Group 1: Hot News - The US accused China of violating the Geneva talks consensus, while China firmly opposed it and urged the US to respect facts and correct wrongdoings [2] - US President Trump raised the tariffs on imported steel, aluminum and their derivatives from 25% to 50%, effective from 00:01 on June 4, 2025, Eastern Time, except for those from the UK which remain at 25% [2] - China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI in May was 48.3, down 2.1 percentage points from April, falling below the critical point for the first time since October 2024 [2] - The OECD lowered the economic growth forecasts for the US and the world. The US growth rate in 2025 was cut from 2.2% to 1.6%, and expected to be 1.5% in 2026. The global growth forecast for 2025 dropped to 2.9%, and inflation rose to 3.2% [3] - China's metallurgical - grade alumina production in May 2025 increased by 2.66% month - on - month and 4.06% year - on - year. The actual operating capacity decreased by 0.46% month - on - month, with an operating rate of 77.3%. The average profit in the alumina industry exceeded 400 yuan/ton as of May 30 [3] Group 2: Key Focus - Commodities to focus on are urea, crude oil, soybean meal, and PVC [4] Group 3: Night - session Performance - Night - session performance of commodity sectors: Non - metallic building materials 2.65%, precious metals 30.82%, energy 2.35%, chemicals 12.74%, grains 1.51%, agricultural and sideline products 2.61%, oilseeds and fats 11.66%, soft commodities 2.38%, non - ferrous metals 19.98%, coking coal and steel ore 13.29% [4][5] Group 4: Asset Performance - Performance of major asset classes: Shanghai Composite Index daily gain 0.43%, monthly gain 0.43%, annual gain 0.30%; S&P 500 daily gain 0.58%, monthly gain 0.99%, annual gain 1.51%; Hang Seng Index daily gain 1.53%, monthly gain 0.96%, annual gain 17.21%; etc [7] - Performance of major commodities: WTI crude oil daily gain 1.36%, monthly gain 4.35%, annual loss 11.89%; London spot gold daily loss 0.83%, monthly gain 1.96%, annual gain 27.77%; etc [7]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily focus on the **bond market** outlook for June 2025, with insights into **monetary policy**, **credit bonds**, and specific sectors such as **real estate** and **coal** industries. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Bond Market Outlook for June 2025**: The bond market is expected to continue the volatile trend observed since May, primarily due to uncertainties in tariff negotiations and variable fundamental data. The trading range for the 10-year government bond is anticipated to be between **1.6% and 1.7%** [2][3][11]. 2. **Monetary Policy Shift**: The People's Bank of China has shifted its monetary policy focus from preventing capital turnover to stabilizing growth, creating a relatively friendly monetary environment. The dual interest rate cuts in May were in line with expectations, but the positive effects were quickly absorbed by the market [3][8]. 3. **Seasonal Factors**: Historical data from 2019 to 2024 indicates that the 10-year government bond typically experiences limited volatility in June, with fluctuations generally within **10 basis points**. Seasonal factors and government bond issuance are expected to influence liquidity significantly [4][6]. 4. **Liquidity Concerns**: The liquidity situation in June is complicated by a **1.5 trillion yuan** net financing issuance and **4 trillion yuan** in maturing certificates of deposit, raising concerns about short-term volatility despite an overall favorable trend [7][8]. 5. **Credit Bonds**: The short-end credit spread has limited compression potential, while three-year varieties still have room for compression. Attention is drawn to **2A-rated** credit bonds for investment opportunities [6][12]. 6. **Real Estate Sector**: The real estate industry is in a bottoming phase, with a focus on the impact of policy relaxations in core first-tier cities. Recommendations include investing in safe-zone state-owned enterprise real estate bonds and high-cost performance **2A/2A+** rated bonds [16][17]. 7. **Coal Industry**: The coal sector has seen a decline in demand since 2024, leading to price fluctuations. The overall profitability has decreased, and cash flow from operating activities has contracted [19][21]. 8. **Steel Industry**: The steel sector faces severe oversupply issues, with a slight recovery in demand due to export boosts. However, domestic demand remains weak, leading to continued pressure on prices and profitability [20][21]. Additional Important Content 1. **Investment Strategies**: The second half of 2025 may present a significant investment window, with potential new monetary policies expected to be announced in July. Investors are advised to prepare for this period despite a lackluster June [5][11]. 2. **Credit Strategy**: The credit market shows varying performance across different maturities and ratings, with a focus on optimizing investment portfolios based on these dynamics [12][14]. 3. **Market Dynamics**: The convertible bond market has experienced a V-shaped recovery, indicating strong buying power despite the unclear upward trend in the equity market [22][24]. 4. **Risk Assessment**: The overall risk in the equity market is considered manageable, with liquidity remaining ample and policy expectations high, which supports the convertible bond market [23][30]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of the bond market and related sectors.

