Market Overview - The market opened high but experienced a downward trend, indicating a lack of capital inflow and a potential outflow of funds [1] - Despite positive news from the previous day, the market did not respond as expected, suggesting that the anticipated benefits have not been realized [1] - The banking sector has shown resilience, with the banking index doubling over the past three years, while the Shanghai Composite Index has remained stagnant [1] Trading Dynamics - The buying power has decreased significantly, with today's buy orders falling below 1000, indicating a lack of confidence among investors [1] - Selling pressure has also reduced compared to last week, but the overall market sentiment remains weak, with buy orders nearing exhaustion [1] - The market is currently at a level similar to August of the previous year, despite higher trading volumes [1] Sector Performance - The performance of various sectors appears weak, with only a few stocks hitting the daily limit up, primarily driven by newly listed stocks [3] - The ST (Special Treatment) stocks have seen a decline in limit-up occurrences, indicating a shift in investor sentiment and a potential exit of previously committed funds [3] - The banking sector remains an exception, continuing to show strength amidst a generally weak market environment [3] Investment Sentiment - The current market conditions suggest a transition into a "five-poor" phase, with expectations for improvement potentially delayed until July [3] - Investors are advised to be cautious, as the apparent strength in the market may not be sustainable, and chasing trends could lead to losses [3]

13日早盘，两市股指全线高开，随后涨幅有所回落。到发稿，沪指小幅走高，创业板指涨近1%。 职业方面，家居、物流、医药、石油、钢铁等板块走强，航运概念、跨境电商、算力概念等活泼；军 工、稳妥、电力等板块走低。 昨日大幅拉升的港股回落走低，到发稿，恒生指数、恒生科技指数均跌超1%。 昨日下午，中美日内瓦经贸谈判联合声明发布，两边许诺将于2025年5月14日前采取修改加征的从价关 税等系列行动。 中航资本表明，此次关税下调的起伏大超商场预期，将明显提振商场心情，比如科技和外需板块，前者 受前期商场风险下行的压制，后者则受偏高关税税率影响较大。短期商场或重回风险偏好的心情中，前 期跌落较多的科技和外需板块或迎来节奏性修复。 A股短期震动偏强的趋势或许进一步加强，根本面预期的改进或许导致A股打破上行。一是近期A股震 动偏强的中心驱动要素或许进一步加强：首要，方针和流动性宽松是A股"五一"节后走强的主要驱动要 素，此次超预期大幅下降加征关税不会对国内方针和流动性宽松产生影响，反而或许进一步加大美联储 降息和人民币升值的预期，对流动性宽松预期有利；其次，中美平缓带来的风险偏好改进是推进近期走 势偏强的另一个中心要素，本次超 ...

本周，港股新一轮财报季拉开帷幕，京东、腾讯控股、阿里巴巴等科技龙头将陆续公布一季报。 截至5月12日收盘，港股科技50ETF（159750）跟踪的港股科技指数自关税升级以来累计反弹24.17%， 已完全收复关税当日跌幅。 | 2025/04/08-2025/05/12 (21日) | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 振幅 | 年化收益率 | 最大回撤 | | 931574(港股科技(H | 24.17% | 330.82 | 27.54% | 1216.40% | -7.709 | | 000300(沪深300) | 8.39% | 301.17 | 8.55% | 149.82% | -1.749 | | HSTECH(恒生科技) | 23.76% | 1045.84 | 27.37% | 1165.28% | -7.909 | 从市场预期看，对港股科技股公司的预期普遍较高，其中，腾讯Q1预期营收为1755.46亿元，同比增长 10.06%；预期每股收益5.56元，同比增加27.4%。 阿里巴巴2025财年Q ...

