点击小程序查看报告原文 开篇：新消费，何以常新 图表1：一张图看懂"新消费" 资料来源：中金公司研究部 2019年，我们发布了《聚焦"新消费"》[1]大报告，在新消费崛起的初期论证了其兴起的原因与本质，展望了美好的前景。经过这几年的发展，新消费浪潮 风起云涌，当年的明星公司，有的大展宏图，有的泯然众人矣。站在这个时点，我们需要进一步思考：新消费，何以常新？ 当前中国消费行业似乎进入了一个分水岭：一面是海水，一面是火焰。一面是Labubu二手价的热炒，一面是茅台批价的承压。一面是胖东来门庭若市，一 面是外资卖场黯然退场。我们发现，消费者依旧需求旺盛、依旧充满热忱，只不过供需易势，需要供给方用更诚挚的热忱、更高的效率、更创新的产品来 建立自己的"买方解法"。因此，爆发性流量红利从未远去，前有哈尔滨用硬核诚意守护游客，换来"尔滨"美誉；后有苏超重振了国民对足球的热爱与信 心，"比赛第一，友谊第十四"让人会心一笑。新消费，新的是技术与创新驱动的效率革命、体验重构的产品和场景升级，不变的是消费者对品质的追求、 与品牌的情感链接。 什么是"新消费"？新消费是消费升级趋势的深化演进，更是大消费行业的经营理念升级。 随着中国 ...

Group 1: Stock Splits Overview - Stock splits are becoming less common due to the availability of fractional shares, but they still serve purposes such as employee compensation [1] - Stock splits can generate excitement among investors and may lead to stock price surges, making it a strategic time to acquire stocks that are potential candidates for splits [1] Group 2: Microsoft - Microsoft, currently trading around $500, may be compelled to split its stock to maintain its position in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, as it is the second most expensive stock in the index [3][4] Group 3: Goldman Sachs - Goldman Sachs, the most expensive stock in the Dow at over $700, may also consider a stock split next year to remain a manageable component of the index [5] Group 4: Meta Platforms - Meta Platforms, trading at approximately $725, could be a candidate for a stock split as the Dow transitions to include more AI-focused companies [6] Group 5: Berkshire Hathaway - Berkshire Hathaway's Class A shares are unlikely to split due to their high price of over $700,000, but the more affordable Class B shares at $477 could be considered for a split next year [7][8] Group 6: Costco - Costco, which has seen its stock price exceed $1,000, may announce a stock split in 2026 as it becomes a candidate for such action [9] Group 7: Netflix - Netflix, with shares trading around $1,250, may also consider a stock split in 2026 to manage employee compensation costs associated with stock options [10] Group 8: ASML - ASML, currently trading at approximately $800, may consider a stock split in anticipation of strong growth in the semiconductor sector [11] Group 9: ServiceNow - ServiceNow, trading around $1,000, is benefiting from AI integration and could be a potential candidate for a stock split as its stock continues to rise [12] Group 10: Fair Isaac Corporation - Fair Isaac Corporation, known for credit scoring, has seen its stock rise to over $1,600 and may announce a split next year despite a recent decline from its 52-week high of $2,400 [13] Group 11: MercadoLibre - MercadoLibre, a leading e-commerce and fintech company in Latin America, has a stock price of $2,400 and could be ripe for a stock split in 2026 [14] Group 12: Investment Considerations - Even if some companies do not proceed with stock splits, they may still represent strong investment opportunities, with compelling cases beyond the potential for a split [15]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. investors may be overlooking better investment opportunities in international stocks due to the fear of missing out on U.S. market gains, particularly as the S&P 500 reaches record highs [1][2] Group 1: International Exposure - Increasing international exposure is suggested as a safer and smarter alternative to investing more in the U.S. economy, as foreign stocks are currently trading at cheaper valuations and performing better [2][10] - The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) is highlighted as a suitable vehicle for gaining international exposure [4] Group 2: Historical Performance - Historical data shows that foreign stocks outperformed the S&P 500 between 2002 and 2009, primarily due to a weaker U.S. dollar [5][6] - Analysts predict a potential reversal of the recent U.S. stock performance dominance, leading to a recovery in non-U.S. stocks [8][9] Group 3: Valuation Comparison - The S&P 500 is currently priced at 24.5 times trailing earnings and 23.6 times forward-looking earnings, which is high compared to the MSCI EAFE's 10-year average P/E of 14.2 and trailing-12-month P/E of 16.7 [12][14] - Analysts emphasize that international stocks are closer to their historical averages, suggesting greater price appreciation potential compared to overvalued U.S. stocks [14] Group 4: Diversification Strategy - Adding international exposure is recommended to shield portfolios from economic and political uncertainties in the U.S. [16] - The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF includes quality foreign companies such as SAP, ASML, Nestlé, and Novartis, providing a diversified investment option [17]

Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of strategizing to counter external risks and price volatility in the oil and gas market when considering potential portfolio additions [1] - The author has nearly two decades of experience in the logistics sector and focuses on stock investing and macroeconomic analysis, particularly in ASEAN and NYSE/NASDAQ stocks [1] - The author emphasizes the diversification of investments across various industries and market cap sizes, including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels [1] Group 2 - The author began trading in the Philippine stock market in 2014, initially investing in blue-chip companies and later expanding to different sectors [1] - The entry into the US market occurred in 2020, with the author gaining insights through a relative's trading account before opening their own [1] - The author has been utilizing analyses from Seeking Alpha to compare with their own research in the Philippine market since discovering the platform in 2018 [1]

今年初，《深圳市加快推进人工智能终端产业发展行动计划（2025—2026年）》（简称《行动计划》） 中提出，到2026年深圳全市人工智能终端产业规模达8000亿元以上、力争1万亿元，在智能眼镜、智能 手表、智能耳机、AR/VR设备等细分赛道推出一系列人工智能标杆产品。这也是抢跑智能耳机终端市 场上，深圳再次先声夺人的鲜明痕迹。 "巴别鱼"如雨后春笋般涌现 1979年，道格拉斯·亚当斯写的《银河系漫游指南》出版，被无数科幻迷奉为圭臬。书中提到了神奇生 物"巴别鱼"，只要放进耳朵，它就能自动翻译所有的语言，实现即时语言翻译。 近期，在一场比赛的聚光灯下，AI与人类译员的同传对决进入白热化。 当记分牌定格在1170:1062，深圳时空壶的W4 Pro AI同传耳机以破千分的优势胜出——这款搭载40种语 言、93种口音的AI同传耳机，正将跨语言对话的延迟压缩至3—5秒。 这场比赛恰似一面棱镜，折射出深圳智能耳机军团的技术突围。曾经以代工为标签的耳机企业，如今在 AI浪潮中集体转身：既有以冠旭电子、韶音科技、漫步者、智创一切、万魔声学等企业为代表的音频 品牌，也有华为、时空壶等互联网大厂和数码科技企业的入局，更有中科蓝 ...

Group 1 - Six IPOs and one SPAC debuted this week, indicating a continued interest in public offerings despite market conditions [2] - Nine IPOs and two SPACs submitted initial filings this week, suggesting a robust pipeline for future offerings [2] - Singapore-based heavy equipment provider Ten-League International Holdings (TLIH) priced its US IPO at the bottom of the range, reflecting cautious investor sentiment [2]

Group 1 - The company GSL has shown steady operations and reported positive Q1 figures, reinforcing the investment thesis that it is a strong buy [1] - The analyst has a diverse professional background across multiple industries, which contributes to a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics [1] - The investment strategy focuses on cyclical industries, aiming for significant returns during economic recovery while balancing risk through fixed-income investments [1] Group 2 - The analyst holds a beneficial long position in GSL shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2]

Group 1 - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 180 million to 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.81% to 91.75% [2] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be 160 million to 210 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 51.07% to 98.28% [2] - The basic earnings per share are estimated to be between 0.3101 yuan and 0.4135 yuan [2] Group 2 - The increase in performance is attributed to the ongoing AI wave driving the upgrade of computing infrastructure, with accelerated orders for data center switch products from internet clients [3] - The company is committed to enhancing management and efficiency, resulting in effective cost control and revenue growth compared to the previous year [3] - In 2025, the company plans to focus on ICT infrastructure represented by data center networks and optical communications, as well as AI application solutions across various scenarios [3] Group 3 - The company will continue to advance its overseas strategy in both capability building and market expansion [4] - It aims to improve its compliance system to mitigate international market operational risks and support overseas market expansion [4] - The company is exploring business models related to brain-computer interfaces and will develop corresponding strategies based on its growth needs [4]

Group 1 - Seeking Alpha welcomes Free De Coninck as a new contributing analyst, encouraging others to share investment ideas for publication and potential earnings [1] - The new analyst specializes in fundamental analysis, focusing on turnaround stories, undervalued tech companies, and long-term compounders, with a research-driven investment approach [2] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of valuation models like DCF in their investment strategy [2] Group 2 - The article expresses the analyst's beneficial long position in NOK shares, indicating a personal investment interest [3] - There is a disclaimer regarding the lack of compensation for the article, highlighting the independence of the analyst's opinions [3] - Seeking Alpha clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results and that the views expressed may not reflect the platform's overall stance [4]

Earnings Reports Overview - Upcoming earnings reports from major financial institutions including JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and BlackRock are anticipated, with a focus on spending trends and loan losses [2] - Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are expected to report strong quarters, driven by increased mergers and acquisitions activity [3] - Retail sales figures are set to be released, with concerns about a potential slowdown due to political instability affecting consumer behavior [4] Company-Specific Insights - JPMorgan is highlighted as a key player, while Wells Fargo is noted for no longer being under a punitive asset cap [2] - Citigroup's earnings report is predicted to be well-received, and BlackRock may present an exciting narrative [2] - Bank of America is recognized for consistently good earnings, with its stock considered undervalued due to Berkshire Hathaway's selling [3] - Abbott Laboratories is favored despite potential misinterpretations of its quarterly results, while PepsiCo is viewed as undervalued relative to its growth [4] - Netflix is expected to report strong results, although the expectations are high [4] - American Express is noted for selling off post-earnings even with good reports, while 3M is anticipated to have one of the best quarters in the industrial sector [5]