Group 1: China Haicheng - China Haicheng participated in a conference organized by Guotai Junan, discussing the impact of the Spring Festival on Q1 revenue and profit, which experienced a temporary decline. However, new contracts signed increased by 5.80% year-on-year, indicating confidence in stable annual performance growth [1] - The overseas business is focused on the "Belt and Road" initiative, with significant growth in new orders for 2024 and Q1 2025, primarily from industries such as pulp and paper, food fermentation, environmental protection, and new energy materials [1] - New orders in the pulp and paper sector reached 3.199 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 86.96%, while Q1 2025 saw new orders of 840 million yuan, up 97.32% year-on-year [1] - The pharmaceutical sector's order growth is attributed to large-scale general contracting projects, and the company has launched a digital design and collaboration platform to enhance smart manufacturing and digital delivery [1] Group 2: Sangang Min Guang - Sangang Min Guang provided details on production capacity and output distribution across its bases, with an estimated crude steel output of approximately 6.27 million tons from the Sanming base and 2.57 million tons each from the Quanzhou and Luoyuan bases in 2024 [2] - The company is nearing completion of capacity replacement and ultra-low emission transformation projects, with a capital investment plan of 1.99 billion yuan for 2025 [2] - Due to net profit losses in 2023 and 2024, the company does not meet cash dividend conditions and will adhere to its profit distribution policy in the future [2] - There are no current plans for mergers or acquisitions, and the company is monitoring production limits to maximize efficiency across its three locations [2]

021-60635736 期货从业资格号：F3033782 投资咨询证书号：Z0014484 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 报告类型 焦炭焦煤日评 日期 2025 年 5 月 28 日 黑色金属研究团队 研究员：翟贺攀 zhaihepan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：聂嘉怡 研究员：冯泽仁 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | | | | 表1：5月27日焦炭焦煤期货主力合约价格、成交及持仓情况（单位：元/吨、手、亿元） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 代码 | 前收 盘价 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 持仓量 变化 | 资金流 入流出 | | J2509 | 1375 ...

Group 1 - China Merchants Industry announced the termination of the restructuring and spin-off of its subsidiaries, China Merchants Jinling and China Merchants Roll-on Roll-off, due to a lack of consensus on transaction terms and changes in market conditions [2] - Sichuan Road and Bridge is planning a related party transaction to acquire 100% equity and debt rights of Chengdu New Road and Bridge Machinery Co., which is expected to be a related party transaction but not a major asset restructuring [2] - Guotai Junan Securities plans to increase its capital by 1.5 billion yuan to Guotai Junan Futures Co., Ltd. to supplement its net capital [5] Group 2 - Innovation New Materials intends to register and issue short-term financing bonds not exceeding 500 million yuan and medium-term notes not exceeding 1.5 billion yuan to enhance liquidity management [3] - Gree Electric's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to sell 5.9088% equity of Winshang Technology for 62.6333 million yuan, which will improve asset liquidity and cash flow [4] - Yapu Co. plans to purchase approximately 54.5% of Winshang Technology for about 578 million yuan to accelerate its strategic development in key automotive components [6] Group 3 - Deep Highway announced that Yunshan Capital increased its holdings in the company's H-shares by 10.81 million shares, bringing its total shareholding to 254 million shares, accounting for 10% of the total share capital [7] - Aichuang Data plans to procure servers worth up to 4 billion yuan to provide computing power leasing services [8] - Luoping Zinc Electric is transferring 22.4% of its shares to Qujing Development Investment Group, with trading suspension starting from May 28 due to control change planning [9] Group 4 - Zhongke Haixun signed a contract for an information processing subsystem procurement project worth 163 million yuan [10] - Enhua Pharmaceutical's associate company Jiangsu Haoxin Qing plans to go public overseas to expand financing channels and is establishing a red-chip structure [11] - Yunnan Energy Investment has been awarded the development rights for three wind farm projects, including the Fuyuan Nanchong Wind Farm [13]

山西锦波生物医药股份有限公司副总经理 陆晨阳：希望可以进一步加强知识产权法律法规的执行力度，加大对侵权行为的惩 处力度，提高侵权成本，保护企业的创新成果。同时，建立健全知识产权交易市场，促进知识产权的合理流动和有效配置，鼓励企 业通过知识产权转让、许可等方式实现技术成果的市场价值，提高企业的创新收益，增强民间投资的信心和动力。 央视网消息：民营经济是推进供给侧结构性改革、推动高质量发展、建设现代化经济体系的重要主体。受中共中央委托，今年 全国工商联以"激发民间投资活力 扩大国内有效需求"为主题，赴天津、山西等地开展年度重点调研。 在天津、山西调研期间，全国工商联调研组先后来到代表性企业、重点园区和创业投资、股权投资等服务机构实地调研。 今年一季度，山西省民间投资增长10.2%，拉动投资增长4.9个百分点。调研组深入山西省多家企业调研民间投资情况，在山西 锦波生物医药股份有限公司，企业负责人介绍，近两年，企业在科技创新方面累计投入超过两亿元，他们通过攻克重组人源化胶原 蛋白"卡脖子"技术，带动上下游中小企业协同创新，形成百亿级产业集群。他们希望能进一步加大对知识产权的保护力度。 在调研中，调研组还发现，除了未来 ...