昨日大幅拉升的港股回落走低，截至发稿，恒生指数、恒生科技指数均跌超1%。 昨日下午，中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发布，双方承诺将于2025年5月14日前采取修改加征的从价关 税等系列举措。 （原标题：A股早盘高开低走 港股回落走低） 13日早盘，两市股指全线高开，随后涨幅有所回落。截至发稿，沪指小幅走高，创业板指涨近1%。 行业方面，家居、物流、医药、石油、钢铁等板块走强，航运概念、跨境电商、算力概念等活跃；军 工、保险、电力等板块走低。 中信建投证券表示，此次关税下调的幅度大超市场预期，将明显提振市场情绪，比如科技和外需板块， 前者受前期市场风险下行的压制，后者则受偏高关税税率影响较大。短期市场或重回风险偏好的情绪 中，前期下跌较多的科技和外需板块或迎来节奏性修复。 华金证券认为，A股短期震荡偏强的趋势可能进一步加强，基本面预期的改善可能导致A股突破上行。 一是近期A股震荡偏强的核心驱动因素可能进一步加强：首先，政策和流动性宽松是A股"五一"节后走 强的主要驱动因素，此次超预期大幅降低加征关税不会对国内政策和流动性宽松产生影响，反而可能进 一步加大美联储降息和人民币升值的预期，对流动性宽松预期有利；其次，中美 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant reduction in tariffs between China and the US, with tariffs on Chinese goods dropping from 145% to 30%, which is much lower than the market's expectation of 50-60% [2] - The reduction in tariffs is expected to improve economic fundamentals, particularly by alleviating concerns over export declines and enhancing growth expectations [2][3] - The report anticipates that the A-share market may experience a strong upward trend due to improved market sentiment and economic conditions, driven by the tariff reductions and supportive domestic policies [3] Group 2 - The technology sector is identified as a primary investment focus, with companies in the Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla supply chains expected to benefit from the tariff reductions [4][5] - Core assets are also seen as having potential for increased allocation, as the improved economic outlook may lead to higher foreign and domestic institutional investments [5] - The report suggests a focus on sectors such as consumer electronics, AI, and military products, which are expected to benefit from both policy support and industry trends [5]

Group 1 - The core message of the news is the significant progress made in the recent China-US trade talks, resulting in the cancellation of 91% of tariffs by both sides, which exceeded market expectations [1][2] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index surged, while US stock futures rose over 2%, and the offshore RMB appreciated by 400 points following the announcement [2] - A-shares showed strong performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.82%, and trading volume exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan, indicating a positive market sentiment [4] Group 2 - The market is closely watching the potential breakthrough of the 3439-point level, which could signal a new phase in the market [5] - There is a notable increase in military-related sectors, including shipbuilding, aviation, and military information technology, driven by a reassessment of the value of China's military industry [6][7] - The Apple supply chain is expected to benefit from the recent trade developments, with positive sales feedback and upcoming product launches anticipated to stimulate the sector [8][9]

