Report Date - October 10, 2025 [2] Research Team - Energy and Chemical Research Team includes researchers for different sectors such as crude oil, PTA/MEG, industrial silicon, polyolefins, pulp, and glass soda ash [3] Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The national carbon market price is under pressure and fluctuating [4] Summary by Section 1. National Carbon Market Overview - In September, the national carbon market's highest price was 69.49 yuan/ton, the lowest was 57.72 yuan/ton, and the closing price dropped 16.35% from the last trading day of the previous month. The total trading volume was 32,700,907 tons, and the total turnover was 2,003,662,939.74 yuan. From January 1 to September 30, 2025, the trading volume was 98,098,802 tons, and the turnover was 6,797,362,256.82 yuan [7] - Fudan Carbon Index shows price expectations for October and December 2025 for national carbon emission allowances (CEA) and China Certified Emission Reductions (CCER), with some price indices showing declines [8] - From January to July 2025, thermal power generation decreased 1.30% year-on-year, cement production decreased 4.5% year-on-year, electrolytic aluminum production increased 2.54% year-on-year, pig iron production decreased 1.3% year-on-year, and crude steel production decreased 3.1% year-on-year [9][10] 2. Market News - At the 2025 China Carbon Market Conference, the Deputy Minister of Ecology and Environment introduced the progress and achievements of the national carbon market since 2024 and outlined future plans. The Minister reported on the significant achievements and challenges in climate change response and carbon peaking and neutrality work, highlighting issues like the resurgence of "two high" projects [11] 3. Data Summary - Not provided with specific summary information other than the mention of data sources and some chart references [13][17][22]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily discuss the thermal power, hydropower, and nuclear power sectors in the energy industry, focusing on their performance and challenges in the third quarter of 2025 [1][2][4][5][7]. Key Points and Arguments Thermal Power Sector - **Electricity Prices**: In Q3, electricity prices generally declined due to falling coal prices, although regions like Qinghai, Guangxi, and Chongqing showed strong monthly trading prices [1][2]. - **Coal Prices**: The average price of thermal coal (5,500 kcal) at Qinhuangdao port rose to approximately 670 RMB/ton, an increase of about 40 RMB from Q2 [2][3]. - **Utilization Hours**: High temperatures led to increased electricity demand, resulting in a year-on-year increase of about 3% in thermal power generation in July and August, despite a 12-13% decline in September [3]. - **Profitability Factors**: The profitability of the thermal power sector is influenced by coal prices, electricity prices, and utilization hours, with stable annual contracts mitigating the impact of short-term fluctuations [2][3][11]. Hydropower Sector - **Challenges**: The hydropower sector faced significant challenges in Q3 due to lower rainfall in July and August, leading to a nearly 10% year-on-year decline in hydropower generation [4]. - **Improvement in September**: Although rainfall improved in September, it was insufficient to fully compensate for previous deficits [4]. - **Cautious Optimism**: The performance of large reservoirs provided some stability, but overall expectations for hydropower competitiveness remain cautious [4]. Nuclear Power Sector - **Stable Growth**: The nuclear power sector maintained stable growth, largely unaffected by external environmental changes [5][6]. - **Performance Disparity**: There is a notable performance disparity between China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) and China General Nuclear Power Group (CGN), with CNNC showing year-on-year growth while CGN faces significant downward pressure due to electricity price impacts in Guangdong and Guangxi [7][8]. - **Future Outlook**: CNNC is expected to recover to high growth if operational pressures ease, while CGN is likely to experience slight declines [8]. Renewable Energy Sector - **Capacity Growth**: Wind and solar power installations grew by 71% and 65% year-on-year, respectively, although utilization hours decreased by 12 and 11 hours due to regional limitations and weaker resource conditions in Q3 [9][10]. - **Pricing Mechanisms**: Different regions are implementing varying pricing mechanisms for renewable energy, with coastal areas showing better pricing performance [10]. - **Profitability Concerns**: Despite the growth in capacity, there are concerns about the profitability outlook for major renewable energy companies [10]. Asset Impairment and Transition - **Decarbonization Transition**: The transition towards decarbonization in thermal power is progressing well, but uncertainties regarding asset impairments need to be monitored [11]. - **Performance Variability**: Companies like Datang Power may face performance declines under pessimistic scenarios, but adjustments for impairments could align their performance with peers like Huaneng [11]. Regional Performance - **Fujian Province**: Fujian's wind power and utilization hours are expected to show high growth, although large green energy companies still face significant pressures [12]. - **Hydropower Companies**: Huaneng Hydropower and Guotou performed better than Yangtze Power, benefiting from favorable water conditions and lower coal prices [13]. Future Earnings Expectations - **Quarterly Growth**: In the absence of major unexpected events in renewable distribution, a quarterly profit growth of 6-8% is anticipated [14]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and data from the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the energy sectors discussed.