Group 1 - Shenghong Technology has preliminarily determined the inquiry transfer price at 65.85 yuan per share, with 24 institutional investors participating and a total of 25.73 million shares to be transferred [1] - Foton Motor plans to establish a new energy technology company with EVE Energy, investing 500 million yuan to enhance its new energy heavy truck business and battery leasing solutions [1] - Jiadu Technology disposed of 7.6647 million shares of CloudWalk Technology, realizing a post-tax investment loss of 16.29 million yuan, which is 14.18% of the company's audited net profit for 2024 [1] Group 2 - Rongsheng Environmental's controlling shareholder and actual controller, Feng Ronghua, has been subjected to compulsory measures by the police, but this matter is unrelated to the company, which continues normal operations [2] - Chongqing Steel has terminated the absorption merger of its wholly-owned subsidiary, New Port Changlong, to leverage its independent operational advantages in logistics and supply chain services [3] - Ha Welding Huatong's products can be used in controllable nuclear fusion projects, but the revenue from this sector is currently minimal, and there are no significant changes in the company's operations [4] Group 3 - Xinhua Medical's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by 100 million to 200 million yuan within the next 12 months [4] - Pingzhi Information signed a framework agreement for AI computing power technology services with China Telecom, totaling approximately 246 million yuan, which will not significantly impact the company's annual performance [5]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests treating the situation with a bearish bias in a volatile market [2][3] 2) Core Viewpoint of the Report - The report recommends short - selling on rebounds [4] 3) Summary Based on Related Content - **Steel Production Data**: Last week, the blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 91.32%, a decrease of 0.44 percentage points from the previous week; the steel mill profitability rate was 59.74%, an increase of 0.43 percentage points from the previous week; the daily average pig iron output was 2.436 million tons, a decrease of 11,700 tons from the previous week. The average operating rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 77.18%, a rise of 1.98 percentage points; the average capacity utilization rate was 59.5%, a rise of 2.93 percentage points. In mid - May, the daily output of crude steel of key steel enterprises was 2.199 million tons, a decrease of 0.3% from the previous period; the steel inventory was 16.35 million tons, an increase of 1.8% from the previous ten - day period and a decrease of 2.1% from the same ten - day period last month [3] - **Market Situation**: Last week, the price of finished steel fluctuated downward with a lower price center. The macro - environment was relatively stable, and the varieties continued to trade based on their own fundamentals. Currently, steel mills have a good profitability rate, and the enterprise operating rate and pig iron output are at relatively high levels, but the downstream demand has not improved significantly and is likely to decline further after entering the seasonal off - season, showing a situation of strong supply and weak demand [3] - **Later Concerns**: Macro - policies and downstream demand conditions [4]

021-60635736 期货从业资格号：F3033782 投资咨询证书号：Z0014484 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 日期 2025 年 5 月 26 日 黑色金属研究团队 研究员：翟贺攀 zhaihepan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 研究员：聂嘉怡 研究员：冯泽仁 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | | | | | 表1：5月23日焦炭焦煤期货主力合约价格、成交及持仓情况（单位：元/吨、手、亿元） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 代码 | 前收 盘价 | 开盘价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 持仓量 变化 | 资金流 入流出 | | J2509 | 1406.5 | 1406 | 1418 | 1376 | 1383 | -1.81% | 25,439 | 55,648 | | 940 0.00 | ...

Group 1 - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility Index decreased by 0.52% as of May 26, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Minsheng Bank led the gains with an increase of 0.72%, followed by Ninghu Expressway at 0.63% and China Unicom at 0.56%, while Shanghai Bank, Conch Cement, and Huayu Automotive experienced declines [1] - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF (515300) underwent a rebalancing adjustment [1] Group 2 - The CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF recorded a trading volume of 54.8688 million yuan during the session, with an average daily trading volume of 110 million yuan over the past week [3] - The latest scale of the CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF reached 5.643 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 30.3007 million yuan recently [3] - Over the past five trading days, there were three days of net inflows totaling 36.9613 million yuan [3] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility Index accounted for 37.43% of the index, including China Shenhua, Gree Electric, and Daqin Railway [3] - Dongfang Wealth Strategy suggests that the relative return probability of dividends remains high, with a potential marginal increase in stable dividend style profitability from Q2 to Q3 [3] - The micro liquidity environment is expected to limit the valuation elasticity of high sensitivity styles, supporting the relative return probability of stable dividend styles in the near future [3] Group 4 - According to estimates from Founder Securities, long-term holding of dividend assets shows a higher success rate compared to broad indices like the CSI 300, aligning with the long-term performance assessment direction of the "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds" [4] - Institutions indicate that dividend assets are a valuable investment direction for long-term investors, especially in the context of ongoing policy encouragement for long-term capital market entry [4] - Investors without stock accounts can access investment opportunities through the corresponding CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF linked fund (007606) [4]