中远海运3月2日发布关于中东地区局势更新的服务提示。内容如下： 鉴于当前中东地区安全形势的持续演变，以及霍尔木兹海峡海上交通所面临的限制，中远海运集运正密切关注 该地区的局势发展，并与相关当局及安全机构保持紧密沟通，我们始终将船员、船舶及您的货物安全置于首 位。 为确保所有运营的安全性，我们针对现阶段船舶和货物的情况做如下提示： 我们会持续关注中东地区事态发展，并通过官方网站及客服渠道及时向您更新后续进展。感谢您在此特殊时期 对中远海运的理解与一贯支持。 | Service | Vessel Name | Vovage OPR | | Position | REMARK | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | MEX | CSCL INDIAN OCEAN | 075E | COS | IN GULF | | | MEX | CSCL ARCTIC OCEAN | 059E | cos | IN GULF | | | MEX | CSCL GLOBE | 074W | COS | ENROUTE TO GULF | | | MEX | COSCO SHIPPING ...

中东地区局势更新的服务提示 尊敬的客户： 鉴于当前中东地区安全形势的持续演变，以及霍尔木兹海峡海上交通所面临的限制，中远海运集运正密 切关注该地区的局势发展，并与相关当局及安全机构保持紧密沟通，我们始终将船员、船舶及您的货物 安全置于首位。 为确保所有运营的安全性，我们针对现阶段船舶和货物的情况做如下提示： 1、已进入波斯湾内的船舶，在安全的前提下，完成原定港口靠泊和作业后，在安全水域滞航或锚泊。 2、前往波斯湾方向的船舶，我们已通知相关船舶注意航行安全，采取或减速航行，或前往安全水域， 或指定庇护锚地等待进一步通知。 3、相关船舶信息详见附表 4、我们正在评估所有在船货物后续处置方案（包括可能的替代卸货港），将严格遵循我们提单条款与 条件中的相关规定。 我们会持续关注中东地区事态发展，并通过官方网站及客服渠道及时向您更新后续进展。感谢您在此特 殊时期对中远海运的理解与一贯支持。 中远海运集运 2026年3月1日 | Service | Vessel Name | Voyage OPR | | Position | REMARK | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

据中远海运公众号，中远海运集运发布关于中东地区局势更新的服务提示称，鉴于当前中东地区安全形 势的持续演变，以及霍尔木兹海峡海上交通所面临的限制，中远海运集运正密切关注该地区的局势发 展，并与相关当局及安全机构保持紧密沟通，始终将船员、船舶及您的货物安全置于首位。 为确保所有运营的安全性，公司针对现阶段船舶和货物的情况做如下提示：已进入波斯湾内的船舶，在 安全的前提下，完成原定港口靠泊和作业后，在安全水域滞航或锚泊；前往波斯湾方向的船舶，中远海 运集运已通知相关船舶注意航行安全，采取或减速航行，或前往安全水域，或指定庇护锚地等待进一步 通知；中远海运集运正在评估所有在船货物后续处置方案（包括可能的替代卸货港），将严格遵循提单 条款与条件中的相关规定。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The current demand in the e-commerce express delivery industry is resilient, and the top-down "anti-involution" is driving up express prices, releasing profit elasticity for companies, indicating a favorable long-term competitive opportunity for e-commerce express delivery [17] - The oil transportation market may see a significant price increase due to escalating conflicts in the Middle East, which could limit Iranian oil exports [5] - The shipping market is expected to benefit from OPEC+ production increases and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, enhancing the elasticity of VLCC freight rates [17] Industry Dynamics Tracking Shipping and Ports - The SCFI comprehensive freight index increased by 6.5% week-on-week to 1333 points, with notable increases in shipping rates to Europe, the Mediterranean, and the US [5] - The BDTI index for crude oil shipping rose by 6.47% to 1870 points, with VLCC TCE increasing by 30.2% [6] - The BCTI index for refined oil shipping increased by 3.3% to 838 points, with significant rises in rates for LR1 and MR vessels [6] - The BDI index for bulk carriers rose by 2.7% to 2120 points, indicating a positive trend in bulk shipping rates [6] - New ship prices have generally decreased, with the new ship price index down by 0.57 points to 182.15 points [6] Express Logistics - The Zhejiang Postal Administration has outlined nine key tasks for 2026, focusing on maintaining fair competition and enhancing service quality in the express delivery sector [9] - During the Spring Festival, the express delivery volume in Yiwu reached a historical high of 56.3 million packages in a single day, with a year-on-year growth of 10% in package volume [10] - Shentong Express emphasized the role of AI in operations, aiming for a collaborative strategy focused on experience, market share, and profit [11] Aviation and Airports - During the 2026 Spring Festival holiday, civil aviation transported 22.05 million passengers, a year-on-year increase of 7.7% [13] - The number of inbound foreign tourists increased by 49.5% in 2025, indicating a recovery in international travel [14] Road and Rail - National logistics operations were orderly from February 16 to February 22, with rail freight down by 10.72% and highway freight traffic down by 70.59% [16] Sub-industry Data Tracking Express Logistics - In December 2025, the national express service volume reached 18.21 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [26] - In January 2026, YTO Express achieved a business volume of 2.943 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 29.75% [33] Shipping - The Clarksons comprehensive freight rate was $37,591 per day, a week-on-week increase of 10.37% [49] - The BDI index for bulk shipping rose by 2.70% [49] Aviation - In January 2026, civil aviation completed a passenger transport volume of approximately 63 million, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% [59] Ports - From February 16 to February 22, 2026, China's port cargo throughput was 187.61 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 21.75% [80]