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Electric Power Investment Energy Co., Ltd. has seen a stock price increase of 5.01%, reaching 23.70 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 53.125 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on December 18, 2001, and listed on April 18, 2007, is primarily engaged in the production, processing, and sales of coal products, thermal power, and electrolytic aluminum [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes aluminum products at 55.11%, coal products at 30.29%, power products at 13.02%, and others at 1.59% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, one fund under China Ocean Fund has a significant position in Electric Power Investment Energy, with 43,500 shares held, accounting for 2.08% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund, China Ocean Shunxin Mixed Fund (002213), has a total scale of 41.4233 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 16.82% [2] - The fund manager, Qiu Hongli, has a tenure of over 11 years, with the best fund return during this period being 111.1% [3]

10月9日，电投能源涨5.01%，截至发稿，报23.70元/股，成交2.23亿元，换手率0.43%，总市值531.25亿 元。 中科沃土沃瑞混合发起A（005855）基金经理为徐伟。 截至发稿，徐伟累计任职时间6年64天，现任基金资产总规模3489.76万元，任职期间最佳基金回报 70.16%， 任职期间最差基金回报-6.14%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，内蒙古电投能源股份有限公司位于内蒙古自治区通辽市经济技术开发区清沟大街1号内蒙古 电投能源股份有限公司办公楼，成立日期2001年12月18日，上市日期2007年4月18日，公司主营业务涉 及煤炭产品的生产、加工和销售,火电、电解铝业务。主营业务收入构成为：铝业产品55.11%，煤炭产 品30.29%，电力产品13.02%，其他1.59%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，中科沃土基金旗下1只基金重仓电投能源。中科沃土沃瑞混合发起A（005855）二季度减持 6.1万股 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the successful completion of China's first ship-based green methanol refueling operation at Ningbo Zhoushan Port, marking a significant milestone in the development of green fuel capabilities in the region [3]. Market Review - In September, the CSI 300 Index rose by 3.20%, while the public utility index increased by 0.41% and the environmental index by 0.77%. The relative monthly returns for these indices were -2.80% and -2.43% respectively [2]. - Among the 31 primary industry sectors, public utilities and environmental sectors ranked 13th and 11th in terms of growth. The environmental sector saw a 0.77% increase, while the electricity sector's thermal power rose by 2.34%, and hydropower fell by 3.08% [2]. Important Events - The successful refueling of the "COSCO Shipping Libra" with 230 tons of green methanol at Ningbo Zhoushan Port signifies the port's capability to handle LNG, biofuels, and methanol, enhancing its status as an international hub [3]. - This operation involved collaboration between China Ship Fuel, Zhejiang Port Group, and Ningbo Zhoushan Port Group, utilizing seven specialized methanol transport tankers and explosion-proof refueling equipment [3]. Investment Strategy - Public Utilities: Recommendations include Huadian International for thermal power, Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy for renewable energy, and China Nuclear Power for stable nuclear power operations [4][5]. - Environmental Sector: Focus on companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities, as well as opportunities in the domestic waste oil recycling industry due to upcoming EU SAF policies [5].

Core Viewpoint - The transition to a dual control system for carbon emissions is essential for achieving high-quality development and is a key task in the new round of ecological civilization reform in China [1] Challenges in Carbon Emission Dual Control System - The carbon emission accounting system is not yet fully developed, facing issues such as unclear statistical bases, inadequate methods, and a lack of timely data [2] - The evaluation and assessment mechanisms for carbon emissions are still underdeveloped, with insufficient accountability at local and industry levels [3] Strategies and Countermeasures for Carbon Emission Dual Control System - At the regional level, a dual control system for total carbon emissions and intensity should be implemented, focusing on accurate statistical accounting and dynamic updates of greenhouse gas emission factors [4] - At the industry level, there should be a focus on controlling fossil energy consumption and enhancing carbon emission monitoring in key sectors such as electricity, steel, and cement [5] - At the enterprise level, improving the quality of carbon emission data management and integrating it into a multi-tiered regulatory framework is crucial [6] - At the project level, establishing performance standards for carbon emissions and ensuring new projects meet advanced value levels is necessary [7] - At the product level, developing a carbon footprint labeling system and promoting low-carbon products through policy incentives and consumer education is essential [7]

