 的生产与销售,及有色金属贸易等经营活动。主营业务收入构成为：电网建设41.17%，铜产品17.44%， 光通信及网络16.84%，新能源14.57%，海洋系列7.58%，其他1.39%，其他(补充)1.00%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，建信基金旗下1只基金重仓中天科技。建信兴利灵活配置混合A（002585）三季度持有股数 4.28万股，占基金净值比例为4.34%，位居第六大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约8132元。 建信兴利灵活配置混合A（002585）成立日期2016年6月8日，最新规模1855.23万。今年以来收益 13.11%，同类排名5330/8087；近一年收益13.1%，同类排名5199/8085；成立以来收益57.71%。 建信兴利灵活配置混合A（002585） ...

Group 1 - China's innovation index has entered the global top ten for the first time, marking a significant milestone in the country's technological advancement [1][2] - The year 2025 is a critical point for China as it concludes the "14th Five-Year Plan" and sets new goals for rapid breakthroughs in key core technologies [20] - The integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation is deepening, enhancing the role of innovation in driving development [20] Group 2 - Major breakthroughs in space exploration have been achieved, including the successful test of the "Dream Boat" manned spacecraft and the operation of the Jiangmen Neutrino Experiment, which is the world's first large-scale neutrino facility [5][16] - The launch of new high-speed real-time oscilloscopes with bandwidth exceeding 90GHz signifies China's advancement in the global electronic communication industry [11] - The successful operation of the "Haiqin" deep-sea unmanned remote-controlled vehicle demonstrates China's capabilities in deep-sea research [18] Group 3 - The release of Harmony OS on computers represents a significant step for Huawei in the computer operating system market [22] - The development of AI technologies is showcased through various exhibitions, highlighting the growing presence of artificial intelligence in daily life and industry [28][10] - The successful birth of the first cloned yak in Tibet indicates advancements in biotechnology and animal breeding [20]

2025年1至6月份，大为股份的营业收入构成为：半导体存储芯片占比92.16%，汽车制造业占比4.92%， 新能源占比1.37%，不动产租赁服务业占比0.86%，智能终端占比0.68%。 （记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，大为股份（SZ 002213，收盘价：27.09元）12月25日晚间发布公告称，深圳市大为创新科 技股份有限公司子公司深圳市大为创芯微电子科技有限公司收到国家知识产权局颁发的4项《实用新型 专利证书》。专利名称为"一种存储芯片测试治具""一种具备温度模拟环境的芯片测试装置"等。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——对话马斯克脑机接口"一号受试者"：大脑植入芯片23个月，我正重新夺回 人生的独立 截至发稿，大为股份市值为64亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent investment promotion conference in Dongguan marked a significant shift in Guangdong's industrial transfer strategy, moving from traditional policy-driven approaches to value creation through industrial parks, particularly the Dongguan-Jieyang industrial transfer platform, which has signed 21 projects with a total investment of 431 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Industrial Transfer and Economic Development - The Dongguan-Jieyang industrial transfer platform represents a key model for Guangdong's industrial parks, which have evolved from scattered locations to a comprehensive network, achieving an industrial output value exceeding 2 trillion yuan [1] - The industrial parks have seen an average annual growth of 10% in industrial added value and 15% in industrial investment over the past two years, significantly boosting local economic development [1] - By the end of 2024, over 50% of the 5,500 industrial enterprises in the region will be from the Pearl River Delta, indicating deep integration into the regional industrial system [1] Group 2: Flywheel Economy and Regional Integration - The introduction of "flywheel economy" has transformed rural areas into industrial clusters, facilitating the integration of cities like Heyuan, Meizhou, and Shantou into the Pearl River Delta's electronic information industry [2] - The Dongguan-Jieyang platform has also explored "reverse innovation zones," enhancing Jieyang's access to cutting-edge resources in the Greater Bay Area [3] - The establishment of the Dongguan-Jieyang Industrial Collaborative Innovation Center aims to create a full-chain collaborative system for technology development and commercialization [3] Group 3: Policy and Financial Support - Since 2022, Guangdong has actively promoted orderly industrial transfer to support the development of underdeveloped regions, establishing dynamic assessment mechanisms for industrial parks [4] - The province has allocated 5.3 billion yuan in special funds for parks, leveraging over 80 billion yuan in special bonds for development [4] - Guangdong's 15 main platforms have collectively undertaken 2,139 industrial transfer projects with a total investment exceeding 720 billion yuan [5] Group 4: Success Stories and Future Prospects - The Guangqing Industrial Park has achieved an industrial output value of nearly 120 billion yuan, showcasing the success of the flywheel economy model [5] - The Jiexi Industrial Park has attracted 64 enterprises, with a projected annual output value exceeding 10 billion yuan once fully operational [7] - The Meizhou Rongwan Industrial Park has successfully integrated world-class enterprises into its supply chain, enhancing the local automotive parts industry [8] Group 5: Systemic Changes and Collaborative Models - Guangdong's industrial parks are transitioning from isolated operations to a networked system, emphasizing inter-regional collaboration and resource sharing [9] - The new park construction will focus on distinctive features to avoid homogenization, fostering a cross-regional industrial ecosystem [9]