证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 03 月 02 日 投资要点： 资料来源：聚源，华源证券研究所，截至2026年03月02日 华源晨会精粹 20260302 固定收益/银行 跨春节已过，长债或是机会——利率半月报：26 年 1 月债券总托管 规模环比上升 0.76 万亿元至 179.3 万亿元，较 25 年 12 月多增 0.46 万亿元。2 月 底长债有所回调，或主要系上海房地产政策放松引发券商及基金等交易盘止盈，我 们认为，交易盘止盈或是机会，情绪企稳后长债收益率有望再度回落。春节假日 9 天，全国国内出游 5.96 亿人次，较 25 年春节假日 8 天增加 0.95 亿人次；国内出游 总花费 8034.83 亿元，较 25 年+1264.81 亿元。美国和以色列 2 月 28 日对伊朗发动 军事打击，伊朗予以回击。国债收益率近一周多数上行。长债调整或是机会。近期 人民币明显升值，2 月初以来，美英德等发达国家 10Y 国债收益率下行较明显，美 10Y 国债收益率 2 月 27 日已跌破 4.0%，对中国债市构成利好。当前交易盘长债持 仓仍较少，PPI 同比回升为市场普遍预期，长 ...

Investment Performance - The gold stock portfolio for February achieved a return of +2.07%, with a cumulative annual return of +17.8% as of February 28, 2026, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index by 1.98 percentage points and 1.48 percentage points respectively [1] - The top-performing sectors in the Shenwan first-level industry classification were comprehensive (+18%), steel (+10%), and building materials (+8%) [1] March Investment Strategy Outlook - The A-share market is expected to remain volatile due to valuation levels in certain sectors and external geopolitical influences, with a notable focus on value assets represented by free cash flow indices [2] - The upcoming National People's Congress is anticipated to increase thematic investment opportunities, making macro narratives a key driver for market direction [2] - It is recommended to select stocks with solid fundamentals and low implied expectations in their current valuations, while maintaining a balanced portfolio to avoid overexposure to any single sector [2] Recommended Gold Stocks for March - Utilities: Guiguan Electric Power (600236.SH), Power Equipment: Dongfang Electric (600875.SH) [3] - Electronics: Helin Micro-Nano (688661.SH), Media: Kaiying Network (002517.SZ) [3] - Chemicals: Sanyou Chemical (600409.SH), Xin Fengming (603225.SH) [3] - New Materials: Huafeng Aluminum (601702.SH), Building Materials: China Jushi (600176.SH) [3] - Construction: Honglu Steel Structure (002541.SZ), Transportation: China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872.SH) [3] Company-Specific Insights Guiguan Electric Power (600236.SH) - Plans to acquire a group company in Tibet for 2 billion yuan at 1.1 times PB, gaining access to hydropower resources expected to be operational by 2026-2027 [4] - The company is positioned to support the group's mission in Tibet and is expected to benefit from the national clean energy demonstration base [4] Dongfang Electric (600875.SH) - Increased global electricity demand driven by AI capital investment is expected to boost demand for gas turbines and other power equipment [5] - The company is well-positioned in nuclear power, pumped storage, solar thermal, and hydrogen energy sectors, with leading technology capabilities [5] Helin Micro-Nano (688661.SH) - The chip testing industry is entering a "volume and price rise" cycle due to increased complexity and testing duration [7] - The company is expected to gain market share as supply chain constraints affect competitors, leading to improved performance [8] Kaiying Network (002517.SZ) - The company has secured exclusive licensing for popular games, with a daily active user count nearing 500,000, indicating strong community engagement [10] - AI initiatives are progressing, with new interactive applications expected to launch in early 2026 [10] Sanyou Chemical (600409.SH) - Cotton price increases are expected to drive up demand and prices for viscose, with significant reductions in cotton planting area impacting supply [12] - The company is currently trading at a historical low PB of 1.2 times, indicating a high safety margin [13] Xin Fengming (603225.SH) - The polyester filament market is entering an upcycle, with low inventory levels and expected demand recovery post-holiday [15] - Anticipated profitability improvements in the PTA sector due to limited new capacity and stable downstream demand [15] Huafeng Aluminum (601702.SH) - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for aluminum thermal materials in the electric vehicle sector [18] - The trend of "aluminum replacing copper" is expected to accelerate, opening new market opportunities [18] China Jushi (600176.SH) - The company is at a potential market turning point for electronic fabrics, with prices expected to rise significantly [19] - High-end electronic fabric certifications are progressing faster than anticipated, indicating strong future demand [19] Honglu Steel Structure (002541.SZ) - The company is expected to achieve a production volume of 5.021 million tons in 2025, with a utilization rate of approximately 96.55% [20] - The integration of advanced automation and project management systems is expected to enhance production efficiency [20] China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872.SH) - The oil shipping market is expected to perform strongly due to favorable fundamentals and geopolitical factors [21] - The company is the world's largest owner of VLCCs, positioning it well to benefit from the improving oil and dry bulk shipping markets [21]