Core Insights - Institutional upgrades in ratings indicate a positive market outlook for related assets or companies, suggesting good growth potential and investment value [1] Group 1: Institutional Upgrades - As of September 2025, 41 stocks received upgrades from institutions, with several leading companies from various sectors included [1] - Traditional industry leaders such as Yangtze Power, Huaneng Hydropower, Guotou Power, Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Yanzhou Coal Mining are among those upgraded [1] - Emerging industry leaders like BAIC BluePark and Xinzhou Bang also made the list [1] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - As of September 30, 2025, 18 stocks had a rolling price-to-earnings (PE) ratio below 30, with 6 stocks having a PE ratio under 15, including Yanzhou Coal Mining, Boss Electric, Hailide, Yuntu Holdings, Zhou Dazheng, and Anhui Hefei [1] Group 3: Dividend Yields - The highest dividend yield over the past 12 months was recorded by Pingmei Shenma, reaching 7.25% as of September 30, 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of the GCL-Poly Energy's real estate ABS (REIT) project has commenced, focusing on the underlying asset of a supercritical coal-fired power plant in Xinjiang, with an estimated asset value of 9 billion yuan and an expected issuance scale of 6.3 billion yuan [1]. Group 1 - The GCL project is the first inter-institutional REIT for coal-fired power in China, featuring a unique cost competitive advantage due to its "coal-electricity integration" operational model, with the power plant located only about 4 kilometers from the coal mine [2]. - The product emphasizes "asset credit" and "equity attributes," with cash flow entirely derived from the operational income of the underlying power assets, providing a new financing paradigm for high-quality industry development [2]. Group 2 - The project utilizes a market-oriented inquiry issuance mechanism, enhancing efficient and reasonable pricing by leveraging the diverse advantages of market investors [3]. - Multiple investment institutions, including insurance companies, bank wealth management, brokerage self-operated funds, industrial capital, public funds, private equity funds, trusts, and local AMCs, have shown significant interest in the product [3]. - Inter-institutional REITs are a type of equity asset securitization product under the ABS framework, playing a crucial role in building a multi-tiered REITs market and supporting the government's initiatives to revitalize existing assets and expand effective investments [3].

Group 1 - Central enterprises are actively promoting projects and investments during the National Day holiday to stabilize the economy, with significant engineering projects continuing without interruption [1] - The world's first "dual-tower one machine" solar thermal energy storage power station has entered full system trial operation, marking a breakthrough in tower solar power generation technology [2] - The successful installation of the last wind turbine in the 200,000-kilowatt wind-storage project in Hegang, Heilongjiang, signifies the completion of the main engineering work [3] Group 2 - The G228 Binhai section's Tauer River Bridge has been completed and opened to traffic, significantly reducing travel time between the two banks [4] - The construction of the Zhongsha Gule Ethylene project is progressing rapidly, with over 4,000 workers on-site, achieving 82.5% overall progress [5] - The world's highest high-proportion co-firing high-alkali coal 660 MW ultra-supercritical thermal power unit has been put into operation, expected to generate 8 billion kilowatt-hours annually [6] Group 3 - The first batch of dam sections for the highest hyperbolic arch dam under construction in the domestic plateau has been successfully poured to the top, marking a significant milestone [7] - The National Development and Reform Commission is accelerating fund disbursement for the fourth quarter, with a new policy financial tool scale of 500 billion yuan aimed at supplementing project capital [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power and utilities industry based on industry valuation levels, performance growth expectations, and development prospects [7]. Core Insights - In September 2025, the power and utilities index underperformed the market, with a decline of 0.20%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 1.39 percentage points [11]. - National electricity consumption in August 2025 reached 1,015.4 billion kWh, marking a 5% year-on-year increase, although the growth rate decreased by 3.6 percentage points compared to July 2025 [17][18]. - The supply side saw a slowdown in the growth of thermal, nuclear, and solar power generation, while wind power generation accelerated [25][26]. - The Three Gorges water inflow situation improved significantly, with daily average inflow and outflow rates increasing by 91% and 183% respectively compared to the same period in 2024 [53]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The power and utilities index fell by 0.20% as of September 26, 2025, with 81 stocks rising and 143 stocks declining [11]. - The top-performing stocks included Fuke Environmental Protection (82.3%) and Jiaze New Energy (44.19%) [11]. 2. Industry Supply and Demand 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in August 2025 was 1,015.4 billion kWh, with the first industry showing the highest growth rate of over 10% [17][18]. 2.2. Electricity Supply - The industrial electricity generation in August 2025 was 936.3 billion kWh, with a year-on-year growth of 1.6% [25]. - Wind power generation increased by 20.2%, while hydroelectric power generation decreased by 10.1% [25][26]. 2.3. Industry Chain Volume and Price - Coal production and imports continued to show negative growth, with August 2025 coal production at 390 million tons, down 3.2% year-on-year [40]. - Domestic coal prices stabilized, with northern port thermal coal prices at 705 RMB/ton as of September 25, 2025 [43]. 3. Three Gorges Water Situation - The inflow and outflow rates at the Three Gorges Dam improved significantly, with inflow at 21,000 cubic meters per second and outflow at 28,700 cubic meters per second [53]. 4. Industry and Company News - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration released guidelines for integrating artificial intelligence with energy development [66]. - Major power companies reported a decline in revenue growth for the first half of 2025, with Huaneng International reporting 112.03 billion RMB [71].