Group 1 - A-shares experienced a volatile trading day on May 9, with defensive sectors like banking and electricity performing well, while technology sectors such as communications and computers saw a pullback [1] - The CSI Computer Index fell by 1.46%, but certain stocks like Runhe Software rose over 5%, with others like Zhongke Xingtu and Softcom Power also gaining more than 1% [1] - The Computer ETF (159998) saw a decline of over 1.3% but attracted significant capital inflow, accumulating nearly 240 million yuan in net inflow over the past 10 trading days [1] Group 2 - In Q1 2025, the computer industry showed significant improvement, with total revenue reaching 271.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16%, and net profit turning positive at 1.41 billion yuan [2] - The computing power sector experienced a remarkable revenue growth of 42.08% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 45.41% due to high demand driven by artificial intelligence [2] - The dynamic price-to-earnings ratio for the computer sector was reported at 81.5 times as of April 30, 2025, indicating a recovery in company performance and an increase in valuation [2] Group 3 - The positive fiscal and monetary policies in China, along with the growing trend of AI, are expected to enhance the profitability of the computer industry, potentially improving market sentiment [3] - The valuation levels represented by price-to-sales (PS) ratios in the industry still have room for growth [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided in the text. 2. Core View of the Report - In the current market context, increasing the allocation of convertible bonds related to popular themes may be the key action for the portfolio to achieve excess returns. Although overseas tariff factors disrupt the domestic economic recovery process and the profit side of listed companies may not recover rapidly in the short term, after the end of the intensive performance disclosure period in May, the previous negative factors have been gradually priced in. The government has released liquidity to support the economy and the securities market. It is expected that the market will likely show characteristics of increasing risk appetite, and the valuation side will be the main support for the strengthening of the market [2][6]. - To benefit from the increase in the market valuation level, it is advisable to appropriately increase the allocation of convertible bonds related to themes. Although the profit side of some theme - related convertible bonds has not yet reached an inflection point, stock pricing often leans towards future long - term growth. The negative factors on the profit side of some targets have been fully priced in by the market in the early stage, and investors tend to give a higher valuation premium to stocks related to new productive forces. Therefore, under the current background, convertible bonds related to popular themes are more cost - effective in creating excess returns [2][9]. - By analyzing the excess return performance of the CSI 2000 and the Wind AA - rated and below index from 2020 to the present, it is found that when the market trading volume exceeds 1.5 trillion yuan, the CSI 2000 shows relatively obvious excess returns compared to the Wind All - A Index in the stock dimension, and the trend is more obvious in the convertible bond dimension. Convertible bonds related to popular themes are more characteristic of small - cap stocks and low - rated convertible bonds, and are more likely to create excess returns when the trading volume recovers [2][9]. - Relevant convertible bonds can be mined by combining annual reports and public research records. The real economy has been gradually transforming towards new productive forces in recent years. Listed companies will disclose new investment and transformation directions in their annual reports and conduct communication and research activities with the capital market after the disclosure of regular reports. Therefore, the 2024 annual reports and public research records since 2025 are important for mining relevant theme - related convertible bonds [2][13]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Wind Risk Preference Recovery, Theme - Related Convertible Bonds May Be the Key to Winning Excess Returns in the Future Market - The current market trading volume has gradually recovered since early April. After the end of the performance disclosure period, the previous negative factors have been priced in, and the government's liquidity release is expected to drive the market risk preference upwards, with the valuation side supporting the market [6][9]. - It is recommended to increase the allocation of theme - related convertible bonds. Some theme - related convertible bonds are more likely to create excess returns due to factors such as future growth expectations and market pricing [2][9]. - Popular themes such as robotics, computing power, Huawei Ascend, HarmonyOS, brain - computer interfaces, and controllable nuclear fusion are analyzed, and relevant convertible bonds are recommended [13]. 3.2 Humanoid Robots - Multiple companies are involved in the humanoid robot field. For example, Keli Convertible Bond (Kedali) focuses on the R & D and production of harmonic reducers and joint modules; Haoneng Convertible Bond (Haoneng Co., Ltd.) is developing high - precision reducers; Lingyi Convertible Bond (Lingyizao) is expanding its business from component supply to assembly and aims to become a robot body assembly manufacturer [18][19][20]. 3.3 Computing Power - Many companies are actively involved in the computing power business. Zhongbei Convertible Bond (Zhongbei Communication) has completed the national business layout of intelligent computing clusters, with an operating computing power scale of over 15,000P and significant revenue growth [32]. 3.4 Huawei Ascend - Haohan Convertible Bond (Haohan Shendu) is exploring AI and large - model applications, and has completed the v1.1 version of the Haohan Morning Star large model, enhancing its capabilities and achieving API interface docking [35]. 3.5 HarmonyOS - CoreHi Convertible Bond (CoreHi Technology) has consolidated its leading position in the HarmonyOS ecosystem, with over 300 business opportunities for HarmonyOS - connected projects and 115 SKUs of products connected [38]. 3.6 Brain - Computer Interfaces - Rongtai Convertible Bond (Rongtai Health) has established a "Brain - Computer Interaction Joint Laboratory" with Shanghai Aoyi Information Technology Co., Ltd. to promote the application of brain - computer fusion technology and bionic manipulators in the intelligent health field [39]. 3.7 Controllable Nuclear Fusion - Guangda Convertible Bond (Guangda Special Materials) is developing and supplying materials related to controllable nuclear fusion, with batch - supply of relevant materials and significant orders [40].