ITGERNH 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 航运衍生品数据日报 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心 投资咨询号: Z0021177 卢钉毅 2026/3/2 从业资格号: F03101843 数据来源：Clarksons、Wind 中国出口集装箱运价 L 淘H回集装箱运价 运价指数 SCFI-美西 SCFI-美东 SCFIS-美西 SCFI-西北欧 指数CCFI 综合指数SCFI 现值 1333 1857 1155 1420 1045 2691 端 间 滑 前值 1787 1251 1101 2524 1361 0 涨跌幅 6.52% #DIV/0! 3.92% 4.90% 6.62% 4.34% SCFI-地中海 SCFIS-西北欧 数 现值 1657 2305 | 前值 | 1792 | 2177 | | --- | --- | --- | | 涨跌幅 | -7.53% | 5.88% | del libe 新 【1】市场消息称,以色列方面对伊朗境内的多处目标实施了空袭。【2】伊朗向除阿曼外的所有海湾国家都发射了 弹道导弹。【3】据美联社消息,胡塞武装将恢复对红海走廊航运的袭击。 【EC】 ...

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2026-03-02 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 2026-03-02 所长 早读 今 日 发 现 美伊战争开启，霍尔木兹海峡封闭，大宗商品遭殃 观点分享： 2 月 28 日美国和以色列联合对伊朗发起"先发制人"军事打击，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊 遇袭身亡，伊方誓言"毁灭性报复打击"，霍尔木兹海峡被封锁。作为全球能源的咽喉，这 条水道的关闭意味着每天数千万桶的石油和大量的天然气无法运出，将直接冲击全球能源供 应、通胀预期和物流格局。原油将是受冲击最直接、最剧烈的品种。霍尔木兹海峡承担着全 球约五分之一的石油运输量，日均运输量高达 1800 万至 2000 万桶，市场交易的主线将从 基本面转向地缘政治风险溢价，油价波动率将急剧上升。对于天然气市场，全球约 20%至 25% 的液化天然气贸易需经过霍尔木兹海峡，全球最大液化天然气出口国之一的卡塔尔是核 心供应方一旦卡塔尔的出口受阻，全球液化天然气供应将瞬间紧张，有专家警告，欧洲天然 气交易价格可能会重演历史。原油成本上移将直接推高石脑油、烯烃、芳烃等基础化工原料 价格，进而导致聚乙烯、聚丙烯、乙二醇等下游产品 ...

集运欧线数据日报 2026/3/2 最新观点 集运欧线：上周五EC下跌1.43%。美以联合打击伊朗，胡塞官员表示胡塞已决定恢复对红海的航运路线以及对 以色列的导弹和无人机袭击以支持伊朗，对于集运欧线来说主要影响的是船司复航进展和预期。由于船司把船 员、船舶和货物安全放在首位，此前宣布重返苏伊士运河的船司再次取消重返红海的决定，目前马士基的ME11 和MECL航线已由此前的经由苏伊士运河改为绕行好望角，赫伯罗特的IMX也宣布改道绕行好望角，今年欧线的 年中6月至8月的旺季全面复航的可能性进一步下降，2026年集运欧线分阶段、大规模重返红海的计划也将被进 一步搁置，尽管目前EC对于年内复航并未计价很多，但受此影响短期市场预计仍将以该事件博弈为主，偏向情 绪性反弹，尤其是远月合约。 | | | | | EC合约量价 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 最新成交价 | 最新涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量单边 | 多单持仓 | 空单持仓 | 净多持仓 | | | （点） | （%） | 环比变化 | 环比变化 | (前20会员 ...

3月2日，中远海控盘中上涨2.07%，截至11:22，报15.32元/股，成交24.86亿元，换手率1.30%，总市值 2345.89亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出1905.94万元，特大单买入3.63亿元，占比14.60%，卖出4.10亿元，占比 16.51%；大单买入5.92亿元，占比23.82%，卖出5.64亿元，占比22.68%。 中远海控今年以来股价涨0.92%，近5个交易日涨7.06%，近20日涨6.24%，近60日涨4.22%。 资料显示，中远海运控股股份有限公司位于上海市东大名路658号，成立日期2007年1月5日，上市日期 2007年6月26日，公司主营业务涉及国际、国内海上集装箱运输服务及相关业务。主营业务收入构成 为：集装箱航运业务96.06%，码头业务5.35%。 中远海控所属申万行业为：交通运输-航运港口-航运。所属概念板块包括：中欧班列、央企改革、标普 道琼斯中国、行业龙头、央企央资等。 截至9月30日，中远海控股东户数42.53万，较上期增加17.75%；人均流通股0股，较上期增加0.00%。 2025年1月-9月，中远海控实现营业收入1675.99亿元，同比减少4.09% ...