Robotics - The 2025 World Humanoid Robot Games will be held in Beijing from August 15 to 17, showcasing the latest achievements in robotics [1] - According to Everbright Securities, 2025 is expected to be a breakthrough year for humanoid robot mass production, with a significant increase in production levels driving the downstream industry [1] - CITIC Construction Investment predicts explosive growth in the humanoid robot industry in 2025, driven by mass production and performance upgrades [1] Agriculture - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of China has issued an implementation plan to enhance the overall effectiveness of the agricultural technology innovation system by 2035 [2] - Focus on seed industry and grain planting as key areas for agricultural technology innovation, providing long-term policy benefits [2] - Attention is drawn to opportunities in high-standard farmland construction and digital agriculture [2] Computing Power - OpenAI plans to expand its $500 billion data center project "Star Gate" overseas, aiming to strengthen AI infrastructure [3] - Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are expected to continue investing heavily in AI as a core growth engine, with Microsoft Azure reporting a 33% year-on-year revenue increase [3] - The demand for computing power is expected to remain high, benefiting sectors like servers and data centers [3] 3D Gesture Recognition - Apple has obtained a patent for a new mouse capable of detecting gestures in three-dimensional space, indicating a shift in human-computer interaction [4] - The market for 3D gesture recognition technology is expanding, driven by advancements in smartphones and AR/VR devices [4] - Key growth drivers include reduced hardware costs and the demand for immersive experiences in smart cabins and the metaverse [4] Elderly Care Robots - The introduction of companion robots in elderly care communities highlights the growing market for such technologies due to increasing aging populations [5] - The development of intelligent elderly care robots is expected to improve their functionality and market acceptance [5] Weight Loss Drugs - The World Health Organization is considering including weight loss drugs in its essential medicines list, which could enhance their accessibility globally [6] - GLP-1 drugs have shown significant weight loss effects and are becoming a safer option for obesity treatment [6] - The anticipated guidelines from WHO will accelerate the standardized application of GLP-1 drugs in obesity management, expanding the market [6] Intelligent Agents - Lenovo has launched the first personal super intelligent agent, "Tianxi," which integrates capabilities for perception, cognition, and autonomous evolution [7] - The evolution of AI agents from passive responders to proactive decision-makers is expected to drive significant market growth [7] - Gartner predicts that the global personal intelligent agent market will reach $260 billion by 2027 [7]

Market Overview - On May 7, 65 stocks hit the daily limit, while 46 stocks fell back, resulting in a sealing rate of 58%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.47 trillion yuan, an increase of 132.1 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.8%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.22%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.51% [1][10]. Stock Performance - The number of stocks with consecutive limit-ups decreased to 38.88%. Notable performers included Yuzhong Three Gorges A with a six-day limit-up streak and Jingjin Electric with a four-day limit-up streak. The market saw a rapid rotation of hot sectors, with over 3,200 stocks rising [3][4]. - The military industry sector showed strong performance, with several stocks hitting the limit-up, driven by a report indicating a 9.4% increase in global military spending for 2024, the largest increase since the end of the Cold War [7][10]. Sector Analysis Robotics - The robotics sector experienced fluctuations, with the humanoid robot competition and the World Robot Conference scheduled for August. Stocks like Zhongchao Holdings and Longxi Co. saw consecutive limit-ups, while others faced pullbacks. The lightweight materials segment remains a key focus for investment [6][24]. Chemical Industry - The chemical sector remains in the spotlight due to price fluctuations in various chemical products. Stocks such as Hongqiang Co. and Zhongxin Fluorine Materials saw significant gains, driven by market interest and performance in specific sub-sectors like phosphoric acid and pesticides [8][19]. AI and Computing Power - The AI computing power sector is showing strong performance, with companies reporting positive earnings. The sector is expected to maintain high growth, supported by recent financial disclosures [20][21]. Consumer Sector - The consumer sector is experiencing a rebound following the announcement of a 500 billion yuan loan program aimed at boosting consumption and supporting the elderly. Stocks like Guofang Group and Yimin Group saw significant gains [9][37]. Real Estate - The real estate sector is benefiting from a reduction in housing loan interest rates, which is expected to stimulate demand. Stocks such as Sanxiang Impression and Tianbao Infrastructure saw positive movements [39][40].